Che -Guevara

Young Somali Men as Cannon fodder

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galbeedi   

In this war , the Sool community will pay and get paid in blood money.

 

People say 70-80% of those who will fight on both sides are from Sool community. At the same time the politicians who are making money in this war are also from the Sool community. 

 

This war might bring down Muuse Biixi. 

 

I also believe that Ethiopia is pushing this war for both political reasons and to bear bad news among Somalis. It may also trying to punish C/weli Gaas for cooperating with Farmaajo to enhance the national government. Without Puntland the the regional governments can not muster an effective opposition front. 

 

In 2007, when C/laahi Yusuf came to Mogadishu and defeated the Islamic courts, Rayaalle took over Laascaanood with blessing of Ethiopia. 

 

If this war breaks out , I am sure Somaliland will lose Laascaanood and Bixi will go down as the man who engineered this.

 

 

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galbeedi   

Another idea is the Sool army members from Somaliland might take their technicals and switch sides at any moment. 

 

Sources say that commanders are switched and there is a suspicion and distrust among the Somaliland army. Through social media, those from Awdal were told to get out of this war. Kuwii kudhinta akhiradiisa ayuu seegi, kii badbaadana waa dagaal ooge. 

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Alahaw nimaan wax ogayn ha cadaabin. 

 

Galbeedi ma sidaad jeceshay mise siday tahay. Sidaad jeceshay waad noo sheegtay. Laakin sida waaqica runtu tay waa mid aan adiga kaa farxinahayn oo murugo kuu siyaadin doonta. 

 

You can twist your twisted brain anyway you like including trying to involve Ethiopia into the mix. But the truth remains, Somaliland took this action in retaliation for

 

1. SFG Minister who trespassed into Somaliland borders

2. To send a signal to Farmaajo that he shouldn't even think about crossing the border which was originally part of his plan to meet some elders inside Sool region (Buuro Wadal). The meeting with Farmaajo was held in Garoowe instead after Somaliland's operations. 

 

Imika iyo xaal, Ciidanka Qaranku amar waxa lagu siiyay inay fadhiisinta ay joogaan hada hore uga kicin. Laakin hadii wax daandaansi ah kaga yimaado dhanka Puntland, waxay fasax u haystaan inay ilaa xadka tagaan. Hadii Mamulka Puntland joogsan waayo, waxay ka gudbi doonaan xadka oo Garoowe ayaa la isugu tagi doona. 

 

Wax walba hada waxay ku xidhanyiin Maamulka Puntland weerar ma soo qaadaya? Jawaabtu waa maya. Halka ay hada joogaan ayay guul u tahay. 

 

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galbeedi,

If you are saying this for simply "blame Russia" style, maybe, but as things stand now if it doesn't involve Somali state will not involve Ethiopia.

 

If you think president Formaajo will have problem from Ethiopia or he is fighting Ethopia think again. He has no benefit or interest in that policy, unless sometimes for public consumption for the gullible. You will see after he puts few things in order will be again Sudan, Ethiopia and Somalia straight line.

 

If he drives Illey mad then yes Ethiopia will be there. This is not like Melles times where there were 4 cabinet ministers and few generals that spoke Somali. The last thing in the world president Formaajo needs is unhappy Illey or Ghele.

 

Somaliland and Puntland issues are a no go for Ethiopia. Ethiopia has every clan and sub clan of Somali more than Somalia itself.

 

 

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