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Everything posted by Che -Guevara
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Egypt and Somalia condemn Ethiopia over Nile dam dispute
Che -Guevara replied to Che -Guevara's topic in Politics
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That's unnecessary jahwareer. Besides, Pland's real problems are extreme poverty, lack of political space, bad leadership and ignorant population who are easily manipulated And that's the case with every Somali region in the Horn. Separating won't solve its problems, it will only create new ones.
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LOL
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Al-Shabab’s Enigmatic Invasion Of Ethiopia, Abukar Arman Jul 28, 2022 In countries such as the U.S., there is an unwritten theory in police investigation that assumes whenever a neighborhood robbery occurs it was done by someone who not only had the motive to commit that crime, but the basic intelligence to help time it well and to get away with it. In other words it was committed by someone who lives or operates within 5-miles radius around the crime scene. If your gut feeling is ‘such mentality, regardless of how logical it may sound, will keep the law-enforcement stereotypically myopic and perpetually racist’ you are not alone. But that is a topic for another day. Meanwhile, an elaborately sophisticated attack carried out by more than 500 al-Shabab and dozens of technical- armed trucks- against Ethiopia left many casualties and many unanswered questions. Granted this was not a robbery. According to the VOA’s Investigative Dossier “Officials from both sides of the (Somalia, Ethiopia) border confirmed that the attacks preoccupied Liyu police forces and distracted them as other heavily armed al-Shabab units crossed the border unopposed.” Moreover, the same program quotes an anonymous former al-Shabab militant who said the group was determined to erect its flag inside Ethiopia and then officially declare that “jihad spread to a new front.” The offensive, according to Matt Bryden of the controversial Sahan research group “appears to be the start of a major, strategic initiative to establish an active combatant presence in Ethiopia, probably in the southeastern Bale Mountains.” How about that for a narrative express? Surely with the failure of the Somali Federal Government’s military and intelligence campaign as well as the America’s deadly drone doctrine to decapitate and defeat al-Shabab, the terrorist group remains more dangerous than ever. That danger is made worse when governments sometimes engage in their own concocted threats to pave the way for one manipulative objective or another. See also PDP And Consequences Of Sailing Against The Wind In 2023, By Majeed Dahiru Here are some possible scenarios driving al-Shabaab’s incursion into the Somali region of Ethiopia: Scenario One: It is the first step of a foreign-driven plan to spook China out of Ethiopia’s oil and gas rich region. A few years ago the Ethiopian government signed a multi-billion dollar deal with Chinese company to develop petroleum and natural gas in the Somali region. Moreover, the company is to design storage, transportation, and marketing logistics as well as to build pipelines for domestic and international supply. On April 28, 2020, the Ethiopian government signed $3.6 billion deal with a Virginia-based energy firm named GreenComm Technologies to construct an oil refinery in Ethiopia’s oil-rich Somali region. Reminiscent of the Somali facilitated British predatory capitalist Soma Oil and Gas, there is only one problem: the company has neither the expertise nor the credibility to be trusted with such contract. And though the Ethiopian government indicated the willingness to cancel, there is no official report confirming that. Scenario Two: A false flag scheme to re-shuffle the cards in the Horn with derailment of the Horn Economic Integration engineered by the European Union, championed by Ethiopia, Eritrea, and Somalia, and funded by the U.A.E. Under such scheme a pretext for prolonged strategic military campaigns and political torpedoes launched from a selected federal state is established. So Ethiopia and Somalia, or President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud and Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali, will spend the next four years riding a dangerous roller-coaster, as did President Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed (Farmajo) and President Uhuru Kenyatta. Meanwhile Somalia is secured membership in the East African Community (EAC) and a peace-keeping force that excludes Ethiopia. See also THE SUGAR DISPUTE BETWEEN BUA AND DANGOTE ON WHOSE INTEREST? Scenario Three: To further hammer Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed who has already lost a loyal partner in the loss of Farmajo. Under this scenario multiple deadly fronts are opened. This scenario is based on the assumption that the United Arab Emirates or President Mohammed bin Zayed has turned his back to the European project that this author criticized before and dropped Abiy Ahmed from his previous pivotal role. Of course the natural replacement is none other than President Isaias Afwerki of Eritrea who secured UAE a military base while it was actively partaking the war in Yemen and just completed training 5000 Somali soldiers to provide military protection as UAE colonizes Socotra in partnership with Israel. “The saga of these Somali soldiers has been full of twists and turns,” wrote Michelle Gavin, security experts for the Council on Foreign Relations. This lucrative clandestine mercenary project was equivocated and denied by the Farmajo government until literally the last minutes before ceremonially handing over the presidential authority to the newly elected President HSM. Scenario Four: To reengineer a new balance of power that would end the ethnic-cleansing of the Tigrayans and boost their military capacity to ultimately takeover what is considered as a viable economic insurance- Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD). This requires stretching the Ethiopian military power so thin by opening on it many military fronts. The coalition of the willing under this scenario may include Egypt that considers the dam’s drastic impact on the flow of the Nile as an existential threat, Sudan, the U.S. And due to the rapidly changing geopolitics of the region, and Ethiopia’s steadily growing ethnic nationalism, it is likely to include U.A.E and Israel whose strategic and economical interest in the Nile water is no secret. See also Life Is Short, No Man Is Promised Tomorrow, By David Wyse Scenario Five: A combination of the listed scenarios; and this could prove the most complex one to decode and deal with. Relevant Context For more than a decade, Ethiopia has been dominating the Bay and Bakool regions of the South West federal-state of Somalia. It has been its most reliable laboratory where Ethiopia trained and mobilized some of its most notorious clandestine allies, the violent neo-Islamists such as Mukhtar Robow (still held as a political prisoner) and his militia, and tribal secularists such as Abdirashid Janan and his militias for of subversion and security dependency (AMISOM). Intriguingly, the Shabaab militia that attacked Ethiopia is reported to have been trained in the Jubbaland federal-state (Jilib and Ras Kamboni). And their objective according to the Governor of Bakool was to raise their flag inside Ethiopia. To accept that Shabaab would carry out such daring operation with such reported large number of its militia out of Jubbaland while ignoring the temptation to take the jewel of that federal state – Kismayo – or to takeover U.S.’ only military base in Somalia and to chase the American troops out of that region requires an extremely wild imagination that some of us do not possess. ————————————————– Abukar Arman is a former diplomat. He is the Founder and Servant General of Baseerah Transformative Strategies. Follow on @Abukar_Arman
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NISA Director Mahad Salaad raises the Salaries of NISA Troops
Che -Guevara replied to Dalmar1's topic in Politics
If this is true, I am impressed -
Egypt and Somalia condemn Ethiopia over Nile dam dispute
Che -Guevara replied to Che -Guevara's topic in Politics
Ethiopia's armed forces are overstretched. Liyu police have been used to bully locals since its inception. They never engaged another paramilitary force. Ethiopia's intelligence has also lost many of assets in Somalia. Amharas are worried about their own backyard and they didn't appreciate Abiy turned on Fano. -
Egypt and Somalia condemn Ethiopia over Nile dam dispute
Che -Guevara replied to Che -Guevara's topic in Politics
That's very reckless statement on Abtigii's part. -
Somalia will be fine. Its progress is slow and painful.Let's not get into doomsday cycle.
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Egypt and Somalia condemn Ethiopia over Nile dam dispute
Che -Guevara replied to Che -Guevara's topic in Politics
Policy of the previous Government -
Egypt and Somalia condemn Ethiopia over Nile dam dispute
Che -Guevara replied to Che -Guevara's topic in Politics
Somalia did not condemn anyone or anything, but Egyptians used the visit for PR thanks for HSM's ill-prepared inner circle. -
Egypt and Somalia condemn Ethiopia over Nile dam dispute WWW.THENATIONALNEWS.COM Cairo repeats demand for Addis Ababa to enter legally binding deal on GERD project
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Who is replacing Boris Johnson as UK's new PM?
Che -Guevara replied to baala xoofto's topic in Politics
It could be they have internalized. I was listening to the radio the other day. It was a story about Mau Mau members who were tortured by the British. They wanted compensation for their suffering but at the same wanted to meet the queen not to demand an apology. They simply admired her. Imagine your victims admiring you. The queen, then, princess was touring Kenya just as Mau Mau movement was taking off in 1952. The Brits were afraid for her safety but she went on with her visit, just make to a point, they won't intimidated by their subjects. -
Who is replacing Boris Johnson as UK's new PM?
Che -Guevara replied to baala xoofto's topic in Politics
×l WORLD, AFRICA Italian push for 'colonial language' comeback in Somalia met with anger People in Horn of Africa country say move to revive Italian language, influence makes no sense Mohammed Dhaysane |14.01.2022 MOGADISHU, Somalia When Somalia’s state-run Radio Mogadishu began airing an Italian-language program earlier this month under a new agreement with Italy, it led to an uproar. Somalis both at home and abroad reacted with anger, calling it an attempt by Italy to influence the country and reintroduce its brutal form of colonialism. Italy is trying to compete among Africa's former colonial countries as well as with the US, China, and India for new markets and resources on the continent, especially in the Horn of Africa, where Somalia is located. It now wants to revive its influence in Somalia, Abduwali Garad, a PhD candidate and teaching associate at the UK’s University of Birmingham, told Anadolu Agency. He said as part of these efforts, Italy approached the Somali National University and offered some scholarships and attempted to influence learning and the teaching curriculum. It is also trying to take over the administration of Demartini Hospital in Mogadishu, which was built and controlled by the Italians during the colonial era. "It is also worth mentioning that the Italians are dealing with some Somali politicians to make it easier to revive their influence and agendas by bribing them, especially during parliamentary elections," Garad claimed. Salah Sheik Osman, Somalia's former minister of public works and reconstruction and current chairman of the Justice and Unity party (TIIR), said it makes no sense to allow national radio to air an Italian-language program given what Italy did during its "brutal" colonial era in Somalia. He said only people over 60 or 65 in the country may understand Italian and questioned why Somalis need the Italian language, whose use has been declining for over 30 years. "Over 75% of our population is young and they don't understand Italian and don't want the Italian colonial language to come back," Osman said. After Italy forcefully took over and brutally colonized the country, the first thing it did was to dismantle Somalia's traditional governance system, he said. It also destroyed Somalia's thriving economy and Somali kingdoms and city-states among the Geledi Empire, which was based in the Lower Shabelle region. "It destroyed Somalia's culturally rich system and dismantled our kingdoms and then started to brutalize and colonize the general population," he said. He said Italy was responsible for killing thousands of Somalis during the colonial era. "Thousands of people who were forced to work for the Italians died from disease, hard labor, a lack of food and medicine, and beatings, for instance, in the village of Kali Asayle, where thousands died while digging a water channel in Lower Shabelle," he said. He noted that during the Geledi Kingdom's resistance against the Italians in the late 19th and early 20th century, the Ottomans – predecessor of the modern Turkish Republic – helped by providing weapons. - How Italy started to take over The Italians first came to Mogadishu and bought the Banaadir region from a ruler named Sayyid Barghash and then started to extend to the south and then to the southwest, according to Abdurahman Baadiyow, one of Somalia's foremost scholars and historians, who spoke to Anadolu Agency by phone. "After this takeover, which was like an Italian version of the East India Company, they reached Warsheikh, where they met heavy resistance, and later Adale in Middle Shabelle, where after the resistance killed seven Italians, the Italians killed 40 Somalis," said Baadiyow, one of the founders of Mogadishu University. He said before it destroyed Somali kingdoms and city-states, the fascist government of Benito Mussolini met with heavy resistance organized by religious students and religious scholars, since at that time, Somalis lacked effective and regular forces. He said during the Somali resistance, Italians committed a massacre in the vicinity of Lafole – now a small town 22 kilometers (13.6 miles) southwest of the capital Mogadishu – and surrounding areas after a fierce battle. During the fighting between Italy and Ethiopia, over 6,000 Somalis were forced to take part, and most lost their lives, he said. On Italy’s attempt to revive its influence in Somalia, he said: "It doesn't make any sense. If it's a government policy allowing the airing of an Italian language program on state media, I believe it is a wrong and shortsighted policy.” - No interest in Italian Moulid Hujale, a senior Somali freelance journalist, told Anadolu Agency that the reintroduction of the Italian language on Somali state radio is part of Italy’s wider geopolitical strategy, but it has been ridiculed by many Somalis. "It’s not just because of Italy’s dark colonial legacy, but the vast majority of people in Somalia, particularly the younger generation, do not speak Italian and aren’t even interested in it. That is why the reactions on social media have been overwhelmingly negative,” Hujale said. - Popularity of Turkish Osman believes the only foreign language that is currently thriving in Somalia and in the public eye is Turkish. "If the government wants to air a foreign language, go ahead and air Turkish on national radio because the young people are now interested in Turkish and a lot of people now can speak Turkish," he said. He said young Somali academics were educated in Turkiye and thousands of Somali National Army personnel were trained there and can speak Turkish, and even if they may not speak fluently, they can understand and communicate in the language -
Who is replacing Boris Johnson as UK's new PM?
Che -Guevara replied to baala xoofto's topic in Politics
That move was rightly mocked. There are no Southerners that supported it or generally have nostalgia for the Italians. Don't confuse the idiots in control for the general public. -
Who is replacing Boris Johnson as UK's new PM?
Che -Guevara replied to baala xoofto's topic in Politics
Muse tried that with the Yanks not knowing Americans take pride kicking out the British. -
Who is replacing Boris Johnson as UK's new PM?
Che -Guevara replied to baala xoofto's topic in Politics
Wow...you have internalized your self-deception. Beneficial? Is that why they gave the Hawd to Itoobiya? Surely, equals and friends don't do that to each other? -
Who is replacing Boris Johnson as UK's new PM?
Che -Guevara replied to baala xoofto's topic in Politics
From your ferocious defense of British colonialism to tying everything British to Sland, your soft spot for Britain is mind-boggling. It almost seems you take pride in being colonized or associated with Britain. Don't take it personally. Your fellow qowdhans past and present show the same pattern of behavior apart from afew. How could anyone Somali (and I assume you consider yourself Somali) have such favorable view and unreciprocated admiration for that island is beyond reason. -
Who is replacing Boris Johnson as UK's new PM?
Che -Guevara replied to baala xoofto's topic in Politics
No, we are used to Sland part. We have you and tons before you to sell us the Kool-aid. But I can't understand the British obsession. It is almost like you had no history or identity before they arrived on the Somali shores. lol@key leadership. I thought you were bright kid. -
Who is replacing Boris Johnson as UK's new PM?
Che -Guevara replied to baala xoofto's topic in Politics
I would love to see someday a secessionist mention UK without tying it to Somaliland. -
Somalia's Phantom Troops committed atrocities in Tigray
Che -Guevara replied to Che -Guevara's topic in Politics
Beentaada hore ruuntaada danbe bay u darantahay. -
Arbitrary arrests of civilians in Somaliland region thread
Che -Guevara replied to Saalax's topic in Politics
Are you talking about this BBC?