Old_Observer
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Posts posted by Old_Observer
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3 hours ago, Holac said:Sisi will fall.
The oil and gas companies have Egypt by the throat. Mursi was murdered by the gas companies. Egypt exported its gas to Israel at a tenth of price and imported gas and oil from outside at regular market price.
Just one Egyptian made off with 4 billion. An Israeli who has made the same has the chis-pah taking Egypt to court for 8 Billion dollars for profit lost during Mursi attempt to save the dignity of Egypt.
All Egyptians and all peoples should feel guilty of the way Mursi was murdered. Any society that can tolerate or does nothing about it does not deserve respect. Has no dignity.And this is coming from someone who disliked Mursi's attempts to limit GERD to maybe 3 GW.
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3 hours ago, Holac said:What is "team Abiy" doing wrong?
Abiy has become team face book. All that to hide the main issues in the country.
His main allies and support are anti-federalists, yet the Oromos are most federalist. Their language alone has come long way by federalism. The language was not written, could not be used in courts even district courts, some used to change their names to Amxara names to get anywhere...etc
Since Federalism the language has now reached to college level use
The whole government of region of 40 million functions in their language
There is about 7 established media
They are now on their way to make their language a Federal language
Abiy is trying to obushicate inorder to keep his true allies and support, but everybody else is awake and can see the childish propaganda. He is also trying to cheat the preparation of the elections and the Oromos are first ones to catch him like Jawar and others.
Agjar is also playing childish games with the Somali issues. Instead of continuing at break neck speed all projects and development endeavors he is face booking with Amxara who are anti federalist.
Its like Sissi building 40 billion dollar new town for him and his close government officials making it new capital where you can only enter by special permit.
His wife did not want to stay in the old government villas.
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Just now, galbeedi said:I mean how can they all invest Garacad?
They all need each other.
Some for money, some for security, some for locality..
BTW many Somalis think that every port in Somalia from Zeila to Kismayu is competion. It cannot be further from reality. Djibouti does not mind if up to 30% of Ethiopia's future business goes to other ports of Somalis.
Many countries in Asea do not like Bab El Mendeb, so they would rather use eastern and north eastern ports of Somalia. That way everything is done in Indian ocean and Africa.
Djibouti would only mind if it went to Eritrea. That is a big problem. Most Ethiopians prefer Djibouti since has matured state of affairs than the new Eritrea who started wrong foot.
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1 hour ago, galbeedi said:OO,
How can you put Somaliland, Qatar, Turkey and Djibouti in the same basket?
No offense. Its just that sometimes, is easier to see things by enclaves. Even in Ethiopia is commonly done to see if regions have separate impact and influence on the issue.
Kililka is most of the time considered as a country, especially in previous governments.
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11 minutes ago, galbeedi said:By the way, despite its loudly proclamation of diversification , 95% of Ethiopia's export and import is with Djibouti
Absolutely.
The pipeline to Eritrea propaganda is already forgotten. The pipeline to Djibouti will be completed and functioning soon.
Eritrea and Abiy tried to make the road to Djibouti insecure, but the Ethiopian generals took care of the conspiracy right away. Ghelleh has become master of these africans who play childish but cruel games with their people.
When Ethiopia had Assab for 40 years was the same. Ethiopia cannot survive without Djibouti.
The Tigray did not only change governance of Ethiopia with federalism, but made Djibouti and Ethiopia impossible to divorce. Railroad, Airlines, Highway, Water, Electricity, dry ports, 3 functioning ports...you name it all chained together.
Unless Ethiopia itself falls apart in pieces, the Djibouti Ethiopia rope is tied in knots.
Businessmen in Ethiopia have said they prefer Berbera and Port Sudan for extra business, but not Eritrea that relies on one dictator who takes measures at a whim to anything.
Ghelleh is dictator of different kind. A businessman as well.
Example: Ghelleh never interfered even against businessmen from Ethiopia that he hates. They pay and cannot do much to him.
Afwerki would arrest them, let alone to let them do business and use his port.
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10 minutes ago, galbeedi said:Natural gas here in Alberta is $1.20 in September. Natural gas never surpassed $3 dollars for the last ten years.
Anyway, with large population Egypt needs gas for electric generation and should not be exporting any gas.
Mr OO,
The Halane guy actually said that despite the parliament passing some rules on petroleum , Somalia doesn't have any rules to govern the oil. He said major players will not enter unless clear cut rules about royalty and taxes are set.
Regardless , we have to drill and get the oil out. If the gulf saga continues " Safe" countries like Somalia has to replace them, and replace quickly before the oil industry becomes obsolete 2035. Just like Abiy said, Ethiopians will come to work for us In Somalia.
I mix them from time to time when ever the issue seems to be just regional one. No bad intentions or hard feelings. In the current situation my reasoning is most of the time based on enclaves rather than countries. Since the enclaves have separate impacts on the issue at hand.
Example: Mugadishu or Kismayu are not going to loose sleep over this new port, but Hargieza and Djibouti would.
At this point it may even be not important if the project is not finalized, but there will be a lot of construction activity and also some port facility as you said for fishermen..and that is better than having a deep almost natural port sitting there doing nothing.
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There is no reason what so ever for Ethiopia UAE closeness except naked shameless money and also orders from America and Israel.
There is no historical, economic development, technological, cultural...reasons.
On the other hand there is a million reasons for Ethiopia Turkish closeness. Turkish investment, Joint military to military relations of past decade, Technology transfer and education from Turkish side, Development and training on basic and large investments and development projects such as sugar, textiles... Historical and cultural relations. Example Turkish redeveloping the Negash areas in North for cultural and faith related tourism and restoring and maintaining Negash, Schools and clinics and vetrenary in Tigray and Afar...etc.
Yet the current government in Ethiopia is pushing unhappy general staff of the military to work with UAE.
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UAE, Ethiopia advancing military cooperation
September 19, 2019
Lt. General Hamad Mohammed Thani Al Rumaithi, Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces, has reviewed prospects for advancing military cooperation with Ethiopia at a meeting here with General Adem Mohammed, the Chief of Staff of the National Defense Force.
Al Rumaithi, currently on a visit to Ethiopia, deliberated the progress of military collaboration between the two countries and exchanged views over an array of issues of common interest.
Al Rumaithi is accompanied by a top brass delegation.
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There is a new kid on the block. Its not government, but has full support of Puntland Government.
Dini, Ethiopian Consul, local elders and politicians had meeting and no matter the past they all seem to be determined to make it work.
Who are the investors?
Djiboutians, Ethiopians (non-Somali), Ethiopians Somali, Puntland, Turkish, Qatari, Somalilanders...are the suspects.
The Chinese are also suspected maybe from Singapore or other enclaves. If USA and Farmaajo go against will know soon.
This will take off. Will be a lot of ex-Generals and security folks involved from all the enclaves. Will be pure business.
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Egypt sold Gas to Israel at $1.5 where as Japan was buying at $12.5 and Germany was buting from Russia at $10
Money Egypt lost during those years 11 billion clear money after all costs paid.
Egypt was selling its Gas to Israel and importing for its Electricity generation at 10 times the price it was selling.
Egypt will now import from Israel, the reason Sissi came to power
Egypt will have to pay 20 billion dollars to Israeli, Spanish and Egyptian intelligence and ex-minister fahmi for lost business while Mursi attempted to fix the inhumaine, unfair, ripoff of Egypt.
Do you know what Khyre has promised his earlier employers and friends?
Do you know what Farmaajo may have promised American oil companies that caused the 90s destruction of Somalia and some of them like Conoco still have contracts?
The way Mursi was overthrown and murdered is to be a lesson to anyone who attempts to give Egypt its dignity as a society. The oil and gas companes are ruthless. They have all western politicians working for them and those that refuse will be blackmailed, cowered to resign or be jailed humiliated.
Do you remember where Egyptian generals advising Mursi to take military action against Ethiopia and the video was leaked?
Now the Generals are in power but GERD is continuing and Sissi, Abiy, Afwerki are under same umbrella of Arabs and Israel.
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galbeedi,
How come our man from Halane did not mention that, contrary to the Turkish plan of having one army with elite units inside it, the American plan and already deployed is to have an army outside the Somalia army? Size will be about 3000 and is to fight where ever America wants it. America trains, pays and maintains contact call that command.
This anti-terrorist army will not go against Moodabe.
The news and wishes of some SOLers that this special army will arrest Moodabe is fiction. The regular army is the only one that can go against Moodabe and good luck with that.
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When business was little shops on the ground people said:
Location, Location, Location.
Location has been both a friend and an enemy for the Somali.
USA being afraid of the Turkish is now training up to 3,000 Somalis. Unlike the propaganda we see here from some SOLers, these soldiers will always be kept separate, financed by USA and separate from Somalia Army.
The Turkish plan was completely different. The Turkish plan was to have one Somalia Army with special operations force inside it and under the army like most countries.
The American one is like the Army and Marines who are all land forces but separate and then yu have green berets..etc as well.
The Turkish one is most preferred structure for the cohesiveness of country.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YWN9yfo4KBg
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Anti-sisi hashtag trending in Egypt
64 Media outlets shut down. There is no stopping this one. Even for those who might have hated him, the way Mursi was killed was shocking to everyone.
Very cowardly of Sissi. And very cruel of Sissi masters.
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Sissi protectors are either in trouble or falling one by one:
1. Netanyahoo seems falling
2. UAE so much in trouble withdrawing from alliance
3. Bin Salman too much in trouble to worry about Sissi
4. Macron too busy at home and too weak outside trying to reconcile with Russia in a hurry
5. Boris Johnson can't do much
6. Trump vey busy and prefers Turkish if he can over rule his deep state
7. Afwerki, Abiy...are themselves beggars and obedient servants of Arabs and America too poor too weak too "no bodies" to help
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Egypt's Sisi addressed remarks on viral videos accusing him of corruption
2 days ago.
Tomorrow there will be a demonstration. Its expected to be sudden, big and maybe panic the regime and overthrow it.
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Is Sisi's Egypt becoming more unstable?
TRT World
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Egypt corruption: President el-Sisi denies wrongdoing
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13 minutes ago, Che -Guevara said:Che,
I understand a lot of folks are uming mad at the kikuyu for various reasons, but none of these countries used Mombassa to show in any statistics. Not Ethiopia anyway.
Uganda, South Sudan rely on it..other countries are not significant.
But anything helps. Ethiopia and Kenya are always "keep distance, but never be enemies"
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2 minutes ago, Che -Guevara said:Fix the link.
Not working?
Morris was shut down in youtube for saying too much about Israel, bankers..etc
108Morris108 is his handle. He is on many sites now.
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Afterall the easterners say and believe in KARMA
I was wondering how 80 million people are incapable of protecting a president they elected
A human being to get human treatment in prison
A president being killed in plain view and suffering and pain which is not allowed even on animals
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https://vimeo.com/108morris108
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On 9/17/2019 at 8:59 PM, galbeedi said:What you mean is probably cargo freight airline to serve landlocked countries like South Sudan, Ethiopia and Rwanda. That business opportunity is there for Somaliland. In fact, it was there for Djibouti for 30 years. While Somalia was in flames for 30 years, Djibouti was served by Daalo from Somaliland and Jubba airways from Somalia. They couldn't create or manage a local airline. The ruling tribe and their boys were chewing Qat.
It now looks like that, but it wasn't that Djibouti was asleep.
The Americans put a monkey wrench to the plan, by bringing Eritrea out of the cold and making regime change in Ethiopia all work financed by Arabs.
Djibouti was to have a regional airlines half owned by Ethiopian airlines. The limits of this airlines would be Kenya, Both Sudans, Saudi, Gulf and everything else in between. Ethiopian would fly outside of this area and inside Ethiopia only. 1.5 airport in Djibouti would serve Ethiopian airlines to eliminate its stops in Saudi and Israel to fill up for its long trips. (Since Addis is very high altitude planes cannot fill up, but in Djibouti they can).
Djibouti would have share of Ethiopian airlines as well.
If you remember Abiy had to go and assure Ghelleh that the plan will continue, but Ghelleh knew it was dead.
Now the Tigray want to start their own airlines, which most likely be mostly Djibouti, but Abiy and Afwerki will not let them. Unless Ghelleh can come up with different solution or the UAE/Saudi crisis changes Horn of Africa again.
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On 9/16/2019 at 11:02 PM, galbeedi said:The most strange thing is the Saudis spent billions of dollars for anti missile batteries from America including the Patriot .If they can't defend the largest oil terminal why spend the money. Besides, the Houthis can't reach that far with 10 drones at once.
THis is strange. Someone is cooking something. The treacherous UAE had made a deal already with Iran and left the Saudis dry. Friends like these you don't need enemies.
I think this is the work of Iran. since their oil exports are halted they retaliating. Even Rouhani said that if we can't export oil through the gulf , no one will. THese crazy Shia are heating things up.
Arabs had lost all dignity and self worth, but now has become in the open for all to see.
It has been 3 years since Saudis are talking with Russia for air defense system, yet the Turkish already received in less than 2 years from start to finish. The difference is that the Turkish are powerful enough, developed enough to be respected by both east and west.
Most people around the world now think that it was a false flag operation to get Trump to bomb Iran. The damage is big. Saudis now are seeking oil and oil products from Iraq and even Iran through UAE.
Here is an article that explains some of what happened:
http://www.whatdoesitmean.com/index2988.htm
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11 hours ago, Xaaji Xunjuf said:The EPLF and TPLF relation ship was in the poltical sense a bit different but from an historic point of view somaliland and Eritrean were identitical. How ever when SNM defeated the siyad barre regime. The rebels in the South and somaliland had not reach a full agreement and the Italian Somalia rebels kept on fighting. You can reach an agreement on somalia and somaliland is when you truly mediate and a 3rd party who has no dog in this fight similar what the US has done with South Sudan. Its pointless to convince koonfurians because we know their opinion.
Do you ever ask yourself why in 30 years there is not a single sub-sub clan in Somalia saying "if they want to go let them go"?
In 39 years there is no economic interaction, thus people would not loose anything, yet not single prominent Somali outside Somaliland has the courage to speak up and say "lets close this file one way or another, has gone on for too long"
In both Ethiopia and Sudan, there were always prominent persons from Khartoum or Addis Ababa who said "we are losing a lot of life and treasure, we are only increasing the hate, if they want to go, let them go, they might return in next generation by confederation or other means, but the war has to stop.
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On 9/15/2019 at 10:21 AM, Suldaanka said:Coupled with the naval base, Berbera is assuming its leadership role in the region.
What region. You make it sound like there are important powers in the region.
Ethiopia is half of what it was a year ago. Djibouti is not interested in this kind of competition that considers war and war capacity. Somalia is not in competition. Kenya is also not in competition. Eritrea is losing its masters and financiers soon, with Egypt following UAE and SAUDI Eritrea has to look for other masters.
I am not trying to underestimate your achievements, but just reminding you that its not a competition even if you succeed.
Astonishing: America deploying more troops to Saudi Arabia
in Politics
Posted
Is America taking advantage or Did America aand the Saud family created the false flag?
This is astaunding.
Who are the Saudis going to bring next Israel, well they just missed the oportunity with Mr. Netanyahu.
Turkish had offered the Saudis:
1. To make peace in Yemen happen. Now only Turkish are capable of bringing everyone for peace in Yemen.
2. To set up a commission/unified command to defend the holy sites and everything around
3. Restore the Gulf cooperation council and rely on turkish support until full reconciliation and functioning common defense
America and France are dead set aginst this, and looks like they got or created perfect excuse now
According to Trump priciple and modus operandi the Saudi pay for every soldier, every tank, every aircraft and every cocacola the Americans use in Saudi Arabia.
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US to deploy more troops to Saudi Arabia after attack on oil industry
Trump has for now decided not to authorize an immediate military strike on Iran in response to attack
Associated Press
Sat 21 Sep 2019 02.41 BST First published on Sat 21 Sep 2019 01.10 BST
Saudi Arabia’s vice minister of defense, Prince Khalid bin Salman, and US defense secretary, Mark Esper, walk to a meeting at the Pentagon in Washington, 29 August. Photograph: Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images
The Pentagon on Friday announced it will deploy additional US troops and missile defense equipment to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, as Donald Trump has at least for now put off any immediate military strike on Iran in response to the attack on the Saudi oil industry.
The US defense secretary, Mark Esper, told Pentagon reporters this is a first step to beef up security and he would not rule out additional moves down the road. General Joseph Dunford, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said more details about the deployment will be determined in the coming days, but it would not involve thousands of US troops.
Other officials said the US deployment would probably be in the hundreds and the defensive equipment heading to the Middle East would probably include Patriot missile batteries and possibly enhanced radars.
The announcement reflected Trump’s comments earlier in the day when he told reporters that showing restraint “shows far more strength” than launching military strikes and he wanted to avoid an all-out war with Iran, which has denied responsibility for the attack.
Instead, he laid out new sanctions on the Iranian central bank.
“I think the strong person’s approach and the thing that does show strength would be showing a little bit of restraint,” Trump told reporters during a meeting with the Australian prime minister, Scott Morrison. “Much easier to do it the other way, and Iran knows that if they misbehave, they are on borrowed time.”
US dials back Iran rhetoric and seeks 'peaceful resolution' over Saudi attack
Read more
Dunford told reporters the extra equipment and troops would give Saudi Arabia a better chance of defending against unconventional aerial attacks.
“No single system is going to be able to defend against a threat like that,” he said, “but a layered system of defensive capabilities would mitigate the risk of swarms of drones or other attacks that may come from Iran.”
The US has not provided any hard evidence that Iran was responsible for the attacks, while insisting the investigation continues, but Esper on Friday said the drones and cruise missiles used in the attack were produced by Iran.
“The attack on 14 September against Saudi Arabian oil facilities represents a dramatic escalation of Iranian aggression,” Esper said, adding that the US has thus far shown “great restraint”.
Iran has denied involvement and warned the US that any attack will spark an “all-out war” with immediate retaliation from Tehran.
In deciding against an immediate US strike, Trump for the second time in recent months pulled back from a major military action against Iran that many Pentagon and other advisers fear could trigger a new Middle East war. In June, after Iran shot down an American surveillance drone, Trump initially endorsed a retaliatory military strike then abruptly called it off because he said it would have killed dozens of Iranians.
On Friday, he left the door open a bit for a later military response, saying people thought he’d attack Iran “within two seconds”, but he has “plenty of time”.