LOL

SW is the key, and their control over Shabeellaha Hoose, in particular, Barawe where HSM and his minions may try to set up a new admin.

This is not over. It is merely an attempt to extend his term, something Farmajo tried and failed. In practical terms, there is nowhere these amendments can be implemented.

New fronts in the war,

TPLF finally joining the war?

Job done?

No politician in Somalia has been as luckly as HSM. In his first term, he had the goodwill of the Somali and IC willing to engage. In his second, the arms embargo has been lifted, the debt has been erased and Somalis were ready to move forward after Farmajo years.

Whoever pays your bills or trains your boys has a veto power over you. HSM has bankrupted the government and dismantled the armed forces. He is depending on foreign help. More than that, in the words of Muse Yalaxow, HSM kabo ka waaweyn uu gashtay. He overreached!

Reality kicking in

Looks HSM is scaling down on his parts, most importantly PM position

The opposition to the new constitution is picking up momentum.