I have already said before that it is possible Alshabaab cannot continue its war and the SFG cant keep on holding the country captive for African union countries some one has to break the stalemate , its obvious the SFG doesn't have the ability to fill the vacuum when cities and towns are liberated the cities remain unsafe and its security remains very fragile and homicide bombers can still penetrate it. Alshabaab biggest reason for their Jihad is the Foreign forces and the lack of Sharia law ,both can reach a compromise on neutral ground with the right arbitrators a cease fire and the removal of African troops partly i think shabaab can be pursued to have such a deal even Godane and the other Hard liners. Alshabaab and the SFG both hurt the Somali state and Somali in the long term if no peace deal is reached the AU troops will continue to enrich themselves, And Alshabaab will never be able to really defeat the AU troop they might even prolong the AU forces, cooler heads are needed in this conflict it can be done but not by the international community it has to come from Somalis. The international community is fine with the status quo.

<cite> @DoctorKenney said:</cite> Xaaji but this strategy can only do so much. Al Shabab can never control large swathes of Somalia's territory like they did in the past. They can never control the entire country and be Somalia's Government. Whereas the Taliban in Afghanistan has a very real chance of becoming the Government of that country once the NATO troops start withdrawing. There have even been talks of negotiations between the two parties and it's a very possible scenario. Al Shabab has no chance in governing Somalia. You can't really compare our two countries. There's very little similarities even though the strategies of Godane and Mullah Omar might be similar. Alshabaab have the odds against them but eventually they cannot be defeated and the SFG and the Amisom led governments need to sign some sort of agreement with them. The same way the Taliban and the United states are in constant talks even though there is no cease fire. I think Alshabaab has shot themselves in the foot when they made an alliance with Alqaeda nonetheless they still have some cards left similar like the Taliban to exhaust the Amisom troops the same the Taliban has exhausted the Isaf and NATO forces. Mullah omar in 2005 got rid of all the Alqaeda cell and the Arab jihadist and created a Pashtun Islamic front he reformed The Taliban he forced the Alqaeda forces to operate separately from the Taliban, and they went underground and terrorizing ISAF forces and they managed to still control large swats of Territory. Alshabaab is using the exact the same strategy to remain relevant in the war and their struggle against the AU troops.

I fear for Edo Fawziya i hope she repents and comes back home.

Doctor i dont really think people care what Europeans or Americans might think, people do not put to much weight on the opinions of other Foreigners, its all about the survival of the fittest. Somalis in general have never valued the opinion of others specially non Somali groups only when it concerns how it can advance their interest. For example Somalis will deal the Europeans ask for AID and support but thats where it ends but just so that they can advance their own interest regional country sub region. If you tell a Somali the European thinks we are the same, he will tell you so what does that mean my people should submit to your tribe so what what the Europeans think. Somalis never respected international law and borders not that long ago they declared war on Ethiopia and Kenya in the name of ethno nationalism. Do you think Somalis will value the opinion of the Europeans after the demise of the Somali state.

This is normal a turbulent past rivalries animosities distrust will make sure the horn of Africa as a whole will never really be peaceful. Because we wish to annihilate each other some in the name of Somalinimo some in the name of Takfirnimo some in the name of Tribal union. History is what makes people, it has been 23 years and the first frictions started in the 1970s this will only continue,the Question no one wants to lose no one wants to be on the dark side of the History in 50 years time or 100 years time. This is a crucial time i used to think the late 1980s were Crucial this is more crucial than ever. Ninki roon ba reerka u hadhaya Zerosum game Haa dhakhleyso

Alshabaab strategy is to cut of main roads to big cities and cut of logistics of the African union troops and control the country side they basically go under ground this gives them time to re group re take control of smaller towns. They will never launch large scale attacks because that will ruin them. They have taken the strategy of Mullah Omar, Since Amiir Godane trained in Afghanistan with the Taliban he understands what type of tactics that can work. Since the Somali government and the international community has no real interest to develop proper intelligence and proper policing and the SFG bureaucrats are corrupt this gives the Alshabaab the time. Alshabaab strategy simple regroup re organize take smaller towns cut of the supply to major cities combined with homicide and car bombs in big cities.

What a load of bull crap international what did not give anything to SL the Somaliland took what belonged to her and the international community went along with it. Galaydh might run for presidency but he doesn't stand a chance not a chance. As for the D1r mps in Somalia Somaliland has no influence on them they go with highest bidder of the HAG pay them they will go with them they have no allegiance to Somaliland, so if galaydh pays the right price perhaps they will vote for him its all about the money for them. Trust me as long as Mogadishu is the capital and the situation in Mogadishu remains fragile interest groups in the middle east and the broader international community will make sure another HAG takes the presidency of Mogadishu.

http://www.boramanews.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=7758&catid=34&Itemid=53

^president hassan won the political game to when he named Farax topaz Constitution minister when he managed to remove saacid, and when Faroole lost the elections., When he managed that Jubba state comes under SFG jurisdiction and does not became an autonomous state. When he managed and aid allocation to his government, hassan is still winning the political game against Garowe and the other opponents

^^ I doubt it he has not the numbers in parliament and his kin the larger D have no interest to back him for the presidency , He might have created Khatumo climb the political ladder how ever he started with the Speaker of parliament and he lost i doubt he has a chance for the Mogadishu seat. But we shall see in 2 years ba inaga xigta. By the way no one said Khatumo was created for Somaliland it just helps Somaliland strategically since garowe is not willing to support an independent entity between them and Somaliland, Somaliland has gained more territory since Khatumo was created.

Lol i dont know whats crazier a Khatumo republic in-between SL and pl or galaydh being president of Mogadishu lol.

Actually one of the most richest in Uganda is a Somalilander Amina Mohammed hersi, Ethnic Somalilanders in Kenya are not that many there are more Koonfurians in Kenya because they came there as refugees there is no need to brag about the slums of islii. By the way there is no politics in Kenya, its all dominated by Kenyans Kikuyu and other Kenyan Bantus if you talk about some MPS it doesn't really matter , People in east Africa from Somalia or Somaliland are only relevant business wise.

^^ Lool and do you think the SL government cares about tantrums , its all about dancing to he tunes he is saying what Khatumo nationalist want to hear, he knows what they want to hear, Trust me on this Galaydh and his group its not really about him but his group will join SL how much u wanna bet?

Khatumo is destined to be with Somaliland eventually the finance minister and their biggest garaad and supporter of the project is in hargeisa. Just read the topic Khatumo process merging with SL and how it develops. Gol khatumo is where the USP party was formed USP was a Somaliland party in the 1950s. What you are missing cali khalif biggest constituency are all die hard Somalilanders from Laascanood, he making noise is just to have a bigger share before he joins the bandwagon, Malistar dont say XX did not tell you

I think Kay is right on this some one blew themselves up today there Car bomb kills Somali lawmaker en route to security conferenc By Omar Nor and Holly Yan, CNN Monday, April 21, 2014 Mogadishu, Somalia (CNN) -- A Somali lawmaker was killed and another was injured when a bomb hidden in their car exploded while they were headed to a conference on security, officials said. Parliamentarian Isack Mohamed Ali, popularly known as Isak Rino, was killed, and lawmaker Mohamed Ali was seriously injured, said Mohamed Abdiqadir Mohamed, district commissioner of Mogadishu's Hamarweyne district. Four passersby were also hurt. The parliamentarians were on their way to to a national conference on security when the bomb, hidden under one of the car's seats, exploded. No one has claimed responsibility for the attack. But Prime Minister Abdiweli Sheikh Ahmed said those behind the "cowardly" attack will be found. "Somalia has today lost a committed parliamentarian who worked tirelessly to serve the people of Somalia and help rebuild our country," Ahmed said in a statement. "This cowardly attack will not derail the progress made in Mogadishu and across Somalia. The security agencies will investigate this cowardly killing and ensure that those who carried out this attack face justice." Source: CNN

^^ That is because all the other Somalis wanted to be treated like the other Bantus Luhyas Kikuyu luos and all the others in Kenya, but the afro hashemites wanted to pay higher tax so that they can have better schools better education and better health care and better all of that better jobs and live in better areas. By the way Somaliland predates , Somalia way before general afweyne was born. Its the same as today most Koonfurians are happy with Turks feeding the mothers and children where as African union troops protect the governmental institutions and their leaders. People have different mindsets different behaviors different interests different values and ethics and morals different images. The same way Kenyan Somalis defend their Bantu overlords against their own. Sultan xassan tarabi in 1889 said Cuqaal talisa Boqor caaddila iyo culimo miisaan leh. Ilaahi Carshiga Nuuriyoow kaaga caban mayno. Caddaankaanu wada loollanaa madaw cisaynmayno, its the same.

he is a puntlander pretending to be an HAG wey ka muuqata Mooge xaaji xunjuf wa dad yaqaan

Homunculus where did i say i support al qaeda , and where did i say i hate others, i just stated some relevant facts , thats all

puntland rising ,, u are right there are some Somalilanders such as Amiir Godane who are in the south to fight a Jihad against the African union troops

Puntland rising there is no such thing as a khatumo clan in Kismayo nor are the awdal clans in shebalede hose ,,, and there are no SNM in xamar.

I am for mixed gender weddings we are not Arabs we do not segregate woman and male

Good one Puntlandrising

By the way Cabdiqeybdiid cannot take the war with Puntland today , he has no logistics nor the arms to defeat the Puntlanders today are on guard and have more weapons and more men. The USC won over the Puntland clan in Galkacyo in 1991 was because the SSDF clans had no weapons and the USC had so many weapons since most of Siad bare mercenaries were from The Galmudug clan back in the days and with the defection to the USC they had the superior weapons, today they tables are turned , Cabdi qeybdiid served Cabdilahi Yusuf to, Unless there is a strong state in Xamar which provides qeybdiid with logistics so that he can take galkacyo. but i doubt it.

Hassan sheekh knows what he is doing he is making sure that he is re elected in 2016 and that the power base of Somalia remains in Mogadishu he is thinking strategically both for his Tribe and that of Somalia. He is also making sure that a decentralized form is adopted where Mogadishu is the seat of the Somali government and assembly how ever regions to have local governance, this is why Hassan is making sure that his Clan are not organizing a clan state for themselves its a good move in the long term.

Mooge are u sure the Khatumu finance minister arrived in Hargeisa Wasiirkii Maaliyadda Khaatumo State Of Somalia Oo U Fakaday Maamulka SNM (Video) Waxaad nala daawataan wasiirkii maaliyadda ee dhawaan u fakaday dhinaca maamulka jabhdaa SNM iyo dhaartii ilaahay ee uu kaga baxay shacabkii u igmaday inuu u adeego.