Of course. The Americans will be asking Ethiopia and others to take over the overall security including controlling the sea lanes. We are going back to 1994 when then president Bill Clinton gave the go ahead contract to Meles Zenaw to run Somaliai.Two weeks ago, even the new guy Abiy Ahmed said that " we should not withdraw African forces from Somalia". It is the only trick in the book . If you want to make billions and spare America the bad news and media publicity of soldiers dying in poor dirt Africa, you hire the cheap Ethiopian and African forces who die by the dozens while making few dollars. Ethiopian economy and foreign currency is declining. The Tigray elite had cleaned the banks. They must pay the Chinese and the European loans and the shortest and cheapest way to make money is the war on terror in Somalia .Djibouti Uganda and others will follow. Waa jug meeshaada Joog. The kids in Villa Somalia are taking the info under the table. They are hundred percent on board while showing us their false independence. It is 2014 all over again.

OO, We know he is Ethiopian but that doesn't mean he has free hand to transfer Djibouti to Ethiopia. For guys like you, the geopolitics of the horn might have started in 1991, but in the seventies, we fought for Djibouti to join the union but, Siyad Barre made a deal with French and allowed them to declare independent country. Did you hear the poem: " Xeebta Djabouti ee Soomaali laga Xaday Mar hadaan Xagaa Tagay maxaa la igu soo xidhay. Look, have you ever seen anywhere in the real world, even in conflict zones of Afghanistan, Yemen,or Rwanda , where provinces and cities discuss with the federal or central government about military issues. Only in Somalia, thanks to Ethiopia. THe way I see , the government of Mogadishu is meeting the state of Puntland, the city of Baidoa and Kismaayo, Gamudug state and Kismaayo city after America and probably it's surrogate Ethiopia called them all for emergency situation. Reliable sources say that America is convinced that Al-shabaab is about to take over the country and they want status quo. The head of Nato and European command general Curtis Scaparrotti had demanded that the American forces in African should be widthrown and deployed to eastern Europe to stop the rising Russian power in Europe. So, they would be probably asking Ethiopia and others to take over the security of Somalia for the next three years. Bill Clinton did the same thing in 1994. Rather than withdrawal foreign forces and transfer the security to the Somali army, more foreign troops will be coming and Farmaajo will be busy appointing judges and other loyalists while the country is being taken over by foreign forces. The more things change the same remain the same in Somalia. OO, you are right .I should not be even talking to Djibouti and others that you want to swallow. You have dismembered me already. "Aan ooyee Albaabka ii xidha". Maalinba mid faras cad lagu sido ayuunbaa la inoo keenaa. Waxa aanu toban sano raadinaynaa, qof madaxweyne ah oo Program iyo siyaasad dalka lagu qabta wata. Maalinba mid fras cad la soo saaray ayaa la inoo keenaa.

Oo stop addressing Djibouti like your colony or twin brothers. Somalia is down doesn’t mean Djibouti can do what ever it wishes including allying with Ethiopia. you can convince them to do many things at the moment but as soon as we rise we will fight to death to stop Ethiopia taking Djibouti. The fat dictator may deceive those who are in Jowhar or Baidoa, but not us. I sweat that we will invade from Loyacafo and take our country back. Djibouti is missing from us just like Somali Galbeed and if it were up to me, before I start with Cabdi Illey , I would stop tCumar Ghelle to transfer our country to Ethiopia. Besides, the majority of Djiboutians are starving any way ,and the business deals are shared by oligarchs. Do as much as you can while we are down, but Djibouti is ours and even some people in Hargeisa are saying that the Djibouti issue must be added to the Somaliweyn issue and I agree with them.

Finally Puntland had found men who could speak like Faysal Waraabe. qudhaan jecel is one.

We are just talking about is scenarios that could happen. They already control Bay, Kismaay and Hiiraan. Yet, they might seek a contract from the west to patrol the sea lanes.. Saalax, some of the Somali pirates were organized just like foreign controlled terroriists to attract foreign navies . As we speak the so called Somali pirates do not even have a sea worthy mother ship. Those who are inside the Mogadishu bubble are happy about their situation. Hundreds of programs and projects are funded through the UN, the world bank and others. Every minister is busy applying these funds and in terms of security we see tribal military’s clashes weekly. just last week the Mogadishu governor and large number members of parliament went to Ethiopia to celebrate the ethnic federal day or something like that

Only Somali political fools do not know, but Ethiopia already have six ships docked between Mombasa and Djibouti. Most of their weapons procurement is carried by their ships to Djibouti. In 2005 there was an open debate among the Amhara intellectuals about gaining a port for the 60 million landlocked Ethiopia. It is also strange they go from 60 to 70 and now 100 million within 13 years. Most Ethiopian intellectuals are eager to take over Djibouti. They already have a 100,000 Ethiopian residents who run restaurants ,nightclubs and even guard the homes of the Djibouti elite. The ideal plan is to occupy just ten years and relocate a million population to Djibouti, or force them to accept a confederation with Ethiopia and take over the country without firing a bullet while the lazy Qat chewing Djiboutin is busy chasing the cheap Ethiopian ladies. Ethiopian insiders that I talk to told me that the new leadership, Abiy Ahmed, Shiferow Shegatu and others are more Ethiopian than their ethnic pronouns attached to them. The only people who can challenge them are Somalis who could see the big picture. This week Mr. Abiy announced that Africans could enter Ethiopia without visa. They expect both Kenya and Somalia to follow. Now , what we got is a federal government of Somalia using all its powers and legitimacy to chase the Hawlwadaag boys.in Mogadishu.They must leave this town for the local people to manage and govern the larger country, or wait for even for the world to build the country for them. Xageed ku aragtay dawlado hal magaalo rabta in ay nabadeeyaan toban sanadood. After two full years if this guys can’t reach Afgooye, we must prepare to find a new leadership.

One thing is for sure . The war between Muuse Biixi and the United Nations had begun. THe chartered plain belonged to the UN. They did send their flight info few days ago since the young returnees were almost a week in Mogadishu, yet the airport refused them to land for bogus reasons. there are probably 500 people in Tukaraq affected by the war and 150,000 throughout Somaliland by cyclone Sanger, yet the UN said “ nine thousand in cyclone disaster and 150,000 in TUkaraq which is reverse accounting’s. This deliberate omission by the UN reprentative is a game on itself. if you add that with the al-shabaab attack in Galgala , one must think that things are shifting . If I were Ina Biixi, I would seek peace immediately before the war moves to Sannag mountains and Al-shabaab relocates to Somaliland. yaa garanaya ninkii yidhi “Anigoo wax dili kara duco qaadan maayee , qoriga keepka qabo.

Muuse is already sending appeals to the international community and the regional governments. The problem is "Beesha Lixaad" never resolves any thing. He is even talking to Farmaajo, but Farmaajo can not help him. I did said while ago that C/weli want to keep the war in order to win re-election, but at the moment the Tukaraq issue is even bigger than C/weli Gaas himself. This war has transformed as the people's war. Both the people of Sool and Puntland want to keep this war until Sool is recovered. The conditions to stop the war from Puntland is getting hard, and they already communicated through third party that Somaliland must vacate Laascaanood in order to stop the war. For the last ten years there was perception among the Garaad community that Puntland and their leaders were not interested recovering Laascaanood, and there were a suspicion of collusion between Somaliland and Puntalnd. When C/weli Gaas was given the power to nominate the Khaatumo members of the federal parliament things got worse and Galaydh used that to send a message to his supporters. Puntlad dagaal ma galayse waxay rabtaa in ay magaca iyo xildhibaanada Sool awood kaga raadsato federalka ayaa dadka reer sool ka dhaadhacday. When Puntland shed blood and came fighting that was enough to convince Reer Sool. Furthermore, the Tigray policy of pressuring her client regions to keep the status quo has probably collapsed. Muuse was probably given the go ahead by Ethiopia in early Januray, but that Wayaane order has collapsed in Ethiopia in March of 2018. In Africa , usually the power goes to the man at the top and in Ethiopia Abiy Ahmed is consiladiting power already. The wife of Meles Zanawi was kicked out of the party and her assets were stripped. Last week at the Djibouti Ethiopian border $130 million dollars loaded in a van was captured at the border. Most of the looted money used to go through Jijiga and Wajaale and then transferred by Dahabshill to Nairobi and Dubai. It was one of the major reasons Illey was kept at the money route to Wajaale. There is huge crackdown in Ethiopia of the looting and money laundering of the former rulers. There is huge network of money laundering from Ethiopia, Djibouti, Hargeisa and Mogadishu. Every Somali leader in Mogadishu somehow is involved directly or indirectly. It is one of the reasons Hassan Sheikh has allowed the Hargeisa elite to keep the status quo. Preliminary reports already indicate that Farmaaj is on board and his men are well connected to Hargeisa. Muuse had already rejected the UN envoy before the conflict started and could not face him again with a appeal for cease fire. So, he is talking to the American embassy in Nairobi. Abiy Ahmed led Ethiopia has no time about these issues. .His best hope is to negotiate directly with Puntland, but since hubris and boating is the order of the day in Hargeisa, he will lose Laacaanood through war of attrition that will drain both resources and life. As history has shown in Somalilland , the later leader is always worse than his predecessor( midba midka uu ka dambeeyo wuu ka sii liita oo uu ka xun yahay). The Hargeisa mayor is already collecting powder, rise and other stable foods from the neighborhoods for the war effort. With sky rocketing infliation , war is the worst thing to start at this stage. Well, what do we know? Good luck if you can flashout the uprising of the whole population that is united for the first time since 2004.

Folks, it is Ramadan and in this sacred month we all try to avoid inflaming conflicts and sensitive issues. I for one tried to refrain to discuss the Tukaraq war in great details for the last week or so. Yet , it is our duty to warn and analyze this war in an objective manner. Taleex and laascanood are ingrained in our modern history. Both Taleex and Laascaanood have a very important part of the modern history of Somalia. There were historical events that had huge impact to the direction of Somali for the last hundred years. It was 1920 when the Darwiish movement was defeated by the British. The British used modern weapons and airplanes to decimate the modern Somali independent movement after 21 year of struggle between 1899--1920. That defeat of the Darwiish in Tallex and the one in Laafoole in the hand of the Italians against Sheekh Hassan Barsame and others in 1924 ,opened a new page for the colonial powers of Italy, Britain and Abbesinia in Somalia. That struggle had showed that the fiercely independent Somali nomad can not be be caged or colonized without heavy price from the colonials. These days we see some nostalgic Somalis about the colonial period yet, from 1920-1960, the British never developed or created an economy for the region, nor offered any technical training to lift people out of poverty. Faarah Omar, one of the Somalis who were more educated than most described the colonial administration after the second world war as " Deaf and Dumb". The British opened the first schools as late as 1948. just as 1920 was a crucial year that changed Somalia forever, another event in Laascaanood also had a different impact on the country. In 1969, almost 49 years after Taleex bombing , the second president of Somalia C/rashiid C. Sharmaarke was assassinated in Laascaanood by one of his bodyguards.That event and the succession quarrel that followed, paved the way for the military to take over the country. That take over had changed both the direction and the character of Somalia for many years to come. Now, exactly 49 years later in 2018, another war is going brewing in a small town called Tukaraq. This is probably a tribal war, yet it could have a great repercussions for Somalia and its future .The protagonists of this war are probably ignorant of the historical nature of this skirmishes, but the Tukaraq war of 2018 will shape the unchangeable borders of the country. Usually, the biggest changes of the world takes place through war. A tribal war that might end tribal administrations. There are two characters that makes this as a tribal war. First, the nature of the battle and the confrontation between armies makes this rather a tribal skirmish than a war among states. Tribes usually fight about three to four hours maximum. A gun mounted pickup truck might wage an offensive and over run the defensive positions. The other group would mount a counter attack and push back the other side. While the technicals retreat or charge, most of the casualties are the foot soldiers walking. JUst like the war between Caydiid and Cali Mahdi in the early nineties, no one takes new ground. As many of you had pointed out, poor soldiers will die , yet things might not change on the ground. In 2006, during the war between the Islamic Courts and the invading Ethiopian forces, a fervent Somali was touting the ability of the forces of the " Maxakamado' to confront their enemies. To his disappointment, I told him that since these people are non state actors they can not sustain a prolonged war so, i expect the Ethiopians to defeat them in two or three weeks. Established states could fight 18 hours or more with constant reinforcements and ready made logistics. For tribes, four our would a huge sacrifice. I added that unlike the Courts, even a weak Somali army with few thousand of soldiers could have slowed down their advance for months. Watching these tribal skirmishes convinces me more than ever that a genuine Somali leader could unite the country with one single division of mechanized army. Second, the Sool arrangement with Somaliland had always been a tribal agreement that allowed the locals to control Laascaanood especially for those who had grievances with Puntland. In 2007, when Somaliland allied militia of Xaabsade took over the city, it was purely a tribal militia of Xaabsade moving from Puntland to Somaliland. Rayaale and Siilaanyo both understood the gentlemen's agreement that kept Laascaanood nominally within the Somaliland system without aggravating the tribal connections of the Harti( Beentii lagu wada joogay iyo maamuladii lagu sugayey Soomalia ayuu run mooday) Now The " Gaas Dhagoole" Biixi shows up without understanding the issue. After 911, the neoconservatives had pushed America to wage so many wars to different parts of the world that the average American never heard of. The typical American in Kansas or Montana have no clue were Kosovo, Somalia or Yemen is in the globe. The same analogy could be said about the North Gabiley and west Hargeisa based Muuse Biixi about Taleex or Lasanod. A man who had grown in the Hargeisa ghetto doesn't know culture and history just like Farmaajo and company in Mogadishu. In 1912, a British colonel by the name of Richard Corfield was put in charge of the Somaliland Camel Constabulary. He was instructed to maintain order but was clearly told not to confront Sayid Mohamed C. Hassan's Darwiish army. He disobeyed the order and launched an attack which resulted the death of his army and the capture and decapitation of Corfield. Those of us who went to highschool memorize those famous poems by the Sayid: Adaa koofilow jiitayoon dunida Joogayne Jahanamo la geeyoow Haddaad Aakhiro u Jihaado. You have died , Corfield and no longer in this world A Merciless journey was your portion. When hell destined, you set out for the other world. It is very strange that a hundred year after the struggle of the Darawiish, young and poor Somalis from Hargeisa, Borama and Burco have been forced to following the footsteps of the former colonial officers or to recreate the old colonial order where thousands paid the ultimate price. Muuse knew very well that it was tribal animosity and pride that destroyed Somalia, and when he attacks his opponents, he never misses a chance to belittle others , yet he walked to the tribal minefield of Tukaraq like a blind man. Mercenaries and paid ministers from Sool region , sipping tea in Maansuur Hotel, gave him the wrong information. The people of Sool always considered those who worked in Hargeisa like people taking care of their family through that system while Somalia is in upheaval ( Waxa la dhihi jiray waa niman caruurtooda ka Biilanaya nidaamka Hargeisa). They were probably sidelined or blindsided by the octogenerain Cali. Kh. Galaydh who wanted to take their place without doing any heavy lifting. The Biixi adventure of going to the colonial border had unleashed a great deal of trauma among the Sool people which became the catalyst for their temporary unity. Elders had openly rejected when their Hargeisa based ministers came to town, and in return the ministers called the RRU to shoot , arrest ans intimidate those who opposed the presence of Somaliland. As we speak, the Sool community Garads and elders had spoken unanimously against the presence of Somaliland soldiers. The internal problems of Sool community is not over. At the moment the tide is against Somaliland, yet pushing out Somaliland from Sool without any plans might not resolve the problem. The only sustainable strategy to end the recurring conflict and disable both Somaliland and Puntland is to help the Sool people to form their own administration. Somalis are tribes and we must understand that without unifying common state no tribe would refer the other for their affaires. The Garaad community might share lineage with Puntland, yet the only way to unite them is to be independent. The federal government can not ignore these problems for ever. They must understand that what is at stake here is not about Puntland or Somaliland but unity and the independence of Somalia through the people of Sool region. We know that Farmaajo and company are working overtime to get another term in office without accomplishing their duties toward the unity file. If these drastic actions are not taken, another deadly civil war might start between the locals. Do not expect any solutions from the likes of Cali Khaliif. If his Khaatumo project failed he supposed to come back and retire or offer an opportunity for others to find solutions. Finally, Mr. Biixi has one option. He must withdraw to his original position or lose everything including Somaliland. Forget about going to the border or capturing Garoowe. Everyone knows that if you lose Laascaanod, Somalialnd itself might implode, and the least of it is losing power. Digging your heels in the mounting pressure from the Sool community will be futile. Mr. Biixi seek peace and withdraw .

Ninyahow I welcome the badly needed food delivery to the coastal people. My suspicion is why send empty planes only to deliver from local warehouses. They are able to send cargo planes with food , shelter equipment and medicine. besides, the UAE are the same people killing people in Yemen, Syria , Palestine and Libya. Just like the Americans I divide the world between good and evil, and for me the UAE is the evil incarnate of our time. furthermore , as a SOmali irredentist, if I get my way, I would have crushed both the two enclaves.

Rather than reconcile her two vessel regions, the UAE is fueling their war. It is time for Cabdi Weli to dump UAE and seek help from the Somali people. I he follows that road, he could win both Lascaanood and the election.

C 130 heavy lifting planes did not come to Somaliland to deliver 100 cartons of dates and water. Some sources in Somaliland say that two military planes who usually transport military grade weapons had landed Berbera and then went to Hargeisa to disguise of delivering relieve food. Traditionally , C 130 hercules or Cargo planes are used for delivery of goods and food , not Helicopters. Imagine a two heavy duty military grade planes delivering just few cartons of dates and some water. I do believe the dates and the water was loaded in Hargeisa from the refugee aid warehouses as was admitted by their director. Folks, I am not 100% sure, but , I do believe that the UAE is fueling the war between Somaliland and Puntland.

Codkkii Qaranka Cawke iyo Jaale Siyaad Allah ha u naxariisto. Holac, the country was poor, yet we shared every thing with other Somalis. We could have settled down in Kismaayo or Hargeisa without feeling stanger, and we were proud of who we were among the nations. I do not have the eloquence to explain what that era meant for us or what the Kacaan achieved.. today, our country is run by those who destroyed our nation. Dr. Cumar Raabe waxa uu yidhi, " Reer miyigu si ay u qabtaan oo ay u dillaan Waraabaha, waxay dibeda ugu xidhan Waxar iyo gabti (trap) si marka uu qaado yidhhaahdo ay ugu soo dhacdo, Mingistu Soomaalida waxa ku yidhi siyaad Barre soo qabta, waxa ay illoobeen sidii Waraabaha marka ay Siyaad qabtaan oo ay ridaan, in sida waraabaha uu Qaranku ku kor dumi doono" Here in this clip, a new generation of Somalis are presenting their history with certain pride .

Ina Biixi just talking about Berbera with small flood, yet the real damage is Awdal and the Jeegaan is ignoring as usual.

It looks fake, just like the last one.

Allah ha u Naxariisto. I think the eye of the storm was in Awdal. Early reports put the cyclone in north of Berbera and north eastern regions, yet most of the damage is in the west. The rural people do not have strong shelters .

I

Tilamook, "Hither and thither", I guess some of us need a dictionary to understand your title. Buurmadow nabad buu ku baaqay ayaa lagu xidhay.

Che, where is the link?

I did not want to report but last Wednesday , the day after the Tukaraq war, I heard that some people from Sool region didn't sleep their houses due to threats coming from the Jeegaan West. We all hope it is an isolated incident. Yet, The problem is when the leader who supposed to calm the people and appeal to the better side of the people, cries and depicts the war on tribal terms calling "Adeerkood Afweyne" and offensive language anything could happen. Ina Biixi must speak out and talk like a leader not like a tug.

It is looks fake.

MIDEAST Saudi Prince Salman's month long absence fuels speculation t has been almost a month since Saudi Crown Prince Mohamed bin Salman made a public appearance, triggering questions whether the April 21 incidents at the Royal Palace had a role in his disappearance. Several reports claimed that the security incident in April, what Saudi officials said was a result of a recreational drone flying near the king's palace in Riyadh, was indeed a palace coup attempt. Saudi Prince Salman was allegedly injured during the attempt, according to reports, mostly coming from Iran. As a man who enjoys the public and media's eye, Salman's absence caught attention especially after he was not seen on camera during U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo's first visit to Riyadh in late April. The 32-year-old leader ousted his older cousin as crown prince last summer in a palace coup and then jailed senior royals as part of an anti-corruption sweep. Prominent clerics have also been detained in an apparent bid to silence dissent. Those moves have helped Prince Mohammed consolidate his position in a country where power had been shared among senior princes for decades and religious figures exercised significant influence on policy. But they have also fueled speculation about a possible backlash against the crown prince, who remains popular with Saudi Arabia's burgeoning youth population.

I made a mistake yesterday by taking about the number of dead on both sides. It is Somalis dying on both side, and it will not heal or help the issues facing this region. So, in order to find real solutions today , we will focus on the origins of this war . The rise of the warlord. Unlike South Central Somalia, Somaliland was always ruled or led by former politicians, public servants and traditional leaders. Ten or fifteen years ago, it was difficult or almost impossible for the types of Muuse Biixi to join the cabinet let alone a presidential candidate. The people had moved on and decided to build a new future without former guarilla members or those who took part the civil war of the nineteen nineties. Rather than dwell on the past, people had opted for peace and institution building. While tribal problems remain in any Somali society, it's effects on people were diminishing, until Biixi and company showed up. Ahmed Siilaanyo, as former Somali minister and SNM leader, had both the political background and qualifications to seek the leadership of Somaliland. Yet, the former rebels forgot that the past warfare history will not be the guiding principle in a region inhabited by diverse tribes. They forgot that in Somalia , no tribe can defeat or eliminated another tribe despite their military or economic power. We do not have time or enough ink to explain how a former warlord who participated the civil wars of Somaliland happen to be the candidate. It was through bribe, tribalism, intimidation , abuse of public purse and other hidden crimes that enabled an unrepentant warlord to take center stage. Regardless of how many times they call him Mr.president, Muuse Biixi will never be a leader of anything let alone of Somaliland. Once a warlord with blood in his hands will be a warlord. Just like a gangster will gold chains and luxury cars , honor and prestige can not be bought by the likes of Muuse Biixi. The False commander. Anyone who has done basic research knows that Muuse biixi was never been a colonel of any army. He never commanded any contingent of Somali army nor did he participated the Somali-Ethiopia war of 1977. Unlike what the Hargeisa fan club says, he wasn't a pilot . He was trained as a air navigation officer. As soon as he was elected, everyone said that since a former officer and fighter is in charge he will put fear to his enemies. Commanding paramilitary rebels and taking part in communal civil war will not make one a military commander or tough politician. kornayl Mujaahid ah ayaa madaxweyne noo ah". They forgot that it is the peace that nurtured Somaliland not Muuse Biixi. Now, how did we ended up a war in Sool, insurgency in Sanaag and dysfunction in Hargeisa. Everyone knows that through bombing and intimidation of the frail and old Siilaanyo, Muuse took over the Kulmiye party. After he stole the election, rather than bring the fragmented communities together, he decided to set up a Jeegaan dominated cabinet. When people complained, he dismissed these complaints and started to oppress those who opposed him. People who should have corrected him encouraged him to rule by decree. Even intellectuals and writers like Boobe Yuusuf Ducaale , said, " Somaliland needs a dictator to fix things". As Boobe and others encouraged him to be a dictator, Muuse acted like one and arrested those who criticized him in face books and those who wrote unflattering things. Despite the oppression, the people never badged and openly rejected his presidency and the manner he won the election. Since Faysal Waraabe and others called him a tough colonel, he decided to up the ante and create a real war without thinking the consequences. Fast forward to Tukaraq and the unprovoked war. Traditionally, the Puntlanders always had a soft spot for the Hargeisa Habro. You would rarely see those from Puntland openly attacking or putting down Somaliland. In fact, their leaders try to emulate and build relationships with them. Since everyone says that Somaliland achieved domestic peace and despite it's electoral dysfunction, it was a model others like Puntlanders wanted to follow . As I was discussing the Tukaraq issue, one Puntalder told me that they never preoccupied or challenged Somaliand. We were mostly focused Mogadishu, the federal system, the foreign aid that all goes to Mogadishu and HAg ( Waar xamar iyo xagaa ayaanu mashqull ku nahay, oo siyaasada yadu xagan uma soo jeedin, Farmaajo markuu yimid waxooga dhaqaalaha horumarineed ayaanu ka daddasanaynay, markaasu ninkan waalani na soo aaday). Also, Ethiopian policies discourages it's vassel regions to fight one another. Yet, Biixi decided to go against a neighbor that doesn't want war. Anyway, Michael Keaton went to Garoowe last week and discussed the Tukaraq issue with C/weli Gaas. The Puntland leader might be accused of many things, but politically , he is not naive or amateur. He is educated enough and he knows well the diplomacy games. When the UN envoy Mr. Keating asked to find peaceful solutions for the Tukaraq issue, C/weli said, " I know that as an envoy you want a peaceful Somali both in the South and in this region and we will fulfil our responsibilities to achieve this peace". He continued, "We want total peace in the region, we will not target or claim Laascaanood anymore" he continued, " We want the locals to decide their fate , and will no longer interfere with that region". In return C/weli wanted to keep the status quo of the old and let everyone collect their taxes in their outposts. Mr. Keating could not believe that the a difficult issue of Tukaraq could be resolved quickly. Then few days ago Mr. Keating reached Hargeisa and met Ina Biixi. He told him the good news from Garoowe that Puntland is no longer interested in Sool or Laascaanood and the armies must return to their original posts for total peace. To the surprise of Mr. Keating, Muuse Biixi said, " withdrawing from Tukaraq is like withdrawing from Hargeisa". Mr. Keating was shocked that despite the good will, muuse is an out of touch man who doesn't even understand basic diplomatic games. All he supposed to say was that he will consider this good will gesture from Puntland and will reciprocate in the future. He could have went with flow and wait the real changes from Puntland. C/weli Gaas 2 Biixi 0. Well, after Mr. Keating left Hargeisa , the war broke out. When Djibouti was fighting a do or die battle against UAE, Biixi counted the Arabs to weaken Cumar Ghelle. Three weeks ago a delegation from Dubai came to Hargeisa and no one in the media saw him. You remember about the ghost delegation that no one saw except Biixi's spokesman? Well, C/raxman Boreh was one of them and for fear of Djibouti they hidden from the public eye. The diplomatic disaster of Biixi continues. Ghelle 2 Biixi o. Who is advising this man. Yet, the biggest problem of Somaliland today is that there is no daylight between the man selling the Qat in downtown Hargeisa and the leadership including the president. They are all talking the same language. A tribally motivated man in the internet or a man in market might say , " We will capture Garoowe " Garoowe ayaanu soo qaban oo xuduudaanu Soo Xidhi" and the leader, Muuse, might repeat that boasting talk of the market to the media. Our resident in SOL OOdweyne might say we expelled "Afweyne iyo Faqash" , and Biixi will repeat that same sentence. I was shocked when I listened his speech about " Adeerkood Afweyne Sidaanu u eryeney" by indirectly talking about the tribal issues of the D block. Mind you that these Puntlanders also fought Siyaad Barre just like SNM. That same leader is also the tribal uncle of the Sool community that is fighting alongside Somaliland, yet Ina Biixi spews tribal polemic just like street guy. Since his election, it became the norm. A loser named Guri barwaaqo , who used to live here in Calgary, Alberta wrote books just like those in the Hargeisa market and sold them as academic literacy. By the way, due to that book and the arrest and humiliation of Nimco Qorane might bring down the biixi government than anyone else. The " Ciidagale" community is the moral compass of the Habro. Despite the wars they fought against Cigaal, they supported him later and helped build institutions with likes of Xaaji Cabdi Waraabe. When Rayaale took over, they supported despite the tribal campaign against him, and when Siilaanyo came , they stood by him and spoke loudly in their efforts to keep the Somaliland system. The South Hargeisa community never complains about not getting ministers or government posts. When Biixi stole the election, they were the first to break ranks at the opposition and to call for calm and peaceful transition. After Biixi ignored their plea to fire the minister who insulted their women in his books, they decided to get rid of Biixi. Now, they fully joined the anti Biixi campaign, and with their credibility and elequency, Biixi will be finished. The West Burco might got the muscle of the Habro, but the Salaxley community is the brain. Some of us already knew him as former warlord and warmonger, but today , the international community has discovered that Somaliland , the land of peace in the region, had been taken over by a war monger who may destroy everything with less than a year. Everyone knows that Somaliland will never be the same after Ina Biixi. We know that every region will eventually join the federal project sooner or later, yet some us were expecting a peaceful transition from the Jeegaan Government to federal system. Popular anger and anti Jeegan riots had started from Ceerigaabo, Burco and will reach Awdal and other regions soon. Rather than throw the Somaliland baby with Biixi bath water, Somaliland could be saved from total collapse. He could resign and call new elections within next six months . The centralised system of ruling over other regions must be dismantled. Every region must elect its own governor , and people must be given the freedom to speak against the project. The genie of Somaliland is out of the box. You can't recycle the failed policy of Somalia of 1989 with steroids. The crime that will bring down Somaliland did not happen today. It happened the day tens of thousands honored a man who had blood in his hands. We forgave your crimes in order to gain communal harmony and create a government institution to prosper in peace, yet you decided to bring back the old warlord for tribal reasons. Now, you still have a chance to rectify the mistakes and remove the warlord before we all sink in the political ocean . We also know that Biixi doesn't have a tribal muscle or land to control. Here is the map. We are calling for peace and the resignation of Ina Biixi.

According a Puntland source , here is the chronology of how things happened. Yesterday, a reconnaissance team from Puntland has clashed with a Somaliland garrison. Three soldiers from Puntland were killed, but no one knows the casualties from the Somaliland side. Then, early this morning, with drizzle of rain, Puntland attacked the Somaliland positions. That clash with heavy weapons from both sides took almost four hours while it was raining heavily. The Puntland offensive was repulsed and no territory changed hands. Everyone is in his original position. In the offensive Puntland lost 16 soldiers and the Somaliland casualty is unknown. While the offensive from Puntland was winding down due to heavy rain, a Somaliland battalion led by a man by the name of colonel Ina Cambalash from the Sool region tried to go behind the Puntland line of defensive and attack from behind (Dhabar jabin sida Soomaalidu u taqaano). Unfortunately , he was spotted and both the Puntland offensive soldiers who went back to their original position and their bach up defense " gurmad" had attacked Colonel Cambalaash. That is were most of the heavy casualties from Somaliland took place. Latest news say that up to 60 soldiers from that group had died in that offensive. Almost half or 30 men who died are from Sool community. The front line is quite as of now. Allah ha u Naxariisto intii dhimatay. Most analysts say that this useless war may continue for the next few months for many political reasons. First, C/weli Gaas is in re-election mood and everyone agrees that he might not win if doesn't take back Tukaraq. It was the Sool community who tipped the balance for him last time which allowed him to defeat C/raxman Faroole. Last time when our friend Mooge introduced the possible winning campaign of General Moragan, most of us were quick to dismiss about his chances. Yet, the Morgan campaiegn is growing big due to few reasons. Morgans is getting support from Sool and Sanaag region who like Morgan are pro-federal government. If he gets even half of Reer Bari , his chances are getting better. Second , Morgan always had good relationship with Gedo community and Reer Diini. If Farmaajo endorses Morgan, the game could be over for Gaas. Do not buy the smear campaign of Morgan being warlord or former commander. If Ahmed Madoobe, xaaf, Shariif Hassan and Warlord Biixi can claim to be presidents, certainly Morgan has more credibility than all of them since he served a functioning government system. So, in order for Gaas to win the next Puntland election he must take back Tukaraq. If he doesn't take back Tukaraq, get ready for president Morgan of Puntland. Now let us see why war will continue from the Biixi side. The United Nations envoy to Somalia Mikael Keating did talk to Biixi few months ago and asked him not to escalate the war with Puntland. Two days ago, Mr.Keating asked again Biixi to come back to his original position, but due to pressure at home he could not agree. Withdrawal will be a defeat for Biixi at this stage. Furthermore, Internal tribal fracture of Somaliland among the Habro is getting worse. Institutions built by Cigaal and Rayaale for 15 years are crumbling. The Guurti who were the most important organ for tribal and conflict resolution had disappeared.There are tribal wars in Ceel Afweyn, yet not one single Guurti went there to resolve. Saleebaan Gaa, thel chairman of the Guurti, the man who supposed to lead for peace is spending his time at the microphone to lash out to the opposition party. For Biixi, war is the only thing that might bring the Habro together again. Today Biixi sad that Puntland attacked us 23 times for the last few months.. Whether it is 15 May or 8 March --women's day--he keeps talking about war. Government employees and high school students are forced to march for 15 May which replaced 18 May for fear of nobody showing up during the Ramadan. For Those of us who are old enough , Somaliland resembles the 1989 of Somalia where trust for rulers went down to the toilet. For these and many other reasons, this war between Puntland and Somaliland might continue for the next eight months of 2018. If I were the leader of the Federal government, my army would be marching all the way south to Kismaayo and west to Lowyacade to bring peace and national government. Ah, Biciidkaan dili Doono.