Arafaat

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Everything posted by Arafaat

  1. “Somali ba nahay, Oromo ma nihin, mana noqon karno. Dad ba ka dhigtay camal nasabka umada iney badalaan”.
  2. People in Somaliland are in a state of shock and are guessing what the purpose is the Ethiopian Oromo priests send by Abiy, being courted and promoted by Somaliland gov as Dir allies. Its seems that Somaliland regime is showing its true colors that it’s even prepared to bargain with the soul and essence of the people to remain in power. I can’t make anything else of this.
  3. Security and Affordable road transportation, it cost like 4 dollars and less then 90 min to get from Hargeisa to Borama, Jigjiga to Borama is two hours. If security and affordability of road transportation between Mogadishu and other south central cities like Beletweyn, Jowhar, Baidoa was similar to Hargeisa/Borama, you would neither have air transport in those environs. I am not saying it’s impossible but to create economic viable air transport, you would either need a national air career that can reduce significantly the cost of air transport (e.g. Ethiopian airlines) to reach an economics of scale. Or have much more economic activities in the regions(e.g. tourism) and significant middle class(see Kenya) but we are from that point. In either case government restrictions should be curbed down to reduce time and cost of air travel and promote carriers to expand linkages.
  4. Airports in Borama or Burco Airport are economically not viable, better focus on other sorts of economic infrastructure rather then waisting money and distraction people with comical ‘dhagax dhig’.
  5. As you said, Somaliland didn’t realize when they had an opportunity and leverage, and now they are suddenly open to talks while one doesn’t have much to demand at the moment without SSC at the table, atleast nothing more then Puntland or Southwest could demand. Sheeko ciyaal.
  6. What kind of a deal?
  7. P.S. If Muse folks make another dumb move like moving the Wajale road away from Awdal folks owned land, that would mean the end of things but then clearly instigators are the Muse folks.
  8. Yes, Somaliland politicians are petrified of any sort uprising from Awdal corners and are moving heaven and earth to prevent that. And yes Awdal folks are angry for Muse’s folks robbing the country. But so far havent heard any bright ideas coming from those corners, except Galbeedi wanting Ethiopia to Annex Awdal and becoming fully part of the Jaarso-Oromo nation, finishing the job his ancestors started.
  9. In general, I don’t have much expectations of substantial changes or revolutions coming from Reer Awdal, Gebileys or Jabuuti folks politics for that matter. You may prove me wrong though.
  10. Told you so, Berbera uprising is more likely to change the equation then opportunistic Galbeedi’s folks.
  11. Deni is not serieuz about talks, otherwise he would enter that stage much earlier before filling Garowe with militias and escalating things to this extend.
  12. Che, I wouldn’t bet on the Awdal folks, chances of Burco or Berbera becoming a state is more likely than expecting Borama to make a significant move.
  13. Doesn’t matter how much $ is spend to get out of those few members from Congres, Biden will loose the election because of this stand on the issue.
  14. Gooni wa ku raacsanahay rayigiisa maadama; - kow) xalka waqooyi aan laga raadin koonfur, maadama koonfur dhib kale mashquuliniso ma hayaan xalka waqooyi, -labo) reer waqooyi yaga ayaa isku fahmiya siyasada gudaheeda ka jirto oo siyasiinta xamar jooga si fiican uma daraasi karaan Taas kale, -sadex) reer waqooyi wexe awood iyo micno u sameeniyaan xamar iyo Somalida guud ahaan yaga oo wada socda, -afar) kolay way heshiiniyaan , marka iminka ha iska heshiiyaan, -shan) cadiifadaha, xamasadaha iyo mawjadaha ka jira waqooyi ka duwan yihiin kuwa ka jira koonfur. Marka iney waqooyi heshiiyaan gudahooda, oo iska dhaafaan sheekooyinka Ir** Sam** iyo ya Dar***, oo dantooda ka wada had laan. Wa rayi macquul ah runtii
  15. Somalia, IMF reach preliminary deal on $100 mln in new funding | Reuters WWW.REUTERS.COM International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff on Wednesday reached a preliminary agreement with Somalia that will allow for the release of $100...
  16. With Saudi and Gulf silence, one might wonder if Iran is on a trajectory to becoming the moral and political compass for Muslims worldwide?
  17. I understand your points and they are all valid, but not 3 months before the end of the Presidential mandate. It doesn’t seem an opportune moment to be setting up a whole electoral system, let alone agree on it with all the stakeholders involved (Electoral commission, Parliament, Executive, etc) let alone the political parties.
  18. Irrelevant of the populist support. Deni wasn’t elect by the people but was elected through the Issims system and the MPs they have selected, specially because his term has ended. But coming up with this hastily initiative in the last months of his mandate, while it’s even practically impossible to organize elections in 3 months time, doesn’t give confidence. He could have prepared the elections during the first years of his mandate and avoided this political crisis, as the Issims have also pointed out that a next leadership should commit to organise elections early on in their mandate.
  19. Isimada are not the cause of the problem, they only came in to picture when compelled to mediate in dispute that turned in to an open conflict. The cause of the problem is that PL leaderships unrealistic last minute planning of ‘one-man, one vote’ elections, that leads one to perceive effort as insincere. Even the Electoral time table published last week, showed that the electoral regulations were not even in place, while 3 months left before election date.
  20. You become aware of something when you care, and one is unaware of issues you don’t see in your interest and thus ignore. And by default the government is complacent as they claim authority, legitimacy and power making them de facto responsible. And the main goal or mandate given to them is to expand legitimacy of the government amongst their people, and not all sorts of commercial projects