Maakhiri1, On one of the threads you said, " Puntland students are leaving 100%". Actually that wasn't the case last week when you wrote that , but today things are moving in the wrong direction. The university was defending from attacks by a local UCID operative who accused them of tribalism. Yet, Hundreds of people from the D community are leaving Somaliland. There were thousands of people who used to come for Hargeisa for different reasons. Some times for amenities or entertainment things that wasn't available from smaller towns or the feel of big city and unanimity. The Jeegaan forgot that the instability in South central Somalia was the catalyst for the boom in Hargeisa and that trend is changing quickly thanks to Biixi and company. If the Jeegaan doesn't move from Tukaraq things could get ugly. The Garaad community is uniting in one direction for the first time since 2007. Xaabsade, the man who took over Laascaanood with his tribal militia in 2007, has organized his own army in Southern Sool and want to be the overall leader of that community. With blessing of Puntland , he could take over Sool and declare a federal zone. The war might even start in the Howd and southern Sool before Tukaraq. If the locals are united , no one can stop the inevitable liberation of Sool.The tide is turning. The issue is no longer between Somaliland and Puntland. In Somaliland a large group of people had rejected both Muuse Biixi and the war. We should no longer even call or point fingers to the I...q community or Somaliland, this mess is orchestrated by the Jeegaan and Jeegaan only. judging by past history, I am afraid that the Jeegaan might commit some false flags and target those students in order to saw discord among communities. The Jeegaan is weak and isolated. They might play different cards in order to get help from different communities. Most of you do not even imagine the consequences of the loss of Laascaanood. First, the Jeegaan had never fought a real war for 22 years, and a real war and defeat might humanize and subdue the hubris of the Jeegaan and others. Second, it will definitely end the separatist project for good, and will put the clock back to circa 2004. They started a multi faceted campaign to all directions. Today I saw a clip from an old man who was with Suldaan Wabar in 2015 , and now he was sending a video from Mogadishu. He is one of those who chews Qat from the morning till dawn. Someone from the Jeegaan filled up and his phone and now he is claiming to be the Grand Suldaan of the D...r community standing to help and defend the Jeegaan. Although the West Burco and G.X might accept the D...r label, Thee Jeegaan had rejected the D...r label long ago and always wish to be called the Hashemites of the horn. Just ask our own Xaaji Xanjuf.This conflict doesn't concern the people of Somaliland , Mogadishu, D...r community , D block orr anyone else, it is between the H...ti and the Jeegaan.. In the meantime, both the university and locals must set up local patrols to check the movements of the Jeegaan. Faysal and those who incite violence could be recommended for Rwanda style war crimes for incitement.

My take away on Puntland insisting the recall of all students is one thing. The war in Tukaraq will be restarting again and might continue for a long time until major towns change hand. If Somaliland loses Laascaanood then the Puntlanders inside Somaliland must take a safety precaution.

Borama is different and booming today because of the Somalis from the diaspora and within the country. Habruhu Soomaalida ayey rabaan in ay nagu diraan.

The only economic engine of Borama is the tens of thousands of Somalis who either come for school or for residence . Without these communities, Borama could have been a landlocked and isolated town with economic stagnation. Because of that it is a vibrant city attracts everyone. I know the Habro want to shut down this town but will not allow them.

Xaaji , Traditionally, Somali rules doesn't pass a generation. For the first time in twenty years Somaliland is venerable. One is talking about borders while the storm is getherning from the east. Saaxiib xuddud la gaadha suurtagel ma ahane, inta yar ee add haysato bedbaadi. You know that Somaliland is broke financially, economically and socially in 2018, yet you want to go to Garoowe. Midha guntigaaga ku jira kuwa geed saaran looma daadiyo. I predict that Sanaag will leave Somaliland before even Sool and Laascaanood and you talking about borders. Wadhaf iyo shimbiro kala warla.

So, it is a plan. Even the wise Haaji is encouraging cutting ties among families just like North Korea.

Holac, He is not politician. He should have isolated the Jeegaan.

Certainly Qudhan jecel is just like his counterpart Faysal. Faysal is targeting both the economic stability and the character of Awdal and Borama. It is a well calculated ploy to put wedge between the Awdal community and other Somalis who chose Borama as a welcoming place. I do not really get where this desperation from Faysal WAraabe is coming from. Maybe he knows something we do not know. Minister Qudhan jecel, the students are fine and they should stay where they are.We need them to stay there, and w want others to come.

Furthermore, why the Tigray politicians oppose a peace with Eritrea?. I think Eritrea being a player will diminish the influence of the Tigray . Besides , it is EPLF who thought everything to the lesser Tigray

OO, You really getting my huge respect on the issues of geopolitics. In this pages , you said it is like early 20th century in the horn for powers to scramble for influence, especially for the Somali region. You did mention Yamamoto visiting both Addis, Asmara and Djibouti. Now, Is it possible for both Ethiopia, Eritrea and Egypt to be all under the leadership of the money boys of the gulf?

Any way , I like the calm demeanor of Xaaji Xanjuf to hold the party line. Soo dhawoow.

Actually Somalis are not even 15% of the overall voters. Ahmed Huseen, the minister got strong support from the Somalis during the primaries race within his party, but to win the district you need the vote of cross section of the residents. At the federal campaign, every riidding is around a hundred thousand residents. You must get the support of the other 80% residents. Just Wait when the new generation of Somalis take the stage. Despite the bad news, there are a lot of over acheiving Somalis.

Maakhiri Ishaad ka riday. The state collapsed in Mogadishu and the army was disbanded by Cumar Carte. They just rode some Ethiopian tanks and took over an empty land. case closed. Anyway, we do not have time for the old staff, let us focus for the future.

Xaaji, I thought Muuse was in America in 1983-85 . After taking advantage of the Somali state scholarship, he just went straight to Ethiopia and joined others. I know some Somali army members who know him, and they told me that he was always one of those " Qof Uqdadaysan" even in the early years. Besides , those who know the horrors of war do not rush to it. Only chicken hawks would talk tough. Tough guys carry a big stick and talk slowly. He is probably known as paramilitary guy who could abuse those who were not armed. Yet, rather than repair the disappearing institutions and revive the economy, war is the answer for Muuse and company. Faysal might love the land but one must have dignity. If things get tough he might create a civil war. The Puntlanders are playing by the Somali honor codes. When the Kids from Libya were denied to land in Hargeisa, they were welcomed, dinned and hosted in Garoowe despite the war. Xaaji Karaamada Habraha illaliya.

The Tigray military leaders who get rich of the war are removed by Abiy, There were generations of Tigray opinion makers who accuse everything that goes wrong in Ethiopia to the so called " Jahba Shacbiya" of Eritrea. Just like our own OO, they talk daily about "Shacbiya" and Egypt. Yet, the biggest move to realign the horn of Africa and their strategic ports are coming from America. Soon, the Eritrean embargo by the west will be lifted and Eritrea is joining the UAE led coalition. Djibouti has been already discouraged to bring anymore Chinese companies, and the American military and Israel will settle in Eritrean ports. If things go well Ethiopia might repair relations and start using the Assab port. Accepting Eritrean sovereignty on the border was probably one of the conditions to restart rapprochement. The egotistical jealousy between the cousins in the north could be over. Assias Afework has no issue with Oromo led Ethiopia and he needs to open up and make some money. There is a lot of puffing and huffing from the Tigray media and some Amhara people who are disappointed to leave Badame after losing a 100,000 casualty between 1998-2000. We Somalis must learn one or two things from the tough mountainaires of Eritrean army and people. Meles Zenawi had deployed a 150,000 army to overwhelm and take Asmara and overthrow the president. The tough Eritreans had machine gunned them when they tried to storm their lines with tens of thousands of soldiers.. Actually in 2001, I watched a video from the front by the Eritreans who showed me a scene similar to the trenches of the first world war. Since that defeat or stalemate, the Ethiopians never tried again. Also the tiny state of four or five million people had suffered a lot of casualties but kept their independence. The horn is changing and we Somalis are watching for the new scramble for the ports. Last week, the Somali leaders were all aboard the UN provided airplanes and go to Baidoa for conference between different countries of Somalia and the one in Mogadishu, al baby sitted by foreigners..Rather than chase the Hodan or Kaaraan gangs, my soldiers would have marched to Lawyacado and Kismaayo.

Things are getting crazy in Hargeisa and the only option could be a regime change. As I wrote in these pages after the election of 2017, Muuse Biixi and company are a disaster for all, yet I never thought that things will unravel within a year. Folks, in order to save the people and all involved, the parliament should remove Muuse before he is removed by other dangerous means. A regime change is a must. I would advise my Habro brethren to transfer power To C/raxman Zaylici immediately and call new elections in six months to avoid the future collapse of Somaliland and the relocation of Al-shabaab to Somaliland. Waa digniin.

In a desperate move, Faysal Waraabe is targeting Puntland students at Camud University in Borama. We know things are tough for the Hargeisa regime, but no one expected them to go that low. There are reports about Some families from Puntland leaving Somaliland, yet I never thought in a million years that Somalis in Borama would be targeted by the Habro politicians. The question is: What would they do if they lose Laascaanod. Besides, according to Faysal , Puntland is a super power that is running the shaw in Somalia. We know *****oco are shrewd politicians , but to say they are the power behind every thing is more than exaggeration. Walee Puntalnd laga baqay. After the reckless statements of warlord Faysal, Camoud University took action and responded immediately. Every Somali student or family from Puntaland in Borama is save. Dhulkoodii ayey Joogaan Faysal iyo Jeegaana waxba ma yeeli Karaan.

By the way , the Hargeisa airport manager is really irresponsible and out right lier. When he was asked about the pilot telling him about fuel shortage, he said, " When planes are short or no fuel, they proclaim , May day , May day". Can you imagine that?. Planes call May Day just before they crash landing or ships are engulfed under storm. This man should be fired.

Yet, the only good news that could come from the American orders in that the North East and the north West enclaves will be told to stop the Tukaraq war and fight Al-shabaab together. Amar ayaa la soo diri, tuugtii fadhiisan weydayna , amarka ayaey qaadan.

Suldaanka, You are right this time. The so called UN had resolved very few conflicts in their lifetime. They spent in Somalia 55 billion since 1991 and nothing to show.

Of course. The Americans will be asking Ethiopia and others to take over the overall security including controlling the sea lanes. We are going back to 1994 when then president Bill Clinton gave the go ahead contract to Meles Zenaw to run Somaliai.Two weeks ago, even the new guy Abiy Ahmed said that " we should not withdraw African forces from Somalia". It is the only trick in the book . If you want to make billions and spare America the bad news and media publicity of soldiers dying in poor dirt Africa, you hire the cheap Ethiopian and African forces who die by the dozens while making few dollars. Ethiopian economy and foreign currency is declining. The Tigray elite had cleaned the banks. They must pay the Chinese and the European loans and the shortest and cheapest way to make money is the war on terror in Somalia .Djibouti Uganda and others will follow. Waa jug meeshaada Joog. The kids in Villa Somalia are taking the info under the table. They are hundred percent on board while showing us their false independence. It is 2014 all over again.

OO, We know he is Ethiopian but that doesn't mean he has free hand to transfer Djibouti to Ethiopia. For guys like you, the geopolitics of the horn might have started in 1991, but in the seventies, we fought for Djibouti to join the union but, Siyad Barre made a deal with French and allowed them to declare independent country. Did you hear the poem: " Xeebta Djabouti ee Soomaali laga Xaday Mar hadaan Xagaa Tagay maxaa la igu soo xidhay. Look, have you ever seen anywhere in the real world, even in conflict zones of Afghanistan, Yemen,or Rwanda , where provinces and cities discuss with the federal or central government about military issues. Only in Somalia, thanks to Ethiopia. THe way I see , the government of Mogadishu is meeting the state of Puntland, the city of Baidoa and Kismaayo, Gamudug state and Kismaayo city after America and probably it's surrogate Ethiopia called them all for emergency situation. Reliable sources say that America is convinced that Al-shabaab is about to take over the country and they want status quo. The head of Nato and European command general Curtis Scaparrotti had demanded that the American forces in African should be widthrown and deployed to eastern Europe to stop the rising Russian power in Europe. So, they would be probably asking Ethiopia and others to take over the security of Somalia for the next three years. Bill Clinton did the same thing in 1994. Rather than withdrawal foreign forces and transfer the security to the Somali army, more foreign troops will be coming and Farmaajo will be busy appointing judges and other loyalists while the country is being taken over by foreign forces. The more things change the same remain the same in Somalia. OO, you are right .I should not be even talking to Djibouti and others that you want to swallow. You have dismembered me already. "Aan ooyee Albaabka ii xidha". Maalinba mid faras cad lagu sido ayuunbaa la inoo keenaa. Waxa aanu toban sano raadinaynaa, qof madaxweyne ah oo Program iyo siyaasad dalka lagu qabta wata. Maalinba mid fras cad la soo saaray ayaa la inoo keenaa.

Oo stop addressing Djibouti like your colony or twin brothers. Somalia is down doesn’t mean Djibouti can do what ever it wishes including allying with Ethiopia. you can convince them to do many things at the moment but as soon as we rise we will fight to death to stop Ethiopia taking Djibouti. The fat dictator may deceive those who are in Jowhar or Baidoa, but not us. I sweat that we will invade from Loyacafo and take our country back. Djibouti is missing from us just like Somali Galbeed and if it were up to me, before I start with Cabdi Illey , I would stop tCumar Ghelle to transfer our country to Ethiopia. Besides, the majority of Djiboutians are starving any way ,and the business deals are shared by oligarchs. Do as much as you can while we are down, but Djibouti is ours and even some people in Hargeisa are saying that the Djibouti issue must be added to the Somaliweyn issue and I agree with them.

Finally Puntland had found men who could speak like Faysal Waraabe. qudhaan jecel is one.

We are just talking about is scenarios that could happen. They already control Bay, Kismaay and Hiiraan. Yet, they might seek a contract from the west to patrol the sea lanes.. Saalax, some of the Somali pirates were organized just like foreign controlled terroriists to attract foreign navies . As we speak the so called Somali pirates do not even have a sea worthy mother ship. Those who are inside the Mogadishu bubble are happy about their situation. Hundreds of programs and projects are funded through the UN, the world bank and others. Every minister is busy applying these funds and in terms of security we see tribal military’s clashes weekly. just last week the Mogadishu governor and large number members of parliament went to Ethiopia to celebrate the ethnic federal day or something like that