Arafaat
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Posts posted by Arafaat
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4 hours ago, Duufaan said:He is working to plant fake poll boxes.
Ma codkii sanaag Bari ayaa loo shopping tagay leedahay ? -
20 hours ago, baala xoofto said:Russia is all but done with. It is a shell of its former self. They are screaming like a third-world country to let ease the sanctions placed on her.
Sooner or later Putin will be taken care of from within.
The AUKUS alliance has no match in this world.
China will be contained under the "Quad Alliance" (US+JP+AU+IN) + EU.
In the next 10 - 20 years, the US and UK dominance will be cemented. Hands down.
Somaliland has plugged itself into this alliance along with Taiwan. We are in good company.
Change is in the air, and nobody knows for certain how that change will look like or if a recalibration of the order will take place.
Just look at Somalia’s neighbours across the Gulf and how they are trying to forge new alliances, as they have seen that no distant muscle power can forever provide security guarantees. And look at our immediate neighbours Djibouti, Ethiopia and Kenya, after decades of western security and economic support, they all have engaged and build alliances with competing powers despite pressure.
Don’t assume to know where things are heading when nobody does, and one should absolutely try to avoid getting sucked up in great power play as we can’t comprehend what is at stake. Meaning that the best course of action would be to deepen its existing western economic and political relations, but to stay away from inviting foreign militaries to the country as you would entangle yourself without having a clue as this could easily incite to more competing interventions and lead to domestic destabilisation, what you also see in Somalia.
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7 hours ago, Saalax said:Ama bullet proof vest xidho ama ha xidhan. dhimaashadu way imanaysa.
Is this in Erigavo?
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what I note from this discussion is that Somalia needs security oversight and supervision, not appointed by the executive but perhaps by the legislative to ensure some sorts of accountability and check and balance, and prevent power abuse in the future. Everything else is about the usual personality driven play for power that has failed the people for the last 3 decades.
Who killed who, and who abused who, are about crimes and has nothing with politics and won’t add anything to changing the current status quo.
@SOL moderators, open a separate section for crime related discussions, this has nothing to do with politics.
Aanu ka gudubno baliiiis.
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11 hours ago, Dalmar1 said:Lol, I seriously doubt President Hassan Sheikh would side let alone even listen to an disgruntled 0.5 loom oyaan criminal Fahad Yasiin who fled Somalia because of his wanton criminals.
Horta ask yourselves how would opposition from folks who live far away in Gedo and Borama Somaliland have the slightest chance to hurt the government President Hassan Sheikh, these folks are weakest and most irrelevant in Somalia's Political Sphere.
As everyone knows that the today's opposition are weak looma oyaan without any Political strength nor the relevancy to change anything on the ground other than to make Facebook/YouTube videos Calacaal cries.
President Hassan sheikh should continue to do his job by ignoring this weak opposition group who won't ever have the chance to hurt him politically.
the opposition is newborn only 2 weeks old don’t over feed as he might grow.
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2 hours ago, baala xoofto said:This is the dominant sect of the pseudo Unionists. The so called Khaatumo want to carve up their own clan enclave so do others.
Those who want the return of the 1960 type of union again but different version of of it - are minority voices.
I can’t really tell where people stand, for that you would need an actual sensible, open and informed debate, which I haven’t seen so far. Chanting the same prattle, emotional extortion and accusing everyone who doesn’t chant with you, kills any opportunity for a debate.
let’s see where this school of thought will lead to.
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9 hours ago, baala xoofto said:He knows it is a lost cause. I just don't know what they will be doing after Banadir Regional Administration is formed and they get ignored.
Like you mentioned, the idea of breaking up Somaliland by so called "unionist" is if anything just self-defeating. But even more crazier is that, they think a South Somalia politician will help them achieve that crazy idea. Just shows how much out of touch they are with reality.
Anyway, want to read Galbeedi's comments about this impeding realisation of the long coming defeat of the pseudo unionists.
Why don’t you post the more rational and reasonable voices that advocate for some sorts of a relationship between Somalia and Somaliland instead of these kind of polarising views?
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44 minutes ago, maakhiri1 said:Which ones? Insane and ridiculous?
Where shall I start? Well for one, he implies that he supports Somali unity but proposes disunity by carving up Somaliland in to 5 separate regional states along clan lines under a national Mogadishu based government. As if further Somali division would bring one closer to unity, hence why I find this notion ridiculous.
Second, he recognises the political and administrative legacy the former British-Somaliland of 1960 with its 6 districts, he recongnises the 5 administrative provinces of 1991, but completely denies the governance and administrative reality of the 1990’s, 2000s, 2010s and 2020s. He is even against the use of ‘Northern’ regions, denying even the geographical reality.
Being against Somaliland’s recognition as a independent sovereign nation is one, but denying the existing administrative, governance and geographic reality is insane. You have to work with what you have, and it is only from accepting what you have that you can really start to make progress.
What this gentleman is proposing is more state collapse, more clan based governance, more division and more chaos.
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On 6/9/2022 at 6:17 AM, maakhiri1 said:And with continuation and ongoing presence of foreign powers, Somalis will not be given a chance to talk and reconcile.
Why all these countries are now cheerful with Hassan Culusow back? Look at UAE, with a week, done more than dozen visits already to Villa Somalia, parliament, Rooble baahane in the pocket , please tell me any country in the world, other than Somalia, where Ambassador of foreign country meets Head of state as he pleases, never!
Somalia must like Japan, or few other countries did, lock its borders for 50 years.
Unlike Japan which for one is an Island Nation that does not have any neighbouring countries that it shares land borders with and secondly Japan does not have any Japanese native peoples and lands outside of Japan, Somalia does have both.
Weather we like it or not, Somalia’s fate is inseparably connected and inextricably bound with its neighbours Ethiopia and Kenya. For one, we have Somali native lands and peoples that are part of those countries, secondly for decades when Somalia had a strong government it was a direct treat to those countries and thirdly Somali nationalist ideology is solely based on uniting all Somalis under one strong nation state even if by force, which has been the main ideology coming from Somali corners for the last century, which was not only propagated within Somalia but across the wider region.
And even though Somalis might have forgotten much of this, and see it as something of the past, our neighbours have NOT and still perceive Somali unity under a Somali state as a treat and averse to their unity and their state, so one should not be too surprised of our neighbours over-involvement in matters of the Somali state.
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42 minutes ago, maakhiri1 said:
Somalia opens market to miraa after ban lifted - The Standard
WWW.STANDARDMEDIA.CO.KE
The new development follows weeks of of quiet diplomatic negotiations. A delegation from Somalia will fly to Kenya in two weeks...Anyone has a copy of that trade agreement? Hope Somalia negotiated more then just fish, as it hardly has the infrastructure to produce sufficient fish, let alone export it.
Cross border trade, movement of people and infrastructural development along the border come to mind.
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13 hours ago, Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar said:Shacabka Soomaaliyeed uu afkiisa ka ilaalinaa Xabashka:
Siyasigu siyasad ayuu wataa, adna maxaa ku siyasad ah weeyaan suasho walaalkayoow.
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2 hours ago, baala xoofto said:He is not doing his cause any service, with these ridiculous and insane propositions.
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Without genuine reconciliation every effort in state building will end in utter failure. This temporal politics of personalities and popularity fades and will leave nothing behind.
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On 6/5/2022 at 7:42 AM, Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar said:I have an older brother who is diehard anti-Farmaajo - he too thinks Farmaajo inuu 'sixray' dowladii Farmaajo supporters. They cannot believe this unprecedented popular support of a leader transcends qabiil.
Giving people the perception inclusiveness is commendable, and should be emulated.
Dadku waa iney aaminaan iney jirto dowlad hankeedu yahay ina umadu u wada siman tahay, taas ayuu Farmaajo si fiican dad badan aamin siiyay waana wax loo baahan yahay, ina wax laga barto oo lagu daydo fiican.
laan gaaban ama dheer, laan isla geed lee ku taal sawmaha.
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tweets ayaa waalay siyasadii Somalia, really hope government ignores this nonsense.
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11 hours ago, Dalmar1 said:Galbeedi, lately I have seen you using your D.r card alot, its an card that has ZERO relevance in Somalia, in fact we consider D.r an looma oyaan clan, even the S/hoose you keep talking about has no d.r in power the Governor of S/hoose is Garre and Deputy Governor is reer Galmudug, even the Marka city you folks claim has reer Galmudug Deputy Mayor.
Anyway having said this, you sir are from Somaliland and not from Somalia marka cagtaada hoos uu dhig and mind your business in Somaliland.
Maamul... - Gudomiye K/xigenka Mamulka & Maliyada Degmda Marko
M.FACEBOOK.COM
Maamulka Degmada & Masuuliyiintii Gobolka Shabeelada Hoose Wada Shaqeyn Sharaf LehThese are appointed officials, doesn’t say much of the numerical realities on the ground. Read somewhere that in the 50’s and 60’s officials in those regions were mostly from Puntland, and later in the 70’s and 80’s many from Somaliland. So I wouldn’t count out Galbeedi yet.
P.S. The deputy-Mayor of Las Anod hails from Galmudug clan, and he is even elected. So even Somaliland cidna kuma diideyso.
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17 hours ago, galbeedi said:Mr. Carafaat,
That is major achievement if he does just those few step. It was almost more than 20 years ago after the Carta, Djibouti selection that people requested Cabdiqasim to just create a ploice force for Banaadir alone and pacify the city.
Why not became the leader of Banaadir and pacify that one city.
Shabeelaha Hoose is the home of southern D...r and T...ni people who are an accommodating and good people, otherwise many from Galgaduud would have settled in middle Shabeele.
in 2004, the late president C/laahi Yusuf was told how late Osman Caato would welcome him to Mogadishu. C/laahi said" aniga iyo Cisman Caato waxaanu kawada nimid Gaalkacayo, Xamarna iguma soo dhaweyn karo" or something to that effect.
If being HAG makes Banaadir your tribal home , Shabeelaha is my home as a member of D....r group.
Anyway, we are hitting Hassan these days, not because we dislike him, but we want him to return to the right path.
Dawacooyinka ku wareegsani waxay rabaab in ay jar ka tuuraan. Waxa laga yaabaa waxa ay rabaan markay ka waayaan in ay sidii ay horeba iyagu u rideen haddana ay mar kale fashiliyaan.
He is our president and we want him to succeed.
By the way , those from Somaliland like me, have also a say in Mogadishu.
Let’s say the government prioritises on pacifying Mogadishu and the regions south of Galkacyo, irrelevant of which clan lives there, then I think we all agree that is a good thing.
But if the motive behind or the consequence of that pacification is for the government to push out certain clans or to favour certain clans to dominate other communities in their own native regions, then we can all agree that it would gravely undermine the overall goal of pacification and we are back to square one of the whole issue of the conflict.
So why do you think something that hasn’t been possible for decades would be possible now? No clan can dominate another, even trying so would lead to adverse consequences, for sure that is a lesson Somalis should have learned by now. I wouldn’t listen to much to the propaganda of few diaspora clan mongers who don’t even dare to spend a night in Marka or Barawe, let alone travel those regions.
The only solution and way forward is leadership that strives for genuine reconciliation, equitable inclusion of those communities involved and social justice. I don’t think anything else would work!
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People’s expectations and demands change with context, situation and time. I wouldn’t be too worried that the new government will have it easy, and can just sit on the seat of government and do more of the same and expect approval with all those powers and leverage they have.
People will be expecting more, and be even more critical as their needs change, are better informed, more aware and have higher expectations as politicians also have added to that increasing expectations in their campaigns to get support or undermine their opponent.
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Xaaji, there is a difference between an opportunity and an achievement. Certain communities being dissatisfied with their clan and governance alliances to Puntland, doesn’t make that an achievement for Somaliland yet. However to seize and turn an opportunity in to achievement for Somaliland, much more effort is required.
You seem to view politics like a sale transaction. Put an interested buyer in the pocket (jeebka iska gasho)
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If the newly elected Presidents manages to achieve the following;
-Push back extremist from all areas between major cities;
and this leads to;
-reduction of the nr of suicide attacks in Mogadishu;
-And for people to travel again safely by road without fear from attacks between the major cities such as Mogadishu to Jowhar, Marka, Kismayo, Baidoa, Beletweyn and Galkacyo.
Then his Presidency couldn’t be regarded as a failure, on the contrary it would be a big undeniable achievement both for the federal and regional governments.
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On 5/29/2022 at 11:28 PM, Khadafi said:Lets be reflective MMA. Weather you like it or not Hassan Sheikh knows that Somalia is a fragile state that needs reconcilation after the 25 years of the regressive somali civil war. Farmaajos advisers were all 75 plus who served Barres regime and who were old or senile. But Frankly speaking, its all about instututions MMA. Hassan Sheikh knows the real politik of Somalia. When Jubba land under madoobe entered the kismaayo with kenyan support Hassan Sheikh Mohamud realised he did not have the military strength or would it wise to engage in a political haggle. What did he do? He accepted him. He created Golaha Qaranka amaanka where all somali local leaders would host.
That symbolism showed that Somalia was going forward. Farmaajo unfortunately waisted his time by trying gain absolute power in federal states. He extended his time. He depleted the public trust. While Barre was ousted he was welcomed by waited the political power engaging in a never ending power struggle. Hassan Sheikh M is a man of the ngos. He knows peacebuilding. He only fault his sorrounding himself by incompitent advisors. For example. Mahad Salaad is tainted man, a man who did not deserve that positition. HSHM has learned from his misstakes and he can fully concentrate of Mogadishu and securing Mogadishu. Breaking the seige of al-shabaab.
HSHM handed over fully functioning mamuuled goboleedyo and state instututions to Farmaajo while Farmaajo handed him a secret army trained in Eritrea. This army probably comes from all somali clans but the secrecy arround it hurt him politically. On the foregin policy of HSM is fully aware while sitting with Cafwerki and Abey that unlike them his state is fragile one and no hybris will enter his head. Unlike Farmaajo who really thought he had power when his own minister could not even travel to ceelasha biyaha. That hybris is gone. He is also a man willing to work with the outside world. Weather we like it or not Somalia is with its fragile state needs all the support it can. He will continue the alliance with Turkey. In conclusion: Xassan Sheekh Maxamud will not waste 4 years by trying force the federal state in submission. He knows the road-map is Mogadishu. Atmis demands that the ICC-community demands that. His focus will be securing Mogadishu and the state instututions.
Regarding the secceionists. Unlike Farmaajos emotional-based politics for apoligizing and then getting nothing. He knows how to deal with the extreme anti-somali clan oriented city state iss or fuu land. He will deny them the money. No one in this forum knows but the hotell bills of Muuse Biixi during his horrendous American trip was paid by the federal government of Somalia. Nothing of that sort will happen. Racist clanists will not receive support. The young youth or flocking to the Mogadishu and work and live in Mogadishu. Thats how it should be.
The nepotism of HSM is gone. Give him 6 months, I know as a somali nationalist MMA that you want a return to a strong central Somalia where somalism and pan-somalism prevails. We all want that. But the countrey my friend has gone the a vicous civil war that I dubbed the "the regressive jahhiliyya war". We need healing. Federalism gives the clan fanatics a breathing spot.
Its time though that HSM and the federal government of Somalia actually gives information to the population of Puntland, and Koonfurgalbeed etc that they should demand clean water, education from their leader, To sum it up. Hadii waraabi aas ku noqday dhuuso mareeb oo doodisa dhuuso mareeb iyo guriceel ka doodayo nabad waa la helay.
Don’t deny some of Farmaajo’s political achievements and credit. The central state has today more balanced leverage and state power in relation to the states, whereas earlier it was the states that were over-powerful and even had some veto power in the matters of the State. Not discounting the need today for improved working relations between centre and regions. But for Somalia to develop its own model of ‘federalism’ that is workable, one needs to find some sort of balance between central state mandate and decentralised authority of states, and you won’t be able to achieve that if all powers are is with the states and neither if all power is with the central state.
And I am sure both leaders have contributed in their own ways to seeking a balance and the right fit for the country which might eventually inshallah lead to a healthy equilibrium. The right political course and most healthy direction is found somewhere in the middle, and not always in the black and white perceptions which can lead to unbalanced and fragile realities.
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6 hours ago, Duufaan said:Did Hasan create security and stability in 15 days? 1000 people a month were dying in moqdisho when Farmaajo took over. Hassan and co see a threat to the national security apparatus, will stop the security reforms, rearm the clan Melissia and threaten non-Hag people with violence. For Hassan and his co, it is all about money and maintaining the status quo.
How did you come to that analysis and conclusion?
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It seems one is prioritising domestic visits and support above the usual foreign visits that were often prioritised above in-country visits, which is a welcome change.
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All these issues mentioned are to minor to base any kind judgement on, for one they are to minor, second it’s too early he hasn’t even been a week in office and lastly we don’t even know his political goals and strategic plan to fully understand intentions. I could think and speculate of a dozens of possible good reasons for what one is observing so far.
And this goes for all leaders, give them time before criticising and judging.
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Clan Conference for East Sanaag folks opens in Erigavo
in Politics
Posted
Sports is best played together, and the Sanaag community just like other Somaliland prefer to play
️ , whereas Bosasso they play rugby 
which is just a different kind of ball game, a bit rougher and sheer power must be used to drive the ball through an opponent's side, while in soccer, excessive use of power is not allowed.
Having said that, eventually some sorts of wider tournament has to be established with common rules of the game according to best practices of the international league, as the Somaliland league doesn’t play according to the international rules of the game and thus is not part of the international league and Somalia’s league doesn’t play well enough to compete internationally.