Ethiopia's grand plan: taking over the Horn, Somali territories first

[Illyria]

Kenyan MPs incl. a Somali MP discuss the issue.

"Kenya is next! The long game of Abiy is an Oromia Kush empire, which includes Asseb [#Eritrea], and stretches from Northern #Somalia to the Tana River in the Oromo-speaking part of #Kenya. Abiy is going to make the Horn of Africa the most unstable region."

 

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An invasion of Somali peninsula in the works.

ETHIOPIA DEPLOYS 8,000 STRONG ARMY IN WARDHEER AND ADDITIONAL HEAVILY ARMED TROOPS IN GALMUDUG AND PUNTLAND SIDE OF THE BORDER

ETHIOPIA EMPHASIZES PREVENTION OF REINFORCEMENTS AS OBJECTIVE #1 FOR PHASE I OF ITS INVASION OF AWDAL AND BUUHOODLE

Ethiopia, for the first time since the war with the Islamic Courts of Somalia, deploys heavily armed troops at all border towns from Galgaduud to Buuhoodle. Just in the last two weeks, as an anonymous Ethiopian security official in Doollo confirmed to Daljir Media, Ethiopia has deployed 8,000 strong army in Wardheer. These troops are armed with tanks, APCs, and heavy military trucks mounted with antiaircraft guns, mainly the Zsu-37 guns.

Reliable individual with access to the movement and planned movement of Ethiopian troops in the days ahead have also confirmed to Daljir that it isn't only Wardheer that Ethiopian troops are on the move, but they are also being deployed at the Galmudug side of the border from Jinbaclay of Uurmudug to Shillaabo.

On the Puntland side of the border, additional troops are heading to Bookh, Gallaadi, and Galxamur.

Security officials in Doollo and individuals with knowledge of Ethiopian tactics and troop movements are telling Daljir that the army is mostly geared towards the border side of SSC-Khatumo, in particular the Buuhoodle area, and other troops have already arrived on the Awdal side of the border.

One security official who has extensive contacts with the Ethiopian army has explained to Daljir what the troop movements from Galmudug to SSC-Khatumo entail. He tells Daljir, "Everyone knows what #Ethiopia wants to do and will do, and Somalia can ignore these troop movements  at their own peril."

We asked him to explain further what that meant, and he said, "Ethiopia will take Awdal with ease and no opposition at all. However, the main battle will be between Somaliland and SSC-Khatumo, and the purpose of these troop movements is twofold. First and foremost, it is to provide support to Somaliland forces on their expected attack of Buuhoodle, Buqdharkayn, and the whole front with #SSC all the way to Oog."

He explained the second part as "closing the Somali border with #Galmudug and #Puntland so no reinforcement my come from either side. This is the first phase of the war, and it is being planned right in front of everyone with no pushback so far from anyone, none from the Federal Government of Somalia and none from the federal member states."

On the expected and some say imminent attack from Somaliland, Daljir reporters in Buuhoodle visited the frontlines and the first line of defense of SSC-Khatumo. SSC-Khatumo military officers have confirmed to Daljir that Somaliland has brought fresh conscripts to Yeyle, Buqdharkayn, Gocondhaale, Xararan and Hagoogane. The officers tell Daljir that they are "on high alert and ready for all expected and unexpected events."

On the Oog and Guumeys frontlines, SSC military officers tell Daljir that Somaliland has vacated some areas, perhaps to strengthen other fronts, and that, in fact, there has been Ethiopian military officers visiting certain #Somaliland positions. However, they tell Daljir that there has been no unusual military movement on this side of the frontlines. "We have our eyes on the Buuhoodle front," one officer told Daljir.

Given all the troop movements information Radio Daljir is receiving from throughout the Doollo region and has also been receiving from #Djibouti to Awdal, for all intents and purposes, it is now beyond any doubt that Ethiopia intends to invade #Somalia and take Somalia's #Saylac coast on the Red Sea by force. In that effort, it is possible that Ethiopia might provide some token support to Somaliland in their failed efforts to bring SSC-Khatumo under Hargeisa.

President @HassanSMohamud has yet to take a single decisive step that may contribute to the defense of #Awdal State or that of SSC-Khatumo.

> Daljir Media

https://twitter.com/radiodaljir/status/1763314592774553609?s=20

 

[Illyria]

Ethiopian military officers in Lughaya. Ethiopia deploys its troops to Somali border with 5,000 in Buhodle area, sighting in Xanan weylood and Boqon goroyo.

[Illyria]

 

[Illyria]

If these are Ethiopian government army, and whom we shall have to face to defend Somali territories, I think we shall fare better than fine, and will not even need al shabaab to join defences.

 

 

 

[Xaaji Xunjuf]

 

[Che -Guevara]

“[Fano] was NOT able to capture Addis Abeba with in the 48 hrs or few days time they bragged about.” ~Field marshal (do NOT laugh) Berhanu Jula, at Adwa victory celebration by regime folks, in Addis Ababa earlier today.

But he threw a serious allegation at Fano, that the Fano is undoing the Army by enticing them to desert in the thousands and send them home.

 

[galbeedi]

Tigray has declared that 250,000 students dropped out of school due to famine. War is raging in Amhara region, Abiy is accused of directing hid squads in Oromia and the whole state structure is shaky,  yet we hear these so called invasions. 

What is going on?. Furthermore, the Somali state isn't moving an inch in terms of national defence. They could arm Awdal militia and people to confront the Ethiopian forces, buy high speed boats to harass the coast and so on.

The premier talks straight and doesn't sugar coat, but HSM is waiting this issue to disappear and keep the separatist in power.

 

 

 

[Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar]

1 hour ago, galbeedi said:

What is going on?. Furthermore, the Somali state isn't moving an inch in terms of national defence. They could arm Awdal militia and people to confront the Ethiopian forces, buy high speed boats to harass the coast and so on.

The premier talks straight and doesn't sugar coat, but HSM is waiting this issue to disappear and keep the separatist in power.

Dastuur cusub aanan meel mareynin isku mashquulinaayaa. No leader Soomaaliya ever have had is weaker than Xasan. I can't even call him madaxweyne - waa guddoomiye gobol. Sida Carabaha camal ayaa madaxweyne iska ahaanee aaminsanyahay if you have the new axdiga qaranka. He thinks his mooryaaan militia xoog ku marsiin doono wax walba.

[Che -Guevara]

TPLF refused to join Abiy's war. They still have 250,000 well-armed combatants. They gave up working with Abiy's admin and are fruitlessly appealing to the AU for the implementation of the Pretoria Agreement. The aid was down almost to nothing and starvation has set in. In essence, the Habesha highlanders are either fighting him or watching him die slowly.

So far, among Somalis, Cagjar refused to commit the Liyu Police. It is only Muse Bixiye who is hoping for Abiy's success.

[Arafaat]

5 hours ago, Che -Guevara said:

“[Fano] was NOT able to capture Addis Abeba with in the 48 hrs or few days time they bragged about.” ~Field marshal (do NOT laugh) Berhanu Jula, at Adwa victory celebration by regime folks, in Addis Ababa earlier today.

But he threw a serious allegation at Fano, that the Fano is undoing the Army by enticing them to desert in the thousands and send them home.

 

It seems that Ethiopia might needs its soldiers closer to home, rather then deploy thousands on Somali borders areas. 

[Xaaji Xunjuf]

No i dont think the Amhara are as battle harded as the Tigrayans who are strong and are the true asxabuul fiil. The  Amhara are not fighters  i doubt really that they can be a major threat to Abiye they so far have not captured a major city. the only thing is they are widespread in Amhara  but the gallas know this the gallas will be using the tigrayans.  OLF  has never won a single battle or war through out the last 70 years not during haile sellasie not during mengistu..  It will be difficult to defeat abiye who shares the same galla lineage as them.The only problem Abiye faces is the Amhara region and it will be difficult for him to resolve but  it is very hard for the fano amhara to conpletly defeat abiye ahmed inside the Amhara region  people forget the gallas are very large in the wollo region of Amhara as well it is not stricktly Amhara  

[Qurac&qansax]

2 hours ago, Arafaat said:

It seems that Ethiopia might needs its soldiers closer to home, rather then deploy thousands on Somali borders areas. 

Exactly, and therefore the MOU between Somalia and Türkiye was un necessary. HSM saw yet another opportunity to steal more.