galbeedi

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Everything posted by galbeedi

  1. Of course. An Oromo prime minister supposed to have a different outlook than a Tigray or Amhara , that is given, but I read these issues in totally different lenses. I also agree that there is no need to blame Ethiopia for looking after their interest. First, the issue has nothing to do with trade. It is all about imposing a false image of Ethiopian power to show those who bankroll them, whether it is UAE or others , that a weak Somalia could be persuaded to many impossible or unfeasible ideas at this time. Ethiopia per se, doesn't build it's own infrastructure with their own money. Their high ways, dams, the train from Djibouti and others are mostly paid by Chinese loan and foreign loans As we speak , their foreign currency exchanges have depleted which is why the UAE is depositing a billion dollar to shore up. A beggar nations can't spare any money to others. As I said, the main problem is the Somali leadership and those who are probing them. When I asked those who are on the know on these issues, the answer we are getting is simple and familiar for most Somalis. A weak and venerable Somali leader is asking favors for an exchange to give away the Somali shop just like the one before him--Hassan Sheikh Mohamuud. Those who are on the know told us that Farmaajo had asked Abiy Ahmed to keep out the regional leaders and deal only with federal government in exchange for giving the ports to front companies from UAE and Ethiopia. Isn't that the same thing he asked the last prime minister Desalegn?. Madaxweynayaasha kale iga celi , aniguna dekedaha iyo waxii kale ee aad rabto Ayaan kuu xaraashi. At least, Siilaanyo and Biixi got few millions in their pockets and the promise to join the gulf coalition .Despite the bad deals they signed, they did not hide their intension to join both to Ethiopia and UAE. He is basically asking a foreign power who had worked overtime to weaken the Somali state to prop up his power. The legitimate leader of Somalia is asking all kinds of help from Ethiopia,. If that is the case, then why would we blame Somali regions and tribes who want to survive in the age of conflict and uncertainty? Farmaajo should now that there is no short cut to bring the Somali state No one can dig you out of the mess but yourself and the Somali people. No Ethiopian help, American drones, or the work of foreigners will bring Somalia back. Bal is weydi oo waa maxay go'aamada qadhaadh ee aad qaadatay si aad dalka u so celiso. Mucaarad la eedeeyo iyo reer hebel baa I hortaagan kaama saarayso. Aakhirka, halbeegu waa maxaad qabatay. Shaqo culus iyo go'aamo qadhaadh oo lagu afgembiyayo fawdada sodnka sano soo socotay ayaa lagaa rabaa.Dad badan waa In ay qayliyaan , oo aanad u joojin geediga. Three regional governments (Hiiraan, Galmudug iyo Koonfur Galbedd) reside with you in Mogadishu. Each one of them must fly to reach the capital since roads are dangerous, yet they claim to be " Maamul" Finally, a government that resides at the Mogadishu green zone doesn't have any mandate to negotiate future Somali ports or trade with neighbors. I In this transition time, Since you are the legitimate and recognized government of Somalia, your main goal at this juncture is to defend the territorial integrity of the country including the maritime borders in the international arena and the UN. Inta laguu imaanayo, dalka iyo dadka na sii gaadhsii oo fadlan ha xaraashin.
  2. UK, a small island in Europe has more GDP than the combined GDP of the Arab league. In fact before the oil boom of the last fifteen years, the GDP of Spain was almost equal to that of the Arab league. If you got the land, the sea, the agriculture , mining and strategic location, you must build your trade routes. Huge wealth could be created quickly, but one must know and believe that the nation and it's wealth is enough more than the small hungry tribe who fears poverty.
  3. Of course , if people unite their "Quluub" and trust in Allah good things will come. On the issue of printing money, I was hoping that Somlia would adopt a new or revised currency with logical and feasible money which must be different than current denominations which is too much to carry for everyone. So far what I heard or seen is they just want to keep the same old money and add a 5000 paper denominations. . OO, that is exactly how they should be judged. After two years of running around and projecting certain image , if they can't pass Afgooye or Balcad, they must be considered a failure. If they can not pass the Mogadishu green zone , they have no right to talk about ports or other problems rising from this region. Of course Farmaajo should welcome him and play along, but he should know that respect for the republic is earned with us Somalis. He should know that a false image or propaganda will not replace hard results on the ground. The fact is the so called ports issue must wait until Somalia earns a government that could defend its legitimacy and enforce its constitutional demands. Everything else is the usual " Xadhig Jiid" of Somalia. OO, The Saudis have a short term goal defeating the Houthies in Yemen, and they are willing to bring as much ma power they could get. The defeat of the Houthies will happen sooner or later. The Houties must accept truce or get crushed because as a northern minority, they can not rule Yemen by force, and Iran must not be allowed to threaten Meca and Medina. We all agree on that.So far no one knows the real intensions of Asais of Eritrea.He survived a 20 year of embargo and isolation, and now he might get his wish what ever that is. Certainly Djibouti will lose. Everyone knew that Djibouti dictator Cumar Ghelle was eating more than he could chew. We all knew that you can not domesticate America and China to play in the same playgrounds as friends while they are competing for global leadership. You can't rent your country to the whole world without paying a price like prostitutes. Insignificant entities like Somaliland who based their whole existence through one single port--Berbera-- targeted to Ethiopia will also lose economically. The world market is bigger than the Gulf Arabs. The Somali agricultural products and livestock could go to China and Asia. There are 200 million Pakistanis just across the Indian ocean. Folks, Somali ports doesn't revolve around Ethiopia. Imported goods could exports through well organized airplane cargo system to Uganda, Rwanda and other land locked countries. The world GDP is more the 50 trillion, and you could get some of that through trade. Yet, if you are mesmerized by the few millions thrown by the rich gulf boys, and lose the main focus of getting the country to it's feet, then you are doomed. Farmaajo should know that the only parameter that he must be judged is: Does he in control of country?, does he pacified the capital, Shabbee, Hiiran and Jubba?, not how many security relations you signed with Kenya , Ethiopia or Qatar. The good news is Farmaajo got another eight months before his second anniversary to work harder and improve things. If not, by then, some of us will be coing after you with our big knives out. You are warned. You either will be a Somali government with reasonable capacity or Mogadishu green zone government .
  4. Ducaale is weak. Just a cowboy hat with no cattle. Under Uhuru and Ducaale, Somalis had suffered a lot. Too bad he replaced a tough guy Farah Macalin who was feared by the Kikuyu.
  5. I consider these agreements just like the earlier pledges or agreements with no time table to follow. You can't agree on anything with few hours of staying at Mogadishu airport. Neither the Parliament nor the Somali people had seen one single agreements between Kenya and Somalia or with Ethiopia, it is all done under the table. A fragmented country can't develop ports with false alliances and opportunistic countries and entities. Neither Qatar nor UAE will help Somalia. Everyone knows that the Somali government doesn't have concrete foreign policy on these issues. A leader must reject crumbs thrown to him like rats. $50 million here, another $80 here isn't worth of the strategic relations they are demanding from Somalia.The typical Somali will say, " beggars can't choose what are you complaining". The gulf gives $2.5 billion to Jordan last week for economic relieve, a billion for Ethiopia to boost their currency, and $25 billion to Sisi of Egypt since 2013. If you decide to sell your soul to the devil, at least get something valuable. There are reports that since the UAE left Somalia , those constant car bombs have been reduced extensively. My understanding has always been that these explosive ordinances were prefabricated by foreign experts. A Somali nomad in Bakaaraha market or Dayniile can't even fix a bicycle let alone assemble sophisticated bombs. Since the UAE had it's own bases and unchecked cargo's through local airports and ports, they were probably paying people to destabilize the country. The UAE is not stupid. They know that future Somali national leadership, and open, independent and democratic Somalia would be always diametrically opposed to the despotism of the gulf to oppress people and deny them their future destiny. Everyone in Somalia is assuming port development as something similar to sending rocket to the moon. In fact, Somali businessmen with genuine coordination with the Somali state could build both Boosaaso, Hobyo and Kismaayo. If you want to bring someone with deep pockets and billions to spare then bring China. Here, you have the Ethiopian prime minister, hired and paid a billion dollar by UAE , and sent to convince the man hiding in villa -Somalia who doesn't have his own plan and vision to come on board to the latest plans hatched in Dubai. Abiy Ahmed might have a good vision for the region, but in this trip, he was just a delivery boy for the gulf. There are zero trade between Somali, Ethiopia or Kenya. Borders are closed , except a one way trade which mostly brings drugs to Somalia. Mr. Farmaajo, before you trade and sell ports, pacify your country and take back the countries you lost, namely Somaliland, Jubba Land and Puntland.
  6. Maakhiri1, That is not a far tetched issue. Xoolahaagu Xero ha kuugu Jiraan ama Xeer ha kaaga maqnaadaan. The Somali Galbeed issue is an unresolved border issue. They were annexed illegally just yesterday in 1954. We know that there will never be a peace until we got back our land again or give it to them legally. There is no if or but. Dadku waxay moodaayaan in arrimaha Soomaalidu ku eegyihiin Qabaa'ilkan is caydhsanayo ee dhul boobka iyo Qarafaysiga u tartamaya. When the real leaders take the power, Somaliland, Puntland, Jubba or others will be just by products of the collapse of Somalia or a reality in the ground created by colonial backed tribes , nothing more. They are not standing in strong legs, they could be reversed easily. Little Eritrea wants dozens of small town all the way to the Afar border. A 150,000 Ethiopian army couldn't defeat them. Those of us who were born free know that the biggest threat of the mafia is an eye witness who could prove their crime. Walaahi I have no doubt that Somalia can be reconstructs within few years if you get people with vision and hard work. Can you imagine that for twenty years since Carta of 2000, the Somali government was forced to pacify one city while 30,000 troops are over eating in the capital. It is all about how you see the world. Rwanda is going to be a middle income country in five years. Go check the military budgets of Uganda or Burundi circa 2001. It was less than $80 million. They got rich of our misery. Somalia could be transformed within a decade. Agriculture, mining,, meat processing factories, livestock export the milk and dairy industry and many more could be achieved by direct government investment. Have you ever seen someone In social assistance or welfare getting rich in north America or any where else? no.. I would expel the NGO's and their diaspora buddies who are milking Somali in Mogadishu. Xageed ku aragtay ummad dhan oo rabta in dalka loo dhiso, mishaarka laga bixiyo , ciidanka loo dhiso, oo aan in yarna isku tashanayn. Please keep your money, we will create money and help our selves like most people in the world. On the dark side, after the SNM and SSDF clash and weaken, I would have moved my army all the way to Zaylac. Aaah Biciidkaan dili doono….
  7. Military and intelligence was the backbone of TPLF power, but also their grip in the economy especially government run industries and major private import companies. Abiy want to open for foreign investment for this public monopolies. It will take some time to curtail their power . Their weakness is that their region is the most northern and they will not be having major impacts in central power regions were most of the population live. Their money luandring eschmes are also targeted by Abiy. The Saudi billionaire Al-Amoudi who invested a lot of money in Ethiopia, also helped them to transfer hard currency through his companies.He is one of those detained by Bin Salmaan and in order to cough a billion he must sell his assets.. The only card the Tigray have is to separate from Ethiopia, but neither Ethiopia nor Eritrea will allow them. The decision to transfer Badame was made by EPRDF executive which have nine Tigray members. The TPLF despots who were dictating things for the last 25 years had suddenly surprised about the decision of the prime minister. Folks that Tigray ride is over , and with it the Somali enclaves who were probed by them. When the Somali army of the future goes east, west and north, there will not be any Mengistu to ask for help. We will tell the Oromo to bring back the Somali traitors. Qudhaanjoy ku Quuso. I hope those boys in Mogadishu will do what they could for the next few years and pass the torch to new serious leadership that must unite the nation coast to coast. Wakhtigii siyaasadu wuu dhammaaday , waxa loo gudbi doonaa wakhtigii militariga iyo Amaan khasab lagu keeno.
  8. Slowly but surely the TPLF is losing power. It took only few months to dismantle their 27 year power infrastructure. Abiy is even nationalizing some of their cash cow companies.
  9. ETHIOPIA TPLF Denounces Ethiopia’s Peace Deal With Eritrea, Calls for Emergency Meeting TESFANEWSJUNE 13, 2018 | 1,007 | 32 COMMENTS | ALGIERS AGREEMENT, BADME, BORDER WAR, EPRDF, ERITREA, TPLF “The Badme horse is out of the barn and gone. Badme is water under the bridge. There is nothing that can be done legally to undo it or challenge it. There can be no buyer’s remorse. Ethiopia cannot go back to December 2000 and undo the Algiers Agreement. Once Meles signed on the dotted line in the Algiers Agreement, it was all over. The fate of Badme was sealed. The Decision of the Boundary Commission will be implemented without ifs or buts.” – Prof. Al Mariam Anti-peace TPLF today denounces the recent decision by the ruling EPRDF coalition to unconditionally accept the Algiers Agreement and as well as the Eritrea-Ethiopia Boundary Commission’s decision as “fundamentally flawed” and calls for an emergency meeting. BY ETENESH ABERA | ADDIS STANDARD Astatement released by the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), the ruling EPRDF’s oldest member, called Ethiopia’s recent decision to accept fully the Ethiopia-Eritrea Algiers Agreement and the subsequent decision by the boundarycommission and to partially and/or wholly privatize major state-owned companies have “fundamental flaws”. The statement also called for the executive and the council of ruling party EPRDF, led by the new Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, to hold an emergency meeting to review these and other issues of importance. In an unprecedented move after a day-long meeting by the 36 Executive Committee members of the ruling EPRDF, a statement released on June 05/2018 by the politburo said “Ethiopia will fully accept the December 12, 2000, Algiers Agreement”, a peace agreement between the governments of Eritrea and Ethiopia, which established a special boundary commission. The executive also decided to open up Ethiopia’s economy both to Ethiopian and foreign investors by making partial or full privatizations in key state-owned enterprises including industrial parks, railway projects, sugar factories, hotels and other manufacturing industries. TPLF’s statement came after a two-day emergency meeting by the executive of the TPLF which took place between today and yesterday in Mekelle city, the capital of the Tigray regional state in northern Ethiopia. It further said that EPRDF’s decision both on Eritrea and the economy “failed to take into account” the “fundamental leadership deficit and its damages visible within the EPRDF coalition and failed to evaluate the progress in the recent “deep reform” agenda the party, as a collective, was undertaking in order to solve the mounting challenges it was facing. But it also condemned the decision on the bases that it was made public without the consent from the 180 EPRDF council members, as party doctrine dictates; the participation of EPRDF’s five satellite parties representing Ethiopia’s periphery i.e: parties that represent the Ethiopian Somali, Harari, Afar, Benishangul and Gambella regional states; and without due consultation with relevant bodies.
  10. Maakhiri1, On one of the threads you said, " Puntland students are leaving 100%". Actually that wasn't the case last week when you wrote that , but today things are moving in the wrong direction. The university was defending from attacks by a local UCID operative who accused them of tribalism. Yet, Hundreds of people from the D community are leaving Somaliland. There were thousands of people who used to come for Hargeisa for different reasons. Some times for amenities or entertainment things that wasn't available from smaller towns or the feel of big city and unanimity. The Jeegaan forgot that the instability in South central Somalia was the catalyst for the boom in Hargeisa and that trend is changing quickly thanks to Biixi and company. If the Jeegaan doesn't move from Tukaraq things could get ugly. The Garaad community is uniting in one direction for the first time since 2007. Xaabsade, the man who took over Laascaanood with his tribal militia in 2007, has organized his own army in Southern Sool and want to be the overall leader of that community. With blessing of Puntland , he could take over Sool and declare a federal zone. The war might even start in the Howd and southern Sool before Tukaraq. If the locals are united , no one can stop the inevitable liberation of Sool.The tide is turning. The issue is no longer between Somaliland and Puntland. In Somaliland a large group of people had rejected both Muuse Biixi and the war. We should no longer even call or point fingers to the I...q community or Somaliland, this mess is orchestrated by the Jeegaan and Jeegaan only. judging by past history, I am afraid that the Jeegaan might commit some false flags and target those students in order to saw discord among communities. The Jeegaan is weak and isolated. They might play different cards in order to get help from different communities. Most of you do not even imagine the consequences of the loss of Laascaanood. First, the Jeegaan had never fought a real war for 22 years, and a real war and defeat might humanize and subdue the hubris of the Jeegaan and others. Second, it will definitely end the separatist project for good, and will put the clock back to circa 2004. They started a multi faceted campaign to all directions. Today I saw a clip from an old man who was with Suldaan Wabar in 2015 , and now he was sending a video from Mogadishu. He is one of those who chews Qat from the morning till dawn. Someone from the Jeegaan filled up and his phone and now he is claiming to be the Grand Suldaan of the D...r community standing to help and defend the Jeegaan. Although the West Burco and G.X might accept the D...r label, Thee Jeegaan had rejected the D...r label long ago and always wish to be called the Hashemites of the horn. Just ask our own Xaaji Xanjuf.This conflict doesn't concern the people of Somaliland , Mogadishu, D...r community , D block orr anyone else, it is between the H...ti and the Jeegaan.. In the meantime, both the university and locals must set up local patrols to check the movements of the Jeegaan. Faysal and those who incite violence could be recommended for Rwanda style war crimes for incitement.
  11. My take away on Puntland insisting the recall of all students is one thing. The war in Tukaraq will be restarting again and might continue for a long time until major towns change hand. If Somaliland loses Laascaanood then the Puntlanders inside Somaliland must take a safety precaution.
  12. Borama is different and booming today because of the Somalis from the diaspora and within the country. Habruhu Soomaalida ayey rabaan in ay nagu diraan.
  13. The only economic engine of Borama is the tens of thousands of Somalis who either come for school or for residence . Without these communities, Borama could have been a landlocked and isolated town with economic stagnation. Because of that it is a vibrant city attracts everyone. I know the Habro want to shut down this town but will not allow them.
  14. Xaaji , Traditionally, Somali rules doesn't pass a generation. For the first time in twenty years Somaliland is venerable. One is talking about borders while the storm is getherning from the east. Saaxiib xuddud la gaadha suurtagel ma ahane, inta yar ee add haysato bedbaadi. You know that Somaliland is broke financially, economically and socially in 2018, yet you want to go to Garoowe. Midha guntigaaga ku jira kuwa geed saaran looma daadiyo. I predict that Sanaag will leave Somaliland before even Sool and Laascaanood and you talking about borders. Wadhaf iyo shimbiro kala warla.
  15. So, it is a plan. Even the wise Haaji is encouraging cutting ties among families just like North Korea.
  16. Certainly Qudhan jecel is just like his counterpart Faysal. Faysal is targeting both the economic stability and the character of Awdal and Borama. It is a well calculated ploy to put wedge between the Awdal community and other Somalis who chose Borama as a welcoming place. I do not really get where this desperation from Faysal WAraabe is coming from. Maybe he knows something we do not know. Minister Qudhan jecel, the students are fine and they should stay where they are.We need them to stay there, and w want others to come.
  17. Furthermore, why the Tigray politicians oppose a peace with Eritrea?. I think Eritrea being a player will diminish the influence of the Tigray . Besides , it is EPLF who thought everything to the lesser Tigray
  18. OO, You really getting my huge respect on the issues of geopolitics. In this pages , you said it is like early 20th century in the horn for powers to scramble for influence, especially for the Somali region. You did mention Yamamoto visiting both Addis, Asmara and Djibouti. Now, Is it possible for both Ethiopia, Eritrea and Egypt to be all under the leadership of the money boys of the gulf?
  19. Any way , I like the calm demeanor of Xaaji Xanjuf to hold the party line. Soo dhawoow.
  20. Actually Somalis are not even 15% of the overall voters. Ahmed Huseen, the minister got strong support from the Somalis during the primaries race within his party, but to win the district you need the vote of cross section of the residents. At the federal campaign, every riidding is around a hundred thousand residents. You must get the support of the other 80% residents. Just Wait when the new generation of Somalis take the stage. Despite the bad news, there are a lot of over acheiving Somalis.
  21. Maakhiri Ishaad ka riday. The state collapsed in Mogadishu and the army was disbanded by Cumar Carte. They just rode some Ethiopian tanks and took over an empty land. case closed. Anyway, we do not have time for the old staff, let us focus for the future.
  22. Xaaji, I thought Muuse was in America in 1983-85 . After taking advantage of the Somali state scholarship, he just went straight to Ethiopia and joined others. I know some Somali army members who know him, and they told me that he was always one of those " Qof Uqdadaysan" even in the early years. Besides , those who know the horrors of war do not rush to it. Only chicken hawks would talk tough. Tough guys carry a big stick and talk slowly. He is probably known as paramilitary guy who could abuse those who were not armed. Yet, rather than repair the disappearing institutions and revive the economy, war is the answer for Muuse and company. Faysal might love the land but one must have dignity. If things get tough he might create a civil war. The Puntlanders are playing by the Somali honor codes. When the Kids from Libya were denied to land in Hargeisa, they were welcomed, dinned and hosted in Garoowe despite the war. Xaaji Karaamada Habraha illaliya.
  23. The Tigray military leaders who get rich of the war are removed by Abiy, There were generations of Tigray opinion makers who accuse everything that goes wrong in Ethiopia to the so called " Jahba Shacbiya" of Eritrea. Just like our own OO, they talk daily about "Shacbiya" and Egypt. Yet, the biggest move to realign the horn of Africa and their strategic ports are coming from America. Soon, the Eritrean embargo by the west will be lifted and Eritrea is joining the UAE led coalition. Djibouti has been already discouraged to bring anymore Chinese companies, and the American military and Israel will settle in Eritrean ports. If things go well Ethiopia might repair relations and start using the Assab port. Accepting Eritrean sovereignty on the border was probably one of the conditions to restart rapprochement. The egotistical jealousy between the cousins in the north could be over. Assias Afework has no issue with Oromo led Ethiopia and he needs to open up and make some money. There is a lot of puffing and huffing from the Tigray media and some Amhara people who are disappointed to leave Badame after losing a 100,000 casualty between 1998-2000. We Somalis must learn one or two things from the tough mountainaires of Eritrean army and people. Meles Zenawi had deployed a 150,000 army to overwhelm and take Asmara and overthrow the president. The tough Eritreans had machine gunned them when they tried to storm their lines with tens of thousands of soldiers.. Actually in 2001, I watched a video from the front by the Eritreans who showed me a scene similar to the trenches of the first world war. Since that defeat or stalemate, the Ethiopians never tried again. Also the tiny state of four or five million people had suffered a lot of casualties but kept their independence. The horn is changing and we Somalis are watching for the new scramble for the ports. Last week, the Somali leaders were all aboard the UN provided airplanes and go to Baidoa for conference between different countries of Somalia and the one in Mogadishu, al baby sitted by foreigners..Rather than chase the Hodan or Kaaraan gangs, my soldiers would have marched to Lawyacado and Kismaayo.
  24. Things are getting crazy in Hargeisa and the only option could be a regime change. As I wrote in these pages after the election of 2017, Muuse Biixi and company are a disaster for all, yet I never thought that things will unravel within a year. Folks, in order to save the people and all involved, the parliament should remove Muuse before he is removed by other dangerous means. A regime change is a must. I would advise my Habro brethren to transfer power To C/raxman Zaylici immediately and call new elections in six months to avoid the future collapse of Somaliland and the relocation of Al-shabaab to Somaliland. Waa digniin.