Khadafi

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About Khadafi

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  1. Its allways good to read others perspective. Abukar Armans shares my view that the terror network al-shabaab, wahaabiyada and the so called "thousands of al-shabaab" invading soomali-galbeed is just another false-flag cashow for caabey axmaaro and his un-elected, menelik styled appointed cagjar in Soomali Galbeed. Hey who can blame him, the war on the TPLF has depleted his cash, the UAE dropped him off. The oromos and qeero do not longer support him after he turned out to be a neo-mengistu. As for Cagjar, as far as I know he us un-elected and no diffirent then those before him. Hand picked by the amxara-elite bent upon keeping the lid on ethiopias ultimate fate, the decoding or deconstruction of the black colonialism that tha Amhara war-lord and bestial murderor Meneleik did. Read Former Ambd Abukar Armans perspectives. Kulaha Soomali-galbeed when they could have concentrated on a port, kismaayu. Friday July 29, 2022 By Abukar Arman In countries such as the U.S., there is an unwritten theory in a police investigation that assumes whenever a neighborhood robbery occurs, it was done by someone who not only had the motive to commit that crime but the basic intelligence to help time it well and to get away with it. In other words, it was committed by someone who lives or operates within a 5-miles radius around the crime scene. If your gut feeling is ‘such mentality, regardless of how logical it may sound, will keep the law-enforcement stereotypically myopic and perpetually racist,’ you are not alone. But that is a topic for another day. Meanwhile, an elaborately sophisticated attack carried out by more than 500 al-Shabab, and dozens of technical-armed trucks- against Ethiopia left many casualties and many unanswered questions. Granted, this was not a robbery. According to the VOA’s Investigative Dossier, “Officials from both sides of the (Somalia, Ethiopia) border confirmed that the attacks preoccupied Liyu police forces and distracted them as other heavily armed al-Shabab units crossed the border unopposed.” Moreover, the same program quotes an anonymous former al-Shabab militant who said the group was determined to erect its flag inside Ethiopia and then officially declare that “jihad spread to a new front.” The offensive, according to Matt Bryden of the controversial Sahan research group, “appears to be the start of a major, strategic initiative to establish an active combatant presence in Ethiopia, probably in the southeastern Bale Mountains.” How about that for a narrative express? Surely with the failure of the Somali Federal Government’s military and intelligence campaign as well as America’s deadly drone doctrine to decapitate and defeat al-Shabab, the terrorist group remains more dangerous than ever. That danger is made worse when governments sometimes engage in their own concocted threats to pave the way for one manipulative objective or another. Here are some possible scenarios driving al-Shabaab’s incursion into the Somali region of Ethiopia: Scenario One: It is the first step of a foreign-driven plan to spook China out of Ethiopia’s oil and gas-rich region. A few years ago, the Ethiopian government signed a multi-billion dollar deal with a Chinese company to develop petroleum and natural gas in the Somali region. Moreover, the company is to design storage, transportation, and marketing logistics as well as build pipelines for domestic and international supply. On April 28, 2020, the Ethiopian government signed a $3.6 billion deal with a Virginia-based energy firm named GreenComm Technologies to construct an oil refinery in Ethiopia’s oil-rich Somali region. Reminiscent of the Somali facilitated British predatory capitalist Soma Oil and Gas, there is only one problem: the company has neither the expertise nor the credibility to be trusted with such a contract. And though the Ethiopian government indicated the willingness to cancel, no official report confirms that. Scenario Two: A false flag scheme to re-shuffle the cards in the Horn with the derailment of the Horn Economic Integration engineered by the European Union, championed by Ethiopia, Eritrea, and Somalia, and funded by the U.A.E. Under such a scheme, a pretext for prolonged strategic military campaigns and political torpedoes launched from a selected federal state is established. So Ethiopia and Somalia, or President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud and Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali, will spend the next four years riding a dangerous roller-coaster, as did President Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed (Farmajo) and President Uhuru Kenyatta. Meanwhile, Somalia has secured membership in the East African Community (EAC) and a peace-keeping force that excludes Ethiopia. Scenario Three: To further hammer Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, who has already lost a loyal partner in the loss of Farmajo. Under this scenario, multiple deadly fronts are opened. This scenario is based on the assumption that the United Arab Emirates or President Mohammed bin Zayed had turned his back on the European project that this author criticized before and dropped Abiy Ahmed from his previous pivotal role. Of course, the natural replacement is none other than President Isaias Afwerki of Eritrea, who secured UAE a military base while it was actively partaking in the war in Yemen and just completed training 5000 Somali soldiers to provide military protection as UAE colonizes Socotra in partnership with Israel. “The saga of these Somali soldiers has been full of twists and turns,” wrote Michelle Gavin, a security expert for the Council on Foreign Relations. This lucrative clandestine mercenary project was equivocated and denied by the Farmajo government until literally the last minutes before ceremonially handing over the presidential authority to the newly elected President HSM. Scenario Four: To re-engineer a new balance of power that would end the ethnic cleansing of the Tigrayans and boost their military capacity to ultimately take over what is considered viable economic insurance- the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD). This requires stretching the Ethiopian military power so thin by opening on it many military fronts. The coalition of the willing under this scenario may include Egypt, which considers the dam’s drastic impact on the flow of the Nile as an existential threat, Sudan, the U.S. And due to the rapidly changing geopolitics of the region, and Ethiopia’s steadily growing ethnic nationalism, it is likely to include U.A.E and Israel whose strategic and economic interest in the Nile water is no secret. Scenario Five: A combination of the listed scenarios; and this could prove the most complex one to decode and deal with. Relevant Context For over a decade, Ethiopia has dominated the Bay and Bakool regions of the South West federal-state of Somalia. It has been its most reliable laboratory where Ethiopia trained and mobilized some of its most notorious clandestine allies, the violent neo-Islamists such as Mukhtar Robow (still held as a political prisoner) and his militia, and tribal secularists such as Abdirashid Janan and his militias for of subversion and security dependency (AMISOM). Intriguingly, the Shabaab militia that attacked Ethiopia is reported to have been trained in the Jubbaland federal state (Jilib and Ras Kamboni). According to the Governor of Bakool, their objective was to raise their flag inside Ethiopia. To accept that Shabaab would carry out such a daring operation with such a reported large number of its militia out of Jubbaland while ignoring the temptation to take the jewel of that federal state – Kismayo – or to takeover U.S.’ only military base in Somalia and to chase the American troops out of that region requires an extremely wild imagination that some of us do not possess.
  2. A good analysis on what might be happening. We are all in the dark. But one thing thing is for sure, their is something breweing in a hot pot. I will yet call it Al-Al-shabaab and I will tell you so. Abtigis, aka Mudane Cagjar is probably a good guy but do not ever forget that he was directyly appointed by whom I have ever called the biggest neftegna (amhara colonial settler) Abey Ahmed. Before that, the monster was Cabdi Iley. I beg you to question. Have their happended anything else since then? If bush soldiers of ONLF who bravely I might say stayed in the Bush during the Cabdi Iey and AUN martyrs like Nuur Huure Ciraqi and nafte u hure the martyr and the intellectual Doolaad who went from European life to semi-deserts to Soomali-galbeed. When the Somalis rose and ONLF speeded up it attacks in 2007, aljazeera noticed it. The shrewd and vicous TPLF chose a man an tree electrcian who used to be called and then be asked to climb up trees. He was chosed becouse of his absolute loyalty to a degree that even we Somalis with our culture we shocked. They launched a propoganda channel and made the whole area a no go area. Al-shabaab became the cow milk for TPLF. Diverse attacks by ALFR and OLF ONLF and 20 other various groups were blamed on Al-shabaab. Galbeedi, Al-shabaabs strategy was been wellknown, they made calculated decision to withdraw from Mogadisu after a vicious campaign of liberation. They isolated themselves in the fertile regions and shifted their strategy to win the peoples hearts and brain wash the youth with toxic non islamic whabism. Why would they now venture in Ethiopia? Somethings doesnt add upp here. According my sources the IC with Turkey Told Mudane XSM "either to eliminate Al-shabaab or its you who will be eliminated by them, amisom will not stay forever". XSM told openly the people to brace them for war. Hence why the many international trips. Turkish drones are landing in Somalia. Farmaajo said the same thing but he was populist and lacked the backing of IC. The IC strategt then was lets to contain them. They do not have sea port hence are not so dangerous. That changed with Afghanistan. Alternative theories? Might it be die-hard ONLF soldiers U-WSLF staging last ditch attacks and Cagjar who doesnt want aknowlidge that using the al-shabaab game to unite Ethiopia as the orders given to him?. Rabbi ba og xadiiqda
  3. As your eedaadada aun used to say "nin aan YAABIN AYAA YAABAY!. A warlord who taped his own warlordism in 1991 using the victim card.
  4. congratulations to all somali people, from carta to jigjiga to all down to gaarisa. A great day for somalis, a day unity of and freedom from the brutality of colonialism.
  5. As a parent, a couple of years ago during foregin trip I visited some relatives of mine. A young girl was completely disabled. As we were having the dinner the poor girl went nuts. She dragged the table and the casho-sharaf for me and my wife was completely destroyed. The relative of mine simply bought a pizza and we usally commented on somali politics. What amazed me what his complete deny of the situation. Out of courtesy neither did I mention anything about the girls condition. Thats how the somali mindset is. Ignore what you can, qari waxi la qari karo, but we have a saying, "waxii la qariyo qurun aa ku jiro". While many here are busy commenting on Fahad Yasin, or Farmaajo or Xassan Sheikh Maxamud and isolated fufu-lands that completeyt even lacks the basic requirments to give its sacred clan members basic water and education, no one wants talk about the big pink elephant in the room. We Somalis have tendency to be full of emotions but including me lack complete sense of honesty on describing the situation on the ground. When the taleban literally stormed the Kabul the president fled no Afghan political commentary would talk about the future. We are not afghans. We are not pashtuans. We are Somalis. But a foot-note, during a cabinet meeting headed by Rooble to adress security issues in the full company of all ministers asked the defence minister "wasiir, how are our armed forces in Somalia". A minister who I do not like to name who is famous for cracking jokes said "what army,. heck I cant event go to ceelasha biyaha, yet alone to Baladwayne by car". The ministers laughed while the poor defence minister tried reply in the priestly cermonial way of "dear prime minister, the army is ready to defend the countrey". That night according to my source many folks went home terrified or fully aware of how things could unfold.. Somalia is a former failed state.Clan- Federalism was adopted in order rid Mogadishu those from the arid cenral places of Somalia. It was created to defuse clan-tensions and was way 30-years of population who has only seen anarchy to go back to the fufu-lands and ask their basic rights. It was a way to give time to FGS rebuild vital instututions. Even the the SNM clan-based triangle state seperatists have not been able to build a single road since the devestatating 1991-civil war. Somalis say, and even the Koran affirms it, yaqiin, real facts on the grounds is gained by true insights. I visisted Somalia pre farmaajo and what I saw was a huge NGO-funded government. A government guarded by emotional clan-actors by thousands of Amisom soldiers. The roads linking Mogadishu to Gaalkacayo, baladwayne, Baidoa and to kismaayo are completely cut off. I asked a general who guess what: Was working in his 80-ties about the state. He simply responded "well we are under seige". While our glorious Islam and its traditional sunni islam, shafite madhab and asharite caqiidah have today a resennance in southern Somalia and are a strong factor in maths of Somalia the truth is that the 30-years of anarchy wahabism and its ofshoot al-qaida had a upswing. Hey who can judge them? No law no nothing. Who remembers the days when Mogadishu was like a scene from a apocolyptic film like madmax where the town was divided by certain clans.? Anyways while Somalia is today bickering from Farmaajo, or Xassan Sh Maxamud or another non-actor, note the word "non-actor". The Somali FGS is western funded giant NGO project that wants the important seas free from pirates and ofcourse a non--alqaeda state that inflicts terror on its citizens. 14 years or 13 years of Amisom and and war with Al-shabaab has taught Al-shabaab some vital strategies. Some even go to shabaab-courts instead of state courts. Jamal Osman was indeed a PR achievment for al-shabaab but al-shabaabs decesion to give an open interview and show its "state enabling" factors have made me deeply worried. America has shown that it can negotiate with its devils. If they did it with taliban they can surely with al-shabaab. If Al-shabaabs secretive shura council decides that they will cut the relations with the egyptian arab that hardly knows black Somalia is on the map and denounce their alliance with al-qaeda that makes room for negotions. The Western nations are now backslide, americans fifth fleet is in the china sea. Somalia is a secondary issue. The funding for Amisom dimimishing and if my reports are not wrong. Western nations are even contemplating a time-table for exit. While I was in Somalia I noticed a intresting thing. Many becouse of 30 years of anarchy and free roam for wahabi ideoloogists, many in Somalia have in a way in a sub-cuncious way already al-shabaab mentality. The absence of a nation state and just put forward a few questions and you will see that many have been burned by Ictisam (the mother of al-Shabaab), Those who declared jihad against Pres Abdullahi Yusuf but remain silent today. Wahabism is in crisis. It is sad to see that the FGS is not using its reresources to combat the ideology and to empower our traditional ulama ( I am not talking about those sufis who deviated in central Somalia). In summary friends, Farmaajo was marker for Somalia. A D-man elected by celebortary gunfire in Mogadishu. Imagine that to 1991. Uts sad that he squanderd his years of trying to get his men in god forsaken fufu-lands instead of playing the cermonalial healing president. The president that should have lambasted the clan leaders for not giving basic water and educatiob to its clan-enclaves now called fufu- or bubu lands. The only good thing he did was that he did not destroy Qatar-Turkish alliance. But all of these people are non-actors. Once the dollars run out and Mahad Karataay, the al-shabaab khwaarij coming out to the media and denouncing Al-qaeda we might one day see them over run the capital. Think about it, if billions of dollars in afghanistan and state army building could not do a thing why would it be diffirent in Somalia? Somalis are muslims, Dr Baadiyow Phs dissertions offers the best solution for Somalia. In order for the Somali governmment to beat Al-shabaab they need to ideologically combat and re-educate Somalia, an Islamic Somalia that denies Al-shabaab its core arguemnt of being the only legitmate islamic is needed. Salary for the state Imams.Its sad to see when Saudi-Arabia finally admitted the menace ommited to this Ummah that we Somalis are stilll struggling to find out where did these guys come from. See the interview and see how Mahad Khwaarij is actually in sarbeeb planning. Anyways, Fahad Yasin, Farmajjo, Xassan Sh, ---- These are indeed non-actors. Its time that the Somali government actually aknowlidges that the city is under seige. Many in this forum might not agree with that but hey what are the facts on the ground and how do you define a seige?. Is Somalia ready accept Turkish troops and fully ally itself further? Greater strategic decisions needs to be done. Once trumpists are in power they will not care who they will negotiate with. Pan-Somalism intertwined with Pan-Islamism with Sheekh Xassan Banna and our local dariiqoyinka can only save us from this menace. Only Somalis. Not Amisom, no other force. Some might accuse of panicking, but think about it, these guys have been around for 14 years. They have shown that clan-discord can not destroy them. So whats the solution? More ghost soldiers?
  6. Honesty is what what we need. Farmaajo, was elected, 30 years ago the communist dictator destroyed the nation, socially, psycologocaly, in any way you can describe it. The election of farmaajo was an affrimation that that the civil war clan-hatred was dead. Indeed a cousin to thar communist dictator that did not have the moral responsibility to hand over the power to the manifesto or flee the countrey the as mengistu did was elected. Farmajos election was a victory. But he failed. He succeeded in the foregin policy but failed utterly to realise that that the Somalia he inherited was a fragmented Somalia. Instead of trying to break the seige of mogadishu that Shabaab are doing all he did was try to get his men in power in isolted fufu-lands. His lack of understanding that Somalia was a failed state and that his role according to the guidelines of the federal principals was try to teach the somali populations to demand basic water and education from those clan based "maaamulo gobooledyo". He even tried to do a coup. I am glad his gone. Lets face it, farmaajo got the election in right time while he was dragging on. The tension he created was not needed. He was simply not a man who had good advisers. He was naive, sitting with Abey Ahmed and Cafwerki in conferances made himself think that he really controlled Somalia. Nobody in this forum wants to aknowlidge this. But I would all want you to listen Jamal Osmans description of Somalia under al-Shabaabs rule. The despotic demonic cult rules Somalias with a iron hand. Ceelasha biyaha and jowhar, towns outside Mogadishu is under the direct controll of Al-shabaab and the al.shabaab is biding their time. In the mean while, the Somali people do not have access to basic things, like clean water, free education. No one is raising these issues. In Summary, I am glad Farmaajo was elected, I am glad he stood by Turkey and Qatar, but I am happy is gone. We do not need naive leaders. We need people who realise who things are on the ground.
  7. Lets be reflective MMA. Weather you like it or not Hassan Sheikh knows that Somalia is a fragile state that needs reconcilation after the 25 years of the regressive somali civil war. Farmaajos advisers were all 75 plus who served Barres regime and who were old or senile. But Frankly speaking, its all about instututions MMA. Hassan Sheikh knows the real politik of Somalia. When Jubba land under madoobe entered the kismaayo with kenyan support Hassan Sheikh Mohamud realised he did not have the military strength or would it wise to engage in a political haggle. What did he do? He accepted him. He created Golaha Qaranka amaanka where all somali local leaders would host. That symbolism showed that Somalia was going forward. Farmaajo unfortunately waisted his time by trying gain absolute power in federal states. He extended his time. He depleted the public trust. While Barre was ousted he was welcomed by waited the political power engaging in a never ending power struggle. Hassan Sheikh M is a man of the ngos. He knows peacebuilding. He only fault his sorrounding himself by incompitent advisors. For example. Mahad Salaad is tainted man, a man who did not deserve that positition. HSHM has learned from his misstakes and he can fully concentrate of Mogadishu and securing Mogadishu. Breaking the seige of al-shabaab. HSHM handed over fully functioning mamuuled goboleedyo and state instututions to Farmaajo while Farmaajo handed him a secret army trained in Eritrea. This army probably comes from all somali clans but the secrecy arround it hurt him politically. On the foregin policy of HSM is fully aware while sitting with Cafwerki and Abey that unlike them his state is fragile one and no hybris will enter his head. Unlike Farmaajo who really thought he had power when his own minister could not even travel to ceelasha biyaha. That hybris is gone. He is also a man willing to work with the outside world. Weather we like it or not Somalia is with its fragile state needs all the support it can. He will continue the alliance with Turkey. In conclusion: Xassan Sheekh Maxamud will not waste 4 years by trying force the federal state in submission. He knows the road-map is Mogadishu. Atmis demands that the ICC-community demands that. His focus will be securing Mogadishu and the state instututions. Regarding the secceionists. Unlike Farmaajos emotional-based politics for apoligizing and then getting nothing. He knows how to deal with the extreme anti-somali clan oriented city state iss or fuu land. He will deny them the money. No one in this forum knows but the hotell bills of Muuse Biixi during his horrendous American trip was paid by the federal government of Somalia. Nothing of that sort will happen. Racist clanists will not receive support. The young youth or flocking to the Mogadishu and work and live in Mogadishu. Thats how it should be. The nepotism of HSM is gone. Give him 6 months, I know as a somali nationalist MMA that you want a return to a strong central Somalia where somalism and pan-somalism prevails. We all want that. But the countrey my friend has gone the a vicous civil war that I dubbed the "the regressive jahhiliyya war". We need healing. Federalism gives the clan fanatics a breathing spot. Its time though that HSM and the federal government of Somalia actually gives information to the population of Puntland, and Koonfurgalbeed etc that they should demand clean water, education from their leader, To sum it up. Hadii waraabi aas ku noqday dhuuso mareeb oo doodisa dhuuso mareeb iyo guriceel ka doodayo nabad waa la helay.
  8. MMA, sometimes official news are offical while sometimes the official news are dubious. Regarding the eritrean "somali armty in asmara the news are complicated and the bitter truth behind this news is baffling and somewhat bizarre and shocking. Farmaajo and his crew literally wanted hijack the the small history of the federal somali republic.I dont not know. Did he get power crazy or did not he trust the defacto clan militias that make the federal somali armt in Mogadishu and who are majority from the southern Somalia aka not gedo. According to my un-official inside news Farmaajo asked the khabiith, the dictator and opressesor of muslims in Eritrea Cafewrki to include eritrean soldiers in Amisom and train 15 000 somali troops. Farmaajo dazzled by the cermonies of being a president and being receiced as one forgot that his federal republic of Somalia is a countrey or a republic on life support and healing from a 30 year long civil war. Anyways cash-strapped Eritrea with no dollars in the communis african north korean state saw the oppurtinity in this. Millions of dollars for a 20 000 Eritrean troops in Mogadishu and that would be happily obliged the obey farmajo through cafwerki. The CIA and the western powers who created the little red-book for Somali leaders to follow called "the road map" and Turkey saw the dangerous outcome of this. The turkish intelligence together with the cia directly adviced farmaajo but to he simply did not want to listen. He thought he would be re-elected and the the re-election would give him the legitimacy to forcefully capture Mogadishu. The story goes on. Do you remember when the horn african ambassador to Somalia met with Cafwerki in Khartoum? A defentive choice was given to the eritreans. The sanctions that the americans lifted would re-intruduced if an eritrean soldier set foot in Somalia. Afwerki who 7 years ago surviced a coup attempt dumped farmaajo and the idea of eritrean army roaming the in the streets of Mogadishu. The power balance would have shifted if the eritreans came and we would probably have had seen a civil war. The lack of definitive power-booster to either side is what is making Somalia slowly healing. The neutrality of Amisom is sacred and its not non-interference in Somali politics is whats keeping the federal government together and stopping Somalia going back to the 30 years of regressive civil war. Now begs the pardon, Why did Farmaajo hide that a Somali army was being trained in Asmara? The anwer is obvious. But whats more dangerous, imagine the guy gettting elected and having EPLF roaming the streets and taking informal orders from Farmaajo? That would be end for the self healing fragile state we are going through. By the way? Did you guys know that 15 000 strong Somali community that solely compromise of small clan related Mohamed Siyaad Barre thrives in Asmara?. Most of red berets hailed from this. A side note. Remember when Farmaajo almost called civil war and army refused to take his orders during his couop attempt? The presidential advisors, 80 years olds from the Barre time called Amisom generals 20 times and tried to frame the legitamate opposition as Al-shabaab. While the fat african generals took their bribes they never breached the the non-interference code and simply answerd "they are nor al-shabaab and our mandate is cleary not to interfere internal somali politics. Farmaajo was a populist, a man who grew up with the nomenclatura of Barres clan-regime. He never saw the ugly civil war. He and people like him literally belive that they and only they are Somalia in its abstract form. Imagine if the guy would have been elected again. Unlike HSM who lived through the evil days dark days of the 25 years of post Barre civil war, He understands who fragile Somalia is. Farmaajo made one good thing, and its that he did not stray away from our alliance with Turkey and Qatar.
  9. Sometimes, some events are game-changers. The fall of berlin wall and communism was such an event. I can today with 100 percent confidence say that Somalia entered a new phase when the first elections where held in Somalia and the TNG became the TFG. I would say say that post-civil war Somalia with USC SSDF SNM SPM and unarmed orgnisations like SNU are gone. That era past and buried. When Somalis elected a person who had affiliations with the ousted Barre that was stress-test for the young federal republic. 30 years ago Somalis were clapping the hands 1991 january but litte did thet know that society would literally collapse and we would have Somalia that reminds us from apocplyptic films like mad max with Mel Gibson. Farmaajo failed, he failed utterly with his populism. He wasted his few years by trying to force the federal states to be vassal states under him. Little did he know that whole concept of federalism was created in order for the countrey to heal. Everyone got a region. Instead trying harden the state instutions and becoming a symbol of change by demanding federal states to give clean water free education to the population he was seen as an uprooter. Somalia is patronage state with funding coming fron the UN. He ousted the UN. The positive and lasting effects of Somalia under Farmaajo was his un-wavering alliance with Turkiye and Qatar. He never doubted and stuck with these gracious countries. A close relative of mine openly supported Hassan Sheikh becouse he has firmer understanding how fragile the state is in Somalia. Hassan Sheikh saw the writing on the wall and recognised the Jubba land. He then created the Security meetings where all regional states would meet. His biography is one filled with working with NGOS with peacebuilding and his ties Islaax and sufism is commendable. Somalia faces now two challenges. Somaliland has no relevancy as the world sees it as a regional state within Somalia. Behind hum bug of the seccionusts the truth behind the closed doors Somaliland receives funding from FGS and demanded its share. What we southerners can do is commend the tribal 3 city state for having calm and security. Somaliland is a non issue. They are Somalis living in peace and should get every penny they rightly do so. Its been 30 years, the younger generation of Hargeysaa are coming to Mogadishu, nobody cares anymore about three tribal cities demanding seperatism. Pan-Somalism alive. 1---The primary challenge to and a existential threat to FGS Somalia is undoubtlt Al-shabaab. Weather we like it or not, the terror group is more structural and has more dicipline as an as a blood thirsty organisation thet gorges the blood of muslims. Al-shabaab have withstood Amisom and nothing is permanent as Barre said in a interview in 1978. Amisom will leave, Americas battle fleed is leaving the middle east. If Al-shabaab cuts its relations with al-qaida and tries to potray itself as the taliban we really could see an afghabistan collapse. That collapse took weeks. In Somalia it would take days. Security and securing a victory against all wings of al-shabaab, ictisaam and establishing a culture of Somalis asking "where the hell did this ideology" come from is crucial. The Civil war in Somalia has finally ended. It is now time to end the khwaarij menace in Somalia. Algeria went through it and the late Bouteflika defeated the takfiris in a bloody war. Turkey could here be more proactive. I do not see any reason for Xassan Sheeikh rejecting a military alliance with Turkey. They know how to the defeat an insugency, They defeated the communist-leninist PKK kurdish terror group that murderd consertvative muslim kurds and turks. Xassan Shaykh needs to look for military assistance once the europeans and cadaanka cut their money and simply leave just as they did with Iraq and Afghqaanistan. That countrey my friends is Turkey and no one else. They sent Imaam Axmed Gurey 50000 cismaani mosqueteers (canisari) and they could do it again, Khadafi
  10. Galbeedi, Nobody has the chutzpa to say it openly? It always been like that,the manta we will build a strong somali army. That army cracked under farmaajo along vicious clan lines. Secondly Ustaad galbeedI. Al-shabaab has been a fighting force for 15 years, thats a long time. They have evolved, U mentioned bakaaraha, It is they are in controll of it. .
  11. No comment. Baala xoofto be I am happy your a proud in the S as a Somali.
  12. With covid out of the blue my die hard habit of visiting the mosque and then the local somali cafe here in our nordic countrey after work has not gone away.Yesterday while I was sitting and snipping coffe our local news guy and our clique of coffe and politics lovers had a discussion. I usally stay silent. Everyone was from his cosy living conditions in a nordic countey was talking about "Xassan Sheekh said that" Farmaajo said that. Who said what and who and the tit for the tat discussions went along. I left the table and gave an excuse to my so called "intellectual friends" and went home. No Somali intellectual have the bolds or the chutzpa to say how Somalia is. Nobody wants to talk about the pink big elephant in in the room. Its a bizarre world amongst us Somalis. It has been 10-12 years since Amisom came to Somalia. When I last visited Somalia in 2019 and met Khayre and the speaker of the parliament I myself did not have the courage to say how things were. I had breif "isku sawir exchange with him" What I saw was a government limited to Mogadishu, A government commanded by Amisom. The serpant and the terror group Al-shabaab had full controll of the countrey. Every road leading from Mogadishu to either these bantunistans or should I say maamul-goboleedyo, the road was cut of. If you wanted to go to Baidoa then you had to take a plane. Imagine, the president of Koonfurgalbeed not being able to drive to Mogadishu. I sat down with a friend of my father who was now in his 80-ties and a general and who was a prosecutor in the military tribunal and who by chance was my mentor and neighbor where I live had a dinner A devout man of god from sunni sufi order raxmaaniya order but a loyalist to the core to what ever government that was in power. He was delighted to see me and and me him. While security cleared me we talked and we exchanged some religous books He began as a soldier and then a policeman. I will not say further in order not to give any clues who he might be. I directed my questions to him over dinner and he had the boldness and truthfullness to say how things were. He literally said we are encircled. They the terror group al-shabaab are now biding their time and have even infiltrated the government. He even said, "xxx, ababa, dont you even realize that Somali society have been bitten by their venemous bloody ideology that you may see somalis who unwilling and who they themselves do not know about it have al-shabaab values. Then it struck me, Everyone in the Somali cafes would criticise the government but no one even dared to mention al-shabaab. Some even fused our beutiful religion with some al-shabaab tendencies. Nothing is permanent. D-day came to Afghanistan when the americans departed and everything collapsed. I called my xxx who was a minister at that time and xx said that every somali minister was watching the events unfolding. Rooble called the cabinitte and asked the bizarre question "how is the state of the federal government army". A minister with no portfolio and who is known for cracking jokes answerd "what the xx are you talking about, we cant even go to xxxx within Mogadishu". Everyone laughed, then came the silence and everyone went home, That day everyone sent corrupted money to kenyan banks. Somalia is dictated by roadmap layed out by western governments and the UN. Shaykh Sharif, Xassan Sheekh, Farmaajo, It does not matter, the next president has no mandate except either to heal the countrey or be power hungry grabber like farmaajo but he has to follow the road map. Atleast under Xassan Sheikh the bantunistans that of maamul goboleedyo were created. The whole federal system was created in order ease clan tensions. Have we Somalis seen Somalis in galmudug demand clean water and free education from their clan elected leader? No?. Demonstrations against al-shabaab? People even talking about them? The venemous murderous terror bandits that hail from a ofshoot of the wahaaabiya are now well established. While americas influence is declining and Ethiopia weakended to even have a say about Somalia, the paradigm shift in the world is being felt in Somalia. Last month ago news came out that Amisom will be dismantled into another form, a limited one where the Somali army would play bigger picture. Here comes another pink elephant? The same somali army that fractured over clan-lines over Farmaajos attempted failed power grap`?- In conclusion D-day might come to Somalia. The sad thing is that the wahaabiyada terror group Al-shabaab swore allegiance to an arab who probably has problem pointing out Somalia on the map. The taliban though never did that. Waale yabaaye, no one is willing to talk about the pink venemous elephant.In order for FGS to succeed they need to adress the terror group. They need mobilise popular mobilisation units just as the Iraqis did when they eradictated a more blood thirsty monster, Daacish. Who ever gets elected needs to understand he is not a president of a free state. Logic dictates that with large foregin troops on your land, albeit to help you, you are limited. Al-shabaab have shown that they can stay latent, their ideology after the 30 years of mayhem are drawing recruits. They have been able to regroup. They are not stupid or dumb. Their strategy now seems to bid their time. Indeed its a bizarre world. As proverb says "Nin aanan yaabin ayaa yabaay"
  13. I am sorry to burst your ability to conventrate your analysys on the three city tribal seperatist republic, call Somaliland call it Isa-@@k land, what ever you want but for the most Somali people your issue is a non-issue. A deadly insurgency is going in southern Somalia where a fragile federal government is starting to make it its baby steps. Facts on the table is that it is recognised. Weak as it maybe, and lacks the security that Somaliland has an undeniable fact is that with recognition comes dictations on the internal affairs of a countrey. I dont know if can get rid of yourself with propoganda or sixirka of the SNM but as a person who knows what goes on in the federal government of Somalia, its a well known secret that hotell bills that Muuse Biixi sleeps in when he pays a visit to Addis, or the donations to Somalia that should go to to north is approved and stamped by Mogadishu. Thats the reality. The hey day when the north could point the finger and say to the world "hey, we have security while the south is it chaos" is gone. The FGS, weather I like it, or not is a fully recognised state. What made the leaders in three city- somaliland project go nuts is how they were delegated to to be informal maamul goboleed. Forget the pr-campaign, the truth is that leaders of Hargeysaa met evert month the FGS and deliver the bills in secret while other bantunistans do not. You might be a kid fed by hatred but belive, thousands of Somalis from Somaliland are in mogadishu doing buisness. Its been 30 years of zombie minded saar beating of "aqoonsi" but the upper class knows thats gone. That project failed. What they now want is power sharing agreement. Somalis will be Somalis. Analyze your habits, your whole analysis on the elections came down to Khayre forbidding Dubai. As Somali nationalist or Somali-land nationalist your concern should have been why on hell is Dubai trying buy up all ports in Africa? From Massawa to Assab to even foes in Puntland? Why? To keep black somalis down. Even the somaliland parliament understood this.
  14. Another clan-obsessed documentary about three city states, fuufu-lands, bubu-lands call them what ever you want. Lets be honest to each other. Its a tribal enititey trying to to be seperate while other somali tribes in somaliland do not even agree with them. Nobody is dumb. The only thing I could say to to them as a southerner is that I hail them for the peace they have.