It is looks fake.

MIDEAST Saudi Prince Salman's month long absence fuels speculation t has been almost a month since Saudi Crown Prince Mohamed bin Salman made a public appearance, triggering questions whether the April 21 incidents at the Royal Palace had a role in his disappearance. Several reports claimed that the security incident in April, what Saudi officials said was a result of a recreational drone flying near the king's palace in Riyadh, was indeed a palace coup attempt. Saudi Prince Salman was allegedly injured during the attempt, according to reports, mostly coming from Iran. As a man who enjoys the public and media's eye, Salman's absence caught attention especially after he was not seen on camera during U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo's first visit to Riyadh in late April. The 32-year-old leader ousted his older cousin as crown prince last summer in a palace coup and then jailed senior royals as part of an anti-corruption sweep. Prominent clerics have also been detained in an apparent bid to silence dissent. Those moves have helped Prince Mohammed consolidate his position in a country where power had been shared among senior princes for decades and religious figures exercised significant influence on policy. But they have also fueled speculation about a possible backlash against the crown prince, who remains popular with Saudi Arabia's burgeoning youth population.

I made a mistake yesterday by taking about the number of dead on both sides. It is Somalis dying on both side, and it will not heal or help the issues facing this region. So, in order to find real solutions today , we will focus on the origins of this war . The rise of the warlord. Unlike South Central Somalia, Somaliland was always ruled or led by former politicians, public servants and traditional leaders. Ten or fifteen years ago, it was difficult or almost impossible for the types of Muuse Biixi to join the cabinet let alone a presidential candidate. The people had moved on and decided to build a new future without former guarilla members or those who took part the civil war of the nineteen nineties. Rather than dwell on the past, people had opted for peace and institution building. While tribal problems remain in any Somali society, it's effects on people were diminishing, until Biixi and company showed up. Ahmed Siilaanyo, as former Somali minister and SNM leader, had both the political background and qualifications to seek the leadership of Somaliland. Yet, the former rebels forgot that the past warfare history will not be the guiding principle in a region inhabited by diverse tribes. They forgot that in Somalia , no tribe can defeat or eliminated another tribe despite their military or economic power. We do not have time or enough ink to explain how a former warlord who participated the civil wars of Somaliland happen to be the candidate. It was through bribe, tribalism, intimidation , abuse of public purse and other hidden crimes that enabled an unrepentant warlord to take center stage. Regardless of how many times they call him Mr.president, Muuse Biixi will never be a leader of anything let alone of Somaliland. Once a warlord with blood in his hands will be a warlord. Just like a gangster will gold chains and luxury cars , honor and prestige can not be bought by the likes of Muuse Biixi. The False commander. Anyone who has done basic research knows that Muuse biixi was never been a colonel of any army. He never commanded any contingent of Somali army nor did he participated the Somali-Ethiopia war of 1977. Unlike what the Hargeisa fan club says, he wasn't a pilot . He was trained as a air navigation officer. As soon as he was elected, everyone said that since a former officer and fighter is in charge he will put fear to his enemies. Commanding paramilitary rebels and taking part in communal civil war will not make one a military commander or tough politician. kornayl Mujaahid ah ayaa madaxweyne noo ah". They forgot that it is the peace that nurtured Somaliland not Muuse Biixi. Now, how did we ended up a war in Sool, insurgency in Sanaag and dysfunction in Hargeisa. Everyone knows that through bombing and intimidation of the frail and old Siilaanyo, Muuse took over the Kulmiye party. After he stole the election, rather than bring the fragmented communities together, he decided to set up a Jeegaan dominated cabinet. When people complained, he dismissed these complaints and started to oppress those who opposed him. People who should have corrected him encouraged him to rule by decree. Even intellectuals and writers like Boobe Yuusuf Ducaale , said, " Somaliland needs a dictator to fix things". As Boobe and others encouraged him to be a dictator, Muuse acted like one and arrested those who criticized him in face books and those who wrote unflattering things. Despite the oppression, the people never badged and openly rejected his presidency and the manner he won the election. Since Faysal Waraabe and others called him a tough colonel, he decided to up the ante and create a real war without thinking the consequences. Fast forward to Tukaraq and the unprovoked war. Traditionally, the Puntlanders always had a soft spot for the Hargeisa Habro. You would rarely see those from Puntland openly attacking or putting down Somaliland. In fact, their leaders try to emulate and build relationships with them. Since everyone says that Somaliland achieved domestic peace and despite it's electoral dysfunction, it was a model others like Puntlanders wanted to follow . As I was discussing the Tukaraq issue, one Puntalder told me that they never preoccupied or challenged Somaliand. We were mostly focused Mogadishu, the federal system, the foreign aid that all goes to Mogadishu and HAg ( Waar xamar iyo xagaa ayaanu mashqull ku nahay, oo siyaasada yadu xagan uma soo jeedin, Farmaajo markuu yimid waxooga dhaqaalaha horumarineed ayaanu ka daddasanaynay, markaasu ninkan waalani na soo aaday). Also, Ethiopian policies discourages it's vassel regions to fight one another. Yet, Biixi decided to go against a neighbor that doesn't want war. Anyway, Michael Keaton went to Garoowe last week and discussed the Tukaraq issue with C/weli Gaas. The Puntland leader might be accused of many things, but politically , he is not naive or amateur. He is educated enough and he knows well the diplomacy games. When the UN envoy Mr. Keating asked to find peaceful solutions for the Tukaraq issue, C/weli said, " I know that as an envoy you want a peaceful Somali both in the South and in this region and we will fulfil our responsibilities to achieve this peace". He continued, "We want total peace in the region, we will not target or claim Laascaanood anymore" he continued, " We want the locals to decide their fate , and will no longer interfere with that region". In return C/weli wanted to keep the status quo of the old and let everyone collect their taxes in their outposts. Mr. Keating could not believe that the a difficult issue of Tukaraq could be resolved quickly. Then few days ago Mr. Keating reached Hargeisa and met Ina Biixi. He told him the good news from Garoowe that Puntland is no longer interested in Sool or Laascaanood and the armies must return to their original posts for total peace. To the surprise of Mr. Keating, Muuse Biixi said, " withdrawing from Tukaraq is like withdrawing from Hargeisa". Mr. Keating was shocked that despite the good will, muuse is an out of touch man who doesn't even understand basic diplomatic games. All he supposed to say was that he will consider this good will gesture from Puntland and will reciprocate in the future. He could have went with flow and wait the real changes from Puntland. C/weli Gaas 2 Biixi 0. Well, after Mr. Keating left Hargeisa , the war broke out. When Djibouti was fighting a do or die battle against UAE, Biixi counted the Arabs to weaken Cumar Ghelle. Three weeks ago a delegation from Dubai came to Hargeisa and no one in the media saw him. You remember about the ghost delegation that no one saw except Biixi's spokesman? Well, C/raxman Boreh was one of them and for fear of Djibouti they hidden from the public eye. The diplomatic disaster of Biixi continues. Ghelle 2 Biixi o. Who is advising this man. Yet, the biggest problem of Somaliland today is that there is no daylight between the man selling the Qat in downtown Hargeisa and the leadership including the president. They are all talking the same language. A tribally motivated man in the internet or a man in market might say , " We will capture Garoowe " Garoowe ayaanu soo qaban oo xuduudaanu Soo Xidhi" and the leader, Muuse, might repeat that boasting talk of the market to the media. Our resident in SOL OOdweyne might say we expelled "Afweyne iyo Faqash" , and Biixi will repeat that same sentence. I was shocked when I listened his speech about " Adeerkood Afweyne Sidaanu u eryeney" by indirectly talking about the tribal issues of the D block. Mind you that these Puntlanders also fought Siyaad Barre just like SNM. That same leader is also the tribal uncle of the Sool community that is fighting alongside Somaliland, yet Ina Biixi spews tribal polemic just like street guy. Since his election, it became the norm. A loser named Guri barwaaqo , who used to live here in Calgary, Alberta wrote books just like those in the Hargeisa market and sold them as academic literacy. By the way, due to that book and the arrest and humiliation of Nimco Qorane might bring down the biixi government than anyone else. The " Ciidagale" community is the moral compass of the Habro. Despite the wars they fought against Cigaal, they supported him later and helped build institutions with likes of Xaaji Cabdi Waraabe. When Rayaale took over, they supported despite the tribal campaign against him, and when Siilaanyo came , they stood by him and spoke loudly in their efforts to keep the Somaliland system. The South Hargeisa community never complains about not getting ministers or government posts. When Biixi stole the election, they were the first to break ranks at the opposition and to call for calm and peaceful transition. After Biixi ignored their plea to fire the minister who insulted their women in his books, they decided to get rid of Biixi. Now, they fully joined the anti Biixi campaign, and with their credibility and elequency, Biixi will be finished. The West Burco might got the muscle of the Habro, but the Salaxley community is the brain. Some of us already knew him as former warlord and warmonger, but today , the international community has discovered that Somaliland , the land of peace in the region, had been taken over by a war monger who may destroy everything with less than a year. Everyone knows that Somaliland will never be the same after Ina Biixi. We know that every region will eventually join the federal project sooner or later, yet some us were expecting a peaceful transition from the Jeegaan Government to federal system. Popular anger and anti Jeegan riots had started from Ceerigaabo, Burco and will reach Awdal and other regions soon. Rather than throw the Somaliland baby with Biixi bath water, Somaliland could be saved from total collapse. He could resign and call new elections within next six months . The centralised system of ruling over other regions must be dismantled. Every region must elect its own governor , and people must be given the freedom to speak against the project. The genie of Somaliland is out of the box. You can't recycle the failed policy of Somalia of 1989 with steroids. The crime that will bring down Somaliland did not happen today. It happened the day tens of thousands honored a man who had blood in his hands. We forgave your crimes in order to gain communal harmony and create a government institution to prosper in peace, yet you decided to bring back the old warlord for tribal reasons. Now, you still have a chance to rectify the mistakes and remove the warlord before we all sink in the political ocean . We also know that Biixi doesn't have a tribal muscle or land to control. Here is the map. We are calling for peace and the resignation of Ina Biixi.

According a Puntland source , here is the chronology of how things happened. Yesterday, a reconnaissance team from Puntland has clashed with a Somaliland garrison. Three soldiers from Puntland were killed, but no one knows the casualties from the Somaliland side. Then, early this morning, with drizzle of rain, Puntland attacked the Somaliland positions. That clash with heavy weapons from both sides took almost four hours while it was raining heavily. The Puntland offensive was repulsed and no territory changed hands. Everyone is in his original position. In the offensive Puntland lost 16 soldiers and the Somaliland casualty is unknown. While the offensive from Puntland was winding down due to heavy rain, a Somaliland battalion led by a man by the name of colonel Ina Cambalash from the Sool region tried to go behind the Puntland line of defensive and attack from behind (Dhabar jabin sida Soomaalidu u taqaano). Unfortunately , he was spotted and both the Puntland offensive soldiers who went back to their original position and their bach up defense " gurmad" had attacked Colonel Cambalaash. That is were most of the heavy casualties from Somaliland took place. Latest news say that up to 60 soldiers from that group had died in that offensive. Almost half or 30 men who died are from Sool community. The front line is quite as of now. Allah ha u Naxariisto intii dhimatay. Most analysts say that this useless war may continue for the next few months for many political reasons. First, C/weli Gaas is in re-election mood and everyone agrees that he might not win if doesn't take back Tukaraq. It was the Sool community who tipped the balance for him last time which allowed him to defeat C/raxman Faroole. Last time when our friend Mooge introduced the possible winning campaign of General Moragan, most of us were quick to dismiss about his chances. Yet, the Morgan campaiegn is growing big due to few reasons. Morgans is getting support from Sool and Sanaag region who like Morgan are pro-federal government. If he gets even half of Reer Bari , his chances are getting better. Second , Morgan always had good relationship with Gedo community and Reer Diini. If Farmaajo endorses Morgan, the game could be over for Gaas. Do not buy the smear campaign of Morgan being warlord or former commander. If Ahmed Madoobe, xaaf, Shariif Hassan and Warlord Biixi can claim to be presidents, certainly Morgan has more credibility than all of them since he served a functioning government system. So, in order for Gaas to win the next Puntland election he must take back Tukaraq. If he doesn't take back Tukaraq, get ready for president Morgan of Puntland. Now let us see why war will continue from the Biixi side. The United Nations envoy to Somalia Mikael Keating did talk to Biixi few months ago and asked him not to escalate the war with Puntland. Two days ago, Mr.Keating asked again Biixi to come back to his original position, but due to pressure at home he could not agree. Withdrawal will be a defeat for Biixi at this stage. Furthermore, Internal tribal fracture of Somaliland among the Habro is getting worse. Institutions built by Cigaal and Rayaale for 15 years are crumbling. The Guurti who were the most important organ for tribal and conflict resolution had disappeared.There are tribal wars in Ceel Afweyn, yet not one single Guurti went there to resolve. Saleebaan Gaa, thel chairman of the Guurti, the man who supposed to lead for peace is spending his time at the microphone to lash out to the opposition party. For Biixi, war is the only thing that might bring the Habro together again. Today Biixi sad that Puntland attacked us 23 times for the last few months.. Whether it is 15 May or 8 March --women's day--he keeps talking about war. Government employees and high school students are forced to march for 15 May which replaced 18 May for fear of nobody showing up during the Ramadan. For Those of us who are old enough , Somaliland resembles the 1989 of Somalia where trust for rulers went down to the toilet. For these and many other reasons, this war between Puntland and Somaliland might continue for the next eight months of 2018. If I were the leader of the Federal government, my army would be marching all the way south to Kismaayo and west to Lowyacade to bring peace and national government. Ah, Biciidkaan dili Doono.

Aha, you must be a research fellow from university of Makale.

Ha ka sheekayn taariikhdii 77kii haddii aadan garanayn " Kuubo Candho Dheer".

Labadii billod ee la soo dhaafay waxa dadka lagu mashquuliyey 18 ka May. Haddana waxay maraysaa calanka Sudh ama waan ku xidhi. Dagaal ooguha degdeg baa haya oo baabuur baa ka tegaya. Imisaan ka digaynay . Waar dagaal oogaha hasoo hor marinnia ayaanu lahayn. Doontiisa ninkii raacaa way la degeysaa. Waar hooy inta ay goori goortahay ka hadha dagaal oggaha.

Kuubo candho dheer. Don't you know the world map. It is along way from the impoverished Cuba to the horn of Africa. Get lost and get back to your communist island. From Cubano to OO and then to another name in 2019. Shaqo yeesha. Anaga ha nooga sheekaynia taariikhdaada. Waar bal aduunyadan eega. They want to destroy this site with useless trolls.

1977, Cubo candho dheer ma maqashay? Shaqo yeelo , hanagu habsaamin. Taariikh beena wakhti uma haynee.

Let us see what the so called military power Russia does on the Iran issue. Europe is also planning a law that will protect their companies doing business in Iran from the American sanctions. Either Europe will stand up to Trump or others like China will fill and take the Iranian businesses.

OO, I do not like the maps or how they set up. It doesn't mean that all the maps or "Gobolo" are exclusively settled by one clan or two. Our own community is divided between two regions, the Fafan Gobol and Siti Gobol , the later has Araabi and the district of Dambal. Also, the maps are made by Illey himself. Jijiga as the capital should not be under Fafan, instead all our towns who are dozens should be under the Harowo Gobol, and unless Illey changes this, we will not rest. I understand the Amhara opposition. For Amhara, their monopoly of Ethiopia is done , and are always plotting for the old centralized Ethiopia. THey fear the that Somali region with it's own language and character. Despite their agitation, the horses are left the barn, and the old Ethiopia will not come back. For many known reasons, I do not want to fight the Oromo. We might have issues, but I want them to be our allies. It is a natural for Oromo to expect the help of Somalis since we both suffered against the Tigray regime. They have issues with Illey due to his close connection with the Tigray and his open campaign against the the reforms that Oromo and others sought. The people in the Kilil do not want civil war, but Illey must change. Let the locals manage their affairs and do not try to take their land for the Chinese companies or others as it happen in the Oromo region. From the Awbare town , to Wajaale and to the way to Jijiga , there is Cabdi Illey henchmen who are the mayors, the police and the administrators. Just like what happen in Siti, people see every town and corner filled with the Illey people. For the locals, it appears like an occupation. Unlike the public perception, the Somali people are not attached to the tribe thing very deeply. Whether it is Hargeisa, Kismaayo or Mogadishu and Jijiga, people want to lead peaceful and productive life with basic freedom to earn a living. Yet, it is politicians and leaders who by their actions remind them which tribe they belong. You can not fool people in this stage. Stop blaming Oromo and others, and just fix the system to serve the people.

We have to annex Mogadishu to the federal government first.

Well the Dir are disconnected and spread out, and most of all, not that tribal .If there is a real uprising of that community, they will not be even needing guns. Their sheer numbers alone will do the work. By far they are the largest community. The Dir we are hearing are the western ones , in Harowo region, the Siti region and the Habro area around Wajaale, Awaare and Gaashaamo. yet, the larger groups are in the east and south which is even greater. The Gadsen, Gurre, Gurgurre, Akisho and others could out number any other community in the zone. Cabdi Illey is trying to bring them in these groups and calm down the uprising. Through the recommendation of Cabdi Illey, the three ministers appointed in the Ethiopian federal cabinet are all Dir. One from the Awdal region, one from Jijiga area and one from Gurre in the south. While the Ogaden community by far had gotten a lot of perks and development in the zone , by far they are the most targeted by the oppression and the crimes of Cabdi Illey. Most of the jails are filled by that community.

In the summer of 1981, I visited my uncle who was a public servant in Burco. They told me that when the family moved in there neighbors started throwing stones at the first night. Dhagax bay nagu billabeen habeenkii. Anagoo yaaban oo leh waar waa maxay deriskan dadka shiidaye ayaanu habeenkii seexanay. Subaxdii ayey na soo salaameen, markaanu waydiinay , " waar xalay dhagaxan ayaa xagiina nagaga soo dhacday", waxay yidhaahdeen , " Waanu idin soo dhaweynaynay". they became friends after that. Burco is really something.

Dadkaas bay Soomali Rabtaa i ay wax ku darsato. Again, this is a warning for Somali regions, unless they are hell bent to weaken us all.

If the zone joins the republic we could be one of the largest countries in Africa. If Ethiopia disintegrates , we must bring the zone in. Then, there will not be separatists.

Awbare district was 180,000 in 2001.

The census of 2001, they were 480,000, and those numbers were only the Awbare and area towns. That doesn't include those in JIjiga, Dire-Dawa and other major towns were they are mixed with Somalis. I heard that Awdal teachers are every in Godey, Shilaabo, Fiqi, Dolow and between. There is also large number of public servants.

Turkey can take Socotra by sending one single ship and disarm the UAE mercenaries. It is election time in Turkey now, and they do not want any troubles, but will see after the election. Erdogan with strong mandate may confront the UAE. .

Those who are the front row are probably the government workers to cheer him up.

I do not know why a big city like Lafaciise is still called a village (Tuulo). This region needs more than three or four districts with Awbare as the headquarters. The Awdalites do not understand that you must speak up to get your share. of the pie. Ma sacab uun bay tumayaan. Will see what Cabdi Illey does the next few days.

OOdweyne doesn't even understand how serious the issue is. The Jeegaan group supported by the army "swore six times " to adare to the agreement that was reached by the elders, and they broke the oath six times. It all started around 2014, when an oil exploration group showed up in Bohol without the consent of the people. The company called Genel was chased out by the locals. There might be some minerals and other resources in Bohol area and certain people want to remove the locals which is impossible. Also, it is the policy of BIIxi and company to make the perceived animosity between these community permanent.The Biixi clan of Sacad Muuse doesn't even have a real district in Somaliland to flex any tribal muscle. Even the so called Gabiley district with Wajaale, Kalbaydh and others are shared with Awdalites, Akisho, Madigaan and others. If things get ugly, they can not even leave 26 june district and north of Gabiley. There is another war brewing in Wajaale region after Biixi tried to take some farms belonging to the Dila and Jibraacin community. OOdweyne stop acting like Baghdad Bob of Iraq and try to address the real problems which has cost the lives of many people. Some us had seen this plot before. When the Biixi community could not take Ceel Berdaale by war or legal means, military men from the Biixi community put checkpoints in the highway at night and massacred the Awdal travelers. It was one of the major reasons the Awdal community rebelled against Siilaanyo after the election. They do these things for power and business. The more the institutions break down the more people would rely to their tribe. Ciidanka iyo dadkuba waa qabaa'il. Beel walbana ciidankeeda way qaadan haddii sidaan wax laga bedeli waayo. Most rebellions are started by a disgruntled officer. With 300 loyal men, no can catch this man or defeat him in the mountainous Sanaag. Stop the propaganda and find solutions.

There is no security threat to Saudi Arabia from Iran . The Salmaan kid who had stolen the crown could go to Tehran tomorrow and change the conditions of the region. He can bring the Houthis and the opposition and end the conflict in Yemen which has destroyed the lives of millions people. He chose war and confrontation. yet, the Saudi nation and their people are among the weakest people on earth. They do not have the manpower, the tenacity or the institutions to wage a war. There was a shootout in the palace few weeks ago , and already there is a rumor of coup in the place. Israel on the other hand might have brought the Iranian military and their proxy militia to the southern border in Syria and the Golan Height.Their only military superiority at the moment is the sky, and if the Russians sell SAM300 to Iran or Syria that might change. The times where a ground troops could roll and take over are over. Rather than weaken Iran, these American wars are making Iran more stronger than ever. In Lebanon were the majority of the Sunni population is larger than the Shia, in the last election, they voted with HezbAllah.. The Arab street is totally against the Saudi coalition regardless of their denominations. Be Careful for what you wish.

In my opinion, the more the east Burco community supports Wadani or opposes Muuse Biixi publicly , these wars will continue. This could be a political war. I hope I am wrong.