You guys are out of touch to the American reality. Ted Cruise and company will be endangered species in American electoral map very soon. The MAGA crowd isn't interested in dusty places in Africa or even Israel. In terms of base, Djibouti is 10 minute away to reach Berbera and America doesn't even has the money to open more bases. Soon criminal Netanyahu will disapear and all these propoganda will go down with him.

Do you guys even know the map? Laascaanood, Taleex, Xudun, Badhan, Dhahar, Hadaaftimo, Laasqoray and Buuhoodle are all full districts under the current political climate. We are taking about seven districts and huge grazing land, mountain ranges of Golis and most eastern Red sea. They probably have more land than the combined of Habro. In other words the map flows tribal boundaries of the late fifties and early sixties demarcated by the British in terms of districts. I know you are shocked about the tribal nature of the map, but isn't that what you teached most Somalis. Your students in Puntland copied and put a green line in Gaalkacayo when they even had the chance to add all of MUdug. XAaji smell the coffee. It is arealy. KHaatumo and their forces are the most deadly force in Somalia at the moment. They could overun Burco. Woqoyi Bari way duushay ee sheeko kale ma haysaan.

After a couple of roands of talks between the opposition coalition called " National Salvation Council" and president Hassan Sheikh Mohamuud, it seems that the talks might continue to the next round after all. Despite some gridlocks in terms of the changes made to certain chapters of the constitution by HSM, the opposition has been enticed to listen to the latest offers from the president. Some of them are evn eager to continue. President HSM had offered the Mogadishu based opposition to appoint the prime minister among their ranks and form the next government. This new government will fight Al-shbaab and prepare for the so called one person one vote. Reliable sources indicate that the plan of the president is to drag these negotitions until late December and form the cabinet as late as the begining of Feneruary 2026. The first task HSM is demanding from the new government is to fight Al-shabaab, prepare and pass some constitutional amendments through the parliament and get ready for national election in the summer of 2027. That is two years from now. Since he couldn't extend his term due to historical precedents he himself co-authored in 2022, he is manuevering to extend his term by enticing the hungry opposition who might have different reasons to restle the premiership from HSM. Some of them might be even dreaming to implement similar coups former premier Rooble used against Farmaajo. These political moves are unusual in terms recent history of Somali leaders. Most of the time they try to have their cakes and it or hit the wall and come back to reality. By giving a seat at the table, HSM is thinking out of the box by plotting to extend his term as much as two more years. He even jokes by saying that he might not run for the next election. I am sure there is no free political lunch in Somalia and the president is playing his cards to achieve some major goals. Now, let us observe the political reality on the ground. Despite loud pronouncements from the president by repeating one person one vote, the chances of that happening in the near future is very law. At the moment Al-shbaab is knocking the gates of Jowhar and are constantly harrassing army bases in both Hirshabeelle and Galmudug. Few years ago during the opposition challenge against president Farmaajo, HSM has talked about the inevitability of the Halane tent ( Teendhadu waa lama Huraan). While the last selection was the worst, especially how the mebers of parliament were selected , no one has any guarantee how the final vote of the Teendhada wil end. For the last three terms it has produced unexpected surprises and HSM is worried about the Teendho. Now let us focus who would be the winners of the premiership The two likely premiers from the D block are Cumar Sharmaarke and Saacid Shirdoon from Gedo region. Both of these men have different qualities that HSM might prefer in terms of its application. Mr. Sharmaarke is very quiet manager. He has an extensive expereince in terms managing election while disagreeing with his boss. in 2016, he co-habited with HSM well while even running against the president. unlike most Somalis, he is not emotional who calculates subtly. He could disarm the main opposition to HSM , namely Cabdulaahi Daniand even dismantle the so called fedral system which has run out its time. This appointment might even serve well the needs of the opposition in general. On the other hand, Saacid Shirdoon doesn't have the managerial and political expereince of Sharmaarke, but he could serve the president to have huge impact in Jubbaland. Saacid is very calm and respected by Somalis in general. His last stint as premier ended early with bad results. People say the only reason Saacid could be appointed is the case of Jubbaland. The plan is for Hamza to vacate the premiership and relocate to Gedo first and then takeover Jubbaland within the next two years. In this case Saacid will be used by HSM to dismantle his main rival in Jubbaland. Most opposition members do not like this move which mainly serves HSM. In any case, by giving the opposition a big seat in the table, HSM is dismanteling the Mogadishu based opposition. After these coaltions joins the government, the real opposition will be Farmaajo and C/laahi Dani.THese two men are formidable challenge to the so called Badbaado Qaran and HSM. Dani has a base as the leader of Puntland and Farmaajo has the largest support and flowing among all Somali politicans. Another advatage that might help these duo is the reality on the ground. If we assume the new government is in place early next year, the chances of defeating Al-shabaab and holding national election is very slim. Before they even defeat Al-shabaab, they have to reclaim the recent lost territories. Maxaas, Aadan Yabaal and Maqokori might need at least six months to organize the forces, deploy them and dislodge from Al-shbaab before taking over new towns. My prediction is that in order to implement universal voting, both the opposition and HSM could add their term two more years from 2026 and hold election in 2028. Also, another big fish leader who is interfering the Somali election from his tiny shit hole is Cumar Geelle. He is supposed to hold elections in 2026, but people in Djibouti will be informed soon that Geelle is about to retire in 2028 and he will be spending the next two years to find someone from his family. President HSM had also said " Qabyo nikeedaa Dhameystira". So, he might want two years to both satsfy his boss Geelle and see how thewind blows for the next two years.

The strong military trained by Eritrea has been disbanded and no more. General Shuute, the Unaka military court judge and the local police are sent to Jawhar. This is becoming a community led campaign not a national army war. Al-shbaab had deep roots among the community they control. For God sake this people were left to rule these regions for 15 to 17 years. They married local girls and joined local clans. They are not static.Somw communities probably has seen nothing but al-shbaab for their whole life. A corrupt army led by corrupt commander in chief is doomed to fail. Why waste young men from both sides.

This is a good news. The tide is turning finally against the UAE mercenaries. When will Sudan, Somalia, Libya and others declare war on UAE?. This killers want to extens the chaos in this region and become the sole hub for business for the war torn countries. Even the Turks are becoming intrested in making money with UAE. billions worth of goods are shipped their for the rest of the region to buy. With 90% of the UAE population being foreign, it is easy to destalize. I would have banlrolled NGO's to agitate for the oppressed workers and demand citizenhip and rights. This money lundering island should be dismantled if we want peace in our region. The Hargeisa entity, Puntlanders and JUbba land are all among their clients who will be doing the dirty jobs for them. I can assure you that the so called Daacish in Puntland were settled with permission of C/laahi Dani and company. IThey have settlled in Bari region probably five oyears or more.The guy with the red beer in the mountains is probably hired by UAE to supply Daacish. I do not believe for a second that a Somali man in the moutain villages of Bari would support Daacish for ideological reasons. MY theory is that the UAE and probably America want to control Ras Casayr, the tip that separetes the Red sea from the Indian Ocean, a very strategic angle. So, they probably decided to clear the same Daacish they settled while ago for security reason. We have been propogandised from every side we don't even know the real truth behind this offensive. While the war goes on, the explorations and hauling of precious stones continue in that region

This is a good news. The tide is turning finally against the UAE mercenaries. When will Sudan, Somalia, Libya and others declare war on UAE?. This killers want to extens the chaos in this region and become the sole hub for business for the war torn countries. Even the Turks are becoming intrested in making money with UAE. billions worth of goods are shipped their for the rest of the region to buy. With 90% of the UAE population being foreign, it is easy to destalize. I would have banlrolled NGO's to agitate for the oppressed workers and demand citizenhip and rights. This money lundering island should be dismantled if we want peace in our region. The Hargeisa entity, Puntlanders and JUbba land are all among their clients who will be doing the dirty jobs for them. I can assure you that the so called Daacish in Puntland were settled with permission of C/laahi Dani and company. IThey have settlled in Bari region probably five oyears or more.The guy with the red beer in the mountains is probably hired by UAE to supply Daacish. I do not believe for a second that a Somali man in the moutain villages of Bari would support Daacish for ideological reasons. MY theory is that the UAE and probably America want to control Ras Casayr, the tip that separetes the Red sea from the Indian Ocean, a very strategic angle. So, they probably decided to clear the same Daacish they settled while ago for security reason. We have been propogandised from every side we don't even know the real truth behind this offensive. While the war goes on, the explorations and hauling of precious stones continue in that region

They probably changed strategy. They had built artifical bridges in central Shabeelle for cars and men to cross. We kept hearing about Hiiraan region been cleared, yet they extended their territory in middle Shabeele. Clashes are happening in AWdhiigle and around Afgooye. Yet, HSM is talking about one person one vote. It is all square one. How did they know about the movements of the president. They almost bombed his car with less than a second after it crossed the road killing his body guards travelling the vehicle behind him. Are the UAE threatened him last time when he visited their country? they are not hppy about Turkey, their incming rocket launcher bases in the Indian ocean and more. After the visit of the Amiir from UAE,, he fired the Turkiye connected defence minister That roadside bomb is probably connected to foreign intelligence. Certainly that was a direct message. After 20 years or so, we must realize that Al-shbaab could not be defeated and the government must change course, or the incoming government must start a new path. I thought about the possibility of weakening them, but like most of you I came to the conclusion of opening a dialogue with them. Either they will take over like Taliban, dialogue or continued bloodshed among the Somali youth on both sides.

Instead of fake macawsley parroted by Sanbloolshe, this is a real army doing the heavy lifting. Now Mr. Illyria, we have seen what Puntland is capable of, nor only here in the Golis ragged mountains, but the defeat of the seccessionists in the historical battle of Goojacade. The real question is: are you just satsfied to play local? As you mentioned, C/laahi Dani has shown his leadership and mobilizing ability, yet all that competence and hard work would mean nothing if you don't wonder daily about the absense of the Somali state. Forget about Cawad and C/weli, does Dani has any plans to run in 2026. In the larger scheme of things, running around Garoowe mean nothing for the Somali nation. I know that you are one of those who believe Somalia is far away from being lifted. Xashaa nin libin kaa xistiyey Xumihii waa yaabee. A somali region being free from the deadly Daacish enemy is victory for all. These are also our sons , yet we are nostaljic about our national army having a golory at least one more time. Furthermore, we the Somali uninionsts feel jealous sometimes. Last year we organized June 26 and July 1 ceremonies with only small crowd showing up, while the Puntland aniversary was held in huge convention hall. Libinta Puntland waa ku faraxsanahay, laakiin wax weyn baa naga maqan. In conclusion, think big and take your place in the Somali future, otherwise you will be another stealth seccessionist.

Jubba by far the wealthest region in Somalia. I would have settled at least 5 million Somalis there.Xoolo, bad iyo webi. In the eighties, there was a ministery called " Jubba Valley Development" with dams and other major prohects.

They decided to rule as a clan and at the moment they are ruling Mogadishu and few districts in Hirshabeee and Galmudug. they ahve zero connection with Koonfur Galbeed, Jubbaland and Puntland. HSM will leave in disgrace come 2026. The question is who is going to rescue the country?

I don't think these fortfied bunkers wetre built last few months or even a year ago. These Dacish guys were here probably for years wihile they were supplied from the sea by UAE and others. Congratulations for the sacrifeses of the Puntland Darawiish. The problem is these boys supposed to be a national army fighting for Somalia. These kind of galories and sacrifise belong to nations not a regional governments. It is probably some of the reasons that Somalis will never elect a president from Puntland in the current arrangements. Waxa meesha marayaa waa Jamuuriyado iyo ciidankoodi oo aduunkana la maccamilaya.

With this huge support from the Puntland public, victory will be achieved. Dadku markay isku tashtaan guushu way dhwdahay. I think the Daacish numbers could be close to a thousand. It seems these mercenaries are relocated from all over the world. I know the Puntland commanders know better than all of us, but they must expect suicidal actions and daring unexpected raids. They might move behnd the army lines in the middle of the night, or attack you three in the morning. If these foreign nations like the UAE want to help, they must provide drone survileince 24 hours to detect the movements. Having seen the pictures of these caves which are more ragged than the Torabora of Afgahnistan, I would take my time and isolate them. Sooner or later they will run out of food and supply. When I put on my conspiracy hat, I would not trust UAE or the America who are known to move Daacish from Syria to Afgahistan and now probably to Somalia. Deni must talk to the Tuekish military for drone help. Guul baan u rajaynaynaa reer Puntland .

Ilhan Omar and OAC are the leading opposition. Elom Musk is loosing support among many Americans. This coaltion of MAGA and feudal Tech guys will explode sooner than we think. Unless Trump runs in 2028, time will run out while he is tweeting about Canada or Greenland. He might not even get time to confront the big kid in the block, the China man. Netanyahu will keep him busy as usual while chasing ghosts in the middle east. THese Chinese are so patient four or five years mean nothing. Their next goal is 2049 the centenary of the communist take over of 1949.With USAID agency gone, the Chinese will ste in and fill the gap. in 2030, America could be a regional power of the weatern hemisphere bulling Canada and Mexico.

I was watching the first part of the video where Trump explaines who horrible Gaza was. When the war criminal Natenyahu heard this part, he was confused looking back and forth. It seems Trump didn't breif him about this. Here it is: "They’re living under fallen concrete that’s very dangerous and very precarious. They instead can occupy all of a beautiful area with homes and safety and they can live out their lives in peace and harmony instead of having to go back and do it again. The U.S. will take over the Gaza Strip and we will do a job with it, too. We’ll own it and be responsible for dismantling all of the dangerous unexploded bombs and other weapons on the site, level the site and get rid of the destroyed buildings, level it out. Create an economic development that will supply unlimited numbers of jobs and housing for the people of the area. Do a real job, do something different" The relocation part was added later, probably .Palestininas won't go anywhere, but the Orangeman is up to something. Both Netenyahu and Palestinians are on the edge about Trump.Uf if he want billions from the gulf , he has to come up with some serious plan. Gazans paid their freedom with blood and aren't going anywhere.

Puntland forces should not rush to these caves. They should take their time, isolate Dacish and bomb them from above. IT is war and successful wars are fought by men sacrifising their lives and boots on the front, but since these men are suicidal , you need a military strategy to minimize casualty. Looking the pictures from the caves, these Daacish people have been living there for years. The Galgala this was probably a distraction to cover the real threat. IT seems every wanted man from Daacish had relocated to Bari. One other thing that amazed me is how huge the Bari region of Puntland is. I was watching a travel vlog from a guy nmaed Dirir and there are large self sustaining towns and settlement from Xaafuun , Baargall and many others I never heard begore. The beauty of huge mountains with forested trees facing a prestine beech. It is a tourist haven. Too bad most Somalis don't even know their own country.