Illyria

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Everything posted by Illyria

  1. In my humble estimation, by far the worse outcome.The populist gales, which gave the world Brexit, Drumpf, Zeman, Kurtz, Bolsonaro, Orben and the like now deliver Deni. A dark era, a shot to the federalism, and end of the road for the region. On what planet was this even possile. These juvenile MPs are fools in high visibility vests in the wind.
  2. And what formulae did you apply to have to determine his being inept?
  3. I agree, yet he is not my numero uno, and most are decent folk barring Gaadaale. It is the intentions of some one must be wary of.
  4. This analyses looks as if it is coming from a source unfamiliar with the political landscape of the region. My prediction: In lap one, Cali CIise is likely to glean 2/3rds of Sool, 1/3rd of Mudug, and 1/3rd of Bari to move onto the 2nd lapse, 31% of the votes. If it goes past the 2nd round, it' ll be "laba-Cali, wiil iyo abtigi". Earlier today, I was listening to a local radio station phone-in poll from the public, and here was their finding: 1. Cali X Warsame 46.6% 2. Asad Cisman 17% 3. Cali Ciise 11% Gaas 4.4% Mudan 6.6% Morgon 4.4 Juxa 2.2% Deni 2.2% Jabiye 2.2% Others did not get a looking.
  5. People, There is right, and there is wrong. Whomever this Hoshow character is (with a name like that, is he even whom he claims to be?), he is bloody out of order. Why defend the indefencible, i know not. A case of juveniles entrusted with diplomatic posts far beyond their years. To my shock & horror, I was recently shown a picture of a group of supposed ministers and diplomats of the federal gov't, and was stunned as to the imbalance between their inadequacy in age, qualifications, and experience, and the fancy appellations bestowed upon their visages. Where are the wise, qualified, seasoned grown-ups, I asked? As a rational being, the most logical, if sensible thing to do, is to apologise, not on behalf of this person, but for the wrong, perceived or not, done unto others, esp. when such wrongs are done on your behalf. Again, with so much death, blood & mayhem and with families mourning, with some still seeking their loved ones, now is not the time to be vilifying each other, and concocting imaginary escapegoats. Adjunct: Waa qarracan, ayaan darro, iyo dhaqan xumo in qofka dad kuugu xiga cadaw laga dhigtaa, waana astaan aad u xun oo aad Somalida qaar ku arkaysid weliba kuwa madaxda sheegta oo marar badan ku geeraara sidaa. Waa halka uu gabayaaga da'da yadhi uu ka yidhi: Waa arrin qarracan iyo qoomama leh, Waxaa i dhex qaaday ciil, Qalbigu i xanuunyayoo, Ilmaa iga qubatayoo, Afkaan qabsadoon fajacay.
  6. Galbeedi, Am only feeding you a spoonful of goodies a piece at a time as if a huntsman feeding his quarry prior to effecting the final blow, for you appear not to have acquired the requisite flair for researching obscure subjects beyond your sphere, yet so full of misplaced gumption, which I find rather endearing. Ata lad. Again, keep the arguments brief and precise, if you so could, should you want me to follow your logic, and repeat not yourself where applicable. Ya badaawi, “geeljirenimo” is the highest accolade one could bestow upon a nomad, yet it appears you have not developed shine for “kaftan”, and are still in the Dila sticks; kaftan aside though, I think we said all that could be said on the matter; so, moving along. Addendum: But first, allow me to let you in a little secret; in my most recent visit to the region, esp. the said two regions, I paid a close attention to three areas of interest namely: a) Work force & skillset, b) Cost of Qat, socially and economically with an emphasis upon hard currency leaving the country in planes, and c) Revenue generating constructs along with VAT collection mechanism. I was saddened by the former (a), shocked by secundus (b), and encouraged by the latter ©. On the heels of such discoveries, and with respect to the former, I paid sanctioned visits to the old Hargeisa Polytechnic, now a budding university, EA Bosaso, one of the better seats of learning in the region, and GTec (Garowe), a teacher training facility; equally of interest, and in good spirit, I paid guided visits to the ministries of finances in both regions, and main ports ( Bossaso & Berbera in that order). These were not casually mere stopovers, but deliberately inspecting, if guided, yet unscientific, and only armed with my engineering trained skills & tools, by local authorities with general directors furnishing discernible data. Valuable data, not for public consumption, I gleaned, ergo my enthusiasm, and less cynicism, unlike you young Turks spewing malevolent rhetoric. With duly enthusiasm, I entered, was consumed by melancholy with tears being shed during, but left with smiles, aspirations, and hope. A great deal of potential, there i observed with silent heroes all round. Word to the wise, give politics a rest, and instead focus upon and invest in, brain and brawn, what & where (skill, re-acculturating, and hard work ethics) [it] matters the most. Adjunct: Bemused, I was with this bold statement; how dare you sir, attempt to engage in a serious conversation with data as deprecated as 80s'; do you not recall what was going in the NE regions back then? This was at the height of the armed rebellion with the majority of the population displaced in the said regions, most at the time, living in Somali Galbeed (DDSI) with entire villages burnt to the ground; I did not relaise I was conversing with a young lad still hanging unto the tail of his dear mama’s skirt (irresistible joke; hana gadoodin dee sida reerka lagu yaqaan ;--). It is all in jest. Put it, let me in a perspective you could identify with, with your being a nomad and all, shall I? Do you recall Borama back in the 80s prior to Awdal being designated as a region, and even years after Baki was the designate capital for the then would-be regional Awdal region? Do you recall how tiny Borama was back then (it was technically a daabiyad, even if that) in terms of population and city-wise in comparison to today? If so, then let that be a comparable barometer for your burgeoning wit when engaging in discussion concerning NE regions, or any other region in the old country now that we have established your restrained, if contrived exposure. "In the early eighties when I traveled the highway from Gaalkacayo to Garoowe, the only village that was visible was Burtine, with two blocks on both side of the highway. " Till then, I shall bid you farewell.
  7. انا لله وانا اليه راجعون; How very tragic, yet so unnecessary.
  8. Galbeedi, I thought you were a reading man; show malaha ninkaagani lafaha hoose ayaad geeljire ka ahayd; ya badaawi;—) sorry, could not resist taking a soft dig at your expense. Besides, I am in a charitable mood today, and shall indulge you. Here is the relevant info. See the last worksheet titled “sheet9”, and you will notice a budget line item 13103, row 58 column D. Budget breakdown, 2017. Again, our focus must be upon creating skilled work force (notice I did not say educated), which in turn would accelerate the ability & tools to lowering overall poverty rate, if unable to eradicate it altogether, availing clean water to the locals, and creating sustainable native economic development projects incl. modernising livestock & husbandry industries, and fishery and marine resources.. Best of luck.
  9. And for reference, here are the projected 2017 Budgets for SL, PL, and the federal gov’t. SL. https://imgur.com/mVN9TA9 SL 2017 budget. PL. https://imgur.com/cOyI0OR PL 2017 budget Federal. https://imgur.com/kyDcN8z Federal 2017 budget
  10. Oodweyne, I actually read the report a couple of times, and your questions are valid.
  11. See, Galbeedi, now you are getting it. Monopoly eliminates startups & kills completion, and by extension narrows wealthy distribution, which in turn shrinks the middle class. For example, in the UK, the largest middle class, per community, are the Indians, who, by and large, control small businesses in the UK. Conversely, the lowest are the West Indies, who own almost no small businesses in the UK with no discernible representation in the middle class. And the same applies to these regions. Samalfal spoke to it well.
  12. Galbeedi, Point taken, apology accepted, and offered in return. I think deep down you are a decent run of the mill person, potentially misguided, but well-intentioned, and I will take back the amateur personalyses granted you could be persuaded to refrain from hasty, rash postulations, and being all over the map, esp. when discussing subjects beyond your metier, which I find rather infuriating. Truth be told, I am not in the least bit interested in Somali politics, however the report attracted my attention for two reasons: a) it contains measurable trendies in the Horn, and b) it highlights the sufferable, desperate conditions under which people are living. That breaks my heart. That interests me. And I could not care less about anyone’s political persuasion. I am more concerned about the young Somali student with no discernible future, and the prevailing hopelessness in the region. But I realise none of that interests most ‘cos many are physiologically jarred. By all means, criticise away at your heart’s content ‘cos that is part & parcel of being one with the people. It would be a missive on your part to do otherwise. And by the way, for the record, and based upon my knowledge of the regions, and I do know of and about both regions, I would argue Northeast has larger concentration of nomads than Northwest, but ‘cos I do not have actual data to cite, I will therefore leave it till verifiable data has been published by yet another NGO. Oodweyne, I will read your note tomorrow. Could not keep it short, could you?
  13. ^^ You are talking about used methodologies of collecting data, which could be questioned and debated, however scientific methods and statistical formulae had been applied to analyse the data. The two are not mutually exclusive. Surely, you are not suggesting otherwise, are you? Again, the focus must be upon deplorable conditions and glaring findings of the report mainly about lack of access to improved water (not clean water), incredibly low academic fulfillment and skillset, and lack of development in the country as a whole. I do realise that is hard for many, but try applying yourselves and squeeze that thinking organ.
  14. As people, we have got our priorities upside down. This is what we should be talking about instead of the usual diatribe of "mine is bigger or better" than yours. “In line with other relevant non-monetary indicators, such as education and employment, households living in North East show a relatively low degree of inequality in access to an improved source of water between urban and rural areas. Indeed, more than seven in ten people living in urban households of North East have access to an improved source of water, against about 5 in ten in rural areas; a stark contrast to the North West region, where only 52 percent of urban dwellers and 9 percent of people living in rural households report access to an improved source of water (Figure 2.23). “
  15. I do not know if that is the case. besides, healthy rivalry between regions and "xifaaltan" among peoples is acceptable, and even encouraged, but downright ignorance with four legs in trousers in a broad daylight is nauseating.
  16. Wow, really man. have you no decency. I really do not know what to make of that, but then again, at best, trying to have a conversation with a Somali person is like talking to a person suffering from a rare type of schizophrenia. Did you just call me a liar without having any reasonable cause or evidential material data to support your argument, or refute what was presented in the report? "It said , statistics do not lie, but liars use statistics. I have never seen anywhere about Puntland budget reaching %160 million." Just to demonstrate the foggy nature of your psyche and your lapse in sound reading, there are Cagaarre, Heema, Daara Salam, Bacaadweyn, Xarfo, and then Buurtinle. And that is just naming a few on the main tarmac road. why do you insist on postulating upon subjects beyond your grasp, i will never know. "On the rural issue, Puntland has the lowest number of villages and rural communities. Between Garoowe and Gaalkacayo, which is almost 250km , there is one single town called Burtinle." Again, what are we basing this on? and please try data, figures and hard statistics unless of course you are a Drumfite, in which case, never mind. "Of course Somaliland has huge rural population, from Awdal to Sanaag which could triple in size than Puntland," I will leave it there. how does one form an opinion without studying data presented, i will never know. only Somalis can do that with a straight face. Naturally, civilised people use scientific and mathematical data to make or support a point, but why bother with that when you have got your own home-grown facts and conjectures. plus, a cultured person would try to understand what he/she does not know to expand his spectrum, but a Somali's purview is confined to his small range, village, family, or clique. all else does not matter. damn you people, when will you ever evolve from being accursed nomads. "To be honest I did not read the report, but ..."
  17. Whichever way you look at it, this is a good progress.
  18. And FYI. All Somali states use projected budgets, and not income-based budgetary methods. Puntland’s 2017 budget was $160 million whereas Somaliland’s was $362 million (in reality, these numbers do not represent the actual picture). Again, both are projected where half of the expected income comes from external sources incl. world bank and other foreign sources, and neither is based upon actual intake in the form of taxes, revenues from manufacturing, export / import tariffs to balance trade deficit, or other forms of local revenues. In fact, if you study closely their local ttax revenues, you will notice, it is minute in comparison. And almost 75% of the budget (this has been changing over the years) goes towards salary with not earmarked for basic public services including health and education. Forget about infrastructure or economic development projects neither of which they can afford nor even contemplate. The same applies to the federal government where 2-thirds of its annual budget comes from external sources.
  19. This is good data probably new to those unfamiliar or have not travelled through Somali regions or administrations over the year, but in reality this has been the case for many years. for example, there is a larger middle class concentration in NorthEast than Northwest and the rest of the country whereas in NorthWest, as Salax pointed out, wealth is concentrated in the hands of a few. More troubling however are: access to improved source of water, and education in the regions. "In line with other relevant non-monetary indicators, such as education and employment, households living in North East show a relatively low degree of inequality in access to an improved source of water between urban and rural areas. Indeed, more than seven in ten people living in urban households of North East have access to an improved source of water, against about 5 in ten in rural areas; a stark contrast to the North West region, where only 52 percent of urban dwellers and 9 percent of people living in rural households report access to an improved source of water (Figure 2.23). " This means only 50% of nomads in NE have access to water whereas only 9% in NW have access to water. this has to be a national priority after which education comes.
  20. Galbeedi, Do not fall prey to the notion Al-shabaab is ideologically shallow. they are not and if anything, theirs is the antithesis of that, if any. Like other groups of similar ideologies before it, its the indoctrination of the fearless fowl which is attractive, and thereby bearing plum prunes. This video is heartbreaking, if very telling. And according to the Attorney General, kids will be rehabilitated and repatriated. http://puntlandone.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/Xeer-Ilaaliyaha-G-ee-PL-.mp3 This could be a turning point for the battle against Al-shabaab in the deep south, and a lesson for the IC. a) An only native national Somali army could stabilise, disarm, and secure the country. b) An only genuine grassroots leadership, and not the astroturf refuse holed up in Villa Xamar now, could bring about political stability. Neither exists in Somalia and its financiers are out of step, and by extension, there is no shining star on the horizon for either in the immediate. And let us not forget the dead are sons of Somalia.
  21. This does not make any sense. it is suicide if nothing else. why would al-shabaab fighters go to an area where they have zero support? Plus Puntland forces are much more organised, disciplined and hardened than their dacas-donning counterparts elsewhere in the south. why risk it? There is more to it that meets the mind.
  22. The idea of creating a unified, apolitical national army is well past its due date, but the dimwits in Xamar have neither the wisdom nor the will required to establish one. Theirs is just braggadocio with naught substance. The gentleman titled as the Abaanduule was uncertain as to what to call Puntland armed forces - I was surprised he remembered 54 - where the Minister of misinformation drew a distinction between the national army and Puntland armed forces. go figure.
  23. It is a human tragedy. Tears in the mother's eyes and the pain on the father's face speak to the horrific nature of the mob killing. It is very disturbing to say the least and similar occurrences are found in Asian cultures including India, Pakistan etc where honour killings, or dishonour as in this case, are common practices with its roots in ancient traditions preceding Islam. It has nothing to do with Islam, and its practitioners include Muslims, Hindu, Pagans etc. But your average maan-gaab would not know that.
  24. <cite> @xabad said:</cite> ...but fiscally <b>they are socialists, not even liberal.</b> How many times have i been regaled by the glorious Welfare state instituted by khalif Umar. Trouble is when one claims to be Somali by virtue of heredity, and knows little to naught, yet postulates his observations solely on generation 'Bide dhal', then we have a problem. Nomads are traditionally libertarian, and not egaliterian, where self-sufficiency and autonomy are deep in their fabric. reliancy on the State is a new advent and perhaps more popular with their offspring in the West, and therefore conventionally, Somalis are the antithesis of your description. I share Galbeedi observations on immigrant and refugee communities. And to add, just visit Minneapolis or London, and you will see how Somalis are almost self-sufficient unlike other recent immigrant communities where they strive to provide services from A-Z unless inhibited by lack of investment capital (major) or unfamiliar legal framework or bureaucratic systems.
  25. fair point and good humour. the operative term was 'predominantly';--) See what you did there, appealing to my deeper compassion & charitable senses with the 'walaal' spin. good man.