galbeedi

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Everything posted by galbeedi

  1. I know. The usual suspects are coming out from their caves. Let us answer to those who had posted worthy comments. Holac, the surveyors are coming in the next few months. The money for the first 40 km had been released to Djibouti. Holac, these dinosaurs won't know if the real thing hit them. All we see in these websites and news clips are photo of people meeting and handshakes with no internal commentary. For example, Biixi asked Cumar Gheele to buy weapons from Djibouti, but Gheele refused for now for fear of breaking the UN embargo against Somalia. No one is reporting this . Bakhaarkii Tigreega ee hubka laga soo iibsan jiray wuu dhamaaday. Both Puntland and Somaliland do not have enough weapons to wage wars which is good news for the locals. Suldaanka, I for one, do visit Hiiraan once every few months. I do not read their opinion pages which is typical of known things. AS they say, " tell me something I don't know". I might read Faisal Rooble who could shed light on new things and the under current issues. Anyway, I will give you today a six million dollar worthy of advice for free. Take this advice and pass to your friends in Hargeisa. Here are the main points: Maxakamado ( Courts mean trouble) haddaad maqasho ka cabso. 1--I do believe that The extra judicial courts in Burco are illegal under Islamic law and within the rules of the modern state. In Islam, justice can only be dispensed by those who have mandate and fiduciary trust from the public(Dad beeca sharci ah dadku la galay oo masuuliyad la saaray). 2-Tribal courts are usually run by extremists who have political ambitions, yet, they try to hide behind the religion to reach their goals. They are usually used in the lands of anarchy where where there are no government sanctioned courts. In this case the Burco cell is the real court.Which means Burco regional courts do not operate. 3-Todays Al-shabaab are the illegitimate sons of the Mogadishu courts. In the early stages, they were all transformed from these tribal courts by claiming to be enforcing law and order, but they mostly convicted poor and weak people by cutting their hands or oppressing them while ignoring warlords and the powerful. 4- Closing restaurants is the beginning of selective enforcement. As you are aware, Al-shabaab had bombed innocent restaurateurs in Mogadishu by either claiming to be used by foreign spies or by trying to enforce bogus dress codes. The same can be said about those in Burco claiming the employees to be Ethiopian .Village restaurant of Mogadishu were bombed twice after they refused to pay ransom. 5-Sometimes, they target businesses to stop competition and enforce the monopoly of those who pay them. The Burco courts have all the hallmark of Al-shabaab courts in Mogsadishu. These sleeper groups might have clandestine agreements within the Kulmiye leadership since 2008. In fact, Siilaanyo released many who were convicted of murdering foreign workers and other innocent people.When Muuse Biixi was challenging the leadership of the party over 20 pipe bombs were thrown in Hargeisa without trace. There is also a large number of returning Al-shabaab from the earlier wars who reside within these cities and must be exposed. Anyone with meagre knowledge of intelligence can figure out the unwritten rules of agreement with Somaliland and these cells. Of course, as you said ,certain ingredients are missing for this to flare up , but they could be activated anytime. That is why it is important to weaken and flush them out now while you have capacity to confront them. It is clear that these are extremists sanctioned by the system and they must be stopped before it is too late. Do not be fooled by " Gudiga Xumaan reebida" . Hadday Xumaan reebayaan tuugada iyo boobka ummada ayey ka hadli lahaayen. Somaliland has real Sheikhs like Sheikh Aadan Seero who addresses real corruption , theft and other crimes of the ruling class. let us stop the future Ahmed Godane type before it is too late. Deal with these future Al-0shabaab now or face the consequences later. Since you are member of KUlmiye pass these to your superiors.
  2. Mr. OO, it is nice to hear from you . You raised good points. Especially #3 and 4 I like this one. The Egyptian dictator is getting 75,000 barrels of oil a month from the Saudis , and since 2013 has received 25 billion dollar grants. My God , Al Sisi is the enemy of humanity. The skirt wearing fat gulf boys are done like a dinner. Saudi oil burning is money in the bank for all involved including the Saudis. Here in the Western Canadian oil country, the more it burns the more our wallets get richer. All in all, it is a blessing for everyone. Even the US of America had enough of these mess in the middle east. They had lost both prestige, blood and treasury by chasing these quagmire and listening the murderous and bloodthirsty neocons. Uncle Sam is tired of these wars and want to go home. It is agood analysis except, this : Isn't it Kenya playing games with Somalia? And this is your soft spot for the dying Dinosaurs of Somalia , the regional governments of Somalia. My friend those days are over. Cumar Ghelle will never meet Madoobe . Take my word. Dhag Dheer Dhimatoo Dhilkii waa nabad. We tried to save the Saudis from self suicide but they wouldn't listen. THey chose despotism and dictatorship.
  3. While the internet and social media made news travel faster, they rarely dig the real news behind the curtain. As the American cable news proved, all they do is repeat the same thing while copying from one another. So, in order to sift out the real news from the propaganda we have to talk insiders. From time to I talk to this friend who resides in Halane compound in Mogadishu ro tell me what is going behind the scene in that part of the world. He generally supports the government efforts and he travels to Addis, Hargeisa, Baydhabo and Nairobi working mostly with USAID Somalia. Since he doesn't live among the people in Mogadishu, I mostly ask him about the angle of the international community who have huge stake in Somalia in terms of regional security, capacity building and economic aid to Somalia. Here is our conversation last night: Galbeedi :Is there any improvement in MOgadishu security lately.? Hallane Man: The security perimeter is expanding lately but there is still checkpoints which locals don't like but reduces the chances of car bombings. Also the government strategy is to target and secure the main brides leading to the city from both Lower and Middle Shabeelle. I heard six out of the seven bridges leading to Mogadishu are secured and manned by government soldiers. Galbeedi: Any new towns liberated so far? Halane man: I heard Aw Dhiigle and Barriire which are main crossing points to the highway were secured. Furthermore, the federal army is on the offensive now. The expectations in Lower Shabbelle is the local must be in empowered to deal with security issues. Certain groups might lose both power and privilege if law and order takes place in the region. The American try to put pressure in these parts but every time Al-shabaab is punished some people would say that it was civilians who were targeted. Galbeedi: I know you do not live within the public , but is there any reduction in Al-shbaab business and extortion activity within the capital?. Halane man: Not much. Their mafia style extortion continues an abated due to intimidation and murder. Also, the locals use their courts for quick court decisions. No one dares to ignore their court summon which became the favorite court for plaintiffs and victims. By collaborating with them the locals are giving them legitimize. Since it is an open secret the intelligence people must find ways to capture these courts and those who administer. In all , there is still a segment of the population who favor these clandestine courts and Al-Shabaab. Galbeedi: How big is the role of the international community? .Halane man: It is huge. In terms of capacity building, training and coordination, and economic growth. Somalia needs few more years to stand up in her feet. Glbeedi: Who is the leading nation among these many countries? Halane man: The EU is there so does the Amisom and the British, but the leading country organizing the military offensives against Al-Shabaab and regional security efforts is the United States America. Galbeedi: Other than Al-shabaab what is the American policy in Somalia and the region? Halane man: First of all , America want a secure and stable Somalia, and they want to build a professional Somali armed forces. In fact, I heard that America want to relocate its Africom base from Djibouti to Balidoogle air base in Somalia within the next few years. From Somalia, they can easily monitor the Red Sea and the whole region from there. They are forcing the old and traditional enemies of Somalia who exasperated the recovery --mainly Ethiopia, Eritrea and Kenya--to work closely with Somalia. They also support wholeheartedly the full sovereignty of Somalia. People might not believe this , but , America might even take the Somali side in disputes with Kenya. Galbeedi: What do you mean sovereignty ? and how is the maritime dispute with Kenya is going. Halane man: America believes the territorial integrity of Somalia without hesitation, and unlike the British who are playing chicken games on the Somaliland issues.. They also do not want to destabilize peaceful regions and want to keep the status quo both in Somlailand and Puntalnd. The Kenyans didn't even organize their case properly. They bet their main strategy on pressuring Somalia through through intimidation, delaying airline travel and using Jubbaland as stick and carrot to eventually force Farmaajo to back down and come to the table. THey even went to the security council to isolate Somalia economically by designating the country like ISIS infested Syria. Every effort from their part failed. Also, their whole argument is that this issue is between nations and should not be in the court. Furthermore, they can't reject a security council mandated court decisions.. Galbeedi: So, is there any push from America about the Somalia and Somaliland talks? Halane man: Not at the moment. Everyone in Somaliland that counts have been told plainly that the real talks and the eventual union will happen, but in due course. Biixi knows and even the opposition knows. But, America do not want to push any efforts that destabilizes these regions while the push for union is under way. The Americans also know that there is Al-shabaab sleeper cells that are very active in Somaliland ,especially in Burco and other places. THey might not collect ransom and taxes like Mogadishu and Boosaaso, but , they give religious directives both in HArgeisa and Burco directly to the government through their well connected Sheikhs. In Burco last week, a freelance Sheikh took a police pick up with soldiers and closed a restaurant without the knowledge of the mayor , courts, the police chief or any government , because some family members who were both female and male were sitting together among the public. Not only they closed the business, they took all the employees to the jail. So, they do not want to push the union until the south stabilizes in order to avoid spreading instability. Even hotels in Hargeisa can't hold events after 11pm. Galbeedi: Tell me about Puntland, Galmudug, the Hobyo port and the gulf issues ? Halane man: THe UAE was very active in Somalia for the last year and half. They were involved for almost everything that went on in Somalia whether it is elections, ports or regional conflicts. In Galmudug, the major issue with Xaaf wasn't because he disagreed with the government, but he blocked the Hobyo port development with direct orders from UAE. He took money and refused the process which was just an early planning stage. The development money allocated for the central Somlai was roads and communication upgrade for Puntland and medium sizer port for Hobyo. C/weli took the money from UAE and used it for re-election while Xaaf became the spokesman of the group. Galbeedi: How about Deni ? is he still following the UAE? Halane man: People will tell you that Puntland had bad leadership starting from Cabdi Weli and now Deni. He could have changed course and follow a new policy, but he failed Puntalnd by isolating both from the federal government , Ethiopia and donors. Somali leaders lack imaginations and innovation. The old system of visiting regional capitals , cashing in some dough and serve others at the expense of the nation is over. Galbeedi: Deni is a young guy and a member of the new generation trying to bring business and investment in Puntalnd, don't you think it is too early to asses his leadership? Halane man: He has plenty of time to change course, but his strategy to side with Kenya against Somalia has damaged him standing among Somalis. Also, his close connection with the Emirates alienates the federal government. Both the USAID and World Bank , two leading donors in Somalia want coordination within the federal government and regions, and any hostility toward the Farmaajo government means less money coming his way. Galbedi: So, is true that Farmajo is saying , you either with me or against me? Halane man: Farmaajo has declared war on UAE and her allies openly, but the international community can't allow anyone to wreck its efforts of capacity building either by by Farmaajo or anyone else. Certain degree of disagreements are allowed but it should never lead to destabilize or hurt the economy of Puntalnd or Somaliland. In all , regional governments can't challenge the federal government in the international arena at the moment. Galbeedi: Jubbaland is in stalemate. Ahmed Madoobe isn't going anywhere and the opposition are holding their ground while targeted killings are becoming the norm. What is the next move of the federal government? Halane man: Madoobe is done. An arrest warrant will be issues soon with the knowledge of the Interpol. His best hope is a golden hand shake and retirement in to a save place. Donor money to Jubba is drying up and the Kenyans do not have money to throw around. His days are numbered. Galbeedi: I heard a large number of Northern young men and women went to Mogadishu and found work there. Halane man: Most didn't get work, but there is a hope they might get something in the future. It is the hope that attracts them there, but also, the cost of living is 40% cheaper in MOgadishu compared to major northern cities. Galbeedi: Did Muuse Biixi agreed with the African Development Bank financed road between Djibouti--Borama--Jigjiga? Halane man: He has no choice but to accept. Somalia, Djibouti and Ethiopia had agreed the building of the road. Besides, this road from Djibouti to Borama was in the works for 40 years. Galbeedi: how about the debate about the routes of the road? Halane man: that is useless debate. The surveyors usually will decide following a well defined criteria which are mainly: populated area and towns, cheapest and the most effective routes and finally the most direct route. Galbeedi: Is it true Biixi is refusing money coming through Somalia from the donors? How about the military airport of UAE. Halane man: No. He is getting the money. He complained that Somalia is with holding donor money and using for political reasons,. The donors had just approved 100km of road by the world bank and 60km were given to south and 40km to the north. The money in the south will be 30km in Mogadishu city roads and the rest will be the road between Gaalkacayo and Garoowe for repairs and improvements. Somaliland is looted and destroyed institutionally by seven years of Siilaanyo rule. Muuse was trapped in a mess, but he can't dislodge from the Emeriti's useless business transaction easily. Galbeedi: Is re-election process on the way? how about the chances of Shariif Ahmed, Hassan Sheikh and Farmaajo? Halane man: Somalis in the parliament had showed throughout history to ditch the incumbent president and elect a new one. I do not think anyone of those three will be coming back, but if there is anyone to get re-elected of these three, it could be Farmaajo and company. Besides, everything depends what happens this time next year. At the moment, it seems the government might get two years extension to finish its term. Everyone is rooting to one man vote and that could only happen if south central Somalia stabilizes for the next three years. Galbeedi: That would be great. Anyway, if Farmaajo and company get two more years and in 2023 we all go to the polls to vote, that would be nice. There won't be any vote buying . Certainly the parliament people might not like that idea of people's power and direct voting.
  4. Haatu, What I meant is if they don't join the Nation State Of Somalia and continue with current formula of using " Tribal Harmony" as substitute for institutions, I have no doubt the civil war will come. By the way, you raised good questions about the copying the colonial system. Will join that debate this weekend.
  5. Warsame, If the Mogadishu quagmire continues without end in site, many Somalis might join the writer and look for exit. Personally, I want the current leader, Farmaajo, to succeed, but at the end of the four years , if all we see in Mogadishu is blocked roods , check points and rich oligarchs , then people will seek alternatives. In that regard, he may have some points. I remember in 2011, when I visited back home in Awdal, I had a long conversation with some wise elders . One of them told me that, " In 1991, most of Somalis went crazy, and we thought to medicate and help those who were close to us, and at the end, we expected to wait for others to gain their conscience and come together as a nation again" Soomaalidu mar haday wada waalatay, waxaanu is nidhi bal kuwan deriska aad tihiin, ee dadka waalan uGu horeeya marada ku qabta oo daweeye inta kuwa kalena soo miyirsanayaan" He said, we did our part of forming a semblance of a system and government. We have been waiting for South Somalia to come from the coma and restart the national project, yet there was nothing in sight. That was eight years ago. last week I met a guy which I didn't see for almost ten years. In those days, He was a fervent separatist, but since then things are changed and he is willing to amend fences with other Somalis. After few discussions he said, " Even if we decide to join the union today, where would we go?, do you want us throw the people to Al-shbaab infested region" Waar Muuse Biixi wax badabn naga qaadan mayo haddii aynu damacno in aynu tuurnee, dadka xageenu nageyn. Waan Go'aynaa aynuun baanu ku daalnay, laaakiin dad iyo dal laga go'aaba majiro" at the end he sarcastically said, " Waar dad kaama Jiro koonfur". Some people are disappointed that even if they desire a union , the southern politician is not fulfilling his duty to pacify one major city--Mogadishu. So, Mr. Warsame, if things do not improve soon, a whole lot of questions will be asked by this fellow and others. There is no need of complacency. I hope it is not just a game for the Southern man.
  6. Having local control of the basic services is the ultimate desire of every Somali. By nature, we Somalis are fiercely independent almost to the borderline of anarchism. At the moment , the Somali regions are not interested about federal system or even delegation of power to towns and cities. Federalism would force them to allow the locals to manage their affairs and collect taxes. Might even force direct taxation from the federal government, they will be no longer able to print money, build regional armies and have their own foreign policy. They have neglected their basic duties of set up local administration according to the federal system. I do not blame them for some of the shortcomings since they have to fend off themselves and take care of their own security by creating local militia, but peaceful regions like Puntland should have moved to the next level. I hope in the near future that the federal government doesn't need to interfere the elections and politicians of the regions as long as they abide by the charter and constitution. At the moment, it is the duty of the federal government to eliminate those who are serving the interest of the neighbors who are fighting us both in the international arena and within Somalia through proxy forces. Direct democracy and real delegation of power is a threat to the regional leaders and to many Somali tribes. It has been 15 years since Somaliland held parliamentary elections and Puntalnd doesn't even have any elections in the cards after 21 years. How can they blame the national government for incompetence while keeping the status quo for themselves, especially Puntalnd without implementing any direct democracy and delegation of power. By nature Somali tribes are greedy and unjust. The idea of tribes coming together and forging a national charter without no one enforcing these agreements is a folly that exists only in Somalia. Peace is achieved through strength. Al-shabaab might be defeated one day, but the dysfunction of the regions and throat cut tribal competition inherited for the last 30 years, would stay with as for a long time. If we let them to design their own narrow interest for the nation, they will use the typical Geeljire methods of winners taking all. Yet, despite the hubris of these tribes, each one of them is venerable. They might celebrate a short victory , but history has shown that no tribe is invincible in the nation of the nomads. Just look at Tukaraq and other places. THese entities are fighting to dominate and control people who should be free to choose their own destiny --Sool and Sanaag. The same goes with those ridding the Kenyan tanks. They have no interest of people voting or agreeing with a fair charter. The idea of tribes accepting and being honest to each other is impossible. Gari laba nin kama wada qosliso. Ninka qaadiga ahi (The judge) markuu xukumayo gacan ku dhiiglaha ma ahan in uu la ooyo ama ka naxo. Also, history has shown that tribes do not judge or even adjudicate justice.. When was the last time you seen a real court dispensing justice and convicting anyone among the tribal homelands?. We must have a just arpiter who has the ultimate legitimacy to right the wrongs and that should be the national government and the national army represented by every villager. . So, we can't let tribes dictate, national destiny. Besides, tribes are narrow minded, some even think that the wealth of the nation might not be enough to divide among the people. Xataa garan maayaan in dalku ina wada deeqayo.That is why they taking as much as they can when they get power. I wish tribes would vote for their own interest, yet they even fail those basic things. These so called fear of dictatorship is a political maneuverings of the opposition. The era of dictatorship is gone and it is not going to come back. Few years ago, around 2014, I asked a local professor about prospect of a national government being achieved in the coming years. He said , it will take 25 to 30 years, it might be slow but is the nature of democracy. No one should wait another 30 years to have a national government. Even democracy has due dates and ways to pass unpopular bills regardless of the opposition. A national leader must accommodate the regions, yet at the same time , he must understand that the overriding responsibility of fulfilling his national duties of securing the nation must be paramount despite the constant grumbling of the opposition. Personally, I favour a benevolent authoritarian leader who would pacify the nation first and then deal the internal housekeeping issues later. I bet if these maneuvers were done by Hassan Sheikh or others these smear campaign of dictatorship wouldn't have been used. Our Islamic tradition teaches us the the power or the " Chair" is in the heavens and Allah the almighty bestows it whom he wishes. It is the will of Allah that a slow speaking and reclusive man from Ansalooti, Banadir to become the head of the state and many of our compatriots are up in arms. Some guys in Hargeisa, Gaalkacayo and Mogadishu are probably terrified of anything led by the Kacaan community. Since most of the Al-shabaab and and the threat to security emanates from the land of the two rivers, the federal government has a duty to interfere both politically and militarily. Puntalnd should not have to worry for now. But, if they keep mixing up with bad actors in Jubba , and the gulf, then the national army might land in Galdogob and slowly move to Boosaaso and kick the fat Arabs from the country which is the legitimate right of the federal army to secure ports and points of entry. I know it is a long way from that scenario, and I hope the separatists and their brethren in Puntalnd should not lose any sleep for now. I do not know about tomorrow. WE must allow those who have mandate to govern to implement their agenda . If they fail , throw them out office next time. despite the talk of dictatorship, I haven't seen anyone accuse Farmaajo of tribalism. In fact, there is no one from Gedo even working inside the office of the president. Waar waxa meesha ka talinaya Madaxweyne aan qabiil lahayn. Madaxweyne aan cidna ilaa hadda ku eedeyn in uu lacag dhacay. Daara ma dhisan sidii kii ka horeeyey. Anyway, we do not oppose a fair and democracy based federal system. in conclusion, Our friend Deni has to make his mind. If he joins the national agenda and oppose Kenya, UAE and others we will welcome him and help his efforts to bring prosperity to Puntland, but if he joins the axis of evil and those who are our current enemies, may Allah help, because we might get him.
  7. One might argue that both Puntland and Somaliland might have served the people well during the warlord and antachy times, but if they do not move to join the nation state, the civil war would come back to these parts. In Somaliland, tribal quarrell is getting ugly and the only way to resolve is to look higher ideals like joining the federal government. Any tribal " Xadhig isu Dhiib" will not fix the system.You can't bribe tribes for the small meagres that supposed to build schools. A national government might cure some of these illnesses.
  8. Che, When Puntland was formed some twenty years ago, the hope was that these bottom up approach would reach everyone and a decentralized federal government would take shape. Which was noble idea. Yet, Puntland must understand that if the instability of the South Central Somalia continues, it will eventually affect the cohesiveness of the system. in Puntland. If you can't advance to the second stage, the chances are you might regress and move backward..The new generation and the young doesn't care what happened 40 years ago.
  9. I read this article from the beginning and found some interesting responses , especially from Mr. Abtigiis who showed a well versed knowledge of the situation. This writer seeking Puntland sovereignty must have got the attention of many Somalis by his bold declaration, yet it doesn't really surprise me because some twenty years ago during the Carta, Djibouti process, I have met some Puntlanders who were advocating for secession. Also, unlike many Somalis, most Puntlandes do not even consider the elusive Somaliland separation seriously. Not because they are indifferent about the breakup of the country, but they see either the " Ictiraaf Raadis" thing as a game or political maneuvering of a clan seeking to gain something they do not deserve or just a process and stage Somalis must go through. They just do not worry that much about it.Even a some told me that , " Somaliland Mashruuceeda waxaan soo xidhnay maalintii aanu maakhaayada Puntland ka ag furanay".In other words, by incorporating Sool and SAnaag , Puntland has dismantled any notion of Somaliland separating. Yet, I can assure you that if one single Somali entity separates, Puntland will be next. for certain generations of Somalis who have studied history in the diaspora, it is difficult for them to grasp the real history of the country without quoting some distant foreigner with ulterior motives. This writer is also throwing around the so called Northern Sultanates without distinguishing the Maakhir Sultanate of the Sanaag and Bari from the Osmania Sultanate of Hobyo and North East. One was under British while the other was under Italian rule. He is faulting the Puntlanders who participated the SYL movement. Well, just like those from Ceerigaabo, Borama and Zaylac had to go to Hargeisa for the power transfers from the British, Mogadishu was the main Italian headquarters , and since the north easterners were part of the Italian Somaliland, they had no choice but to go to the main city and join these movements. Yet, Mr. Ahmed, the writer should probably point out the biggest mistake the SYL and the North Easterners made in late nineteen forties was rejecting the British to administer all the Somali territories until independence which would have given the Somalis an opportunity to gain as much land as possible at once , rather than fragment the land. Instead , they opted to be under the defeated Italian administration. Also his idea of lambing Puntland , Somaliland and Jubbland is another partisan maneuver to make them the opposition front against the federal government. Furthermore, Somaliland doesn't favour the so called federal system or even decentralized power sharing following the federal system. They oppose the idea of Hie-Shabeele, Puntaland and Galmudug.They insist on negotiating to the South Somalia as a whole. They are shocked that everyone is equal just like them. They also afraid that the federal caravan would reach them and give everyone its own place under the sun. Jubbaland is one city state at the moment with the occupation of Kenya. While Somaliland and Puntland are stable at the moment, all these three are different entities. Also, by declaring that a unified Somali state whether its federal or centralized as a threat to the nations of the horn, the writer had showed the colonial arguments advanced by certain neighbors of Somalia. If a Somali who enjoys the multicultural nature of the nations states of the west and other nations can't accept the desire of the mere 15 million Somalis who share unique cultural ties under one flag, he is certainly a man of backward looking person arguing on tribal viewpoint. While one must point out the buying of regional leaders by the federal government as grave danger or abuse of power, they must not be advocating for the dismantling of the state. I consider these arguments as part of certain pressure groups who are out of the power at this juncture. As I said, these voices become louder when Puntlanders are out of the power structure just as in twenty years ago. This fear of centralized dictatorship is a red herring. On the other hand , it is the duty of every national government to keep its nation together. Furthermore, with political brinkmanship of Kenya and others, only the federal government can stop the dismantling of the nation. People should not assume that the NGO sponsored meetings between these entities to go on for decades. Puntalnd has done its part to keep the country together by blocking Somaliland, now it must help the federal government to pacify South Central Somalia to stop Kenya and others from curving out Jubbaland. Farmaajo and Khayre are both outsiders according to the old guards, yet these groups like SAnbaloolshe and others had the opportunity to affect real changes but failed. If Farmaajo succeeds to pacify South Central Somalia , the opposition voices could get louder.
  10. Oday gooni Afkaasi mid nin weyn ma ahan. Do not generalize people. Siday wax kaa noqdeen. Sanbaloolshe is looking for a job.
  11. My friend , The world has changed. No region should deny the federal government to land on its own airports. The Airport might belong to the regions physically, but all movements must be controlled by the federal government. If Farmaajo is listening , here is another directive from the minister of aviation: Effective mediately, all airports within the republic must be under the control of the federal governments . No one can enter the country without the approval of the national border control units. Anyone who refuses this directive will be denied airplanes to land in that region. We are entering a new era my friend.
  12. By the way, all those Tigray generals who dealt with the arms trade were arrested. Abiy is trying to get back the cash which is very difficult.
  13. OO, UAE already left Djibouti and doesn't care if it is close to Puntalnd. Do you have to throw Djibouti in every thread?. Remember, the UAE is becoming the chaos and mischief manufacturer of the horn and the Red Sea. Who knows, they might try to ignite more wars between Puntalnd and Somaliland. Or even push Deni to clash with Galmudug and derail the Hobyo project. Both of these regions have scares inventory of weapons since Abiy Ahmed stopped the arms dealing of the TPLF in these regions. The Tigray generals made millions of dollars from these transactions. It was a well known open secret. Metel, the Ethiopian government owned public company who also manufactures tanks and other weapons were the main principle. From top leadership to the law level clerks were all Tigray . There were reports about another mysterious planes circling north of Hargeisa. They could both delivering black market weapons. Where is the so called air control units who must know these flights?
  14. I do not think the UK is willing to join among the spoilers and lose its standing. The UAE is going down the drain. Everyone is waiting just one missile from Houthis or other players to hit Dubai and they will be history. Who knows a war may break out between the corrupt crown prince Mohamed.Bin Zayed of Abu Dabi who is the architect of the gulf quagmire and the man who lost almost all his family and soon his business, Mohamed Bin Maktoum of Dubai. . Xaaf, Fiqi, Faroole and others have nothing to lose, but Cabdulahi Deni should be very careful. The last spokesman of the regional governments was Xaaf and he is done like a dinner. Be careful who you break the bread with these days. Just expect Xaaf and Faroole , two 80 years old men making the dance floor.
  15. Tilamook, Joking aside, You know domestic flights within the republic can fly to Kismaayo . We are targeting only the Kenyans.
  16. Tilamook, I have already spilled the beans, I should have kept quiet. The Feds might have redirected to Xamar the plane who might be carrying Faysal Waraabe and company in their way to KIsmaayo. Damn we could have even captured the loud mouth Waraabe. One thing I know is Tillamook Is the most ardent federalist among the SOLers or even in the diaspora. I am also a federalist. I want small manageable federalism.
  17. OO, That is a very wise statement. It was bad for human loss , but politically it did help the ONLF . They were allowed to open political offices in Canada, USA , UK and Australia.The CIA rewarded them .
  18. OO, The Saudis and UAE will lose big time in any military or adventure in the middle east. When Cali Cabdalla Salah was overthrown, the logical government were supposed to be the Islah party which dominated the parliament.Since Islah was a moderate Islamic oriented party, the Saudis begun to arm and finance both the Houthis and the C.A Salah controlled military. THe same Saudis were fighting the Houthis in Saada province for ages. THey revived Cali Salah and the Houthis while weakening the Cabdel Rabo Mansour government. Neither Obama nor Saudis targeted the Houthis while marching to the capital. Last weak when the UAE separatist armies took over Aden, the Yemeni tribes in the South had decided to team up and throw out the mercenaries. Since the overwhelming of the Yemenis reject the UAE and its mercenaries, Islah and the tribes might change the direction of the war soon. Since UAE is anti democratic and anti MUslim, they will create a chaos. In Somalia we had the same UAE mercenaries who were paid and controlled by them. THank God we threw them out of our last year while many corrupt regional governments were crying for UAE. The stars are alligned for Somalia. Our enemies are going down one by one. In Soomaalidu Tiihii iyo dhibtii ka baxayso waxa u daliila ah kuwii cadawgeena ahaa oo dhamaantood daciifay ama masiibo ku timid. Agoontii Imaaraadka iyo Tigreegu ka tagay waan u soo soconaaye Ilaahayow noo gargaar.
  19. People must understand that while the regional government should have local administrative authorities, like policing, education and local taxation, none of their powers should never deny the federal government the power to enter those regions and lead the overall security. For years, the regional governments and others used to point out the weakness of the national government for an excuse to deny her legitimacy or recognition. We all pointed out about the Ugandan army guarding the president. Finally, the national government is flexing its muscle. The national army had taken over Bariire, Aw Dhiigle and other crucial villages in lower Shebeele without Amison army. Sheikh Cali Dheere, who took over the job of former Al-Shabaab spokesman Mukhtaar Roobow--the man the former UN envoy wanted to be governor of SWS---has been mortally wounded. The 30 years old dysfunction of central Somalia (Galmudug) might be fixed with presence of the national army. The foreign policy success of Somalia is bearing fruits. The international community had enough of throwing money to regional governments which has refused time and again to build any credible institutions. Finally , they decided that while it is useful to help the Somali people within the regions, they realized that Without a national government, the Somali quagmire will not end. Well Madoobe and Kenya had refused the federal government to come to KIsmaayo, and now they have been prescribed the same medicine. Waxa ay cashar u tahay kuwii dhihi jiray, dawlada taagta daran ee Xamar dhaafi la'. Hadaba Xamar way soo dhaaftay oo way soo socotaaye ka hor dhaqaaqa. In the next few days, we will be all witnessing the last dance of the weak regional governments in KIsmaayo to celebrate the wedding of Ahmed Madoobe. Guests will be coming from Garoowe and Hargeisa. Dhag dheer dhimatoo dhulkii waa nabad.
  20. OO, 40 to 50 years ago sea access wasn't that important. International trade was mostly based western Europe, North America and Japan and few Asian tigers. India, China, and Brazil were not even the top 25. The USA was the only Trillion dollar economy. Today, China is hitting 20 trillion and the world economy is 70 trillion. Thanks to international trade, economic growth , and sea access is going to be huge.Imagine if Japan was landlocked, Thousands of trains and trucks could not have handled their export cargo. Afghanistan is full of rare earth elements.Even Trump complained about not getting those elements while CHina is planning to get in without firing a shot. On the other hand , good climate, easy access to sea , and abundant resources make certain nations lazy and complacent. One thing I know is that if Somalis ever rise from these ashes, we would be unstoppable. the Ethiopians will probably work for us like Mexicans in America. OO, remember, many nations in the Arab world and Africa have yet to go through what we through, and there is zero chances for many to survive like us.
  21. REports indicate Hafter of Libya has large number of blacks both from Sudan, Chad and Mali. Yet in Sudan , they seem to be losing in Sudan lately. They tried couple of failed coups against the current leader. A few thousands Somali nomads would have crushed the Houthis with few billions of dollars for the rebuilding of Somalia. If the Saudis were smart , rather than worry Egypt and other places, they could give $10 billions to Somalia and Yemen will be save within a short time. We are tougher than the Janjaweed.
  22. OO, I did miss that one really. Since when Ethiopia joined the security council. I saw in the news Djibouti trying to a spot at the table competing against Kenya. Abiy Ahmed should be voting with us or else....
  23. Che, Thanks for watching the house for all us. You are really making a difference. Abuukar Baale is doing a great job.