Arafaat

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Posts posted by Arafaat

  1. Posted

    7 hours ago, maakhiri1 said:

    Yes the current admin, is very nefarious, and similar tactics were on SOOL

    anyways, no need for fighting and killing young men, these need to be sorted in genuine dialogue, and SL must work on keeping together what is left of SL, more peace, more justice, and more prosperity

    What i am hearing is, SL will negotiate a deal with Somalia,

     

    What kind of a deal? 

  2. Posted

    P.S. If Muse folks make another dumb move like moving the Wajale road away from Awdal folks owned land, that would mean the end of things but then clearly instigators are the Muse folks. 

  3. Posted

    Yes, Somaliland politicians are petrified of any sort uprising from Awdal corners and are moving heaven and earth to prevent that. And yes Awdal folks are angry for Muse’s folks robbing the country.

    But so far havent heard any bright ideas coming from those corners, except Galbeedi wanting Ethiopia to Annex Awdal and becoming fully part of the Jaarso-Oromo nation, finishing the job his ancestors started. 

    • Like 1

  4. Posted

    In general, I don’t have much expectations of substantial changes or revolutions coming from Reer Awdal, Gebileys or Jabuuti folks politics for that matter. You may prove me wrong though. 

  5. Posted

    On 11/17/2023 at 3:44 PM, Arafaat said:

    Che, I wouldn’t bet on the Awdal folks, chances of Burco or Berbera becoming a state is more likely than expecting Borama to make a significant move. 

    Told you so, Berbera uprising is more likely to change the equation then opportunistic Galbeedi’s folks.  
     

  9. Posted

    Gooni wa ku raacsanahay rayigiisa maadama;

    - kow) xalka waqooyi aan laga raadin koonfur, maadama koonfur dhib kale mashquuliniso ma hayaan xalka waqooyi, 

    -labo) reer waqooyi yaga ayaa isku fahmiya siyasada gudaheeda ka jirto oo siyasiinta xamar jooga si fiican uma daraasi karaan Taas kale,

    -sadex) reer waqooyi wexe awood iyo micno u sameeniyaan xamar iyo Somalida guud ahaan yaga oo wada socda,

    -afar) kolay way heshiiniyaan , marka iminka ha iska heshiiyaan,

    -shan) cadiifadaha, xamasadaha iyo mawjadaha ka jira waqooyi ka duwan yihiin kuwa ka jira koonfur.

    Marka iney waqooyi heshiiyaan gudahooda, oo iska dhaafaan sheekooyinka Ir** Sam** iyo ya Dar***, oo dantooda ka wada had laan. Wa rayi macquul ah runtii

  13. Posted

    Irrelevant of the populist support. Deni wasn’t elect by the people but was elected through the Issims system and the MPs they have selected, specially because his term has ended.  But coming up with this hastily initiative in the last months of his mandate, while it’s even practically impossible to organize elections in 3 months time, doesn’t give confidence. 

    He could have prepared the elections during the first years of his mandate and avoided this political crisis, as the Issims have also pointed out that a next leadership should commit to organise elections early on in their mandate. 

     

     


     

  16. Posted

    Isimada are not the cause of the problem, they only came in to picture when compelled to mediate in dispute that turned in to an open conflict.  

    The cause of the problem is that PL leaderships unrealistic last minute planning of ‘one-man, one vote’ elections, that leads one to perceive effort as insincere. Even the Electoral time table published last week, showed that the electoral regulations were not even in place, while 3 months left before election date. 

     

  17. Posted

    13 minutes ago, maakhiri1 said:

    it is time for them, the biggest support Shabaab gets, is very angry minority, disgruntled, that seeks justice, revenge, from them

    The cycle continues, the government is extremely not aware or complacent about these issues.

     

    You become aware of something when you care, and one is unaware of issues you don’t see in your interest and thus ignore.

    And by default the government is complacent as they claim authority, legitimacy and power making them de facto responsible. And the main goal or mandate given to them is to expand legitimacy of the government amongst their people, and not all sorts of commercial projects 

  18. Posted

    Somalilands political discourse is in nobody’s interest, and is far away removed from inclusivity, fairness nor provides a sensible future pathways for the youth in Borama, Baki or Burco, as elites are pre-occupied with holding on to power and self enrichment. And there seems to be a consensus that the current discourse isn’t sustainable.

    The question arising and that needs to be asked and discussed is, what is then the alternative solution or direction for the people in Somaliland? You say divide the region along clan lines, let every sub-clan rule themselves under Mogadishu. And I think there are other and better pathways possible, but as Somali’s we are hardwired and jump immediately from one bandwagon to another extreme without considering all the options, possibilities and risks, which at the same time makes any debate or consideration of alternative politics impossible as one has already jumped to a conclusion which becomes a ‘fait accompli’. 

    My question to you is, in order to construct when do you have to deconstruct  and when do you have to reconstruct? 

  21. Posted

    I want to share a little anecdote with you about the first time I met someone from Awdal. The was back in 2004 when I met this girl, who only came to Europe few years earlier. And as all the Somali kids were sharing their piece of war and refugee stories, she couldn't relate to all those stories and said she didn't understand what others were talking about and she shared that she came from a town (Borama) never seen war, fighting nor had to flee, and had enjoyed education and came straight to Europe, without going through any of the refugee camps in Ethiopia and Kenya. I was young didn't know the different regions but her story stuck with me, as I knew pretty much that all the Somali kids had seen times of fear, suffering, conflict and displacements from their homes and was surprised to hear that a Somali kid coming from the country without those kind of experiences. 

    Point of the story, don't compare Awdal's geographical fate and trajectory (past and future) with others and put it in the unique perspective that it deserves. 

  22. Posted

    Galbeedi,

    I also share your sentiments on the futility of Somalia's so called Federal States and the dominating political tendencies in the different clans. However, aren't you making the same mistakes in your political calculations as the Habro politics have made that you have continuously pointed out.  For example, you are so focussed on moving Awdal away from Somaliland that you are not seeing other potentials risks and dangers in your foreseen pathways, as Somaliland has done by thinking their only adverseries were Somalia and not seeing all the risks and consequences of its trajectory.  Secondly, what makes you think Ethiopia will recongnise Awdal as a separate region equal to Jigjiga and maintain its population demographics as it is? And thirdly, you are so diamensionly thinking in clan, but at the same time not taking in to account that other clans and sub-clans in Awdal might not share your narrow clan viewed political aspirations, specially the sub-clan whose native regions runs along the coast from Zeila all the way to Lughaya? 

    I think you should count your blessings and be grateful for all that you have, that every other Somali community could only dream of. Be grateful that you are from a region that has been largely spared from the wars, conflicts, be grateful that you from a community that lives in peace with its neighboring communities, be grateful that your families, community and clan  have not seen displacement nor were uprooted from their homes, be thankful for having political leaders that are wise and sensible and forth thinking, be grateful that your nieces and nephews have enjoyed uninterrupted education over the last decades and belong now to the most literate and educated Somalis. Say Alhamdullilah and count your blessings brother, for what you think isn't good might actually be good for you, and what you think is good that others have might be more of a curse then you are aware off.

    • Thanks 1

  24. Posted

    Galbeedi, everyone knows that Ethiopia’s current eyes are on Assab, and strategicly it makes sense. But if Eritrea becomes subjugated to Ethiopia, what do you think this could mean for the region, Djibouti and Somaliland and Ethiopia's further aspirations. Listen here to Abdiqadir Jirde talk about Ethiopia's historic aspiration for coastal areas, from 12.48min on. 

    Personally I do hope for a more voluntrary and gradual process of political and economic integration of the Horn of Africa countries, but this far removed from the Empire aspirations and talk of annexation.