Illyria

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Everything posted by Illyria

  1. Ahlan ya abu shubrah, it is good to be back into the fold. And when I thought it could not never get any lower. Lost generation iga dheh! Those composing the lyrics, and these young cubs regurgitating it are most likely the children of good men and women, who died for the Somali cause.
  2. This was a fine lecture peeling the layers of sore reality in our nation. I hope students have absorbed core fillings of the lecture. Not one of my favourites, nor a good politician, but one of the best academicians in his field in the Somali peninsula. Q&A Adjunct: Etymology: - Concept (conceptum (Latin) : immediate object of thought; to take in, and to hold; to become pregnant. - Understand (): To stand in the midst of a concept; grasp the idea of;
  3. Party Aggregate: 81 Kaah 28 SinCad 13 Horseed 17 Mideeye 10 RunCad 4 Shaqaale 3 Ifiye 4 Mustaqbal 2
  4. Early results for the 3 remaining districts in Nugaal. Garowe: 33 Kaah 12 SinCad 5 Horseed 6 Mideeye 2 RunCad 2 Shaqaale 2 Ifiye 2 Mustaqbal 2 Dangorayo: 27 Kaah 9 SinCad 6 Horseed 5 Mideeye 3 RunCad 2 Shaqaale 1 Ifiye 1 Godobjiiraan: 21 Kaah 7 SinCad 2 Horseed 6 Mideeye 5 RunCad 0 Shaqaale 0 Ifiye 1
  5. Thanks for sharing. So well-intended, well-written, good in spirit, and compliant with State protocol far better than any of the recycled nightly press releases from villa Xamar these days; why in 3 languages (Latin, Italian, and English)? I was hoping to see the Arabic version? Did you find this in the family archives?
  6. Correct, as a city State. It is currently generating approximately 300m in revenue from an estimated 2 - 3bn in grants, aid, and other monies pouring into the city for the FGS. The question is as and when said funds have dried up, as they will, will it survive? If so, how? Think about Kabul. So, you consider the FGS more of a burden than a blessing for the city? This ties back to the original question. I thought it was a balance of both. See if you could elaborate.
  7. You got the wrong end of the stick missing the point of the question by a long mile. It is not about its being the de facto nation's capital, or not, but its economic viability. With so being the case, let us try it again, and this time think about its sources of revenue to self-sustain itself. That is a factor, but there are others to consider incl. lack of resources, cost of living, human capital, industries amongst many.
  8. It does not have old money, livestock, farming land, large fishing body of waters, nor small industries? What drives its economy? How large is its service industry? As the nation's de facto capital (yet to be legally determined), could it self-sustain? For instance, Washington D.C., with an annual budget of 19+ bn, a GDP of 180 +/- bn in goods and services in 2023, 0.6% of the US economy, it has the highest unemployment rate in the US.
  9. O' just a bit of an insight, hypothetically speaking, predicate on the conditional clause of "if and when". Competitive perhaps, but for now, we are neither blessed with the wealth nor the human capital AD port & terminal offers, and unlike DP World of Dubai, it is neither as cut-throat business-wise nor degenerate as al Maktoumi's Dubai, but foreign nonetheless. A city State of half a million Emirati, I do not see it as a threat as, say Turkey, an empire seeking to regain its glorious departed self. Is any part of Somali territories primed for entering into long-term exploitative contracts / agreement with any foraging nations hunting for treasure troves? I think not. Are there benefits to be gained? Check Berbera & Bosaso (DP World), Xamar port and airport, as managed by Aufot General & Favori respectively. I think so. Sell off, or auction an inch of any Somali territory? Never! Trust any politician to doing that which is in the best interest of the nation, or the right thing? Never! Again, it is not for sale.
  10. Let me see if I read this correctly: so, he opposes Deni, parties ways with Islam Bashir, the de facto Issim of Mudug, and is calling for Hasan Sh to dispatch Turkish army to Garacad? Again, he does not want UAE, but wants Turkey. He wants Turkey armies on the ground, on the sea, and in air. Why Turkey, but not UAE? He is no longer an Issim, but a politician. A former CID man, Shirwac, has been on the wrong side of history ever since Siyad Barre crowned him to replace Islam Cabdulle in the 80s, was forever a Kacaanist in the worse possible time working against SSDF, allied with al Itixad in the 90s, opposed the bottom-up approach during Arta, where he was canvassing support for the TNG of A/Qadim & Galaydh, sided with Cadde's jabhad in the 2000s, sided with Farmaajo during his rocky tenure against Gaas, and is now placing the cart before the horse for HSM. This is his way of trying to undermine Deni, and stymie the project. Reer PL know of his dark history.
  11. Balderdash sir! As an investor, I could say none of that is true. If a deal is to be made with an investor, say Abu Dhabi Ports & Terminal, it would have go through, be vetted, and approved by the Wadaagsan Executive Board. PL is an investor in the project, has voting rights with some influence, but not a majority voting rights. If and when the Board sees business reasons to partner with, to complete the project, primarily the 3G road, then it shall have to secure majority vote. The intent is, and was, for the project to be Somali owned and operated port. Rest is just waffle.
  12. al Shabab vs SNA The Somali National Army Versus al-Shabaab: A Net Assessment – Combating Terrorism Center at West Point Army: SNA: 7,000 - 19,000 AS: 7,000 and 12,000 Budget: FGS: 1bn+ (actual revenue 300m+) AS: 100m+ Hardware: SNA: The SNA is a relatively low-tech army consisting of small battalions of about 400 soldiers with limited vehicles, few armored vehicles, and mainly small arms and light weapons. AS: Al-Shabaab’s arsenal includes AK47, PKM, Dushka, B10, grenades, and RPGs, while its heavy weapons include ZU 23/24 and mortars, particularly 60mm and 81mm and reportedly a limited number of 120mm.30 Significant arms and ammunition are thought to come from Yemen, especially via the Mukalla network of arms smugglers.31 But al-Shabaab has also captured significant military materiel from A.U. and Somali forces. Overrunning A.U. and Somali forward operating bases has enabled al-Shabaab to restock weapons and ammunition. Cohesion & Morale SNA: The SNA is comprised of a very fragmented set of units, some of which remain heavily clan-based and many of which have experienced different training regimes and operate different types of equipment. Since its reconstitution, the SNA has suffered from desertion, defections, soldiers working multiple jobs, and infiltration by al-Shabaab ... AS: Al-Shabaab’s cohesion and endurance stems from a mix of its nationalist credentials, coercion, and intimidation. Al-Shabaab maintains legitimacy with populations who see the group’s members as Somali nationalists fighting foreign invaders and a corrupt, ineffective FGS that is dependent on those same foreigners. https://ctc.westpoint.edu/the-somali-national-army-versus-al-shabaab-a-net-assessment/
  13. Forgive me, for I am an amateur in Somali politics discourse, remind me, besides the 1996 - 1997 armed internal conflict, which partly still fuels the current tussle against GXJS, could you recall a time in SL's recent history where it was weaker economically, and strategically with its political currency at ts lowest value than 2022 - present? Try to be honest, and even consider truncating a reverse collect call to a friend in a cell for a life line. Trouble with SL politics is as if it was designed by a tuug cawaran. Perhaps in conversations within tolka circles in Hargeysa and its immediate eviron, the toast is handsomely buttered on both sides, but politics is about mirages, mirrors, and optical illusion, and SL's had been shuttered to smithereens with its chance of being reconstituted well past distant possibility.
  14. Sadly we are reverting back to the city State culture where Xammar is the country, and the country is Xamar. Dare I ask: Is there a single person from, say Jawhar or even Afgooye let alone the rest of the country?
  15. Political commentators forget the evolution of Somali regional politics. With FMSs beginning to crawl, FGS on its feet, if rather fragile, and SL's separatist agenda neutered, PL/Makhir is no longer concerned with the Somali project, as gone are the days of trying to constitute the nation state at its expense. It has since shifted its strategy to self-sustainability within the Somali context, whilst remaining on the periphery, and will continue strengthening its collaboration with SSC-Khatumo. It'll maintain alliance with JL, SW, and Hiran to charter their political direction. Let the FGS institutions function in Xamar. A warning to the Kacaanist crowd: let us not advocate for tyranny, and root for a corrupt leader just because we crave a stable, strong nation state. The two are not mutually exclusive.
  16. No longer an abiding acolyte, eh? I always lambast reer Galbeed, my ayeeyo's people, for their pliable, agile vertebrae.
  17. His yesterday uttering "loo joojin maa, yeeli maa" has been replaced with "aryaa dhaha"! He has now taken to releasing press releases, on his own, supposedly expected POST the FGS & FMSs leaders meeting. With the decision now taken off his hands, and no longer relevant, he is pretending as if a conciliatory national leader, when in reality he acts as if a "goof" chieftan. What a f@cking imbecile. "anigoo gudanaya xilkeyga dastuuriga ee ah ilaalinta midnimada iyo wadajirka dalka waxaan xusuusinayaa sida uu qabo Dastuurka Dalka in dowlad goboleedyadu aysan marnaba siyaasadeynin arrimaha masiiriga ah ee dowladnimada Soomaaliyeed sida: midnimada iyo wadajir Dalka, madax-bannaanida iyo gobnimada siyaasadeed ee Dalka, amniga Dalka, iyo bedqabka muwaadinka" --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- XIRIIRKA DOWLADDA FEDERAALKA SOOMAALIYA IYO DOWLAD GOBOLEEDYADA Markii la i doortay 15-kii May 2022, Dowladda Federaalka Soomaaliyeed ee aan hoggaamiyo waxay ugu horreyntiiba mudnaan gaar ah siisay xiriirka wada-shaqeyn ee kala dhaxeeya dowlad goboleedyada iyadoo saldhig uga dhigaysa mabaadi’da dastuureed ee hagaysa hannaanka wadashaqeynta Dowladda Federaalka iyo dowlad goboleedyada si loo dardargeliyo fulinta ajendayaasha qaran oo ay ugu horreeyaan adkaynta amniga dalka, dhammaystirka Dastuurka Dalka oo dabranaa muddo ka badan 10 sanadood, xoojinta federaalaynta dalka iyo horumarinta dhaqaalaha. Nasiib wanaag, muddadii koobneyd ee aan talada Dalka hayey, Dowladda Federaalku waxay ka mirodhalisay xaqiijinta inta badan ajandeyaashii mudo inagu madlanaa inaga oo guulo ka gaarnay la-dagaalanka khawaarijta oo aan deegaano baaxad weyn ka saarnay, qaadista cunaqabateyntii hubka ee ina saarnayd in ka badan muddo 30 sano ah iyo cafinta deyntii naga hortaagneyd maalgashiga caalamiga ah. Dowladda Federaalka waxa ay horumar ka sameysay dibu-eegista lagu dhammaystirayo Dastuurka J.F.S iyada oo sameysay wadatashiga saamileyda siyaasadeed iyo si gaar ah talo aruurin dadweyne si toos ah iyo si danabeysanba (Online), welina waxa ay dowladu dhiirigelinaysaa wada-xaajoodka iyo wada-tashiga lagu dhameystirayo dastuurka dalka si shacabka Soomaaliyeed u gaaraan himillooyinka ay hiigsanayaan ee ah helidda dowlad hagaagsan oo dimoqraadi ah kana shaqeysa baraaraha muwaadinka Soomaaliga ah. Waxaan si gaar ah hoosta uga xariiqayaa in Dawladda Federaalku dadaal farabadan ku bixisay hagaajinta xiriirka wadashaqeyn ee kala dhaxeeya dhammaan Dowlad Goboleedyada si gaar ahna Dowladda Puntland si uu noqdo xiriir sharci ah oo ku salaysan danta dadka iyo dalka, welina waxaa ka go’an Dawladda Federaalku in ay sii wado dadaal kasta oo ay ku hagaajineyso Xiriirka Dawladda Puntaland si dadka Soomaaliyeed u hantaan dawlad Soomaaliyeed oo xaqiijin karta himilooyinkooda Dawladnimo. Hadaba, Dowladda Federaalka waxaa ka go’an sidii horeba in aysan marnaba siyaasadeynin waajibka ka saaran wadashaqeynta labada heer dowladeed ee federaalka si gaar ah arrimaha ku saabsan dhaqaalaha, horumarinta iyo la tacaalidda arrimaha bini’aadannimada iyadoo oo adkeynaysa waajibka iyo xuquuqaha dastuuriga oo ay leeyihiin Dowlad goboleedyadu. Ugu dambeyn, anigoo gudanaya xilkeyga dastuuriga ee ah ilaalinta midnimada iyo wadajirka dalka waxaan xusuusinayaa sida uu qabo Dastuurka Dalka in dowlad goboleedyadu aysan marnaba siyaasadeynin arrimaha masiiriga ah ee dowladnimada Soomaaliyeed sida: midnimada iyo wadajir Dalka, madax-bannaanida iyo gobnimada siyaasadeed ee Dalka, amniga Dalka, iyo bedqabka muwaadinka. = DHAMMAAD =
  18. That is a valid question. Here are a few more questions: Do we know how the gains will be shared, if and when oil had been discovered? Has anyone incl. Cabinet or Parliament seen the details of the agreement? Was there an agreement with the relevant FMSs? What will happen when another leader assumes the Presidency? Which companies are carrying out the exploration? What is their track record? How about environmental protection? The case of Guyana offshore oil discovery -------------------------------------------------------- There are already early warning signs. Oil companies paid Guyana’s government ministers a signing bonus of US$18 million which was placed illegally in a secret account. The oil deal itself is scandalously low – the oil companies will pay no tax and the royalty is set at a derisory 2%. Guyana will get a share of the profits but it will have no control over how those profits are calculated. ExxonMobil’s local subsidiary recently presented Guyana with a bill for over US$460 million for costs going back as far as 1999. The international business press reports that Guyana's oil fields could be among the most profitable of the decade – it is easy to see why. A FAIR DEAL FOR GUYANA - A FAIR DEAL FOR THE PLANET WWW.CROWDJUSTICE.COM ''A Fair Deal for Guyana - Fair Deal for the Planet' is a campaign by concerned citizens from Guyana and... The case of Nigeria and Shell ---------------------------------------
  19. This is broadcast on Ethiopia's national TV. It redraws the map of Somali territories with an intent of separating Central SL (Isaq territories) from the rest excl. SSC-Khatumo, but incl. Awdal. An age old strategy of expansion, division, conquering, and subjugation coming together.
  20. "There is a place on the Somali seaside we consider may have oil reserves. We will start seismic work, we want to do deep sea drilling in 2025," Energy and Natural Resources Minister Alparslan Bayraktar said in an interview on private broadcaster NTV. "Oil and natural gas exploration offshore from Somalia, and it looks more like oil for now, will start very soon in the areas we have identified. We will maybe send our seismic (exploration) vessel there in the first phase," he said separately in a panel, without elaborating. The minister on Friday evaluated Türkiye's energy agenda including oil production in the Gabar field in Türkiye's southeastern Şırnak province, which the officials announced has exceeded 40,000 barrels in daily production recently. "Turkish Petroleum was producing 33,000 barrels of oil at the beginning of 2016. Today, only Gabar has exceeded 40,000 barrels of daily production. Our goal is to elevate Gabar's daily production to 100,000 barrels by the end of the year. Intensive work continues in this regard," Bayraktar said. Iraq-Türkiye pipeline "We have an ongoing case with Iraq. Türkiye is not responsible for the difficulties experienced here. There is a problem here due to the disagreement between the administration in northern Iraq and the central government," the minister said, referring to KRG, a semi-autonomous entity controlling Iraq's north. Türkiye aims to drill for oil off Somali coast next year WWW.DAILYSABAH.COM Türkiye hopes to conduct a deep-sea oil drilling operation off the Somali coast in 2025, the country's energy minister... ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Next year #Türkiye , it begins a deep-sea oil drilling operation off the coast of Somalia. One of the first fruits of the framework agreement signed with #Somali
  21. 76 trips since June 2022, supposing each trip was for 4 days => 304 days total at a grand cost of 34,200,000.00 (thirty four million, two hundred fifty thousand) dollars, 17% of the gov't budget p.a. Let us see how @Galbeedi, another son of Awdal spins it in defence of his newly found padre.
  22. Examples: President @HassanSMohamud billed the National Treasury $450,000 for a 4 day trip to New York. PM @HamzaAbdiBarre billed the National Treasury $150,000 for a half an hour trip to Adan Yabaal for travel and lodging expenses. MMA: Be a good sport, and do the calculations assuming HSM spends $112,500 a day on each trip abroad.
  23. The lord of SSC Khatumo overseeing operations. Reer Mudug taking a break from the front.
  24. Man City was unlucky in not turning chances into goals. It was a pain watching B Silva & De Bruyne unable to convert, was not their day. Barring the couple of chances Vinicius Jr & Rodrygo created, Real adopted J Mourinho's parking the bus tactic. The only time Jr managed to escape K Walker, it was a goal, his conversions are unreal, reason he is one of the best. Arsenal did not even bother. Titi's post match analyses said as much.