Ethiopia U turn on Djibouti agreement presents + Splits war

[General Duke]

 

Addis Ababa: Itoobiya oo dawladda Soomaaliya ugu baaqday in ay dhinac iska dhigaan Heshiiskii Jabuuti, ayna ka hormariyaan hirgalinta Axdigeeda.

6. januar 2009

 

Addis Ababa(AllPuntland)- Wasiirka amuuraha dibada ee dalka Itoobiya oo shalay garoonka Diyaaradaha ka duulayay ayaa sheegay in ay dawladda Faderaalka ee Soomaaliya ku fashilantay qodobadii ugu badnaa ee loo unkay, wuxuuna sheegay in la garab maray Axdiyadii ay ku heshiiyeen Kooxaha Soomaalida ah.

 

Wasiirku wuxuu sheegay in ay dawladda Soomaaliya ay leedahay ciidamo fara badan, kuwasoo ay tababaro siiyaan ciidamada Itoobiya iyo wadamo kale oo dhamaantood caawinayay dawladda Soomaaliya.

 

Mesfin wuxuu sheegay in ay Xukuumada KMG ah ay dhinac uga leexatay Axdiyadii udagsanaa dawladda Faderaalka ee Soomaaliya, ayna dayacday ciidamadii difaaci lahaa Xukuumada Soomaaliya.

 

Wasiirkan wuxuu ku dhaliilay Hogaanka Xukuumadaasi in aysan waxba ka qaban howlaha ka taagan gudaha dalka Soomaaliya, isagoo uga digay Xukuumada Soomaaliya in aysan meelmarin Axdiyadii loo unkay iyo qabashada waxyaabihii loo baahnaa.

 

Xukuumada Addis Ababa ayaa ugu baaqday Xukuumada KMG ah ee Nuur Cadde in ay dhinac iska dhigto qorshaha Shirkii Jabuuti, balse ay usoo jeesato cidii ay wax uga qaban lahayd gudaha dalka Soomaaliya, siiba gobalada ay ka dhacayaan dagaalada loona baahan yahay in maareyn loo helo dagaalada maalin walba ka socda gudaha Soomaaliya.

 

Baaqan ka soo yeeray dawladda Itoobiya ayaa ku soo beegmaya xili uu meel sare gaaray hadalka sheegaya in aysan Xukuumada Addis Ababa ku qanacsaneyn heshiiskii lugu gaaray Magaalada Jabuuti, ee ay saxiixeen rag ka kala tirsanaa dawladda Soomaaliya iyo Mucaaradkeeda qeybo ka mid ah.

 

F. C. Geylan

AllPuntland

[General Duke]

Somalia: Lingering divisions and violent disagreements resurface

6 Jan 6, 2009 - 6:45:23 PM

 

by Yusuf M. Hassan

GaroweOnline.com

 

MOGADISHU, Somalia Jan 6 (Garowe Online) - Somalia's treacherous political landscape is reinventing itself following the surprise resignation of Abdullahi Yusuf as president of the Transitional Federal Government (TFG), after four years in power that fueled the rise of an Islamist phenomenon.

 

On Monday, the official spokesman for the Islamic Courts Union (ICU) heatedly defended a move by ICU fighters who seized three police stations in the capital Mogadishu last week. READ: Islamists take over bases vacated by Ethiopian soldiers

 

"The people who say 'you cannot do this,' we say that we are restoring security at these [Mogadishu] locations," said Abdirahim Isse Addow, the ICU spokesman.

 

His comments were in response to growing criticism from different corners to the ICU's unilateral move to seize control of police stations vacated by Ethiopian soldiers, who have already begun their withdrawal from Mogadishu.

 

It is part of the dreaded mayhem that many people fear will engulf Mogadishu and plunge Somalia deeper into chaos once Ethiopian troops withdraw, with an all-out war over the country's remaining resources among rival Islamist and clan factions.

[General Duke]

Police objection

 

Gen. Abdi Qeybdiid, the TFG national police commander, has denounced the ICU's takeover of police stations in Huriwa, Howlwadaag and Hodan districts. READ: Somalia's police chief denounces Islamist security role

 

His opposition to the ICU move is reflective of a wider and deeper conundrum in a country that has seen little respite from lawlessness and drought for nearly 18 years.

 

The TFG and an ICU-led political entity, the Alliance for the Re-liberation of Somalia (ARS), inked a peace agreement that included the withdrawal of Ethiopian troops and the implementation of a joint security initiative.

 

As part of the process, Qeybdiid was among TFG and ARS officials who formed the core of the Joint Security Committee, which was tasked with establishing a coherent security strategy following Ethiopian pullout under the terms of the Djibouti Agreement.

 

But Qeybdiid's objection – and the ICU's bold move – throws into question if the two sides formalized security arrangements to the minute details, as is necessary in a dangerous city like Mogadishu.

 

Separately, Ali "Dheere" Mohamed, chairman of a local business association, told a Mogadishu-based radio station that the ICU "should remove" its fighters from Hodan and Howlwadaag stations near Bakara Market and allow business leaders to keep their private security.

[General Duke]

Al Shabaab warning

 

Somalia's feared militants, Al Shabaab, have issued direct statements regarding the ICU takeover of police posts.

 

Sheikh Muktar Robow "Abu Mansur," the Al Shabaab spokesman, told a press conference in Bay region Monday that there is "no need" to seize police stations and urged the continuation of the "jihad" against foreign troops.

 

"I warn the Mujahideen against violence among each other, which makes the enemy happy," Abu Mansur said, adding: "There is no need to waste time by capturing police stations."

 

He vowed that Al Shabaab will continue the war against foreign troops on Somali soil, including African Union peacekeepers, while claiming that ICU fighters recently joined Al Shabaab.

 

But Addow, the ICU spokesman, rejected Abu Mansur's claim and warned him about "lies and fabrication," saying: "Did you ask yourselves who was it that captured regions with local administrations [present]?"

 

Political insiders say the latter remark is aimed at Al Shabaab, which seized the regions of Lower Shabelle and Galgadud in recent months. Both regions were under the control of ICU-associated clans.

[General Duke]

Infighting expected

 

Somalia's intricate political troubles have changed over time, at times getting much worse and at times offering surprising bouts of hope in a land – and a people – scarred by war and despair.

 

Old allies and new enemies – or old enemies and new allies – continue to sift through the Horn of Africa country's politics, keeping Somalia locked in a perpetual state of civil war and profiting a war industry in neighboring countries.

 

A new round of fighting is expected to erupt in Mogadishu among rival factions, some re-armed by Ethiopia, in a new scheme to keep Islamist hardliners embroiled in an endless domestic conflict.

 

Already, the new war has emerged with violence reported in erstwhile quiet Galgadud, a region in central Somalia.

 

Various sources have confirmed that Ethiopian-backed clan militias are battling for control of the region against Al Shabaab, fighting under the banner of a Sufi group.

 

Ethiopia's new strategy to use clan militia against a divided and fractured Islamist movement in Somalia will ignite a new war, reopening clan hostilities and denying Somalis another chance at stability.

 

Source: Garowe Online

[Allamagan]

...so Duke, Al shababs are Alshababs and not Al Kebabs huh?

[xiinfaniin]

If this report is any near the truth, Ethiopia's strategy to nullify Jabbuuti deal is failing.

 

==========================================

Xoogaga Al Shabaab oo dib u qabsaday degmooyin ka tirsan gobolada Bay iyo Gedo oo shalay ay galeen ciidamada Itoobiya iyo maleeshiyo Somali ah

 

Wararka naga soo gaaraya gobolada Bay iyo Gedo ee dalka Somalia ayaa waxay sheegayaan in qaar ka mid ah degmooyinka hoos yimaada labadaasi gobol ay dib ugu laabteen xoogaga hubeysan ee Al Shabaab ka dib markii ay xalay ka baxeen ciidamo Itoobiyaan ah iyo maleeshiyo Somali ah oo ay hogaaminayan xildhibaano ka tirsan baarlamanka oo ka soo jeeda beesha *****.

 

Degnmooyinka ay dib ugu laabteen xoogaga Al Shabaab ka dib markii ay ka baxeen ciidamada Itoobiya iyo maleeshiyada ay gelbinayeen ayaa waxaa ka mid ah degmooyinka Garbaharey, Buur dhuubo iyo B/xaawo oo ka tirsan gobolka Gedo iyo degmada Ufurow oo ka tirsan gobolka Bay.

 

Sida warku sheegayo ciidamada Itoobiya ee gelbinayey maleeshiyada Somalida ah ee hogaaminayaan xildhibaano ka tirsan baarlamanka Somalia ayaa ka dhaqaaqay xalay degmooyinka ay dib ugu laabteen maanta xoogaga Al Shabaab, iyagoo ku wajahnaa degmada Baardheere oo saaka waaberigii ay gaareen, iyadoo wararku ay sheegayaan iney uga sii gudbi doonaan magaalo xeebeedka Kismaayo oo ay gacanta ku hayaan xoogaga islaamiyiinta ah oo bilo ka hor xoog uga qabsaday Col Barre Hiiraale iyo maleeshiyadiisa.

[General Duke]

Alamagan Al Shabaab have become a national movement and not like Ahlu **** Wal Jama or the JVA. One can peace with his enemies and today they are not my enemies..

 

Xiin, I think the Djibouti deal is dead, it was meant to get rid of a single individual now thats done there seems to be no need for it.

 

The attack on Kismayu, does not help the Djibouti deal, the re arming of the warlords was not part of the deal.

 

The south seems to be returning to a pre TFG time, and thats not good news.

 

Of all the forces fighting the young Shabaab should be supported and they need like Alamagan stated in an earlier post, work on their PR.

[xiinfaniin]

^^Sadly that seems to be what Ethiopia is aiming at.

 

Ethiopia is desperately trying to establish a foothold in the south before it withdraws teh bulk of its troops. But as it couldn't do it in Xamar, it will be unlikely for them to do it in Gedo or Bay, or Kismayo for that matter.

 

If Jabbuuti arrangement is not honored, Alshabaab will gain new momentum, not the opposite. And that will kill the tfg as we know it.

 

Yesterday Sharif's side has issued this warning . Lets see if good Nur and Madoobe fellow take note.

[General Duke]

Xiin, the TFG is dead as it is now. Al Shabab will not takeover, its too small at this time to adminstrate learge areas. They need to get their fighters out of civilain areas and into the jungle and wait it out the onslaught has started and they should not repeat the mistake, the Ethiopian armour is only strong if you meet it head on.

[Haarun]

I agree with some of the above mentioned points i.e. TFG is dead and the Djibouti peace deal spearheaded by the stray teacher is dead.Now that Al shabab is on the verge of accomplishing its all practical scores,Ethiopia needs to downplay them by creating a diversion,if not an obstacle.The Ahlu whatever wing that is emerging should not be belittled.Eventually the Asmara wing too will be an obstacle to Alshabab's agenda.The only way out of any doubt is the Union of these Wings.

 

Also,Alshabab as we all know,is the most hard core wing our country ever had.If one can support the Mujahideen all over the troubled Islamic world,why not support our own?

 

Also,Sheikh Mansur is correct in his warning,few taken vacant police posts is not even worthy of a tabloid rumor let alone it being the highlight of the moment.

 

Patria o muerte.

[xiinfaniin]

Waryee Duke sidii odogu u tagay ba tfg waa dead baa kaasoo hartay ninyahow .

 

Seriously though, how the two pricipal behave will make or break the tfg. Ethiopia is there to ruin for us, that is a fact, but there was a new momentum when the old man resigned and the jabbuuti deal was accepted by the parliament.

 

They need to reaffirm the jabbuuti agreement. They need to denounce current warlord crowning happening in both galgaduud and gedo. the sooner they do that the better the prospect will be...

 

I agree with you however if the current monueverings are what Ethiopia is embracing as a new strategy, there wont be a tfg to speak of soon.

 

Where does that leave somalia?

[Jacaylbaro]

So somebody has finally seen the Ethiopia's devil actions eh ??

[Jacaylbaro]

who thought Hiiraale will bring Ethiopians this time ?? ,,

[General Duke]

Look adeer Ethiopia is not the issue, the main problem is the division within the Somali’s and once that is addressed we can deal with anyone on our terms. The TFG has failed because of internal issues and the Ethiopians have no clue what they are doing know, the Somali fighters must come with a new strategy, the game has changed and so should they.

 

Oodweyne adeer go back picking up the condoms you speak of from Berbera and get a test adeer.