Arafaat

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Posts posted by Arafaat

  2. Posted

    It was clear from the beginning, that the Oromo narrative was pushed by Ethiopia as the precursor for voluntary and indirect annexation.

    Ethiopia has for decades used a politics of Oromisation in Somali region solidify its government grip on Somali’s and expand its territorial  hold, so this wasn’t anything new, what is new however is this politics being applied or expanded to inside sovereign Somali territory.  

    • Like 3

  4. Posted

    2 hours ago, Illyria said:

    It is a compromise till the two States have agreed upon a separation plan, which is pending a grand conference to be held in Las Anod post PL elections. 

    Compromise between who exactly, I thought both Garaads and Puntland Issims position was clear on this? 
     

    FB_IMG_1703883496588.jpg

    Isimada dhaqanka Puntland oo go'aamiyay in doorashada 2024 lagu galo 49 xildhibaan – Puntland Post

    PUNTLANDPOST.NET
    Isimada dhaqanka Puntland ayaa bayaan rasmi ah ka soo saaray xiisadda ka taagan arrimaha doorashada Puntland. Isimada dhaqanka oo...

     

  6. Posted

    On 12/29/2023 at 11:40 PM, Illyria said:

    How do you read point 5?

    I read that as coordination and information exchange on main security related points of concern, e.g. Red Sea, AS. But I could be wrong, what did you make of it?  

  10. Posted

    I don’t think one can really discuss the future status and relationship between Somaliland and Somalia without Somaliland and SSC-Khaatuma first having a common ground. 

    From Mogadishu’s standpoint, it’s in their interest to be dealing with a united north rather than a fractured Somaliland consisting of 2 or more states or political entities, that would further complicate the existing federal dynamics and politics in Mogadishu, and would leave the Northern regions in a much weaker position. And Somalilands interest would be best served if it presented a united Somaliland representing all the regions and groups. 

    So from that point of view and thinking, the only issue they ought to be discussing is for Somaliland to pursue a peaceful course, dialogue for a political settlement with SSC in order to unite and stabilise the region. And for HSM to support that discourse and for Muse to refrain from any harmful actions. 

    I might be wrong but I don’t see much else that is worthwhile of discussing? 

  13. Posted

    Consistency, predictability and rationality are the key characteristics in the rule of law. For Khatuma-SSC to become a credible administration or representative body based on the agreed rules and principles, it makes sense not to remain an integral part of Puntland state structures.  The Garaads have made a very rational decision in the interest of their people, and it’s important everyone accepts their decisions, irrelevant of the clan affinities, solidarity and support. 

    • Like 1

  19. Posted

    One had to admit that HSM has been achieved some of his priorities, such as lifting the arms embargo and getting Somalia in to the EAC. So it’s not that he is been traveling for the sake of it, but I am wondering if those policy changes wouldn’t lead to more damage than good? 

    EAC expansion and allying so closely with Kenya and Kiswahili countries, might push Ethiopia to further advance its putsch on Somaliland and lead to a divided Somalia along regional blocks. A northern Somalia aligned with Ethiopia, Eritrea and Djibouti (Habesha regional block) and a Southern Somalia being part of the EAC (Swahili block). 

  22. Posted

    13 hours ago, maakhiri1 said:

    Dadka waa weeyn, sax ,was ogyihiin, dhabta ,kuwa yaryar Qaranka Qaranka Sidii logo qaadayey waa ay rumeeysteen, Wadan la aqoonsadey bay U haystaan

    Jiilka cusub ama Tiktok generation badankoodu wa igu sawir, wee ogyihiin dhabta oo waxba kama qarsoona aduunka waxa ka jira, dantooda ayee ka racaan oo wadan caadiya ayee rabaan oo aduunka ku xidhan, official status leh. As long as they can keep the flag, 18 may party, they really don’t care and will choose their own interest above all else. 

    Do you think the young generation in Xamar is any different from those in SL? As long as they wave the blue flag, they will party to any tune that is presented and choose their own interest above all else. They do not care about state structures or the much propagated federalism, as long as they feel part of a state that provides normalcy, they are much more pragmatic that the old zealots dreaming of grandeur and a past gone era.