He might be a dictator, but he's reasonable. He did not initiate the war wit the TPLF in 98. He agreed to the terms of The Algiers Agreement in 2,000 but it was Meles who didn't honor it. Aferwerki welcomed the change in leadership and tried his best to engage Abiy after Tigray war, but Abiy betrayed him and Amhara, two groups who helped him defeat TPLF. He was never in support of balkanized Ethiopia and was never a fan of ethnic federalism. And as it stands, it's Abiy who is threatening to turn Eritrea into Gaza.

UK, United States, France and Arab countries have been intercepting these missiles. Israel couldn't go on this long without the limitless support of the US. Every month they receive billions in aid. Iran is fighting multiple powers not just Israel.

The Iranians were humiliated when they bought into the idea of ceasefire in Gaza and Lebanon after Ismial Haniyeh was murdered. Its proxy groups will lose confidence in Iran hadn't respond now.

On the plus side, Eritrea and Djibouti are apparently normalizing their relations, further isolating Abiy.

One of Abiy's cheerleaders. This is the actual map of Eritrea. Challenge me if you think I am wrong.

PM Abiy threatens Eritrea and insults Somalia. According to reports coming from Adama, in his closing speech to his party’s conventions, Abiy stunned the audience with these two statements. 1. He can make Eritrea another Gaza in a month’s time. 2. Leaders of Somalia are mere village representative and do not deserve his attention. If confirmed, he has declared war on Eritrea. The question is when? Mentally sane or not, there goes the leader of a 120 million in HoA. https://x.com/faisalroble19/status/1839688796969030035

Apparently, these words were uttered at the conclusion of PP special meeting. Multiple Sources are reporting Abiy Amhed threatened to turn Eritrea into “Gaza” if war was to break out between the two nations in closed PP party meeting in Nazert Shewa. https://x.com/Amhara_News/status/1839706042642366828

More surrender

It was early 1905, thousands of well armed Melenik forces marched all the to Balcad, one hour way from Xamar. Sheikh Hassan Barsane was fighting Melenik and Italians simultaneously. The Biyamal were in fierce war with the Italians. Melenik also tried to invade Somali territory from Gedo. They reached Luuq in 1896. The Geledi [Raxanweyn] Sultanate along with other Somali pushed them back. When people say, Ethiopians have literally been trying to reach the Somali coast through any means for centuries. It is not an exaggeration. If it was not the many Somali souls lost in the defense of Somali territories, we would be speaking Amharic now,

Fano/Amhara forces take control of Rema Shewa 200km outside Addis Ababa.

It was not from lack of trying. If it was not for Ajuran empire, Geledi Sultanate, Adal, and other Somali entities from North to South, they would have taken the Somali sea. They came very close to capturing Banadir if it wasn't for Sheikh Hassan Barsane. "During Meneliks invasions Barsane fought and defeated several thousand Abyssinian forces at Balad and Daafeet (Wanlaweyn district) in the early 1900's."

"We must secure access to the sea, not just port access, at any cost. We missed our first opportunity during Menelik's time, but now a second chance is here, and we will not let it slip away." Video https://x.com/tesfanews/status/1837254846723875174

Fano/Amhara forces captured Merawi Gojjam after destroying ENDF forces 35km outside Bahir Dar.

He wants to lit the whole place ablaze, but he might have started too many fires.

Listen to this guy. This is not about about port. https://x.com/AnalystSomalia/status/1837141015272005979

You are very kind, gentlemen! My views might change or evolve, but I sincerely believe Ethiopia or any group within Ethiopia is a threat not to just to any a Somali state, but the Somali people themselves! We are inconvenient obstacle, and if they can rid off us, they would. This is what they show on their Tv stations every night. The good professor believes Ethiopia can swallow Somalis in small chuncks. "An Ethiopian scholar offers a lazy ass analysis on the potential redrawing of borders in the Horn of Africa—conveniently ignoring his country Ethiopia, which is deeply fractured by ongoing armed conflicts and ethnic divisions. How fitting to ignore the chaos at home while speculating on everyone else’s borders." https://x.com/tesfanews/status/1837189022936080813

Hehe, I will be bad at it, Somali politics is not for the faint of heart.

Laftagareen is in a good position to get reelected even if HSM tries to engineer a sham election in Barawe. HMS's actions and his minion's insults united reer SW in ways that could not have been imagined. HSM will try to extend his term. He is not coming back. Roble burned too many bridges and honestly, nobody trusts a man who stabbed his boss in the back. Sharif would be the best bet. Deni and Farmaajo are other contenders, And there could always be a dark horse.

Gondar is in Fano hands. #Ethiopia : #Fano militiamen and some of their supporters marching through a #Gondar neighborhood completely unopposed. The fall of Gondar, a city of 300K-450K would the largest defeat for the government in years. https://x.com/ThomasVLinge/status/1836149123038196064

Two things might happen this year or next year, SW admin bringing Lower Shabelle completely under their control and dissolution of the Ethiopian empire.

It seems the reason for relocating military resources to the Somali region is to grab as much as land as Abiy can for his Oromo. He has practically given up fighting in the Amhara region. The rumor he wants to bring the Somali region under Oromia jurisdiction which means they can decide how they reshape the administration.

The war is shifting north to Lebanon as pagers and walkie-talkies explode across Lebanon.