Don’t focus on personalities, and playing the nationalistic cards but try to counter arguments. Matt Brydens last article on Somalia was quite interesting and presented a unique perspective, and have not read a single piece presenting counter arguments.

Experience seems to be overrated in the age of social media like hits.

What then? What comes after that?

Not sure if talk is the appropriate solution in this case, Puntland authorities legitimacy is at stake and it’s monopoly on violence. Not sure what is holding Deni back, is it because he doesn’t want to spend any money on bombing the PIS place or is he from the shorter lineages of the respective family.

In Somali’s clan(or family based) politics your first opponents will be inadeero, adeero, habiyaro iyo Eedo and without beating them you won’t can’t make any difference in the bigger equation.

jiil cusub ayaa so kacay, oo xoogaha ka fikir duwan kuwa sunta afuufa. Barkhad wuxu helay codkii ugu tirida badneyd ee tariikhda Somali xildhibaan helay, taasna Jiil cusub ayaa u sabab ah.

This is a test of Deni character and leadership. if he can’t solve and contain the mad family bullying and plundering the village, then we can’t expect much of him in Mogadishu either. P.S. any outcome in which the mad family retains position, property or standing in Bosasso, is a loss for Deni.

Geelubu ka ugu horeeya ayuu raadkiisa maraaa, maxaa ula yaaban tahay. Nidaamka ayaa markiisi horeba ku dhisnaa cadalad daro, eexeysi iyo musuq. Bilaash umee dumin bahashu.

Can’t imagine that happened, that would be pure political suicide.

Che, are you denying that the real capacity of Ethiopia’s armed forces in terms of skills and knowledge(information, secrets, et ), leadership (officers) and resources(equipment and hardware) is/was with the TPLF camp? The TPLF dominated the Ethiopian armed forces for three decades with 80%-90% of officers and then plundered most of the equipment and hardware which was based in Mek’ele, and then subsequently killed off and bought off most experienced non-Tigray officers, and all Tigray officers 80 or 90% of Ethiopian army switched sides to the TPLF. Above all they sold this war to their own people and IC as an existential war. I am sure that even the Tigray folks will hold the leadership in to account, at least that would best course for Ethiopia, that the Tigray people themselves show they were deceived in to this war and get rid of the TPLF once and for all.

false beliefs in ethnic superiority is what has led the Tigray to be hated and be prosecuted across their own country, and today has cut them off and put hatred between them and all their neighbours, Amhara, Afar, and Eritrea.

Unless Ethiopia trials the top TPLF leadership and puts them in front of a firing squad. That might deter Amhara, waaney naf jaceyl yihiin. Abiy should give an ultimatum for unconditional surrender of top TPLF cadre, before starting any negotiations or national dialogue, Nuremberg style.

Google News - TPLF rebels announce retreat to Ethiopia’s Tigray region NEWS.GOOGLE.COM Rebel Tigrayan forces fighting the central government are withdrawing from neighbouring regions in northern Ethiopia... “We trust that our bold act of withdrawal will be a decisive opening for peace,” And “We decided to withdraw from these areas to Tigray. We want to open the door to humanitarian aid,” Very odd statements from the TPLF head, proving that their war was never about humanitarian aid. They (TPLF leadership) should be held accountable for plunging Ethiopia in to this futile civil war and to prevent others going in to that same pathway of ethnic extremism. They can’t possible expect the IC to save TPLF leadership when they have instigated mass bloodshed to grab power. If nobody is held accountable for this, then others like the Amhara and Oroma might try to repeat the same.

Somali badan ayaa macaa sidaas oo kale magac muslim iyo magacyadii hore isku wata. Ali Muunyo oo kale.

Somali region anigu waxa u aqaanaa deegaanka somalidu degto ee qarada Africa ka degaan. Dib u eeg qoraaladeyda markasta Somali region qoray waxa ka hadliyaa gobolka somaligu ka degto Africa. deegaankani maha gobolka kaliya ee Somali degto, marka ama wa Ina ugu yeedhno Somali galbeed, ama Hawd & Reserve area ama Somali region of Ethiopia oo kuli deegaankaas tilmaamiya. Ama adigu Magac cusub la imo.

maybe it’s time for an internship and a graduate program at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and other government ministries, this is where many counties select/recruit the talented and/or connected young people in.

Ethiopia is a big country, Tom and Jerry chase can continue endlessly if political solutions are not sought. Abiy should focus on facilitating an inclusive dialogue with regional groups, and not be distracted by waging wars against one group among many groups, that would be his fatale mistake.

Madaxwayne Mustafe cagjar " Cid maanta Ciidamada Itoobiya, degaanka Soomaalida ku dhibaateeyeen lama hayo " Madaxwayne Mustafe cagjar " Cid maanta Ciidamada Itoobiya, degaanka Soomaalida ku dhibaateeyeen lama hayo " WWW.HIIRAAN.COM Talaado, December, 14, 2021 (HOL) - Madaxwaynaha dowlad degaanka Soomaalida Mustafe cagjar ka qayb galay... Talaado, December, 14, 2021 (HOL) - Madaxwaynaha dowlad degaanka Soomaalida Mustafe cagjar ka qayb galay shirka madasha aragti-wadaagga ee uu soo diyaariyay Mac'hadka Heritage oo ka dhacay magaalada Jabuuti, ayaa waxa uu kaga hadlay arrimo badan oo ku saabsan dalka Itoobiya, gaar ahaan dowlad degaanka Soomaalida, iyo wixii ka dambeeyay isbaddalkii si guud uga dhacay dalka Itoobiya. Haddaba Madaxwayne Mustafe cagjar oo si gaar ah uga hadlay xaaladda dowlad degaanka Soomaalida, iyo wixii isbaddalka ka dambeeyay, ayaa waxa uu sheegay inaysan jirin wax maamul ah oo dhanka fadaraalka ka yimaadda oo dhibaato ugaysta dowlad degaanka Soomaalida, haddii wax la xirana uu go'aankeeda leeyahay xukuumaddiisu, isagoo taa ka hadlayana waxa uu yiri " Haddii wax la xiray anagaa wax bi'inay aniga hala i waydiiyo, way jiraan dad mucaarad ah oo la xiray, ceebteeda anagaa leh, laakiin nalooma sheegin, go'aankeeda anagaa iska leh". Sidoo kale isagoo hadalkiisa sii wata waxa uu sheegay in saddexdii sano ee u dambaysay aan la helayn ciidamada Itoobiya oo shacabka dowlad degaanka Soomaalida dhibaato u gaystay, isagoo taa ka hadlayana waxa uu yiri " Cid maanta ciidamada Itoobiya ama maamul Addis Ababa ka yimaadda degaanka Soomaalida ku dhibaateeyeen, cid ay ku xiraan,cid ay dhibaato ugaysteen lama hayo". Balse taa baddalkeeda waxa uu sheegay in dadku heleen xoriyad dhammaystiran oo dhan walba ah, waxa uuna yiri " Dadku xoriyad aan caadi ahayn, ayay haystaan, dhanka dhaqdhaqaaqa, xoriyadda hadalka, xoriyadda dhanka ganacsiga, ayaa ka jirta degaankayaga". Dhinaca kale mar uu ka hadlayay dhinaca soo xulashada baarlamaanka degaanka, waxa uu sheegay in horey aysan u dhicin in degaanku isagu iskii u dhisto xubnaha baarlamaankiisa, balse wixii isbaddalka ka dambeeyay xubnaha baarlamaanka degaanku laga soo dhex xusho bulshada, iyadoo aan loo eegin waxa uu aaminsan yahay, isagoo taa ka hadlayana waxa uu yiri " Baarlamaankii aan soo xulanay ee 273 xubnood anaga ayaa gacantayada ku qoronay, horey uma dhicin, in iyadoo aan la lahayn hebel diintaasuu ku adag yahay, iyadoon la lahayn waa urur hebel, in baarlamaan la doorto ma dhicin". Ugu dambayn Madaxwayne Mustafe cagjar ayaa xusay in Ra'iisal wasaare Abiyi Axmed uusan waxba yeelin degaanka Soomaalida, balse taa baddalkeeda uu wax u taray, waxa kaloo uu sheegay in kooxda TPLF oo wakhtigii ay xukunka dalka Itoobiya haysay dhibaatooyin badan u gaystay shacabka dowlad degaanka Soomaalida, uu Abiyi maanta la dagaallamayo, waxaa uuna yiri " Kooxdii TPLF ee 27 sano Soomaali xasuuqaysay, ee Soomaaliyana dhibaatadeeda gunta u ahayd, ee meesha ka baxday ayuu maanta Abiyi Axmed hortaagan yahay, dagaalna kula jiraa". Hadallada Madaxwayne Mustafe cagjar ayaa u muuqday mid dadkii madashan isugu yimid si waafi ah looga dhaadhicinayay xaaladda dhabta ah ee wakhti xaadirkan ka jirta guud ahaan dalka Itoobiya, gaar ahaan dowlad degaanka Soomaalida. Abdilahi Jawhar, Hiiraan Online jawharyare@hiiraan.com

Since when do Somali leaders base appointments of technocrats, civil servants and ambassadors on merits? They rather perceive these awards to grant to whomever they consider affiliated, loyal or deserving of being awarded?

Sounds as if they are trying to justify the purpose of this futile war and the tremendous cost for the Tigray people, and that the leadership seem to fearing their own people rather Abiy.

I don’t think that will happen for three reasons; 1. All groups regions and ethnicities are armed, and the country won’t have energy nor the financial resources to continue waging more destructive wars against ethnic insurgents, that the next time might have more genuine sympathy from other ethnic groups or forge real alliances. 2. the one common political aspirations all regions and groups share is that they wamt greater self-determination and say in their regions and affairs. In the last three years the regional governments and leaders have had a taste of gaining more political operating space independently from the centre without fear of direct repercussions. Just look at the Oromo, Afar and Somali states utilising the regional state security machinery for disputes of boundaries with neighbouring regions. The centre won’t be able to put the hated puppets in place that only take directions from the centre, Ethiopia won’t be able to turn the clock back. 3. Ethiopia has many foreign adversaries within the region and outside, that gladly would take up the opportunity to further support insurgencies, rebel movements that further destabilise the country to the edge of collapse. But you do have a point, it Abiy wins his war against the TPLF/OLA, that it will set some kind of an example or signal to regional rebels and groups that they can’t their fight to far as TPLF/OLA have done by aspiring to dismember Ethiopia or vying for succession from Ethiopia. But this will only take off the sharper edges from potential opposition groups, rather then completely subdue political opposition that is vying for regional autonomy or greater democracy. Which will force opposition groups to operate more savvy within the boundaries of the reasonable avenues. I am assuming Abiy will be rationele and the war victory won’t further feed his hubris.

Afaraay Ahaayeen Uweesaay dileen Owliya Allaayaay ka Inkaar-sadeen. This is from a poem composed by the Qadiriyah poets after the killing of the Sheick. By the way the dervish movement did not only commit cruelty against the Qadariyah, but also against the much smaller Ahmediya School. Some folks confuse the historic impact one had to hero-ization and exoneration of ones acts. The man did leave a mark in the pages of history, but this doesn’t make one saint for that matter.

Che, I can’t help to sense that you are following the same rationale as those who favor a return to the previous political state of holding a country together by force. It seems your political views aren’t that far away removed from those that you oppose.

Irrelevant of the Tigray fighters fate, the Ethiopian conflict isn’t over, the political issue of centralised power vs regional autonomy hasn’t been resolved on the battlefield. As all those people and fighters from the Afar, Somali, Amhara did not fight for a centralised Ethiopia, they fought against the return of a vicious regime that has haunted and tormented the nations of Ethiopia for decades. Hopefully genuine political forces can now pursue an agenda for greater regional autonomy through more genuine and constructive avenues, and hopefully Somali’s will play a front role in the advocacy for an alternative discourse for Ethiopia. Furthermore, I am not certain of Abiy’s political future, he will need to justify the high cost of the civil war and thus create political space for alternative political ideas and allow greater freedom and decentralisation in the regions. If he tries to cash in any ‘victory’ on the battlefield as political support for his version of a centralised Ethiopia, he risks ending up like the former Ethiopia despots overthrown through military coups and guerrillas. Ethiopia’s fate will not be decided by military victories in the rural fields and villages.