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Jacaylbaro

Kenya and Africa’s latest independent state– South Sudan

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Taleexi   
smile.gif Che... That is JB's specialty, isn't it? Apart of the all hype given to the looming referendum of South Sudan (SS). SS is not capable as of yet to govern itself given it spins off the rest of Sudan proper. One, its populace are against one another. Two, all oil infrastructure goes through the northern Sudan. Three, Bashir secured the recent Sudan elections while in the South SPLM won. Apparently, many in the South don't favor SPLM which leads to the possibility of the emergence of some sort of alliance between Bashir and SPLM when the referendum comes around... Such cooperation has the potential of supporting one Sudan under Bashir. JB hold your horses; South Sudan may not be breath into life anytime soon.

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SeeKer   

Che I understood that after abt the second time he took a roun****ut, but I still maintain that he should try to read the article I posted smile.gif

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Hales   

The negotiation and putting the leverage in place comes after being recognized and have access to funding, economy and the international sources. First things first, that is why interest is so important in making up yourself then move from there. China made itself important yet continue to stand an economic and military threat to the west. Yet, it is a strategic country to be count on.

I dont think the poor guy can get it what he actually wants to say across here. Cmon Somaliland spit it out here. :D

 

and it a great shift of power, change of borders and one more country to be added to IGAD

South Sudan is insignificant, powers like Egypt will not be affected, anyways whats with the assumption in diplomatic relations.

New borders, new countries emerging and the will be a new balance in the power.

Which new countrieS i only see one country.

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Although Im a Somaliland independence supporter, I have to agree with the anarchist smile.gif commentators here, South Sudan doesn't have a formal border so it will go into war with north on this, if not on the diverting oil to Kenya or even on mere independence.

 

South Sudan joined the political arena of the north -something Somaliland won't do obviously- and negotiated with the north - something Somaliland can't do also, because the lack of a legitimate counterpart- , and is yet not clear if they will choose to vote for or against secession.

 

And most importantly South Sudan has the backing of asian powers because of black gold, and western powers because of the former plus their animosity towards the Khartoum arab islamist regime.

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SeeKer   

^You really are something else. Did you read the article you posted?? It clearly shows what IGAD shortcomings are :D

 

It was not a good read by the way but that's a personal opinion.

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^^^ :D:D Caku Oodweyne

 

Oodweyne is tempting us to revisit old debates regarding the lack of Somaliland’s strategic value as a separate state. South Sudan proponents appealed to religious sensibilities of Sudan’s various ethnic blocks, not to mention the resources that lie within that region, which not only promises easy exploitation by the powers that be but also backs proposed independence with economic viability for the eventual state. Kosovo borne out of the break up avalanche that resulted the fall of Communist block, and as such her emergence as a state was politically palatable to the powers that be. Which leaves us with that old question this forum asked fanatics like Oodweyne whose pencil has never broken in propagating a sovereign, Somaliland narrative, and the question is: what does Somaliland offer to those whose recognition it continuously prays to warrant their commitment to prop up a region in a small, failed state?

 

Somaliland status seems to have been decided on the very merits of that question, which is why in the policy priority of the concern circles, Somaliland IS a relatively stable region in a country that continues to have political and security instability. Changing that status is not easy. It will never be easy.

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