Illyria

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Posts posted by Illyria


  1. On 3/14/2024 at 3:32 AM, Xaaji Xunjuf said:

    Dr Gaboose is an honorable man there is nothing wrong with ur mother being from one of the enemy clans waxaas wa caadi  Dr Gaboose is a good man  

    I hear the same rhetoric being used against Dr Gaboose whenever he speaks against the interest of the ruling class in Haargeysa.
     

    On 3/14/2024 at 3:32 AM, Xaaji Xunjuf said:

    Laakin       Tera iyo bakayle wa garacdi  kacaanku  nagaga tageen Somaliland

    In other words, if Terra & Bakayle were to kowtow and please Bixiye, like Deeqsi or Dhixul as in recent interviews, then they would be considered Duriyad, no?


  2. I do not think they realise how modern technology inverted the criminal profession where even common criminals are wary of being caught on camera; one would have thought the likes of Bixiye, ina Kahin, Taani etc. would be conscious enough as to the severity of their criminality in shelling innocent civilians, as it was broadcast on live feeds. But then again it is not like they have got conscious, or would acknowledge the atrocities they inflicted upon innocent civilians, let alone its criminality. Even XX continues to deny any atrocities being committed in Las Anod even after videos of gory images and group burials had been presented.

    I do not know if you have seen A Terra's documentary earlier (mind you, he is reer Hargeysa, lest XX accuses him of being Siyaad Barre Supporter). It is very harrowing to say the least. 


  3. AS retakes Bacaadweyne, Camaara, and Shabeelow. Balcad & Cadale feared to be next. If accurate, then it is as predicted.

    https://fb.watch/qLGJ9GAwd-/

    ---------------------------------------------

    Hudson institute, a DoD outlet released its September report. Its conclusion:

    Consequently, the situation looks less promising than it did at the end of 2022, and al-Shabaab is unlikely to face a meaningful defeat in the coming months. Instead, the best-case scenario would see this military offensive degrade al-Shabaab over the coming months to the point that the terrorist organization partially fractures and loses some of its popular support, possibly opening up room for the FGS to negotiate with factions of the group. A more likely scenario, however, would see the conflict remain a stalemate, with the government’s current offensive bringing only temporary or superficial gains that do not meaningfully degrade al-Shabaab’s capacity.

    Given the improbability of a decisive military victory in the coming months or even years, the previously taboo notion of negotiating with the terrorists has gained traction in certain Somali political circles of late. President Hassan Sheikh has even oscillated between claiming that the objective of the current offensive is al-Shabaab’s complete battlefield defeat and claiming that the offensive aims to push the group into negotiations.

    [ ]

    In principle there is no reason to prefer an endless and fitful counterinsurgency to negotiations, but in practice it would be difficult to secure anything like an acceptable compromise at this stage. Some Somali security sources with knowledge of the group suggested that while al-Shabaab might enter negotiations with international powers, such as the US and Turkey (likely with mediation by Qatar, whose role in Somalia has proven controversial), it has no interest in speaking to the Somali government, which it sees as illegitimate and weak.

    [ ]

    At present this looks to be the best-case scenario, though unfortunately not the most likely one. But policymakers would do well to consider scenarios that might be acceptable to their interests rather than buy into unrealistic claims about the impending defeat of Africa’s most powerful jihadist group.

    https://s3.amazonaws.com/media.hudson.org/Faltering+Lion+-+James+Barnett+Sep+2023.pdf

     


  4. 2 hours ago, Xaaji Xunjuf said:

    As for Somalia what can they offer  Ethiopia , a free port  no military base a but a free port this will hurt jabuuti and berbera.

    He does not have anything to give, and even if he wanted to he will be end up with more than a broken arm and a black eye.

    2 hours ago, maakhiri1 said:

    HSM is not very serious. I think he  will make Somalia loose

    It is not that he is not serious, but he is out of his depth as to the geopolitical games being played over his head.

    • Haha - That was funny. You made me laugh! 2

  5. 6 hours ago, Xaaji Xunjuf said:

    absolutly outrages bad , i have been calling  out the gallas and their expansion agenda for years on here ,  Che  knows this also. the Somali region must be protected  by all costs from these galla invaders

    So, you are a bone fide Somali after all. Well done.


  6. 1 hour ago, Arafaat said:

    MoU has never been made publicly contrary to earlier commitment for Parliament to review. 

    A complete disregard for good governance, Parliamentary procedures, if very shady, and shoddy practice.

    21 minutes ago, maakhiri1 said:

    When did they convert Bashir Goth, he is is from Awdal, was very anti SL, and extensively used to write about against SL?

    He has joined the secessionist camp long time ago, was recruited by the late Cali Marshal, and jumped ship when Riyaale was elected.