ONLF does not have the means to rule the whole country. It is one clan entity that is making noise in their own villages and rural area. They changed even the name of the region to " Ogadenia" to suit their clan agenda. Everyone else calls Western Somalia( Somali Galbeed). Of course Cabdi Iley is a ruthless ruler who murdered everyone regardless of their tribe , but I will rather prefer a tough dictator than a bunch of backward tribal anarchist who do not have the means and the organizational skills to rule . Believe me there are millions of other Somalis who inhabit from Dire-Dawa to Wajaale and between jigjiga and if the Wayane leaves after the collapse of Ethiopia , it could be worse than Somalia. Could you imagine the USC trying to rule Garoowe, Boosaaso, Hargeisa and Borama by force , no It is impossible. Well, ONLF trying to rule the whole region is almost similar scenario. Premature take over of power by one group will create a civil war. So in order to keep the Zone 5 from tribal fragmentation, l will prefer Cabdi Iley to keep the power in the early stages and slowly transition to new government. I would not even rush for early transfer of power from him, it should take two to five years before the a new system is implemented. Finally, before the Wayane's leaves power, they will cook the civil war between the Oromo and ahmara and others. They will leave the disaster behind and retreat to Tigray.

As you pointed the Amhara have given up ruling again or dominating Ethiopia. Ten years ago in 2005, they tried to storm the palace with hundreds of thousands of demonstrators, and Meles was almost pushed out. t he used live bullets and killed dozens of civilians in the capital. Finally he crushed them. Also, the invasion Somalia in 2006, helped him consolidation power. The Ahmara do not like the Ethiopia of today, where every ethnic group is it's own nation with their own region and boundaries. They could only make noise in Gondar or their own region. The power of the 40 million Oromo is increasing , and it seems the time has come for northern highlanders to go back to their original home. By insisting to article 39 ( the right of ethnic nations to secede from the federal Ethiopia), the Tigray ruling class will disband Ethiopia rather than give the power to Ahmara. The Ahmara's have given up of their dream of bringing the old Ethiopia , so they settled to revive their ethnic nation. Mekelle, the Tigray capital have been preparing for this for a long time. If the dissolution comes, as expected by all, the Somali region of Ethiopia will be the biggest winner of all. We own a quarter of the current Ethiopia territories ,and all the oil and other minerals. Cabdi Cumar ( Iley), could take out the Somali region easily. He already have a 50,000 strong paramilitary forces who could control the borders and keep the Oromo or Ahmara anarchy out of the Somali region. I hope he is prepared for the future collapse of Ethiopia.

The Ahmara demonstration in Gondar reached Addis . They smelled the freedom. Nothing is more stronger than ethnic hatred. 3 million Tigray want to control 80 million. I don't know how long will that last.

Haatu, Saar is probably those with white clothing. The last one with Haga Haga is not Dhaanto or Saar. their Somali accent seem to be Waamo or Jubba. I do not think the Sujju speak that way.

Che said " Let the sh!t hit the roof". Fear is what keeps dictators to power and it seems to be disappearing. Ethiopia may crumble within few months or a year. The Tigre will loot the banks and the economy will collapse. If I ware Hassan Sheekh , I would demand their soldiers to leave the country soon. We do not want their mess to reach us.

Well, Mr. Jonny, The Awdalites have decided not to wage war after 25 years of peace. Who I am ( I double double coffee sipping from the diaspora) to tell them otherwise. Ma rabaan in ay qaxaan. I do not think Khaatumo and Cali khaliif has the answers. Fighting Somaliland and rejecting Puntland does not work. They should choose one way or the other. Mida kale ha israacdo haddaynu nidhi , ma haboona in aan hadana dagaal ku dhaqaaqno. the main issue is some southern boys like Jonny B does not appreciate us criticizing the federal government. They think they own the state and the capital. My friend , it is our country and will speak louder to shed light on the incompetence of the leader to save lives. Assad, Al-shabaab is well and alive. only Somalis could eliminate, not Ethiopians, Kenyans or others. It is the duty of every nation to clean it's mess.

Actually there are large number of Somalis with mental illness rooming in the diaspora. Even some of those who join the extremists ranks are not that stable. Al-shabaab also uses mentally challenged youth to blow up innocent people.

It is about time all those useless theories of education applied to the real daily life. You can not find a qualified electrician, plumber or pipe fitter, yet we are gratuating hundreds every year. Way to go Amoud , the pioneers of many things

Mogadishu is burning. The Somali capital is in chaos and it is becoming inhospitable place for Somali members of parliament, leaders and presumptive presidential candidates. For the helpless civilians in the city , death and destruction along side roads, hotels, and buildings became a normal events. The security of the capital is getting worse by the day and by the hour. Reasonable people may disagree how to prevent a brain washed cultist seeking death and destruction. Of course no one can stop if someone is willing to die or kill himself, but states, even as weak as the Somali state , with minimal functioning security apparatus, should do extensive investigative work to prevent this thriving business or car fitting with bombs. Within two weeks two huge bombs with cars has taken place while two more were intercepted, which means dozens of garages and save houses have been set up within the city limits. For the last two months , Al-shabaab killers followed the same formula without changing anything. Salaad Cali Jeele, a Mogadishu based politician , whom some people might laugh when he speaks , because of his native accent, had explained this extensively about the copy cut version of these constant bombs and the storming of the buildings to cause huge damage. What has been done to prevent this?. Mr. president What ever you are doing is not working, in fact the security of the city is getting worse. The president and his government are probably preoccupied to gain the upper hand in the next election while neglecting the basic rights of the citizens for their right to live. I do believe that this president should not be rewarded for his negligence and incompetence to provide minimal safety for the people of the Capital. No one is asking him to to bring back the Somali state or expand the reach of his administration, all we are asking is bring some kind of normalcy to the capital. No one is asking him to have state presence outside the capital , no one is asking him to help regional states to defeat the menace of Al-shabaab. All we are asking is to reduce the bombing and and find ways to stop the killing. In 2014, when similar bombings and killings were spreading throughout the city, people demanded of his resignation and were talking about a new beginning to change the course and save the remaining two years. I was one of those who said give him another chance to redeem himself and bring security. I was wrong. Some far sighted people had already seen his short term maneuvering and political machinations to stay in power, while neglecting the most important issue of the day which was and still is security. If you go just south east of the capital Mogadishu, the enemy is rooming freely. We know Al-shabaab has taken over Marka, in Lower Shabbeele. This is the second time in six months that the militants took over that city. The so called national army based in Shabeelaha Hoose keeps playing chicken games with Amisom and the locals to get their way. The locals are convinced that the so called national army based in Marka are nothing but a tribal militia who are hostile to the locals and the future security of the region In 2012, when he was proclaimed as a president he said: " the most important job of my presidency will be security, security and security". The Somali people from east to west, north and south have all seen how this president had failed miserably that promise of bringing security to one single city. Then, we the people, should not reward for his incompetence. How can we give promotions for those who failed?. For the last two months, close to 60 people have died in similar fashion of car bombing and shooting. I am not even adding the daily killing of security people and other civilians shot daily by the militants. These are the major horyfying deaths of the last 60 days. Have you ever heard the president mourn or speak loudly to reduce the the death of the innocent?. I did not. There is no use to demand resignation at this point, but we should never let him come back to preside the security and the lives of our people. In June, 1 2016, Militant group Al-shabaab claimed responsibility for Wednesday attack on Hotel Ambassador . So far 16 people , mostly civilians died , and 55 wounded. Two lawmakers were among them. in June 25, 15 people were killed in Hotel Naaso Hablood . A suicide bomber detonated an explosives-laden vehicle at the gate of a hotel in Somalia's capital, Mogadishu, which was followed by a second explosion with attackers fighting their way inside the building. July, 26 2016 Suicide bombers killed at least 13 people at the gates of the African Union's main peacekeeping base in the Somali capital . The force of the bombings shattered windows at Mogadishu's nearby airport, showered arriving passengers with glass and forced the suspension of flights, police and witnesses said. July,31 2016 At least 10 people have been killed including four attackers in an assault on Somalia;s Criminal Investigation Department (CID). Al-shabaab claimed responsibility after two suicide car bombs struck the gates of the CID headquarters in Mogadishu before at least two gunmen stormed the building. Well, no one should be watching this daily bombings. How long do we have to watch to this incompetence?. Are the citizens of the capital decided to aid Al-shabaab?, or this is some kind of a campaign to intimidate those who are seeking change?. I do not know what is going on.

Holac, he could have been Gulenist, but in this case this man who took the selfie was not an employee of the state or the president. He was a private contractor. In my school, the issue is bigger than the picture. Here , you have the President of The Republic transported by foreign government in his own country. Why would the Americans send a bus or a vehicle to transport the president in a base in his own country. He should have visited there with his security details and greeted with honor guard as the head of the state. Instead , they sent a private contractor to bring him to Balidoogle. By the way, Balidoogle is 90 km from Mogadishu. I spent my national service years in Wanla Weyn , just two kilometers from the base. It takes hour and half to get their from the capital. Waa madaxweyne marti ku ah dalkiisii. Sawirkani waxuu ka turjumayaa basarxumada Culusow.

Those in the western media who are rooting for the coup and kicking Erdogan, probably do not know the evil of Turkish coups of the past. They were more bloodier and ruthless than we have seen for the last 35 years. According to Turkish media , here are the facts of 1980 coup. The Turkish Parliament was dissolved, the Constitution was revoked, all political parties were shut down and their assets were seized. 650,000 people were taken into custody 230,000 people were put on trial 1,683,000 people were blacklisted Military prosecutors demanded the death penalty for 7,000 people 517 people received the death penalty 50 people were hanged The military rule revoked the citizenship of more than 14,000 people 388,000 citizens were denied Turkish passports 30,000 people fled Turkey to seek refuge abroad 299 inmates died in prisons due to "indeterminate" reasons 14 inmates died in hunger strikes 171 people died under torture 3 journalists were killed 4,000 years of prison time was requested for 400 journalists 31 journalists were jailed Newspapers could not print for 300 days 39 tons of newspapers and periodicals were destroyed how can anyone wish this for their countries.

This election seems to be different from the last one in so many ways possible. The pool of those electing the members of Parliament have been increased to thousands. These new formula still favors those who have deep pockets. For the individual person seeking a place in the parliament, the burden has also been increased to convince and reach out as many delegates. The Somali National consultation forum ( Madasha Wada tashiga Qaranka) supposed to meet in July 17, 2016, for another round of negotiations to move the process forward. That process was pushed to July 25, and then further to August 2. There are few sticking points that must be resolved before any elections could take place. The Hiiraan elders are complaining about the Somali President changing their traditional elders to his own elders in order to influence the selecting of the parliament. The an ending issue of Ehlu Sunna and Gakmudug with each trying to have the upper hand , and finally the would be senate members from Somalialnd. While all those issues are technical matters that could be resolved one way or another, the most important issue is the location of the election. If we all want this election to be different, we must take concrete steps that should minimize corruption, increase open debate and safety for those who are participating. Safety is very important for fair and free election. Since Al-shabaab and those who are funding them decided to target members of parliament and other leading voice of the country, it is imperative to hold this election without the fear of the enemy. How can anyone campaign in this climate of fear?, how can someone who is secluded in his own hotel can seek a vote from people congregating different parts of this dangerous city. If we really want this election to be different, we must move to another much saver city with manageable security. Since we could not go to Borama, the safest city in the republic with almost zero crime rate or Hargeisa, the thriving capital of Somaliland , I suggest we should go to Garoowe. It is a medium size city with a lot of resources that could accommodates thousands of Somalis. They got conference halls and other venues for delegates to meet. It has wide open and paved streets and modern hotels. Remember, small village of Arta, Djibouti, has accommodated hundreds of Somalis for almost six months. Because of the size of the city , few hundred Puntland soldiers could be deployed to secure and patrol the streets and other important places. In Garoowe, Somali elders and delegates seeking an office can safely engage and discuss issues with the local, national and international media. They could speak their mind without the fear of Al-shabaab and other contract killers in Mogadishu. If the international community want a free election without intimidation and fear, then they must move the election to Garoowe. Also , a reasonable compromise could be reached with those insisting that Mogadishu should be the place. For example, the electoral delegates who are electing the house of parliament should gather In Garoowe and conclude the election of parliament. The elders and to be members of the parliament can peacefully interact and campaign in Garoowe and elect both the members of parliament and the speaker of parliament. In order to minimize violence and threat on the lives of the parliament members, keep them in Garoowe until 48 hours before the election of the president. Then, fly them to Mogadishu to elect the President. If I had my way , I would have done the whole thing in Garoowe including the election of the president, besides, for most Somalis , going another Somali town and conducting national business should be a normal thing. I know that as soon as this news is announced, the usual suspects will screen and cry foul, but they should know that this is the best interest of the nation to conduct the election in a save place. This is not a demand or advantage , it is the most logical thing to do if you want a peaceful and celebratory gathering of the Somalis. It will open a new page of putting the nation's interest ahead of the politicians who insist every thing is Mogadishu even if it is impossible. The business of restoring national government and the survival of the Somali nation state , is more important than the capital itself. Let us meet in Garoowe with peace and love.

Some times the decisions you make as a leader will effect the history or the future of the country. If Erdogan was a coward or selfish , he would have escaped to Germany or one of those Greek islands, but decided otherwise. Landing the airport reversed the tide . Even flying while enemy jets were circulating the air was a tough move.

Of course it is a cult. They wasted all the good work they did throughout the decades. They were the allies of AKP and Erdogan but decided to take the power through illegal means, With a listening device they bugged all government miniseries and military leaders and recorded all private conversations. In 2013, through these devices, the Gulen prosecutes and judges charged ten cabinet ministers and military generals. Most of the generals were accused for plotting against the government. Through judicial coup , they almost destroyed the government of Erdogan and people poured in the streets. Since they infiltrated all governments , they spilled government secrets and all military operations by feeding their own papers. In fact they are a parallel state that does not want to openly contest elections. This was not a military coup , because most of the leaders of the military , including the chief of staff, the army, air force and navy chiefs did not participate the coup. Through the Turkish intelligence service, the military received around 4:00pm about the coup. They issued ordered grounding all flights and called back those who took off. At 8:00pm all no movement orders were completed, yet the Gulen members embedded in the leadership of military bases issued new orders. Imagine , the chief of staff of the Turkish forces was detained by his own secretary. Erdogan aid de camp, the colonel who should be with President in his travels, was with the coup plotters. Like robots, the Gulist were given orders and they persecuted without questions which is a cult like They did not care about the country or the lives of their citizens. They called themselves the peace counsel. First, evil terrorists bombed Istanbul airport and killed almost fifty people, then the coup followed. I would probably say that the Gulen people had some support from foreign powers to destabilize. Turkey. They are state within the state, yet all the educational and other services provided by this movement should be saved . Schools and hospital services for the needy must be preserved. The biggest fear is the Gulen movement's interest is more important than the people and the state.

What these stooges do not get is that people should not be forced to the formation of this state. The temporary constitution says , " two ore more states would make a federal state, at the same time people should not be forced in to joining one ". Regardless, the consent of the people is paramount. people are free to reject this state. The people of Hiiraan seem to be the last proud Somalis who are trying to get back their freedom from IGAD. Neither Hassan Culusow nor his stooge Gabre, can force these Hiiraan people who seem to know their position well. Soomaalida xorta ahi sidaan ayaey u hadli jireen. " Beled Weyn Allahayow ka dhig Xero Barwaaqo ah"

Che, you are correct. It is false state. If it disintegrates , we will have 10 million refugees in our borders. The first million will settle in Hargeisa.

A US general, Wesley Clark came out early and indirectly told the plotters about their weakness of not controlling TV and internet, and be hold , soon CNN Turk and others media were put off line. They did not condemn immediately the illegal coups attempt, but they are pointing out the how a coup should be staged. If this are your friends, who needs....

I wish Erdogan would have intervened Syria earlier, establish no fly zone and protect the civilians fleeing the conflict within Syria.

Turkey is not Egypt. In NATO, only USA and Britain are more powerful than Turkey. They have the second largest army in NATO . In economic terms, they are #15, and by 2025, they will be the tenth largest economy with 90 million people. Turkey will be stronger despite the failed coup.

Seeing the animosity the Woyane are spreeing in Ethiopia, they will probably be hunted down by other ethnic groups. They are also ready to declare Tigray to be their state as soon as they loose power. This country will be like former Yugoslavia disintegrating in six or more counties.

Exactly , but they will not get their wish.

The Woyane power will disappear as soon as Somalia takes it's place in the horn. I have no doubt.

Turkish media says, a group of soldiers from the first army tried the coup. They took over basically television stations and some important places. The commander of Istanbul region said they are in control and the plotters will be crushed. The plotters killed some police officers which are all against the coup. One of their helicopters were also shot down. They will not succeed. They will get some badly needed publicity from CNN and the foreign press who will have a field day about instability in Turkey. Erdogan will have a good excuse to clean the house from the old guard military members. This is not 1980. Viva Turkey, Viva Erdogan.