Old_Observer

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Posts posted by Old_Observer

  1. Posted

    America:  All my minions need to bring their wants and desires list on Somalia in one week.

     

    UAE - My wants are that Qatar and Turkey do not succeed in anything in Somalia Military, economic, political until I can come back full time to this area after knowing the situation with Iran and Yemen. My representatives are Eritrea and Ethiopia under Eritrea leadership since Abiy is not as free as Afwerki to always do what I want.

    Saudi - Prevent Turkey from taking over. Don't antagonize Djibouti the rest as UAE.

    Egypt - Prevent Turkish by any means. Same as UAE. Tigray, Djibouti, Somaliland, Puntland..weakened and diminished

    Eritrea and Abiy Ethiopia - Who ever even exchanged a handshake with Tigray has to go, if not going must be kicked killed. Who ever had any handshake with Ghelleh should be excluded. Ethiopia adds that USC is most preferred.

    Kenya - Eliminate threats to American bases and operations in my country, border control and trade control

     

    America:

    You all can do your wishes under the following red lines and remember you pay for everything including the diplomatic cover military cover intelligence cover I give you all. You can also do your personal wishes and paybacks.

    Red Lines:

    China

    Turkish

    Russia

     

     

     

     

  2. Posted

    3 hours ago, galbeedi said:

    It is sad Puntland , the most successful regional government of Somalia,  had tied its faith and destiny to that of Ahmed Madoobe who usurped power. What they are going to do if Madoobe is quarantined to Kismaayo and the rest of the region taken over by Somali military?. 

    What would Somalia military be without:

    Puntland, Jubaland, SWS, Somaliland (since you are nationalist) and others who are simply sidelined at this time? Not Much really. All other enclaves Djibouti, Kililka and NFD are not for this as well. That you know it already.

     

  3. Posted


    The Turkish have now officially and openly publicly gone at "war" with the left over of European empires. Not in the Horn of Africa. Its in the Sahel. The Spanish, Portuegese, British and Italians have already made choice, including America. The choice is accomodation with Turkish.

    France is the only one resisting. It will be ignominiously defeated. Erdogan will make a "breakfast" of Macron.

    Horn of Africa, the empty pride part of the world will even be much less important.

    Faarmajo: Don't listen to Egyptian deceptive talk, UAE and its foot soldiers threat and pet talk, dive for it. Qatar if assured of success will finance and invest, Turkish will do the rest from goat herding veterinary to rocket science.


    https://www.aa.com.tr/en/africa/analysis-france-tries-new-tactics-after-losing-influence-in-west-africa/1720306

  5. Posted

    Ethiopia: Despite better harvest, 7M people need relief
    $1B required for emergency response, according to National Disaster Risk Management Commission
    Addis Getachew | 01.02.2020
    Ethiopia: Despite better harvest, 7M people need relief

    ADDIS ABABA, Ethiopia

    In spite of better harvest this year, Ethiopia still faces high number of people needing emergency food and non-food assistance, according to the National Disaster Risk Management Commission.

    “The number of people requiring food emergency stands at six million,” Debebe Zewde, NDRMC public relations director, told Anadolu Agency on Friday.

    He said one million people in the country were in need of non-food emergency assistance, bringing the total number of people in need of emergency assistance to 7 million.

    The nation requires $1billion for emergency relief supply for the current year, he said.

    The number of people needing food and non-food emergency assistance went down by one million owing to “good harvests of the main rainy season,” he said.

    “An appeal has already been made for a total of $1 billion to cater for the food or non-food needs of the stated number of people,” he said.

    “The cyclic drought which previously came once every decade is being more frequent in Ethiopia,” he said.

    “The Ethiopian government caters for the lion’s share of the requirement meeting the needs of 4.5 million people,” he said, while the UN World Food Programme and NGOs cover for the balance.

    According to him, $400 million will be used to supply emergency food for the needy while the balance will go into the supply of non-food needs such as health, education, clean water, among others.

    Apart from this, Ethiopia has 7.9 million people who are brought under the fold of what has been termed as Safety Net -- a productive safety mechanism married with development whereby people are required to work for food.

  6. Posted


    It should be a rule for all, but Somebody in position of authority of village, region or country should never disrespect followers/believers of any faith.

    These guys have never heard the saying Putin's Rabbai, Putin's Mufti and Putin's Patriarch.

  7. Posted

    So embarrassing. I think the Nobel price went to half value and questionable already.

    One of Trump supporters just repeated it and went on a tirade why people accuse Trump of being racist when Trump saved a black country in Africa from infighting.

    What did the Americans tell Tigray?
    What did the Americans tell Ghelleh? Since those were the two that mattered at the time.

    Is America a little bit easier on Ghelleh, because of that arrangement or because of Saudi help for Djibouti?


    Ethiopia calls itself oldest independent and never colonized in Africa. But in the same sentence backward and poor and can't feed itself.

    That is Orwellian.

    At least the Somali, Afghan, Yemeni and others have obvious reason to blame, bloody location.


  9. Posted

    Here are 4 facts that will never change:

    1. The Somali has never been under one state, sultanate, kingdom, empire, law (human law), governance system for the last 1000 years; to this day minute and second. Everyone agrees on this fact.
    If hopefully in the future becomes one empire then that is new creation no restoration. You cannot restore something that never existed.

    2. In the 19th century different parts of the Somali reacted differently to the new phenomenon of Europeans. Before then was Persians, Xabeshi, Turkish,
    a. South in the republic today was the easiest taken with some resistance and some dealing, but easiest none the less
    b. Djibouti was taken by agreement. Since the Afar has agreed the Somali was left with not many options. Who ever did not like the new arrangement went to Kililka or taday's Somaliland.
    c. Kililka was the most complex one. There was resistance some of the greatest by Somalis, but there was also agreements. Example some Kililka Somali preferred to ally with Xabeshi hoping the Xabeshi were going to fight against Europeans. Which the Xabeshi did, but only those in the North. The Xabeshi that came to Kililka were selected and ordained by Europeans. Kililka fought and lost, negotiated and lost.
    d. Somaliland was distrusted by the British. All the British did was just not to have a rebellion. No long term plans, no deep interaction, thus even the name is protectorate not colony like Kenya, Sudan, Uganda etc
    e. NFD is a nomad that went too far to another continent. Like the Englishmen in America. Some continued being British others rebelled and made new country new system. NFD is a nomad cought with unprepared, unawares that all the Omani, Portuguese, Ottoman...are never coming back. Only Europeans. So no resistance no negotiation no name ind of arrangement to this day.
    f. Puntland of course like any european kingdom except it did not have allies that are free, self governing, with modern state structure around. The Xabeshi found it too risky, they were scared even to say HI to Puntland, if the Italians, British or French should see them from the corner of their eye.

    That was the history.

    Instead of spending time and energy trying to "change something that did not exist, or manufacturing fictions how about doing something that is achievable economically, peacefully and supporting each other:
    Let the Somali be successful everywhere now and leave all other expensive in life and treasure, uncertain, very little chance of success if at all.

    Aren't you all happy of the Somali in Djibouti? I bet you deep down even Somailanders feel good about Ghelleh as they knife each other. Kililka people are happy that such a Somali leader exists under the circumstances.

    • Like 1

  10. Posted

    New assignment from America for everybody

    Arabs to pay to a penny for any assignment in the Horn of Africa. Trump
    All major assignments to be issued by USA

    USA will have minimum of presence in Horn if not in Africa.
    Ethiopia, Eritrea have to cover for Somalia, Djibouti and Sudan.

    The three amigos internal problems are worst than what they were last year.

    All that propaganda of integration has died. Pipeline Ethiopia to Eritrea is now not only forgotten, but you would be an enemy if you mention it. Ethiopia Djibouti pipeline will be completed soon.

    Abiy's greatest challenge is Oromo. Tigray, South, Afar and to some extent Somali are out of the game. Bidding time just like IOG.

    Abiy opponents will win in Oromo and ONLF and friends will win in Kililka. That musch is known and accepted so far.
    Afwerki problems are the same, but diplomatically much weaker.

    Farmaajo's of course is most known in the SOL republic.

  11. Posted

    Kililka and Oromo and even the South Kilil should be more of a focus than central Somalia

    Population 50 Million. Concentration 3-4 times to that of Somalia.

    Only infrastructure needed good rood to Jigjiga or Dirdahaba after that there is good highways and railroad.

     

    Competition almost none.

    Djibouti has enough business will not feel any pain if Berbera takes 20% of Ethiopian business right away all at once.

    Eritrea case looking hopless by the day. UAE has abondoned all that highway, pipeline etc Arab fake talk for African dictators (the Don not included). Ethiopian business people do not want since no governance and legal system in place.

     

     

     

  12. Posted

    On 1/24/2020 at 6:51 AM, Dhagax-Tuur said:

    Can you elaborate on this? I fail to see the muscle that these two countries have to prevent Turkish influence in the region.  Unless other powers are using them. 

     

    Both Ethiopia and Eritrea are American assigned and in Trump's way UAE/SAUDI financed. The Arabs pay and America gives tasks. The Arabls also give Ethiopia and Eritrea assignments as long as it does not conflict with America.

    Example: Arabs/UAE was so enthusiastic and chest pumping to crush Djibouti. America senate had designated Djibouti risk to national security, UAE had Eritrea on the ready. UAE spent billions in Ethiopia. They all tried nothing worked.

    Now the Saudis are back in Djibouti. That was funny. UAE is billions out and nothing to show for it.

    Eritrea has to stop Suakin/Sudan and Ethiopia has to stop Somalia from any Turkish plans.

  13. Posted

    Greetings to Caare as well if he is still your hero.

    Facts:

    Puntland told him game is over. The game between Puntland and Somliland has fundamentally changed

    He was told by every Somali who cares that this sub-sub-clanish conflict cannot be allowed to continue. Has gone on for ages and is beyond water well, town zoning, grass lands...fight. It has transformed beyond tolerable.

    He got a Djibouti passport and to add insult to injury to him, it was not Somaliland that got for him, it was Puntland folks that asked for him.

    Thanks to IOG and Somalilands patience.

    I knew this man and President Martin were going no where except to collect some face book money and get some poor Nomads killing each other.

    If you were banking on Farmaajo to use Caare then you don't know Puntland.

  15. Posted

    1 hour ago, Dhagax-Tuur said:

    I don't know but this very thought occurred to me,  wallaahi few years back.  Handing everything (and I mean almost everything) over to the Turks until we recover consciousness. 

     

    To the naysayers,  we are lucky we have partners in Turks, not to mention the gesture of brotherhood Tayyip has shown us in 2011. 

    Too late now.

    Ethiopia and Eritrea are the national guard against Turkish.

    Farmaajo missed the opportunity to have 20000 regular 2000 special soldiers trained equiped by Turkish quietly. Instead he went to Addis and Asmara and was told to stop andything Turkish and he did.

     

    Turkey was second to China in Ethiopia 2 years ago. Now Turkish if at all are only active in Afar and Tigray. In Amxara they even burned Turkish investments.

     

     

  16. Posted

    This man will have guaranteed job if not president will be minister to take one of the spots allocated for Somalilanders.

    But to be a synic about Oodweyne and Suldanka, me thinks Somaliland is trying to influence Mugadishu.

     

    What could be better than having two Tigray (Meles and Afwerki) on opposite sides of the table?

    What could be better than having Winston Churchill and FDR or Boris Johnson and Trump all New Yorkers.

     

     

  17. Posted

    19 hours ago, Che -Guevara said:

     

    Quotable and educationable.

    Saddly does not work these times of drowned out nobility of character.

    Beledweyne area has suffered from changing hands, Ethiopia, about 3-4 Somalia forces and even AMISOM. Chosing and sticking with Djibouti would have done wonders for them. Atleast Ethiopia would never bother them and Shabab or ICU types would not have used them.

  18. Posted

    21 hours ago, Che -Guevara said:

    I am beginning to warm to the Turks for the simple reason that simultaneously managed to piss off the Arab, Greeks, and Israelis.

    As for the possible projects, there needs a clear process that is transparent and well defined.

    Che,

    You should warm up to the Turkish since they are moving upwards. Everyone is nice when moving upwards. Even America, British, French..were very nice moving up.

    The Turkish are moving up on the pecking order in the world. They are now same level as France and Britain. The Turkish of course culturally have moderation, which is good thing.

    As for Somalia, Farmajo need to either repair the failure or get out. The failure is that by this time he should have had 20,000 trained army in Somalia and 2000 special operations trained in Somalia and Turkey.

    He totally failed this most important objective for Somalia, being scared of UAE and its African scouts Abiy and Afwerki.

     

  19. Posted

    15 hours ago, Xaaji Xunjuf said:

    Do you guys think the turks are doing this for free very naive to say. The turks are doing this for their own benefit and want to own  Somalia in the long term if they already not own it

    If you are going to be kissing behinds of others, you should find a cleaner behind to kiss. The Turkish behind is the cleanest by a mile as far as all horn of Africa is concerned including Xabeshi.

    But remember that even choosing behinds is a very risky situation.

    What happened in Ethiopia is excellent lesson.

    You only have one option. Let go of some benefits and keep your dignity and patience. Even that is difficult since they will come for you if you are in strategic location and you have oil that is Somalia.

     

     

  21. Posted

    LONDON

    Britain's reserved approach towards Egypt following a bloody coup by General Abdel Fetah al-Sisi in 2013 has certainly changed since the putschists took over the North African country's governance, but as a new decade just started weeks ago, the U.K. has now sealed its endorsement for the coup government with numerous multimillion-dollar deals signed on Monday.

    Desperate to make new global connections to minimize the great financial loss that is inevitable when Brexit takes full effect, the U.K. is trying very hard to make new trade deals across the globe at the expense of sensitivities towards basic values, including democracy and human rights.

    The Tory government's hysterical constant search for trade income for the post-Brexit future is somewhat reminiscent of the frenzied hunt by the 15th-century shippers for an alternative route to the riches of the Orient and beyond.

    Having an obvious and now-certain financial setback after leaving the world's most lucrative economic bloc, the U.K. has made many attempts to expand its economic efficiency across the globe.

    A massive trade deal with the U.S., which has been discussed, debated and scrutinized by all political parties since prospects for it emerged shortly after the EU referendum in 2016, remains the greatest deal the U.K. is eyeing.

    The latest example for the new motto "we would do anything for a strong U.K." finds life in lucrative deals signed with Egypt under Sisi.

    The now very powerful Tory government of Prime Minister Boris Johnson has published a series of new deals signed with Egypt during the U.K.-Africa Investment Summit held Monday in London.

    The summit invited the Egyptian president alongside leaders from 20 other African countries to serve Britain's desire to expand its economic power.

    Johnson's International Trade Secretary Liz Truss made British intentions obvious in a statement.

    "Africa represents a huge opportunity for U.K. businesses, so it’s brilliant to see so many British firms paving the way in trading and investing in the region today to drive growth, create jobs and boost vital infrastructure."

    However, the biggest deals were agreed, of course, with Egypt, as Bombardier (U.K.'s biggest train makers) signed a £3.18 billion ($4.94 billion) contract for constructing and operating two monorail lines in Cairo, and Rolls Royce sold £50 million worth of aircraft engines. Fashion and homeware retailer Matalan and pharmaceutical company GlaxoSmithKline also signed investment deals with Egypt.

    Egypt has raised $22 billion for government bonds on the London Stock Exchange, and the U.K. is one of the biggest investors in Egypt, with $48 billion invested across all sectors including oil and gas, telecommunications, pharmaceuticals and fast-moving consumer goods according to a statement released by both countries.

    Thousands of people in London are protesting against Sisi’s visit to Britain, as he is the architect of one of the bloodiest coups in the last decade.

    Egypt’s first democratically elected president, Mohamed Morsi, and hundreds of other members of the Muslim Brotherhood -- the ruling party before the military took over in the 2013 coup -- have been sentenced to death. Morsi collapsed and died in a soundproof cage designed to silence him in an Egyptian courtroom. The 67-year-old leader was lying "slumped on the floor" for more than 20 minutes and was left there by prison guards despite calls for help by other inmates.

    Last weekend, an international justice chambers filed a request with British police for Sisi's arrest during his visit to Britain over torture and death allegations against him.

    Guernica 37 asked London's Metropolitan Police Service Counter Terrorism Command to "commence an investigation into credible allegations of torture made against the Egyptian government and its state organs."

    The group said this is a matter that has been taken to UN Special Rapporteur Agnes Callamard for the opening of an inquiry into the death of the late president and his son, Abdullah Morsi.

    But the request will probably fall on deaf ears as the crimes had not been committed on U.K. soil and there has not been a UN-led probe into them or any kind of Interpol arrest warrant against Sisi.

    William Hague, foreign secretary under British Prime Minister David Cameron, had said following the 2013 coup that the U.K. did "not support military interventions as a way to resolve disputes."

    "We always condemn military intervention in democratic systems. What we want and what we support is a democratic future for Egypt," he added.

    Boris Johnson is now prepared to give the red carpet treatment to Sisi a day after the summit with African leaders to further improve Britain’s relations with him and his country.

    He will not have in mind the bloody coup, allegations of human rights abuses, thousands of people still kept in prisons, or any other allegations pointed at Sisi but the mouth-watering deals in cozy No. 10 Downing Street.

    The 15th-century European explorers found the Cape of Good Hope to reach the riches of the Orient, but the U.K.'s endorsement of an anti-democratic power grab in Egypt will certainly give no hope to those who promote democracy across the world.
    Anadolu Agency