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Everything posted by galbeedi
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Man, the Franji is playing tricks on us. All they have to do was tell Dani and Madoobe to sign or there will be sanctions. Case closed. Why they always love to supervise a game of chickens. The two year extension is an open ended. It could be 13 months, 9 months or less depending how the vote is managed.
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The presidency can't be won by the strength of one's militia. I do not see any HG candidate who has any chance of winning. The Unaka boya had to agree on one single candidate and defeat Farmaajo in the ballot box. At the moment it is difficult to defeat Farmaajo with elections. Keep your premier and support Farmaajo or you will be " Dilaaliin" for Unaka. One more thing , if anyone tries to take by force or coup, Somalia will be fragmented for ever. That is not a threat but a real possibility. Every clan would have its own state. Ninka diida in Farmaajo xulumo anigana i Xukuni maayo.
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I agree with Sanbaloolshe. If the opposition couldn't even find people to protest for them, how in the world are they gonna find fighters to die for them? Waxay sugayeen in Farmaajo meesha uga tago oo ay cidla ka qaataan. Zero chance. If the 15 men opposition are ready come to the court. Kursigu 15 nin ma qaadee , ninkii idin mataleyey soo saara.
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Dalmar, that is the spirit. You should be "Af hayeenka Beesha". Rooble is a young prime minister, but he seems to be very calm and well grounded person. His prestige is growing by the day and he needs the support of the Somali people and his community. It is a shame that Shariif Ahmed and company are using your community as fuel for their bone fire. Look the actions of Ahmed Faqi. Qoor Qoor added to his cabinet in Galmudug to reconcile his community and find common ground, yet he is not even flowing respectable political customs. His boss and leader of Galmudug had supported the decision of the parliament. If he disagrees with him , he should first resign and speak out against his leader. If he was smart, he should have been quite . Siyaasad loom dhintee dalkaaga loo dhintaa.
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Adeer Qoriga Ha ii Dhiibin. Despite the smart phones and loss of the original Somali, there are still young Somali poets mesmerizing us with their talents.
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Shisheeyuhu waa Faranjiga, iyo ka dhulka nagu haysta.
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Che, The first statement of the American ambassador is to maintain the unity of the international community. They realized that Ethiopia, Eritrea, Turkey and Qatar support the government. The UK ambassador is almost on board. So, there is fragmentation here among the IC. Turkey also might be looking support for the government. The US decided to bring their soldiers back. I think it will be a coalition government to lead the nation for inclusive election.
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THose who are still waiting waiting an indirect tribal election should think twice. Farmaajo is clear, the African Union will facilitate one man one vote.
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Mogadishu (PP News Desk) — The President of the Federal Republic of Somalia Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed, who is visiting Democratic Republic of the Congo, has expressed support for an African Union mediator role to break the electoral impasse in Somalia. “I welcome @ AfricanUnion to take a leading role in facilitating an election process in which every citizen elects their representatives through free and fair elections. All Somali stakeholders will actively participate in the dialogue on the future of our democracy” tweeted President Mohamed.
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No one is claiming Farmaajo to be saint or even great. What we are looking is small incremental growth. It is not good to shuffle deck all the time. It takes time for institutional reforms , whether it is finance, military or foreign policy to take strong roots. If hassan Sheikh was allowed four more years , he might have achieved something regardless of his corruption and other weaknesses. First year is usually consumed by appointing prime minister and building a régime, and the last year, as we have is consumed by electioneering and " Xadhig jiid". Basically what you have is a two and half year government. Let us give one leader eight years and see.
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Xaaji , you are too late. The fear of Al-shabaab taking over Mogadishu is almost nil these days. They have been decimated in Awdeegle and Bariire. The Somali army is talking over the command of Banaadir are (Balcad, Afgooye and Mogadishu) from Amisom. Farmaajo is probably negotiating the withdrawal of African troops by end of the year.
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Dadka ma xoolo ayey moodayaan. Gabadh ayaa I million oo doolar u soo dhiibatay nin kulaha. Gorma ayey dumarka dahabka iibiya ay noqdeen maalqabeen malaayin doolar haysta. Since when a small jewelry trader in Sleigh, Nairobi moves millions of dollars across airports? We know Somali ladies who trade in jewelry, and they are small business owners with little margins of profit. There are legitimate Hawala to transfer money. They must be investigated throughly.
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Che, what is this? this is a wrong title. are you trying to click bait us like Youtubers? Kinsasha is the home of the current chair of AU.
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A storm is gathering in Mogadishu and particularly in Halane. While the parliament extension eliminated the constitutional vacuum, , the threat of clashes between the opposition and the government is still there. The constant loud pronouncements of certain segments to confront the government and create chaos didn't disappear. There are a lot of speculation among the people and the politicians to resolve the impasse and find ways to move forward. In order to gage what is been cooked behind the curtain, a group of us contacted an insider who have great access within the Somali government and the international community. Here are the main points of our conversation. Galbeedi & Company: what is the latest in Mogadishu? The Analyst: At the moment there are no serious instability or violence in Mogadishu, but the current tension shouldn't be allowed to continue. If things get worse, it might seriously impact the situation of the people who are already facing poverty, unemployment and Covid_19. To add insecurity and displacement on top of the existing challenges is unacceptable. GC: The government and the parliament got their extension, but the pressure to the government from the opposition and the international community is not abetting at the moment. Is there any movements for a compromise? TA: Farmaajo had met the international community yesterday and there are movements to resolve the issue. GC: are the opposition willing to accept the September 17 . TA: The opposition never planned to accept Sep 17, and will not accept now no matter what. GC: What other deals could be made rather than go back to the 17 September? TA: The international community is worried about the deterioration of the situation and want to resolve the issue without undermining the Somali institutions. They always insist on compromise. At the moment, they believe the current two-year extension couldn't be sustained without the acceptance of the main opposition. They are devising a mechanism which gives the opposition a seat on the table to organize the election. GC: What kind of scenario is possible? TA: They probably will not undermine or reject the resolution of the parliament, but they might propose a coalition government that guides the country to one man one vote within two years. GC: What kind of coalition government are you in mind? TA: Farmaajo will keep his presidency , but the opposition will get the prime minister and together they might lead the country to accepted election of one man one vote. Since the opposition had already rejected a Farmaajo led election and refused to sign the agreement authored by themselves, the only way to move ahead will be to find another way. Other than refuse to sign and cripple Farmaajo, the opposition doesn't have any plan B's, so others must find one. GC: Who you have in mind to be the prime minister representing the opposition? TA: For starters, Shariif Ahmed could fill the post of the premier very well. He is an influential member of the opposition and he is more nationalist compared to some others. In this scenario the opposition will have a say how the national election is conducted throughout the country. GC: Shariif as a president is one thing, but does he have the capacity to manage? TA: When he was asked about the sea boundaries with Kenya, he said he had no idea how it was negotiated or signed. It was Cali Mahdi who after 30 years realized his ignorance of disbanding the national army when the treacherous SNM prime minister Cumar Carte told him the idea of the military handing their weapons to insurgents. I hope Shariif Ahmed had learned a lot since then. GC: Do you thing a government led by Shariif Ahemed whose defence minister is C/rahman C/shakuur is acceptble to Farmaajo? how is that even possible? TA: It is a difficlut proposal for Farmaajo to accept, but it is one of the scenario the IC is pushing for now. A compromise of that nature took place in Kenya before between Raila Odinga and Uhhuru Kenyatta. GC: in this scenario the Galmudug boys would lose the prime minister's position., right? TA: Yes. While large segments of the Galmudug supports Farmaajo, it could be said that the most vocal ones are from Galmudug. GC: Isn't that very strange. The Galmudug boys are fiercely fighting against the government, yet if Farmaajo loses , they will not be getting the crown. In 1991, they fought to depose Siyaad Barre, yet the crown was given to Cali Mahdi. It seems they are not leaning any lesson from the past. TA: I do believe that the majority of Galmudug community and elders support the Farmaajo and Rooble government, but these vocal ones are mostly the former students of Shariif Ahmed and Hassan Sheikh. Ahmed Faqi, Mahad Salaad, C/eahman C/shakur, and Odowa are all former lieutenants of these former presidents and they are trying to prove their loyalty. GC: Does the international community has the same leverage like before to affect the change they desire? TA: the issue of the Somali regional geopolitics is still active. The field is even crowded. Before the major players were mostly western, but now the vocal ones are Kenya, UAE, Qatar and others. There is nothing wrong for the IC to look after its interest , but Somali political players should always have red lines and should never allow anything the degrades the honor of the nation. They couldn't pass some of the one-sided resolutions in the security council anymore since China and others would not allow anything that undermines the sovereignty of Somalia. While they do not have the same influence like before, they still have the capacity to create chaos, and at the moment the country is fertile to saw discord among the players and create chaos. There is no other route than compromise. No one including Farmaajo can win this contest. Soon some regions might be blockaded or disrupted and there are a lot of actors, including Puntland who might make things worse. Most of all, we haven't seen the future plans of Hassan and company to goad the government for confrontation. No one in Somalia should even think of using violence to reach a political goal, so at the end there will be a resolution. GC: I heard that in the closed meeting with the international community at Affessione, Farmaajo had told the IC to limit their interference and demanded the UN envoy to leave if can't assist the government to achieve resolutions with the opposition. Is that true? TA: Yes, he did speak his mind, but that is only one part of the discussion. After the initial heated discussion, he asked them if they have any other idea to resolve the issue. They suggested this idea of coalition government that will lead to an election within two years, and Farmaajo told them he will think about it. Some even suggest that there are already movements on that direction, and the army commander had a meeting with Shariif Ahmed. GC: How did we reached this bad situation? TA: They used Khayre to delay and eventually deny the implementation of the agreement and they have succeeded ( Wahktiga ayey ka rideen si ay garbo siman u noqdaan wayna ku guulaysteen). They never wanted to take part an election led by Farmaajo. In the last meeting in Affessione, they raised two main points. First the abolition of the parliament and the president to sign a letter abdicating his authority. The second one is the command of the military to be transferred from Farmaajo. The president doesn't control the security of Jubbaland and Puntalnd , yet they want him to weaken his authority in Mogadishu. GC: But others say Farmaajo also had a hidden plan to extend his term. TA: If that is the case, why did he sign the Sep 17 agreement and Baidoa compromise of February? GC: Tell us about C/laahi Dani and Ahmed Madoobe in these moves. TA: Other than oppose Farmaajo and drag the time to expire his mandate, they do not have a plan . While Puntland is maneuvering around , at the moment , their geographical location makes them irrelevant at the Mogadishu based crisis. Folks, according to this gentleman the extension of the parliament wasn't the end of the beginning, but a new beginning to end the issues. Ciyaarta waa bilaw ayuu yidhi.
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Answering to mööryaan Mahad Salaad and co.
galbeedi replied to Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar's topic in Politics
Faisal Rooble had backed Abdi Illey till last second. He is among those who missed Abdi Illey and the TPLF. He is lamenting about the good relationship Somalia has with Abiy lled Ethiopia. People did listen to him and the likes Abdi Samater because they were pro Somalia and nationalist. As soon as they jumped to the sectarian caravan, we consider them as disgruntled fools whose time had eclipsed. I heard that he is adviser to Ahmed Madoobe. Go figure. in one of his articles, he said " Both Hassan Sheikh Mahmoud and Sheikh Sharif Ahmed, who hails from Banadir region, transferred power peacefully. Alas, Mr. Farmajo, whose constituents are mainly from the middle Somalia" , that is totally false . Neither Shariif Ahmed nor Hassan Sheikh is from Benaadir. In fact, Hassan Sheikh is from Mareeg region of Galgaduud, while Farmaajo is born and raised in Banaadir. Farmaajo had exposed many people. -
A protest by a regional parliament is a “concern “ as they say in this part of the world, but they can’t overrule the federal parliament. Everyone must show his public support. Let us see how many votes Ina Cabdishakur could get from Mogadishu or Dhuusamareeb. Let at us see how the “ Unaka” boys, from Hassan Sheikh , Sharrf Ahmed , Dahir Grelle, Ina Cosoble and others join forces and choose their leader. My friends , the coming spring of 2022 should be the year of the campaign. Get your banners, slogans and be ready for election contest. Where is that arrogant and ugly proff. Abdi Samatar? for years he used to describe the Somali indirect election as an auction where the highest bidder wins the presidency. I am sure he might not be able to fill a bus since those from his town of Gabiley are already committed to vote Muuse Biixi. I want to see how many votes the “ Madasha” of Dani and Hassan Sheikh will get from Boosaaso and Banaadir. Do you know who is a native of Mogadishu between Haasan Sheikh and Farmaajo?. Hassan Sheikh is from Mareeg area of Galgaduud and he has no connections in the capital while Farmaajo is born and raised in Mogadishu.
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Reerahan awooda leh ee la sheego ma cirkay awooda ka heleen, sow Ethiopia ma soo hubayn. Marka kuwan kale ay helaan meel hub u soo maro iyo awood daba joogta, filo adigana in ay ku dumiyaan. If these so called Laandhere has the numbers why they afraid of fair election?
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Waar ninka waa la dulmay. Beentii iyo khayaanadoodii ayuu iftiimiyey. Farmaajo is a victim. The fact is they signed the agreement and decided to change their mind. Then they added three more points, namely Gedo, Somaliland delegates and election commission. Those three issues were resolved in Baidoa through the technical committees. The three main issues were resolved according to their terms. Wareysigan waxa uu iftiimiyey in mucaaradku diyaar u ahayn doorasho. I urge the Somali people to give this man another mandate. He really deserves to be the leader. In 2016, I said people like Farmaajo will not be carrying water for no body but for the Somali people. "The parliament must be disbanded, the national security leadership fired, and the president should accept his status as non president". These obstacles from the two regions is unacceptable to any sane person. It is strange that the so called international community understood clearly the main sticking points, yet decided to keep calling useless meetings for months. Ninkii taageera dadweeyne haystaa, ha isa soo diyaariyo. Soomaaliya way ka dhamaatay 60 oday iyo qabaa'il meel lagu soo ururiyo. Let us see if the 15 member opposition men form their own parties and fight for votes. Let Khayre go to Dayniile and find a million vote to win many seats. " Xalane iyo beesha caalamka ayaan marti u nahay" Farmaajo really destroyed Dani and Ahmed Madoobe. Xageed ku aragtay nin gurigiisa marti ka noqonayaa, oo hoos fadhiisanaya nin masaafur ah oo isaga marti u ah. Folks, this interview sealed the deal for the extension. I doubt anyone in Mogadishu will side with C/laahi Dani and Ahmed Madoobe.
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I know it is a tough call. Bullets flying is the hope of many in the opposition, yet I hope they will get that criminal one day. At the same time there are some who believe that the way Farmaajo deals with the first outlaw might set the tone.
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If Sadiq John is not arrested and prosecuted to the full extend of the law, Farmaajo doesn’t understand how serious this issue is. This fool has decided to exchange from his general rank to a warlord. Waar waxu doqonsanaa. Ma omga miyaa in uu ku dhuumanayey magaca dawlada. Nin general ku bedeshay dagaal ooge kan ayaanu stag ay. Ninkan iyo cidii ka dambeysay ha la soo qabto.
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Yes I did, but that was before all these shenanigans. Everyone with a brain knew pacifying Mogadishu was the real deal. Disarming the criminals and other bandits including many killers deputized to fight Al-shabaab, would have minimized future clashes. Everyone knows that not every bombing and criminal act in Mogadishu is committed by Al-shabaab. America had hired many drug dealers and Afghan warlords to fight the Taliban with minimum success. The opposition have the right to debate and refuse the government extension, but any act to encourage outlaws and criminals to destabilize the capital must be crushed. Somalia laba dawladood kama jiri laraan. 34 jirkan generaalka sheegtay, toban sano ka horna ahaa budhcadka ahaa Somalia ma qasi karo.
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He has huge support across the country. Here is my own unofficial poll. Awdal 90%, woqoyi Glalbeed 30%, Togdheer 50%, Sool 100% Sanaag 70%, Nugaal 20%, Bari 60%, Mudug 60, Galgaduud 60%, Hiiraan 50%, shabeelaha dhexe 30%, Benaadir 70%, Sh.Hoose 80%, Bay 90%, Bakool 80%, Gedo 90%, Jubada Dhexe 90%, Jubbada Hoose 70%. Despitr his huge support, I think Speaker Mursal and the parliament should be in the negotitions table. I do believe that since the political vacuum is resolved by the parliament, Farmaajo could make a deal. There are two scenarios: First , since the real opposition is IC, he could mobilize Somalis against Beesha Lixaad and take his chances. In this scenario, anything could happen including losing everything. The second one is bring the parliament to table and reconcile the September 17 agreement and the extension. He could demand and instruct the IC to order groups within the regions to sign the agreement without condition. In this case you do not need " Teendhada Affessione" but a quick meeting of the regions to sign the agreement without conditions. Then the parliament might amend their law and conduct the elections within the next nine months or 13 months.
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meel walba qaylaa ka baxaysa. Farmaajo hadduu taliyo rag badan oo aan hore u tagi jirin ayaa tegeya. Muuse Biixi, C/laahi Dani, Hassan sheikh, Shariif Ahmed , Ahmed Madoobe, iyo kuwa kale oo laga yaaba in uu ku jiro Geelaha Djibouti. Dhedheer dhimatoo dhulkii waa nabad.
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So, you guys are not firing any gun but cheering others to fight. Cajib. The extension and election issue might be solved after the talk of Farmaajo is not president mantra subsides and the opposition comes to their senses. Little advice for you Mr. Mastermind. Do not cheer for a criminal outlaw against the national government. Haadaad aragto qawlaysato iyo dawlad is haya , weligaa dawlada taageer. Dhagar qabe dhiig badan qaba sida Sadiq naf kuuma haya adiga iyo kuwa Muqdisho jooga midna.