Illyria

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Posts posted by Illyria

  3. Posted

    Kenyan MPs incl. a Somali MP discuss the issue.

    "Kenya is next! The long game of Abiy is an Oromia Kush empire, which includes Asseb [#Eritrea], and stretches from Northern #Somalia to the Tana River in the Oromo-speaking part of #Kenya. Abiy is going to make the Horn of Africa the most unstable region."

     

    -------------------------------------------------------------
    An invasion of Somali peninsula in the works.

    ETHIOPIA DEPLOYS 8,000 STRONG ARMY IN WARDHEER AND ADDITIONAL HEAVILY ARMED TROOPS IN GALMUDUG AND PUNTLAND SIDE OF THE BORDER

    ETHIOPIA EMPHASIZES PREVENTION OF REINFORCEMENTS AS OBJECTIVE #1 FOR PHASE I OF ITS INVASION OF AWDAL AND BUUHOODLE

    Ethiopia, for the first time since the war with the Islamic Courts of Somalia, deploys heavily armed troops at all border towns from Galgaduud to Buuhoodle. Just in the last two weeks, as an anonymous Ethiopian security official in Doollo confirmed to Daljir Media, Ethiopia has deployed 8,000 strong army in Wardheer. These troops are armed with tanks, APCs, and heavy military trucks mounted with antiaircraft guns, mainly the Zsu-37 guns.

    Reliable individual with access to the movement and planned movement of Ethiopian troops in the days ahead have also confirmed to Daljir that it isn't only Wardheer that Ethiopian troops are on the move, but they are also being deployed at the Galmudug side of the border from Jinbaclay of Uurmudug to Shillaabo.

    On the Puntland side of the border, additional troops are heading to Bookh, Gallaadi, and Galxamur.

    Security officials in Doollo and individuals with knowledge of Ethiopian tactics and troop movements are telling Daljir that the army is mostly geared towards the border side of SSC-Khatumo, in particular the Buuhoodle area, and other troops have already arrived on the Awdal side of the border.

    One security official who has extensive contacts with the Ethiopian army has explained to Daljir what the troop movements from Galmudug to SSC-Khatumo entail. He tells Daljir, "Everyone knows what #Ethiopia wants to do and will do, and Somalia can ignore these troop movements  at their own peril."

    We asked him to explain further what that meant, and he said, "Ethiopia will take Awdal with ease and no opposition at all. However, the main battle will be between Somaliland and SSC-Khatumo, and the purpose of these troop movements is twofold. First and foremost, it is to provide support to Somaliland forces on their expected attack of Buuhoodle, Buqdharkayn, and the whole front with #SSC all the way to Oog."

    He explained the second part as "closing the Somali border with #Galmudug and #Puntland so no reinforcement my come from either side. This is the first phase of the war, and it is being planned right in front of everyone with no pushback so far from anyone, none from the Federal Government of Somalia and none from the federal member states."

    On the expected and some say imminent attack from Somaliland, Daljir reporters in Buuhoodle visited the frontlines and the first line of defense of SSC-Khatumo. SSC-Khatumo military officers have confirmed to Daljir that Somaliland has brought fresh conscripts to Yeyle, Buqdharkayn, Gocondhaale, Xararan and Hagoogane. The officers tell Daljir that they are "on high alert and ready for all expected and unexpected events."

    On the Oog and Guumeys frontlines, SSC military officers tell Daljir that Somaliland has vacated some areas, perhaps to strengthen other fronts, and that, in fact, there has been Ethiopian military officers visiting certain #Somaliland positions. However, they tell Daljir that there has been no unusual military movement on this side of the frontlines. "We have our eyes on the Buuhoodle front," one officer told Daljir.

    Given all the troop movements information Radio Daljir is receiving from throughout the Doollo region and has also been receiving from #Djibouti to Awdal, for all intents and purposes, it is now beyond any doubt that Ethiopia intends to invade #Somalia and take Somalia's #Saylac coast on the Red Sea by force. In that effort, it is possible that Ethiopia might provide some token support to Somaliland in their failed efforts to bring SSC-Khatumo under Hargeisa.

    President @HassanSMohamud has yet to take a single decisive step that may contribute to the defense of #Awdal State or that of SSC-Khatumo.

    > Daljir Media

    https://twitter.com/radiodaljir/status/1763314592774553609?s=20

     

  4. Posted

    The NCC election agreement also proposes a move away from the current semiparliamentary system to a presidential system, eliminating the role of the Prime Minister and changing it to a Vice Presidency. The President and the Vice President will be elected on a joint ticket by the public. The system of government has continued to be one of the contentious political issues in Somalia. At the federal level, Somalia has only had a presidential system during the 21 years of military rule. The pre-1969 civilian government (the first republic) and the governments that came to power from 2000 (the third republic) have to date had a president and prime minister.

    At the FMS level, Somalia applies a semi-presidential system. Puntland, Galmudug, and Hirshabelle have Presidents and Vice Presidents elected by state legislators. Southwest has no Vice President as yet, while Jubaland has two appointed Vice Presidents.

  5. Posted

    The NCC agreement also outlines modalities for sub-national elections, as well as their timing and sequencing with national elections.

    • Local Council Elections: The agreement outlines that OPOV district council elections will be conducted by June 2024 (i.e.in just over a year) in all districts in Somalia.

    • Election of FMS Assemblies and Presidents: The agreement also stipulates that these would be based on OPOV between the two political parties that fared best in the local elections, marking a significant shift from the clanbased model all state assemblies currently use. These would take place on 30 November, 5 months after the conclusion of the local elections.

    • Election of the House of the People: National elections would follow from district elections, once two parties had been selected through this process. The agreement did not clarify the date that the federal parliamentary and presidential elections would take place. However, the agreement stated that elections at different levels of government will take place every five years starting from the date elections are concluded. For instance, if local elections are successfully held in June 2024, the next local elections will be in June 2029. It could also imply the next federal elections would take place in 2027.

    • Election of the Upper House: The electoral approach that would be used for the election of the members of the Upper House is not defined in the NCC agreement, although the constituency was agreed upon as the FMSs. The agreement also stated that the representation of the Benadir region in the Upper House would be clarified in legislation defining the status of Mogadishu according to Article 9 of the Provisional Federal Constitution.

  6. Posted

    Namely JL, SW, HS, and GM. In the last NCC leaders meeting, they all granted themselves an extension of a year to hold (s)elections, but nothing has been done as of yet. Could they be classified as functioning polities, or bona fide States on merit, and in their own rights?

    Do bear in mind, the function (power) of holding elections is a power for the FMSs, and not a Federal power.

    --------------------------------

    This is a good analyses.

    SPA_Policy_Paper_05_2023_ENGLISH.pdf

  7. Posted

    On 2/28/2024 at 2:12 PM, Xaaji Xunjuf said:

    two clear examples when the EPLF and the TPLF enterted Addis Ababa the Ethiopian army the big generals fled  Mengistu fled but the army was intact the EPLF and TPLF didnt fight the Ethiopian army  they surrounded their head quarters and told every one the  Country has a new supreme General. General Philipos who was an Eritrean became the General of the EDF.  They just filled the vaccuum. Where is in Somalia  the red barrets and the other militia who shared a lineage with Afweyne fought untill the bitter end against the USC  the rest were forced to join the rebel movements by Omar arte qaalib which led to the disentigration of the Somali army. But this didnt happen in Ethiopia, the Ethiopian army just got new leaders and it continued

    Major difference: The US under the aegis of former President J Carter had been managing the entire process from within in consultation with both sides of the conflict. You should read his memoirs, and others' in the region for a more complete picture of how the Ethiopian conflict unfolded, and diffused.

  8. Posted

    On 2/20/2024 at 1:29 PM, Xaaji Xunjuf said:

    Qof Somaliland ka soo jeeda. Looma ogola inu madaxweyne noqodo iskada madaxweyne eh looma ogola raisal wasaare nin itoobiya ka yimid bay ka doorbideen marka. Dadkaasi manay sl u heshiin

    Are you being serious? Any Somali could run for the highest office, he / she must work for it, build coalitions, cut through the nonsense, and show true leadership, as no one is  going to give it up for free. If a serious contender from SL rises, he stands a far better chance of winning than most.

     

    On 2/21/2024 at 3:19 PM, Arafaat said:

    So the ‘Calan cas’ colonels did directly start the inter-clan war in the 90’s, somehow I thought it was just hear say. 

    If you look at the involvement of these Soviet trained colonels, their fingerprints are all over the major conflicts in Somaliland. From the escalation of the conflict in the North during the 80’s, the inter-clan Habar-Habar war during the 90’s, the Las Anod war (2022-2023) and even now they are busy to stirr and incite another regional conflict, in order to deflect attention and stay in power. 

    No wonder that they always seek to deflect attention from their own role and need an ‘external’ enemy. But this time it won’t work, no matter how loud they scream, repeat their inciting rhetoric, nobody will belief nor follow their politics, for they are just another loud social media pundits not worth for young people to sacrifice their lives for. 

    My own civilian family members, natives of Hargeysa as far back as the 1800, had been killed by SNM, Gaas Dhagoole, and Calan Cas afterwards.

  9. Posted

    41 minutes ago, Arafaat said:

    Farmaajo’s political grade's


    Foreign affairs/int standing +++                      
    Inclusive politics ++                                              
    Security architecture +

    State building and inst strengthening +

    collaboration federal institutions (read FMS) - - -reconciliation and peace building - -          
    Constitutional and Institutional reform -

    Corruption and nepotism - 

     

     

    Not so bad then, all things considered. On that same scale, how do you rate HSM?

  10. Posted

    16 hours ago, Qurac&qansax said:

    He has all the hallmark of Nacas, nacnac helay

    I have seen some of his speeches against the concerted ongoing genocidal campaign of Palestine, and on that alone, I can not bring myself to classify him as a "nacas". If anything, I would regard him a giant amongst equals with sound moral and ethical standing.

    16 hours ago, Qurac&qansax said:

    for example. I go to Garoowe and sit down with Deni and say aan is cafino, ilaahay ka baqno aakhiraa na sugasee, you are my brothers.

    Are you familiar with "cisal walhis laba baarqab" ?

     

  12. Posted

    3 hours ago, galbeedi said:

    That kind of character should not be sitting at the AU position because I don’t trust her. She might appear  good on paper at the moment, but if her uncle Cirro takes over from Muuse  Mideeye, any thing could happen. 

    She is merely coasting by the names of her late father (a good man who came well before his time), and husband (former Sr military officer). Nothing more. I could say more about her dreadful public record when she was made Foreign Minister, but enough of her.

    2 hours ago, Xaaji Xunjuf said:

    thats here say there is no evidence she actually stole any sort of money

    More than hearsay, as the gentleman involved shared the facts of the case in person (not that everything he says is the sole truth without hearing her version).

  13. Posted

    Good luck to her.

    2 hours ago, Xaaji Xunjuf said:

    yeah she sure is qualified and deserves it also she worked hard to get where she is , i remember when she started her own TV station i helped fundraise for her

    With seed monies she had stolen, and eventually got robbed more than once in Hargeysa.I usually do not like to speak ill of Somali ladies, but will make an exception this one time. She'll only serve herself.

    • Thanks 1

  14. Posted

    Todd Schoenberg
    Lawyer & Law Firm
    Boston btselem.org
    @ToddSchoenberg

    The International Criminal Court in the Netherlands has accepted a case file from Khatumo authorities, who have turned over war criminals. The Leader, Abdulkadir Ahmed Awcali, has indicated that the names of the criminals will be publicized. This move reflects the Khatumo authorities' dedication to pursuing justice for the horrors done in their region. The community will eagerly watch the proceedings at the criminal court to ensure justice is delivered.

    While many local citizens applauded this news, the majority wanted justice to be administered in Lasanod, where the criminals committed their crimes. If the ICJ finds them guilty in Europe, they ICJ don't endorse the death penalty. For these top-ranking militiamen, living in Europe's jail is more luxurious than the harsh conditions in Somalia.

    Facing justice in an international court sends a clear message that no one is above the law, no matter where they hide. It is a beacon of hope for the victims and their families, who have long desired justice and accountability for the horrible crimes done against the resident of Las Anod.

    https://twitter.com/ToddSchoenberg/status/1763231024849276958?s=20

    • Like 1

  16. Posted

    Well done to SSC - Khatumo. A great deal of difference between naturally born Admins vs IV forced ones.

     

    On 2/27/2024 at 8:14 AM, Xaaji Xunjuf said:

    man and somalis are made to fight  we just cant stop that its human nature 

    By all means, fight, but ask yourself: with whom? And for what causes? Definitely not fight your kin & kith. And must ONLY fight for the right causes. Borrow a page or two from our forefathers, who started on the tip of the Horn expanding all the way to the Tana river, Bale mountains, and  deep into the heart of native African territories. Instead, you are working backwards, giving away prime lands, and targeting your own. Think man!

     

  18. Posted

    It is a good move to have reer Galdogob take the Treasury, and Qoorsheel & ina Bisinle return to local politics.

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    ---------------------------------------
    Cabinet listing:

    1. Homeland & DDR: Ibraahim Cartan Ismaaciil Xaaji Bakiin - Bari
    2. Interior & Federalism: Cabdi Faarax Siciid Juxa - Nugaal
    3. Justice:  Maxamed Cabdiwahaab Axmed - Mudug

    4. Treasury: Maxamed Faarax Maxamuud - Mudug
    5. Planning: Daa’uud Maxamed Cumar - SSC
    6. Education: Fu’aad Abshir Axmed Adeer - Mudug

    7. Health: Siciid Jaamac Cali (Qoorsheel) - Maakhir
    8. Infrastructure: Faarax Cawad Jaamac - SSC
    9. Ports: Shaakir Maxamed Guuleed - SSC

    10. Aviation & Airports: Cabdullaahi Bile Nuur - SSC
    11. Women & Family: Maryan Axmed Cali - SSC
    12. Information:  Maxamuud Caydiid Dirir - SSC

    13. Trade: Axmed Shire Siciid - Bari
    14. Livestock: Cumar Cabdisamad Yuusuf Dhuux - Mudug
    15. Environment: Maxamed Cabdiraxmaan Faroole - Bari

    16. Marine & Fishery: Cabdirisaaq Cabdullaahi Xagaa - Bari
    17. Social Services: Cabdiraxmaan Axmed Cabdulle Habarwaa - Bari
    18. Minerals & Water: Liibaan Muuse Boqor - Bari

    19. Mitigation & Emergency Services: Ubax Cabdirashiid Maxamed Xirsi - Mudug
    20. Irrigation: Maxamed Cabdiqaadir Saalax - Maakhir
    21. Youth & Sports: Hodon Siciid Xasan - Maakhir

  20. Posted

    2 hours ago, Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar said:

    Laba marxuum isku qaldeysaa - marxuumka hay'adda duulista hawada u shaqenaaye la dhahaaye C/naasir Dahable iyo xildhibaan hore asagana magaciisa ahaa Axmed Cabdi Aadan. Isku toddobaad ayee dhinteen.

    The one who was alleged to have been using Viagra along with jaad is the latter, the former xildhibaan. The allegation was by qofta uu la joogay habeenkaas. Rabiyaa og sida uu ku dhintay, but asaga dhimashadiisa muran lagama keenin, not from his family or any anyone.

    C/naasir Dahable asaga allegedly ceejin iyo jir dil lagu dilay.

    Maya walaal, I was referring to the former MP. Dahable was definitely assassinated, pending confirmation of course. Come now, I ain't no  amateur.

    giphy.gif

     

  23. Posted

    1 hour ago, Che -Guevara said:

    To be fair, Gxjs political elite has willingly accepted the role of a political eunuch. 

    No, they have not, I think you might be unfamiliar with the back story. They have sacrificed, and lost everything, more than any other group, both in human capital and wherewithal for the SNM struggle, and are now paying a hefty price. What is left of their elite are scattered all over, I think I have seen more of their elite in Xamar than in any city in SL. Sadly instead of their inheriting fruits of their labour post the collapse of government, HA, who had been conspiring with the Kacaan till the last days, never fired a bullet in their sodding lives have assumed power, and instead of receving "raggii kaadida u soo cabay" with grace, they slaughtered them to oblivion. That bastard ina Cigaal & his patsies HJ. That is what you are seeing now. The likes of Oodweyne would never admit to that in public, for they are true nomads, very proud people. But XX would never acknowledge that in a million years boring the neighbourhood to death about nonexistent nonsense. With their being the largest clan, I think more than the rest put together, spread from Bari to Galbeed, yet are now a minority in every city they once were the majority from Hargeysa to Berbera to Burco, and even Ceerigaabo. I think Oodweyne is the only place left now, and it is isolated.  Go figure!

    • Like 1

  24. Posted

    21 minutes ago, maakhiri1 said:

    What are the odds?  two cousins, from same family, working for same agency dying one week apart? You see what  I have seen because of corruption, nepotism, many family members landed in same area jobs

    Dp World in Berbera, 90% of staff are Biihi sub clan, not even from locals from Berbera 

    Stress induced heart attack

    Not as bad as the other gentleman, who was said to have been chewing khat all night, popping viagra, the local version, which I hear is deadly, and was having a night long session with a lady of the night succumbing to a triple shock to the heart. 

    Yes, sadly corruption and nepotism are rife in the whole country.  In some aspects, it is worse in SL, for example I have relatives in Berbera, who share horror stories about what goes on in the city, not to mention how GXJS have been completely rooted out of State institutions from janitorial to directorship, barring some stooges, and how they are now guests in Hargeysa, their own city. Imagine that!