Having said that the biggest weakness of Cali Galaydh that would undermine all his efforts is his bad leadership and the inability to bring together his people. He already have strong opposition from different communities of Khaatumo, add that his own allies who were leaning to Somaliland have rejected his moves. Today , the most prominent Garaad that supported him earlier , is openly going against Galaydh. Cali Ciise , his own camp also opposes him. He need to consult people more and be less dictatorial or he won't achieve his goals.

The negotiations with Somalia will be easier to negotiate with one united entity. One thing is for sure, the united Somali national capital must be relocated to Hargeisa. That is the most important condition of all. Without that , there won't be a deal . The problem is the " Unaka" and others who were milking MOgadishu for the last 30 years for their own interest, have to make a choice between Mogadishu and "Soomaali Weyn". If they reject the relocation, we would all know that their so called Somalhood was false. So, in other words, Galaydh could pave the way for united Somalia from Hargeisa.

THere are two issues here. One is why Cali Galaydh left Mogadishu or who lost him?, the other one is how the Siilaanyo administration is characterizing these negotiations, because, as we heard from Galaydh himself the issue is far from over. If I wasn't here , Mr Malister, the spokesperson of Former president Hassan Sheikh would have pulled a fast one to all. It is totally inaccurate to say that Farmaajo lost Galaydh. Hassan Sheikh decided that Khaatumo has no place in his plan or the formation of the Somali regional states. He decided to deal with Puntland and Somaliland on the issue of the Sool region. Galydh created the Khaatumo administration in a small village and tried to expand his influence in the " Garaad" community regions. Galaydh faced a fragment community that had a multifaceted interest. One group took over Laascaanood town and allied itself with Somaliland; another group were totally aligned with Puntland and the "Harti" project. Last but not the least , the hard headed Buuhoodle people decided to be their city state and fly the Somali flag while playing host to everyone regardless of their intentions. Galaydh faced a tough situation which weakened his position. Then In the middle of 2016, Hassan Sheikh added insult to injury and made a deal with Puntland and gave C/weli Gaas of PUntland the power to appoint the KHaatumo delegates to the Somali parliament. Finally, Galaydh realized that it will be impossible to have any role at the national stage as long as Puntland and Mogadishu guys are in charge of the Somali politics. So, it was Hassan Sheikh who pushed away Cali Galaydh, just like he humiliated Ahmed Samatar before him. As the most prominent Sool politician, he had a duty to do something about the situation of his region and community. If he can not affect any change in Mogadishu, for Khaatumo, he decided to concentrate i his home region and create something that would change the status quo. His people were lagging in terms of development and peace. TRibal skirmishes among his community have became part of the Khaatumo region . Close to a hundred have died for the last 12 months and no one seems to resolve the issue. So Galaydh has to change strategy to save the future of his people. Now, let us look at what is cooking in Hargeisa. Since it was difficult to master a fragmented Khaatumo army that have nothing but clan affiliations which is only pitting the Garaad community each other, Cali KHaliif decided to make an honorable deal that will reduce the conflict in his region. The "Habro" media is saying that Galaydh had surrendered , but the truth is far from that. Galaydh want to dismantle the current power politics of Somaliland within the framework of peaceful negotiations. Rather than be a minister like XAglo Toosiye or others who are just collecting pay cheques in Hargeisa , Galaydh want real reform and peaceful deal for Khaatumo. He want to challenge the Somaliland system dominated by the SNM community and open the constitution. He want to hold a new shir. He want to clarify the powers of the regions and delegate power. He is gallantly challenging the corrupt HArgeisa government and dismantle the ineffective system without firing a bullet. He said many times that he did not come to Hargeisa to be appointed to any thing. Of course the Khaatumo politicians in Hargeisa who are just parasites collecting their cheque have been agitating and scared of his presence fearing that they might lose their perks in Hargeisa. YEt, Galaydh said loudly that he is not interested for their job. Few days ago when those Khaatumo ministers shouted and asked him to incorporate his KHaatumo to Somaliland, he told them , " Waar hadaad wax ugu filan tihiin dadka Khaatumo oo dhibaatooyinka yaal aad wax ka qaban lahaydeen halkanba ma joogneen" These Hargeisa based Khaatumo politicians were told to disarm Galaydh and declare that Khaatumo was incorporated to Somaliland and the Galaydh negotiators must be concluded. Somali leaders in power always try to buy people using weaklinks. Puntlanders used to cal Muuse Suudi " Al Xaaji" when they were hallenging C/qasim. We Somalis say that the ignorant will always make a bad deal , " ninka jaahilka ah waxa laga yaabaa in Hal Geela , Waxar yar looga bedesho". The main issue here is since the southern politicians rejected KHaatumo, the best way to achieve either union with Somalia or harmony within Somaliland is to stabilize Sool region. If all the people of Somaliland agree to form and agree with a new administration that is accepted by all, it will easy to negotiate with Somalia. If Galaydh forces the current administration to form a new " Maamul" with a new administration that is accountable to all of the people and share revenue, development and regional rule, I will be one of the first to join that agenda. I encourage Galaydh to demand a Borama style conference to completely redo Somaliland. I know the Hargeisa boys want Galaydh to be just another Xaglotoosiye, but he is far from it. Also, Proff. Ahmed SAmatar paved the way for galaydh by talking about the injustice of Somaliland. If these two heavy weights combine their agenda, they could easily change the false narrative that Somaliland is a panacea of progress. If were the Khaatumo people, I would wait for Galydh is cooking.

By the way, those who are murdered are the next generation of the educated Somalis who are trying to build new lives/ Allah ha u naxariisto. one more thing, there has to be a difference between the Mogadishu intelligence service who are mostly locals and national intelligence. National means the officers must come from diverse background, rather than ' Ciyaal Hawlwadaag' investigating one another.

IN Mogadishu , Al-shabaab militia could no longer wage a military style attack or even the storming of government buildings at this moment. These kind of attacks have the hallmark of foreign intelligence operation which targets businesses that attract the Somali diaspora and others . When they attack beaches, restaurants, hotels and markets, the aim is to drail the recovery and demoralize those who are coming back home to invest. They want to create an environment of fear. A poor Somalis in Mogadishu could not afford a ten thousand dollar car and blow it up like a sack of potato.. It is coordinated by others and the poor mule will only take the car to it's destination. While the religious extremist Somali might call for Jihaad and room the countryside , this kind of operation is not the work of the so called Al-shabab hiding in "Shabeelaha Hoose". Another thing that we all learned throughout the years is that when a tribe or group of Somalis are disgruntled with the government, they sympathize or even harbour Al-shabaab killers without realizing the chaos that will affect all Somalis including those in the diaspora. C/racman Badiyow came back before the RAmadan, and when I asked him, , is there any policy change on security issues from the Hassan Sheikh government and this one, he said, " no". He added that " since there were no institutional memories or transferable documents from one leadership to another, the personal changes inside the military and other security agencies, who all lost both commanders and their deputies, will mean starting from zero. As many of you stated, this issue needs the help of the public and competent intelligence personnel who should introduce new ways of fighting. Also, Some technical steps like new technologie of monitoring movements must introduced. A friend of mine who owns a small company that specializes " camera and surveillance" business had explained to me how new technologies could help cities like MOgadishu. He said that , " with emergence of solar technologies, every street in the city, major buildings, hotels, streets and markets could be installed by a wide dimensional camera that could monitored 24 hours a day by a team of investigators, in real time". For example huge malls with thousands of people shopping are monitors in real time. Sometimes the thieves are caught in real time. Also, traffic in major cities are monitored from small stations and fed through Wi Fi that feeds real time actions. It might cost few millions , but it is worth trying. He told me that countries like China have much more modern cameras to all major roads monitored real time in 24 hours. Since there are no privacy laws in Somalis, these camera could record all movements of the killers who drop cars, bombs and even those who come to spy and locate the target for Al-shabaab. THe success of the killers has been that they are always anonymous . They could park the car, take their cash and disappear. We need the help of others like Turkey to catch these guys. Since the main issue is car bomb and targeted killings, surveillance technology is needed to catch these killers. Believe me this type of monitoring will catch many people including foreigners transferring pre prepared bombs. Are you telling me a Somali nomad who could not repair a bicycle is assembling bombs in laptops and cars?, I do not think so. WE need new thinking. If the government does not improve things same time next year, extreme measures must be introduced.

Holac, thanks for this info. I did read somewhere that at this calendar year the Saudis would be buying around $500 million worth weapons, besides which factory can fill an order $450 billion?. This manifesto of the Muslim brotherhood must be spread throughout the western media. It is a blueprint for change and democracy. We all knew that during all the wars and mayhem by others, the brotherhood never fired a shot. They were known the nonviolence movement, but suddenly there were a campaign to make them parallel to the extremist like others. Although I am wary of Muslim political movements since that are mostly controlled by foreign intelligence, we must all highlight the despotism of the monarchies and dictators for what they stand for which pure tyranny.

I agree. THe Saudi market is and was always unpredictable and disaster for the Somali traders. Few months hundred of thousands of livestock has been assembled in Berbera, Boosaaso and southern ports. Without notice just before the election they suspended all. They are not the only market for livestock products in the world. Since the introduction of the refrigerated shipping in the late nineteenth century and early twentieth century meat products around the world is carried by ships just like any other products. Other than close borders where animals travel small distances through trains or trucks, no one ships live animals on export any more. Every nation have certain commodity, product or resources which is essential to its economy and GDP(gross domestic product). For Somalis abundant livestock of millions could be the biggest source of revenue for those raising the animals, traders and the government.. Few weeks ago when we were debating the growth of the Ethiopian economy, I think , it was Maakhiri who said $60 Billion of GDP for 100 million people is small, and I agree. The tiny nation of New Zealand with less than five million people has a GDP of $175 billion dollars. Their top two export commodities are meat and dairy. Their dairy (milk products) and beef exports from this small country were $35 billion dollars in 2016. Their dairy market employs 40,000 people paying billions in wages. If you Compare the location of Somalia in the mouth of the Red sea and and The Indian ocean, we could ship processed meat to China and Asia. Somali business people do not have millions of dollars needed to build huge processing plants or other investments, but a public and private partnership could create tthis industries. Processed and refrigerated meat could last many years. Here in Alberta and the border states of America, there are huge plants that process millions of tons of beef a year. THis unpredictable Saudi market should be abandoned totally. Now, as many of you guys had mentioned, definitely there are business connections between UAE and Somalia, especially the last thirty years. What most people do not count is that both Dubai, Nairobi and to small scale Yemen and Djibouti were created to house for the talented Somali traders who needed markets and bases for banks and other transactions. Dubai does not produce any products. It is a free port for the manufactured goods of the world. Also, the rich Africans and the closed societies of the gulf visit there to play, party and rub their shoulders with affluent people to feel the aura of the big city. Also, others might go their for health reasons. I have never been their, but a friend of mine who went there told me that hundred dollars won't buy nothin. He said there are no credible institutions and those who work are run by foreigners, and every thing is inflated artificially. We should find new markets. THe international trade and market that made many nations rich is open to exploit. The biggest problems of these gulf ARabs is that one morning you might find yourself in a case worse than what Qatar is facing. IMagine that they throwed out a young Somali who was competing for Qur;an without just cause. Somalia did not back Qatar, what they said was, " resolve your problems and we do not want to be party of the issue". This is a wake up call for the Somalis. We should forget about the middle east until they reform themselves. In Egypt we the best people of the Arabs live (ahsanu naas) is strangulated by a bloody dictator came through coup and who murdered 5,000 people, yet he is the darling of the narcissist Trump. We , the Somalis who have suffered through thick and thin should never accept any justice for few shillings.

Adal lasted until the 16th century after the defeat of Imam Ahmed Gurey. In early 17th century, exactly 1603, the first Ugaas of Awdal was crowned. Ibaro is probably the "Duriyada". Jaberti shows the original homeland of the :D" block. It seems the tiny Somali territory in the Benadir coast conquered and displaced the large Oromo land. I wonder what happen to the Gabooye empire and territory. As the twenty century begun, they are scattered all over the place.

I mean both of them.

Holac, Saaxiib, these guys do not belong here in Somalia online. Fadlan, meesha ha inaga wasakheyn.

Turkish media is reporting that UAE spent $3billion dollars to topple Erdogan last year. Foreign minister Çavuşoğlu said: "We know that a country provided $3 billion in financial support for the coup attempt in Turkey and exerted efforts to topple the government in illegal ways. On top of that, it is a Muslim country." One influential journalist said that the minister was probably referring to UAE.

Che, this kind of moves is what makes nations great. If they hold their ground the stature of Somalia will only grow more. Waar nimanku cadawsanaa. Ummada dhan bay rabaan in ay gataan.

When Farmaajo was elected in early february, the Saudis were one the first countries that invited him to visit their country. No Somali leader for the last thirty years was accorded that much warmth and welcome which included the red carpet. Somali flags were flown throughout the Saudi capital. Everyone was asking why the the Saudis are doing this?. What is their intensions. Since the collapse of the Somali state in 1991, the Saudis never extended any help to the suffering somalis. The only thing they exported to the nation was the ruthless Wahabi doctrine and their merciless followers which paved the way for the terrorist groups like Al-shabaab. They asked the Somali president to join the Saudi led coalition that is battling the Houthis in Yemen. "If you join this coalition we will open the cheque books without limits" the Saudis said to Farmaajo. The president even confirmed last week by saying, " The Saudis promised me $4 billion dollars and said that is just the beginning and it's up to Somalia to organize its needs". AS you can see money is not an issue for the Saudis. If they can throw $450 billion to TRump, few billions for these poor Somalis is probably a pocket change. The Saudis knew what they wanted. They were probably preparing for the so called Arab NATO army that will burn the middle east for decades to come. Before they reach or go to war to Iran , they have to coerce the gulf nations and the poor countries in the horn of Africa like Sudan and Somalia. In 2014, they proposed a gulf army and some form of union between the monarchs of the gulf. The problem was most of the gulf countries objected this union for the fear of being absorbed by the largest country in the region. The sultanate of Oman, Kuwait and Qatar refused the union and the so called gulf army. Every observer knows that the only foreign policy of the Saudis and their instrument to achieve their aim is to spend money and buy influence. They will give you the money, but in exchange ,they want total submission. Early this year Egyptian dictator Al-Sisi opened up dialogue with Iran by preferring Assad than the other Syrian insurgents. The SAudis noticed this change of heart from the dictator and moved swiftly. They immediately cancelled the 75,000 barrel of oil per month they feely ship to Egypt .Al-Sisi backed off immediately. Somalia badly needs money for reconstruction of infrastructure, the formation of credible national army, schools, hospitals and many more things, but the Saudi money will be a poison pill that will eventually create dangerous consequences for Somalia. Despite the need for the money, the Somali government has taken the responsible route of trying to be neutral on these richman's quarrell. This was a good and well balanced decision by the Somali leadership which showed resilience and independence. It reminds me of the Somalia of sixties that joined the non aligned movement. History will judge Farmaajo government better by making this responsible move. THis club of despots and dictators will not last in this region. Al-Sisi, Cumar Gelle and the Saudis belong to one another. In 2014, Cumar Gelle pledged not to run for the fourth term ,but changed his mind and decided to stay for life. When he was asked the need for democracy he said, " in this part of the world , the only people who our people accept is whether you are a prophet or dictator ,and I am neither of them". Certainly he is not prophet , but he is definitely a dictator. Somalia does not belong to this club and must avoid regardless of the bribes they offer. Today, it seems that the only people using force to achieve their oppressive means are dictators, because the democratic nation do not try to invade nations for cynical reasons. Now, what will be the consequences of rejecting the Saudi coalition? Well, the first thing is that all the money pledged by the SAudis will dry up, and that should be always expected, but the larger issue is what kind of measures will they take to extract their revenge. Everyone should fear from this kind of people who are not only cruel ,but would blockade both people and commerce without no apparent conflict with them. It is just "Geeljire" arrogance in bigger scale. Imagine if these people had nuclear weapons?. First, they might unleash their Wahabi friends who are well placed within Somali including large number of businesses financed by the gulf. THeses businesses might encourage and finance disgruntled Somali tribes and regions to undermine the government. This week the Djibouti aviation minister came to Hargeisa and encouraged the government to declare that the Somaliland air space is off limits to the civilian travels of Qatar Airlines. We all know that Somaliland neither has air force to enforce air blockade nor does it know which airline is crossing it's airspace, yet it was all about publicity and being in the bandwagon to gain same favors. Tiny Djibouti has done it's part. Second , Al-shabaab could be paid more and enhanced to continue its campaign against Somalia and destabilize the country even more. In fact, a friend of mine told me this week that they already started and attacked Puntland when a large Al-shabaab contingent landed in the coastal regions of Puntland without notice. He said that the Galgala mountains are an active Al-shabaab base that is supplied through the sea by others. In March 2016, the commander of the Galgala contingent Sheikh Mohamed Atom was given asylum by the Qatari government and flown to Doha. These contacts by Qatar to bring the political wings of these movements or those who are willing to renounce violence is a diplomatic move by itself. Late last month, Qatar offered to mediate between Al-shabaab members and the Somali government. The Saudis want these wars to continue until they consume everyone. The Galgala attack this week which claimed the death of many Puntland soldiers could be a message sent by those who do not wish any rapprochement between the Somali government and some members of the group who might prefer different route. Any reasonable person should know that this kind of insurgency could only be eliminated by parallel actions of peace seeking mechanism and military strength. You can not keep fighting a war that is pushed by many interest groups. If you jump on the so called war of "global terror fight" that destroys nations rather than saves them, you will be traveling a wrong way for a long time. After sixteen years and trillions of dollars, the war against the Taliban is going on in Afghanistan without any change in sight. America is sending soldiers as we speak. If the most powerful army in the world can not subdue a ragtag insurgents in mountains, what makes you think that you can eliminate Al-shabaab which is getting it's weapons from Ethiopia, Uganda, and others. Sometimes they just overrun an African garrison and take all the ammunition, while other times the Africans contingent in the strategic port of Merca would flee for three days which allows the insurgents to off load their shipments from their suppliers awaiting them at the ocean. Besides ,75% of the al-shabaab that is fighting close to the Kenyan borders are not even Somalis , but Swahilis and others. Furthermore, do not be surprised that everyone has indirect contacts with the local insurgents. In Afghanistan , while the Canadians were manning the most difficult region of the country--Kandahar the birthplace of the Taliban--with constant causality ,stemming from the explosive devices buried in the roads, the Italians who were stationed east of Kabul suffered only few casualties for many years. According to British media and others, "A Taliban commander and Afghan officials confirmed that Italian forces paid protection money in Sarobi, east of Kabul. But when French troops replaced the Italians last year, no one told them of the deal". The local Taliban assumed the agreement was over – and in August last year slaughtered 10 French soldiers. In contrast, the Italians lost one soldier in the whole of the previous year. It is a dangerous world with so many competing interests. As soon as the Qatar blockade started, Iran's parliament was attacked, Al-shabaab attacked Puntland and many more are to come. Do not be surprised if the bombing in Mogadishu increases ten fold. The Somali leadership should know that the modern terrorism is more complicated than we ever seen. You must try to control your borders, ports and the internal movements of the foreign forces. Doing the same thing is insane. Find new techniques to reduce terror and built your strength, and finally , do not let others dictate to resolve your own problems.

How did the gulf crises start?, does the issue is bigger than hacked emails ?. In early June ,A group called Globalleaks had hacked the emails of the UAE ambassador to U.S. The emails show a coordinated effort between the Gulf monarchy and a neoconservative group called foundation for defence of democracies ,or FDD. It showed a collusion between the group, Israel and the UAE to isolate Qatar. In the email, the director of this group says, "Israel and the Arabs standing together is the ultimate ace in the hole. Because it takes it out of the politics and the ideology. When Israel and the Arab states are standing together, it’s powerful,” he said. In another email exchange in late April of this year, John Hannah,a former aide to Dick Cheney, complains to ambassador Otaiba that Qatar — a rival Gulf government that has clashed with the UAE in recent months over various issues — is hosting a meeting of Hamas at an Emirati owned hotel. Otaiba responds that it’s not the Emirati government’s fault, and that the real issue is the U.S. military base in Qatar, “How’s this, you move the base then we’ll move the hotel :-).” The Emeriti ambassador also points out that "Al Jazeera as an instrument of regional instability.” The Al Jazeera network discussed these hacked emails in one of their segments broadcasted in early June. Before that, comments were published by the website of Qatar's state run Qatar News Agency--allegedly from the ruling Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani --featured remarks about Saudi Arabia and Iran. In the website the statement, it alleges that the Amir claimed " Iran is a legitimate Muslim power in the middle east and the problem lie with the approach of the Saudis and the Americans. Since then it has been verified that the posting were only possible after someone hacked and posted the comment. The western media have said that the culprit is Russia While these neocons and their backers have some influence in the inner workings of Washington , especially in the media, they are probably footnotes in the bigger issues in the region. It all started with disrupter or the new president of the United States. While campaigning in the summer of 2016, Trump demanded money from the Saudis in order to keep them save and help them defeat whomever they consider to be their enemy, especially Iran. In his own words Trump said, "without the U.S support and protection, Saudi Arabia would not exist for a long time", the real problem , he continued, " was Saudi Arabia is a money machine and they didn't reimburse the way we should be reimbursed". If they refuse to foot the bill, Trump said ," he would not buy oil from them". I really do not know the real danger the Saudis need to be protected from. In a campaign stop and interviews with media , Trump cited Saudi Arabia as those who were responsible for 911. He cited secret papers that could prove that the Saudis as responsible for the 911 attack. Also in the summer of 2016, certain members of the congress started a bill in the congress to declassify 28 pages from the 911 report which accused the saudis to be connected in the plot. It got huge support among the members and were pushed by the victim's families to gain billions of dollars for compensation. At the end, Obama blocked the bill as threat to national interest of the U.S. During that debate of the bill , the Saudis threatened to withdraw $750 billion worth of their investment from America. Trump pledged many things in his bid to become the president of United States, and most of those pledges, especially the economic ones, did not materialize at all. He realized that a trade war with China will hurt most of the American exports and the successful high tech companies .Also the U.S owes China $1.3 trillion worth of American treasury bonds. If China recalls this debts and dumps the dollar, the American economy could be in big trouble. Furthermore,The North American Free Trade (NAFTA) is more complicated than it appears in paper and it's repeal will cause millions of jobs in America. So, Trump with help of his son in law Fred Kushner , decided to travel a new route to make billions and boost the American weapons manufacturers through Saudi and gulf money. The Israeli lobby and prime minister Netanyahu also took part in the drafting of this this plan, and since the weapons in question are targeted Iran and their alliances in the region, it was welcomed by the Israeli administration who is hell bent for the destruction of Iran. In other words, the Gulf nations and Israel who do not even have diplomatic relation, came together for the convenient short term goal of confronting Iran and building business relationships which will help Trump in his quest to create jobs in America. It is a new scheme to loot money from the gulf by creating fear and war. Forget about the so called hacking or what the Qatar Amir said about Saudis, the real issue rests with Tump, Israel and the Saudis to help each to get their agenda and the implementation of a new war in the middle east. During the meeting between Trump and the Saudis, Trump demanded a Trillion dollar deal that will keep the Saudis and their gulf friends on the American side while isolating and targeting Iran . The Saudis and the gulf monarchies have decided to share the trillion dollar deal of weapons and logistics in order to stay in power and destroy anyone that challenges to their rule especially those seeking peaceful election or freedom of thoughts. The Saudis could choose peace, coexistence and dialogue with their neighbors including Iran. Instead of buying weapons, they could use the so called $450 billion dollars to diversify their economy and help the Arab nations recover from the deadly wars they helped ignite. They could help the United Nations refugees program or build sanitations for the third world countries. They could choose peace instead of war, they could build bridges and reduce the sectarian violence in the middle east. Yet, they chose war, hubris , aggression and despotism.This desert rats are the cause of the destruction of many Arab countries. They have no connection with Islam and their religion or any moral or ethical standard. Their only concern is money and their crown. When Trump went to Europe and the middle east in his first overseas trip, the American comedians said, " Trump visited the three holy places of the three main religions of the world: Christianity , Judaism and oil , the latter referring to Saudi Arabia. I could not agree more. Trump , an Islamophobe who does not miss any opportunity to bash Muslims , did not visit Saudi Arabia for the respect of the faith, but to get a ransom from the despots. In the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) meeting before Trump arrived in the region, the Saudis offered to take the lion's share of the ransom demanded by Trump and offered a $350 billion worth of weapons deal in ten years and another $100 billion immediately. They decided that the remaining $550 billion should be shared by other gulf monarchies. Qatar refused to take it's share of the Trump ransom and said that it will procure weapons when they needed without anyone pressuring them. Infuriated by the independent foreign policy of the Qatar government, the Saudis and the allies gave them few weeks to make a decision. AS they wait for the decision, the leaked emails showed up in the media and the Saudis and UAE made their move. The Saudis thought that by paying the Trump ransom and allying themselves with Netanyahu and the lobby , they could do anything and get their wish without the objections of other regional countries, but foreign policy in the middle east is more complicated than the eyes could see. Rather than move slowly and assert their pressure behind the scene , they put all their eggs in one basket and showed all their scheme in one single move by blockading and trying to strangulate a sovereign nation that did not attack or hurt them. Make no mistake that Qatar it self was always part of the gulf crimes by using money to destabilize other nations, they were even part of the war in Yemen. Qatari air force is taking part in the Yemen war as we speak, yet the Saudis demanded total obedience of their plan. In today's geopolitics ranking, Qatar is considered to be a middle power. Qatar is a high income economy, backed by world's third largest natural gas reserves and oil reserves.[ The country has the highest per capita income in the world. With less than 3 million people , it's GDP is $188 billion dollars. It is the richest country in the world per capita income. Qatar is classified by the UN as a country of very high human development and is the most advanced Arab state for human development. Qatar is a significant power in the Arab world. Tiny Qatar is the world’s No. 1 exporter of liquefied natural gas. Its $335 billion sovereign wealth fund owns stakes in global companies from Volkswagen to Glencore and Barclays. Its influence goes beyond money. Few years ago it succeeded to bring the world cup of soccer to Qatar. The Qataris did not take any hostile measures to respond to the blockade, they did not expel any citizens from those countries nor did they stop the natural gas delivery to UAE who used 30% of their gas from Qatar. Many Saudi citizens and Emeriti citizens took to twitter to call Qataris their neighbors and brothers. Yesterday the UAE ministry of the interior released an order that would impose 10 years in jail and fine anyone who praises Qatar in this crises. As you can see, the Qatari leadership is not going to roll over to the unreasonable Saudi demands. This hasty move by TRump and the Saudis could easily change the geopolitical configurations of the middle east for years to come. In fact, it did already started when the Qatari foreign minister started his diplomatic offensive not from Washington, but from Istanbul , Berlin and Moscow. In their statement, the SAudis said that the Qataris were supporting Hamas and the Muslim brotherhood. While Hamas's refusal to recognize Israel is an obstacle for peace between the Palestinians and Israel, it is not the most pressing issue for the gulf or a reason to blockade a sovereign nation. Also, the Taliban has offices in Doha with the blessing of Washington in order to facilitate dialogue between the Afghan government and the Taliban. Already some members of the taliban has accepted peace deals. If you follow the Qatari logic, the war in Afghanistan has reached 16 years and the clashes between the government and the insurgents is still raging on. As a goodwill , even Obama has released some Afghan prisoners from Guantanamo bay and settled the in Qatar in order to encourage peace talks. This diplomatic moves are intended to open new channels of dialogue between the warring factions in order to find an alternative to the never ending war. Well folks , if that is the the biggest cause for the blockade , they have failed miserably. Israel can and should make peace with the Arab states and the wider Muslim world without cozying up with illegitimate despots and monarchs who are not genuine partners for peace. Israel signed a peace deal with Egypt decades ago , yet the business and people contacts are almost non existent. On the other hand the relation between Turks and Israelis is thriving. Even after Israel killed nine Turks in a ship delivering aid to the palestinians during the Gaza blockade which strained relation between her and Turkey, the business and people contacts continued as normal regardless of the politics of the leaders. While Israel is not the main cause for tension in the middle east, which most Arab dictators used to claim in order to justify their tyranny and holding of power, a two state solution with the Palestinians could reduce a lot of tensions very quickly, but preparing and pushing another war in coordination with Saudis will not bring peace neither Israel nor to the region. As we speak , not only the illegal blockade is crumbling ,but the American power and prestige in the middle east could take a hit that could not be recovered easily. President Trump , as usual, without thinking, poured fuel to the fire by initially supporting the blockade. Suddenly, he is back trucking as things get from bad to worse. The American base in Qatar Which houses 11,000 coalition troops and equipment, was moved from Saudi Arabia decades ago after it caused many problems for the locals who opposed, and if this row continues, they will be moving soon. Trump reversed himself and called to mediate by inviting parties to Washington. The Qatar ruler refused and demanded all blockade to be removed before any talks. Friday, after he was ignored and snubbed , he went to his usual twitter rant and attacked Qatar again. Turkey, a regional power and NATO member pledged to send 5000 soldiers, and president Erdogan warned the gulf countries and said , " isolating Qatar would not resolve their problems". Iran pledged food and offered Qatar to use their ports. The German foreign minister accused Trump of pouring fuel to the fire. Pakistan decided to be neutral on the issue and it's parliament issued its concern for peace. If Turkey, Pakistan and Iran find a common ground and resolve this issue, the sectarian nature of the so called Sunni vs Shia tension would decrease dramatically which is what the middle east needs today. Iran has lost it's credibility as responsible nation by probing evil dictators and encouraging sectarian conflict in the region. They cheered when Mubarak of Egypt was deposed by public uprising, yet when the Yemeni people have overthrow Ali Abdallah Salah after 36 years in power, they supported a shia based sectarian group which allied itself with the deposed dictator. While Iran might have legitimate fear of hostile Iraqi government in their door step after suffering a million casualty when Saddam Hussein invaded them without no apparent reason, they should stop helping the bloodthirsty Syrian dictator who murdered hundred of thousands of people. We all hope that this gulf crisis engineered by Trump and Saudis would usher a new way of thinking and bring different religious group to the table. Who will replace America as guarantors of world commerce, peace and democracy? Pictures are worth a thousand words. The world had already witnessed the departure of president Trump from the world stage during the NATO and G7 meeting. Newly elected president of France E. Macron walked toward the leaders and when he reached the group , he deliberately embraced German Chancellor Merkel, shaked hands with those in her left and took his time to eventually extended the hand to Trump who pulled his hand back and forth like some saying , " I am here too". After his speech of lecturing European leaders about paying their debt to NATO, Trump was isolated and ignored. He even pushed the prime minister of Montenegro to place himself to the front row for pictures. Finally, his reckless withdrawal of Paris climate change sealed the deal of American's exit from the world stage. The climate accord is a complicated agreement that needs only endorsements, because it's implementations would take longer than usual, and even Obama could not push it through congress. Trump could have kept the status quo and worked with world leaders who have invested time and energy to achieve a deal that was signed by 195 nations. When America elected a gangster style and reckless narcissist, it sealed its deal as spent force and the beginning of the decline. President Roosevelt said, " strong leaders speak soft and carry a big stick". Many leaders of the world had already noticed how weak Trump is. Everyone is waiting, but only Arab fools rush. Merkel, Macron and Prime minister Gentiloni of Italy have formed a formidable alliance in Europe, while the Charismatic Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau will lead the transAtlantic alliance from Canada. Stay tuned to part two....

This attack in Puntland is not the usual skirmishes in the Galgala mountain. It is a well calculated political operation aimed at forcing Puntland to change the course or follow the orders of certain powers. Last year about 400 men and boys were trucked and bused from Bay and central region of Somalia. They were loaded in boats at central region coastal waters and thrown inside Puntland. luckily they were defeated. Galgala was subdued and was quite lately, and now suddely this huge army of Al-shabaab showed up without notice. Last week ,C/weli Gaas said that there is going to be a campaign against Puntland. As far as I am concerned, Ethiopia or other powers who use these terrorists for their own plans are probably pressuring the Puntland leadership to change the course. It is an order. Do this or will unleash the Al-shabaab. Nothing happens in a vacuum. Probably the Puntlanders know more and could explain this new power in the mountains.

Saudis are one of the most hated nations in the world. As stated by Che, they are not even a government, but a collections of family run business. We knew how evil they were before, but today they removed the mask for all to see. If there is anyone who supports terrorism and evil cult with no mercy, it is the Saudis. As always, war and hubris changes the status quo and the Saudis have opened the pandora's box when they unleashed the Wahabi movement to the Muslim world. That Wahabi cancer and the child ISIS will come home to roost. The issue has nothing to do with religion or the so called Shia and Sunni divide. It is all about holding power and keeping out, and destroying anyone who might lead to future changes. Today, in the gulf region, the Muslim Brotherhood or anyone contemplating elections or the opening of the system is the biggest threat to the feudal monarchy. They trying to kill the chances of freedom before it starts. The Faroh of Egypt tried to kill every male child born among the jews in order to keep the rise of prophet Musa (Calayhi salam). Eventually, he raised in his own household the man who would destroy his empire. Allah works in mysterious ways. Just like "Fircoon" the Saudis will fail. People should not be fooled by the long robes this feudal monarchies wear. They are far from the Islamic faith and it's mercy. They are cruel and inhuman. They chose to impose blockade to disrupt the lives of millions of people without notice. We all did complain about the travel bans of Muslims by Trump, yet this one is worse than that, and no one is speaking out loud. In the hot summer, during the fasting month of Ramadan, the Saudis and their evil gangs have disrupted the lives of many innocent people. My own family members were flying this week to Maka for " umra" through Qatar Airways and the tour group had to rearrange the flights and book different airline at the last minute. Last year, the Qatari Amir had expelled some members of the Brotherhood and shrink Al-jazeera channel after he was pressured by the Saudis. After paying a huge ransom of billions to the Trump , they thought that they could dictate to everyone. Well, what they do not know is that the buffoon president of America is going down and he is in big trouble. If he goes down , for sure , he will take the Saudis with him. His actions will weaken America and make it only a regional power let alone a superpower. Trump , without thinking , as usual, welcomed the blockade first, then after a day, he realized that , Qatar is the home base of the largest U.S base in the middle east with 10,000 troops , ships and airplanes. Today, he offered to mediate the sides, but the Amir of Qatar rejected the offer. Soon, America might abandon it;s base for others. After this erratic, arrogant and uncalled blockade of a sovereign nation, Somalia should think it's relations with these nations. We must leave the Arab League in the near future. We should keep out these gulf families and their banks from interfering the somali body politics. Farmaajo should realize that the only way he could get their money is to obey their orders and follow them if they even fall from cliff. Saudis are looking a Somali dictator who would keep power and eliminate future elections. Cumar Geelle already joined the axis of evil. If Formaajo does not keep out these people, the Somali people will throw him in a minute. Let them keep their money and their evil intentions. I conclude by saying that the Saudis will become soon the most hated nation by everyone ,and will go down probably within a decade. The Muslim world should form a Vatican style Muslim Counsel to manage, maintain and protect the holy places in Makkah and Medina.

Some people say the election of Trump is the eventual decline of America. His main election platform of confronting China on trade and currency issue ended without any action. What he does not realize is that the main beneficiaries of American export to China are the so called "Red States" who produce wheat, barley, beef, Bork and other agricultural products. A trade war with China will be a disaster for them. The poor working class workers who were expecting a manufacturing boom from trade restrictions against China were fooled and abandoned .Trump says China will be helping him against Kim Jong Un, so the trade war could wait for now. China will not allow the collapse of the North Korean government, because it is her stick to whip America and would never allow South Korea and Aerican Troops on her southern border. The more Trump barks on trade with China the more the Korean kid will agitate on behalf of China. Since he could not confront China, he chose the low hanging fruit around the corner which is Canada. He is not ready to confront Germany, Japan or China with a huge trade deficit, but could not wait to harass the good old Canada. This man child will destroy America within a few years if not removed quickly. The Canadian prime minister should lay low for now and do his other international trade issues with the rest of the world while Trump is making his noise. I do also suspect that the conservative party of Canada was encouraging TRump behind the scene to confront the liberal prime minister. Rona Amborse, the interim conservative leader, went to Washington last month and, as soon as she came back from Washington, TRump started to target Canada in so many ways. She was probably trying to make the job of the prime minister difficult. This reminded me of the tribal issues in Africa. Some of these conservative fools were trying to ride the TRump wagon and copy his disastrous policies in Canada. They became jealous of how prime minister Trudeau was becoming the leader of the free world after the Trump disaster. If these conservatives do not change their Trumpian extremist policies, they will be decimated in the next election.

Maakhiri1, He might survive for few months or years, but the end is getting very close. The democrats, who are more sophisticated and civilized than the GOP do not want to rush the impeachment. They want to bleed and weaken both president Trump and the republicans as much as possible. On the other hand, the republicans might wish to finish Trump off early and put their man Pence in power. A Washington, DC publication called the " Hill" wrote this about the eventual trump resignation before the impeachment: While Watergate involved Americans breaking and entering into an office for the purpose of electing President Nixon, Putingate involves Russians breaking and entering into computers to elect Trump. The articles of impeachment of Richard Nixon passed by the House Judiciary Committee that involves obstruction of justice. More than one of the accusations in the obstruction article of impeachment passed by the committee is present today in the coverup of Putingate that is now imploding in real time. Preet Bharara, the U.S. attorney in New York, whose office was investigating certain aspects of the scandal, was fired by the president. Sally Yates, then the acting attorney general presiding over the Justice Department side of the Putingate investigation, was fired shortly after she wisely and courageously tried to warn the White House of the dangers. James Comey, the FBI director who was managing the FBI side of the investigation of Putingate, was fired by Trump after allegedly being asked both to make a loyalty pledge to the president and to shut down the investigation of retired General Michael Flynn. Trump cannot act against Mueller the way he acted against Bharara, Yates and Comey. If he tries, he will be on the fast track to impeachment.. Appointing former FBI Director Robert Mueller as special counsel was a profound and historic move that will ensure the facts come out. As the Trump presidency enters a summer of scandal and hearings, revelations and leaks and disastrous poll ratings, many Republicans in Congress, who will continue to face contentious town hall meetings, will belatedly run from Trump like Olympic sprinters. At that point Trump will probably choose to resign and Putingate will end like Watergate did.

This Sheikh explains the food issue better than the so called government. Yesterday, a creek in the Boon region of Awdal took the life of a mayor and his car. After huge rainfall, these creeks can not be crossed more than 24 hours. These millions of gallons of water will end up in the red Sea or in the sand dunes of the coast. I used to live in Dallas, Texas many years ago and the city is surrounded by huge lakes and reservoirs. Most of these lakes were artificial lakes and were used in the city water and local irrigation. This is not rocket science. We went through a serious drought . Now is the time to avoid the next one.

special counsel to investigate the Russian connection has been appointed. The noose is tightening, and many Republicans have finally come on board to dig deeper. I have the feeling that Trump might resign before he is impeached. There is also a talk of the 25th amendment to remove him from office by his own cabinet. Deep down, when you examine his actions by contadicting his own staff, Trump is tired of the media attacks. Since he is a narcissist who wants to be loved and praised, he could not take it any more. I predict that Trump will resign before the end of the summer.

With all due respect , Mr.Maakhiri, Ahmed Madoobe is either learning the art of deception and manipulation, or he is delusional. When he became the leader of Jubba, few years ago, a local radio asked me about him , and I said, " he is both warlord and religious extremist". Most of you might not know, but when the Islamic courts were pushed out by the Transitional government of C/laahi Yusuf, he was selected to became the " Vice Amiir of Al-shabaab". The Amir that replaced Aadan Hashi Cayrow, was a man from HArgeisa named Ismail Caraale. Both of them were captured . Ahmed Madoobe was wounded in the battle and taken to Ethiopia , the Amiir by the Americans in Djiouti and taken to Gantaunamo base in Cuba. Their removal gave way the take over of Al-shabaab by unknown foreign agents. I will probably explain in another thread about the whole affair. Soon after in 2009, Ahmed madoobe , after he was treated "allegedly in German hospital, was released by Ethiopia and armed through Kenya. That same Al-shabaab commander took over JUbba despite all the capable men who supposed to lead the administration , including Proff. Mohamed C. Gaandhi. Ethiopia insisted on him. It is the first time a well known extremist , who was transformed as foreign spy and agent agent became a leader of a region. It is an heard of any where in the world. Imagine Hassan Dahir Aweys becoming president of Galmudug, there would have been cries around the world. "Waxa uu isku darsaday xag jirnimo, dagaal ooge iyo bassaas ay dawlado shisheeye keensadeen, siday ku dhacday, Arrintu ma nin leh ayaa u doobiyey miyaa". He can fool others but not as. He came with foreign tank and he will probably leave with same tank. He is one of the few who have probably killed people in person , yet claiming to be president. By the way, you can not find no where in the world a country that has six or seven presidents , except Somalia and Ethiopia. Major countries with diverse ethnic and religious population do not have duplicate presidents. In America, the leader of the modern democracy, states with 40 million people have governors, Canada has premiers, Nigeria with multi ethnic populace has governors; India with 1.2 billion people has chief ministers as leaders of their regional states. For starters , they must change and take different names. If I were the leader , I would not allow these so called presidents. Somalia should have only one president. Even the relatively educated C/weli Gaas was saying in London ," Waxa la leeyahay waa maxay shan madaxweyne , maxaa hal madaxweyne loo yeelan waayey?, Horta federaalku waa awooda oo laqaybsado, Anagu Puntland Boqortooyo sheegan mayno, laakiin weligeen madaxweyne waa lahaanaynaa" In another paragraph, he correctly points out that concentration of power and economy in one place is disaster the well being of the nation, if Mogadishu collapses, the whole nation must mot collapse , but must survive. I agree that, yet you could delegate power and economy without having a huge bureaucracy that is a great burden for local budget and development, and the title of president. If no one in the world has that title, why only Somalia?.

I, Galbeedi wrote in this pages in February 2014 : "Former Somali Foreign minister Fowsiya H. Aadan, few moths ago, put these European diplomats on the spot light. She said since the London conference , not one single Dollar was received from EU by the federal government. The chief European diplomat attacked Fowsiya and accused her of lying. But when asked to clarify his statement , he said that they spent tens of millions for the regional governments and AMISOM." "They spent quarter of a Billion dollars (240 million) for each year for the salaries and equipment for these solders while Somali solders are starving" The money raised in this conference will be given to Uganda, Kenya, Burundi , Djibouti and Ethiopia. Yet, all these millions will be raised in the name of Somalia. We were all trying to reduce the foreign entanglement of Somalia since the formation of the transitional government. Mark my words , this weak president will transform Somalia to another Afghanistan with tens of thousands of foreign troops chasing few hundred ill equipped extremists who could only defeated by Somalis. As we speak, foreign troops are pouring in Somalia without no explanation from the leaders. Next weekend will be the hundred day mark of this president. We will examine what he has done so far, in the meantime , the so called war on terror is moving to Somali shores while tens of thousands are starving. Muxuu yidhi, midba kuu ka sii dambeeyo wuu ka liidan doonaa.

In a deja vu situation that does not excite many Somalis, the United Kingdom announced that it will host a major international conference in London on Thursday, “to accelerate progress on security sector reform and agree the new international partnership needed to keep Somalia on course for increased peace and prosperity by 2020”. It was in 2012 when the first London Conference on Somalia was held with the declared intention of helping Somalia to transform from a failed state to a stable nation with functioning government institutions. Somalia’s partners pledged millions of dollars for the beleaguered country’s reconstruction, including $77 million (Dh283.2 million) earmarked for rebuilding Somalia’s security forces. A year later, the European Union (EU) also pledged $2.4 billion at a conference in Brussels to enable the conflict-ridden Horn of African nation to stand on its feet. At the time, the stubborn extremist group, Al Shabab, was quoted to have branded the EU pledges as “Belgian Waffles: Sweet on the outside, but really has not much substance to it”. They also predicted that the funds would remain an unpaid hollow promise or would be lost in corruption. Almost five years after, it seems Al Shabab’s ominous prediction has unfortunately become a reality as what was dubbed as the New Deal ended up as ‘No deal’ and the millions of dollars pledged either never arrived or were used as a slush fund by the previous political leaders and their international cronies. Instead of building government institutions, Somalia’s western partners and the country’s African neighbors contributed to the country’s disintegration into tribal enclaves and instead of rebuilding Somalia’s national army, the friendly countries’ geopolitical goals had become detrimental not only to the need of Somalia to have its own army but also to the real sovereignty of the Somali nation. Since the last conference, Somalia’s break-up into bantustan-like enclaves had taken momentum with the help and encouragement of the international community. It is no wonder that Somalis, as most of Africa, see colonialism as a living reality and not a period in a bygone era. Somalia was in the past divided into five parts by the European colonial powers. At independence, two of the five, namely the British Protectorate in the north and Italian Somalia in the south united to form the Somali Republic. Unification bid Immediately after independence, the Somali government, riding on a wave of nationalism, started campaigning for the unification of all the Somali people in the Horn of Africa. Being one of Africa’s most homogeneous people, predominantly Muslim with one language, Somalia’s quest for the unification of the Somali territories raised alarm bells in the West more than it did in neighboring countries with sizable Somali communities. It is a known fact that Somalia occupies a geographically strategic position in the region, having the longest coast in Africa, stretching from the Gulf of Aden to the Indian Ocean. “The general mindset of Somalis about the London Conference or any other conference that is held outside the country is just to view it as another imperialist deja vu of how Somalia was carved up...” This is one of the busiest shipping routes for maritime trade and seaborne oil supplies. During the Cold War period, Somali waters were one of the most contested areas between the former Soviet Union and the United States, with Moscow having a military base in Gulf of Aden port of Berbera and Washington taking a naval base in Diego Garcia in the middle of the Indian Ocean. While the US and EU enjoyed strong relations with Somalia’s neighboring countries of Ethiopia and Kenya, and most other African countries, Somalia had always remained an orphan nation — if not seen as a pariah in the region. History also vouches for Somalis memory of their betrayal by European powers since the 16th century when, the Portuguese sided with the Abyssinian Kingdom against the invading Somali forces led by the legendary Ahmad Guray, known by the Ehiopians as Ahmad Gragn. Later, Somalia became the first African country where the British used aerial bombing against Sayed Mohammad Abdullah Hassan’s dervish movement. It is through this worldview formulated by British betrayal and chicanery that the Somali people see the London Conference. Ulterior motives The general mindset of Somalis about the London Conference or any other conference that is held outside the country is just to view it as another imperialist deja vu of how Somalia was carved up in the 19th and early 20th centuries. Such conferences are never about the interest of Somali people, they are always about an ulterior motive; whether it is to end piracy that choked international trade, or to fight against the scarecrow of terrorism while real terrorism is left unhampered. The outcome is usually the prolonging of the presence of foreign forces and letting Somali territorial and maritime integrity to be violated on their watch. It is not lost on Somalis that the 2012 conference came at the peak of piracy, which cost global trade $7 billion in 2011 alone. And now UK calls for the second conference after a recurrence of piracy attacks were reported in March this year. Exhausted by conflict and cyclic droughts caused by environmental change, the Somali people are concerned only about survival and it’s due to this vulnerability that their country and resources have become a fair game for all. The London Conference is therefore not about what it would do for the Somali people despite the declared objectives, but how much more it will hamper the Somali people’s capacity to own their own decisions and how much more of their sovereignty and nationhood they have to give up. One can dismiss this as a third mentality that hankers after conspiracy theories, but it is the lessons that Somalis learnt from the dozens of conferences held in their name and the millions of dollars pledged that only robbed them more of their dignity, their identity and their decision-making. It echoes the spirit of an old Somali poem that Somalis often quote which says: “There is a man who searches [for] your lost camels with you, and sometimes works even harder than you do, but who deep inside his heart never wants you to find them.” Bashir Goth is an African commentator on political, social and cultural issues.