Duufaan
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Posts posted by Duufaan
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They trying to pressure Abiya. They did not have problem to convince Mingest leave. Abiya have public support and Ethiopians will not forgive him if he leaves now.
The real issue is Abiya refused to accept the Dam deal.
He befriended Farmaajo and stoped the Somalia interference.
He have to win the war and force negotiation, otherwise the Oromo and economy will eventually lead his lost.
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It seems Abiya is not going any where soon. This will make Blinken game more harder. The propaganda did not work as intended.
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People should read this book
Losing the Long Game: The False Promise of Regime Change in the Middle East Hardcover – October 6, 2020
by Philip H. Gordon (Author)
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Khadafi
The issue is not the mistakes Abiya did, is not Ethiopia, Amhara, Oromo and TPLF. It is all about geopolitics and this geopolitical game is design for all the east African regions. it is all about what to come and the probability if Abiya can survive this. It is now different boll game.
There are indeed some similarities what happened Xamar in 1991 and what is going on Ethiopia today. In1990 all the financial support going to Somalia was stopped. Arabs was told not provide Siyad Barre any financial support. Somali was relied on the support they got from Saudi Arabia, UAE and United states and all was stopped. There were no hard currency coming moqdisho anymore. The rest is history. Same thing is happening in Ethiopia. I do not think Blinken is right person for this. He probably think east Africa is extension of the middle east.
The Ethiopians are saying the TPLF was defeated, there leaders was either captured or killed. Now, they are getting even satellite and communication support. For any outcome Ethiopia is doomed and it effect Somalia and Somalis big time.
The Oromo is weakest link but also most dangerous group. You right about their similarities with Somalis. If they are not managed right. They will destroy the whole thing and they will come to Jigjiga for sure. Blinken will not able to manage Ethiopia.
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Is this decline better or worst for the rest of world including Africa?
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Has the West Reached Its Limit Against Turkey?
NATIONALINTEREST.ORG
In the backdrop of declining Western global influence, policymakers in Washington and Brussels may need to ask, “Is it a wise decision to confront... -
Sound familiar in Somalia satiation. Somali State Resistance= Ahmed Madoobe
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Che
Ethiopians are not similar to Somalis. Even Tigray everything is working. There is no looting taking place. In fact with all the propaganda few civilian was killed for all the parties. Even OLA just replaced leaders of the villages they captured if needed. There is long way to go before we see the moment of changes in ethiopia.
Galbeedi
Although situation is not good for Abiya. He is not done and his last move was very clever. This is a western campaign to overthrow Abiya rather the strength of TPLF and other resistant. But I also agree Abiya needs foreign support and only Turkey can help but Turkey has their lira problem and do not want to make their situation worst. There are also rumors that turkey started providing Abiya a small military support. The Oromo is most problematic for Abiya but West is with TPLF. This may give Abiya a second chance
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They tried to engineer changes in Sudan and after two years things are going different direction. Engineering changes in Ethiopia will end up same result. It will never be 1991. They are not even willing to spend a lot of money to smooth things.
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You will probably see Amhara doing same in few weeks
The Tigray are not well armed either. Much of Ethiopian army hardware is already destroyed or unusable. -
Back to topic
A this point I do support Cagjar. He is in a liking ship and there is nothing he can do, other than to stay loyal to his master. A majority of his tribal men are more worry about Kismaanyo and hoping a speeded Abiya departure. But the fact is the changes in Ethiopia started long time ago when the same groups helped the removal of Melazawi regime. Maybe the same tactics will be successful again but Ethiopia will never be same. I see the refugee coming and overwhelm Somalia and not only other ethnic groups but people from Somalis region. Than we will see if garoowe and Hargeysa welcome them.
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Now I do understand where we are going? -
Yusuf should run for president. He is someone with principle. He came out and let the world know they did not follow the rules in book. Western led institution are alway political.
1 hour ago, maakhiri1 said:These issues are too complex and Somalis lack knowledge, the judgement was too technical and few understood it
War meel cidla iyo dhac baynu la dabaaldegeeyney?
Yeelkeeda, with Somalia very week, it could have been worse. Intaas aynu iimaansano, and judgement is final
Not really. The line is visually clear where it is going to.
Kenya and their friends understood the rules and they played the Somalis. The MOU was problematic which led Somalia going to the court. Somalia had everything in place. The colonial agreement in 1936. Italian and British sea border which Somalia inherit. The Somalia of the law of sea which somalia declared in 1977 and the geography of Somali border with Kenya . Somalia does not have those advantage in the Red Sea. Yemen will win the biggest share. -
I do totally agree with him. There were no many Somalis talking about the problem that Yusuf was talking about. Somalia are not detailed oriented people. Yusuf from Eyl is one the true hereo.
The new line in many ways is similar the one Kenya was claiming. after the line passes the disputed area it gives more and more sea to Kenya. They never suppose to be fair to us. -
28 minutes ago, maakhiri1 said:SOMALIS have a very short memory, I really don't know who he was but I remember before anyone there was a guy who went crazy about this issue in Somalitalk. Who everyday was writing about this issue and made most Somalis aware.
If you are out there, I want say thank you.
I do remember that guy. He was the one who actually educated me on this issue.
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Cigaal's Kenya MOU and Sharmarke's government MOU was identical. He should be in jail.
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Somalia may won 75% of disputed area but losing big after line go father beyond 200NM. The court did not follow the law of the sea, they just did xeer jajab. I was reading months ago the result they published. Kenya received little bit less what Somalis politicians promised for Kenya in the area oil was found but gain more overall. In fact Kenya is gaining more sea as line goes to open sea. Somalia and Tanzania lines may never meet now. Kenya has now open sea.
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This is about SNM way of taking revenge. This poor Lascanod people deserved with their actions and behavior.
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Waxaa Haawanaya Meherada kala duwan ee Farsamada gacanta , kuwaa oo samayn jirey Qalabka , Guryaha , Xafiisyada ,meheradaha , ganacsiga , Dawaarlayaasha , dhismaha iwm
Waxaa Haawanaya Meherada kala duwan ee Farsamada gacanta , kuwaa oo samayn jirey Qalabka , Guryaha , Xafiisyada ,meheradaha , ganacsiga , Dawaarlayaasha , dhismaha iwm .
Waxaa laga kaxaystay dhamaan shaqaalihii u shaqeyn jirey , iyadoo shaqooyinkaasi gebi ahaanba ay ka shaqyn jireen dadkii magaalada Laga Tarxiley.
Shirkada Dhismaha guryaha , Farasamada gacanta , Kuwa Dharka Tola , kuwa Baabuurta hagaajiya iwm ayaa d
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Samatar is good about the subject he teaches at the University of Minnesota. Other than that he acts childlness and not funny at all. Dr Mohamed Allabari is much more rounded and capable person. Sad he lost and now we have to listen Samatar’s unintellengent speeches for four years.
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In many ways Laascaanood has became a small moqdisho. There are small warlords and clan Malesia in bed with Somaliland. Their bigger goals is the control of city and the region. They also have support from geopolitical actors. The majority of the people who lived and worked in laascaanood are not from south west somalia. The south west business people are expert in retail business, specially selling cloth and shoes. Lascanod had the largest Bantu population in the region after Gaalkacayo. They had a lot of shops and making all kind of home made product. They are also high skilled builders. The Bantu population are high spenders, the restrounts and tea shops dependent on them. Local people do not have these skills and if they do, they are very expensive. Now they are talking about replacing the Bantu population and export SNM people. Liberating Laascaanod is important never before to restore Somalia back
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This has nothing to do the local people. In fact Lasanod has benefited the new comers, it has become a fast growing non expensive city to live it. After the 86 person was killed the local people created a group elders to investigate. The killers are locals hired Somaliland. Biixi and his local gangs felt losing control and started this evil thing. They only removed or scared small numbers of southern population, majority of people are still there. The good local people in Laascaanood have to stand up, otherwise everybody from Laascaanood must to be deported from everywhere from Somalia.
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1 hour ago, Che -Guevara said:It looks the letter might be authentic.
It is authentic when compared the others he wrote last week.
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18 minutes ago, Che -Guevara said:I don't know if this is fake or not, but it become clear Roble was gunning for the treasury. Hiring Mr. 30:30 did not help his case.
Treasury and security apparatus to humiliate Farmaajo team. He may had little bit success when Fahad Yasin was out of country. Deni/Sharrif Ahmed team did not like his Emirate plans and left him in the sand.
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The next prime minister of Ethiopia should be an Affar or Somali....period.
in Politics
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The Liberal west media continue their propaganda. They are talking about war on terror and Somalia. So you can say they are against Abiya vision. The people in the region must to prove them wrong.