Arafaat

Nomads
  • Content Count

    939
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    52

Everything posted by Arafaat

  1. For those interested to learn from another example, of a major and more powerful neighbour leasing military ports and coastal lands, should read about the Kharkiv agreement between Ukrainian and Russia on Crimea Ports and what happened eventually to all of Crimea. Powerful countries do not just give up coastal areas and military ports, even if they initially agreed to a lease, and if needed they even annex the whole region, as happened with Crimea. Kharkiv Pact - Wikipedia EN.M.WIKIPEDIA.ORG Putin tears up lease for Sevastopol naval base WWW.FT.COM
  2. I am noticing that media and politicians are self-censoring with regards to Deni and showcasing political divisiveness? Why is that? And, who are the elected speaker and deputy, and are they part of Deni's supporters or is the field still open for elections to go any directions?
  3. The best way forward is for Somalia and Somaliland to resolve their issues through these talks, incl any coastal areas to be leased. This would be in the interest of all parties, but that one needs to keep a cool head, think rational, being modest, while showcasing empathy to each other. And as agreed staying away from incitement, public statements and emotional outcries. its not that difficult to do, but perhaps they need a third party mediator to keep everyone in check, as clearly Somali's are unable to discuss and put the difficult issues on the table in discussion and meetings.
  4. I don’t think IOG on this deal either. But he is fearing an antagonised Ethiopia and has been sidelined earlier by Abiy and Farmaajo.
  5. I detest nationalism of any sorts and I want all the brotherly and neighbourly nations in the Horn of Africa to live in peace side by side and have free movements of people and flow of trade, goods. But what I find concerning is the hegemonic ambitions of any state to dominate others, change historic narratives and annexations of lands, as that only will lead to tensions, animosities and eventually perpetual conflict. The ambitions and narratives for a greater Ethiopia (Abysissinia) are well known and documented, and concern is that once the door is openend to entertain thus greater Ethiopian that it will open the door for hegemonic ambitions in the regions that will have social, cultural and political ramifications for the wider region and above all for the people in Somaliland, to become the sheep in the midst of wolves. We are living in a time of a changing world order, and are witnessing that historic agreements, borders and national sovereignty are being threatened upon by regional powers without consequences. Look at Russia’s unilateral annexation of the Krim where it initially had leased the Black Sea port from Ukraine. Look at India and how it has thrown away the historic agreements and rights of Jammu and Kashmir regions. China and its unilateral annexation of the whole South China Sea and threading upon coastal zones of half a dozen countries. Venezuela recently announcing its plan to annex a third of Guyana. Turkey that has been occupying swathes of Syrian lands. So what makes you think that Ethiopia will adhere to any agreement and not continue its hegemonistic ambitions by in cooperating parts of Somali territories in to its own?
  6. I have travelled the northern parts of Ethiopia by road (Bahar Dar, Gondar, Adigrat, Aksum, Mekele, Wollo, Awash) mainly inhabited by Amhara and Tigray, and I have to say the country is quite fertile and populated specially population density in rural areas is high. And I understand that Oromo parts and Southern Nation are even more populated and fertile than the mountainous northern regions. Even when you fly low altitude over those lands you can see the population density, their villages are as as big our towns all in close proximity and then when you fly over Somali regions that’s when the land becomes like a desert with very little visible population settlements. So I do belief that the Ethiopian populations numbers are correct and it wouldn’t be in the interest of the federal government to inflate them, on the contrary that could complete their internal governance and administration and lead to major internal problems.
  7. You know what’s so strange with Somali’s, they never discuss real issues when they meet. HSM and Muse Biixi met only a day before this deal and have could have discussed real issues as mature man. But Somali meetings are always cover of niceties and protocols and never lead to meaningful discussions of real issues, and they rather air their objections, opinions and concerns through public airways. Very childish and waste of our time, resources. How this could have continued for decades, is a question to me.
  8. The ‘ictiraaf’ thing has really confused some, Ethiopia already enters agreements with Somaliland, has a diplomatic mission that reports directly to Addis, has direct flights to Hargeisa. What more ictiraaf than that will Ethiopia bring you, changing the sign board of its Consular Mission to Embassy is that worth selling your land for it.
  9. So what’s next, the new MPs have miraculously been selected, sworn in and seated in a matter of 24 hours. Will Deni be elected with the same speed? And how will the Issims, opposition politicians respond?
  10. There is a general public opinion that the political stagnation in Somaliland can not remain and current directions can not continue to be sustained, and thus why politicians are desperately looking for other pathways.
  11. It was clear from the beginning, that the Oromo narrative was pushed by Ethiopia as the precursor for voluntary and indirect annexation. Ethiopia has for decades used a politics of Oromisation in Somali region solidify its government grip on Somali’s and expand its territorial hold, so this wasn’t anything new, what is new however is this politics being applied or expanded to inside sovereign Somali territory.
  12. It’s practically an annexation with the current Ethiopian demographic, political and military dominance in the region and influx of Oromo in to Somaliland. This is not in the interest of Somaliland.
  13. Compromise between who exactly, I thought both Garaads and Puntland Issims position was clear on this? Isimada dhaqanka Puntland oo go'aamiyay in doorashada 2024 lagu galo 49 xildhibaan – Puntland Post PUNTLANDPOST.NET Isimada dhaqanka Puntland ayaa bayaan rasmi ah ka soo saaray xiisadda ka taagan arrimaha doorashada Puntland. Isimada dhaqanka oo...
  14. I thought SSC-Khaatuma MPs would not be part of the new Parliament, what happened here?
  15. I read that as coordination and information exchange on main security related points of concern, e.g. Red Sea, AS. But I could be wrong, what did you make of it?
  16. I think these outcomes are overall positive, and under point 6 it seems that one has committed to resolving the conflicts peacefully. Nevertheless the elephant in the room remains the positions of SSC-Khaatuma in the overall equation.
  17. For both sides it seems that talks have been further been complicated with the developments of the last year.
  18. I don’t think one can really discuss the future status and relationship between Somaliland and Somalia without Somaliland and SSC-Khaatuma first having a common ground. From Mogadishu’s standpoint, it’s in their interest to be dealing with a united north rather than a fractured Somaliland consisting of 2 or more states or political entities, that would further complicate the existing federal dynamics and politics in Mogadishu, and would leave the Northern regions in a much weaker position. And Somalilands interest would be best served if it presented a united Somaliland representing all the regions and groups. So from that point of view and thinking, the only issue they ought to be discussing is for Somaliland to pursue a peaceful course, dialogue for a political settlement with SSC in order to unite and stabilise the region. And for HSM to support that discourse and for Muse to refrain from any harmful actions. I might be wrong but I don’t see much else that is worthwhile of discussing?
  19. Jabhadii wa la qaawiyay, dadkuna wee wada fahmeen ujeedada jabhadan oo intaa abuurisay xaalado, afuufisayna naceybka, kala fogaanshada iyo qabyalada. Ilaaahay ka saaro shaashada dibna ugu so celin talada.
  20. Nobody wants war and conflict, Somaliland people are rational whereas the leaders are warmongers driven by personal interest.