Jacaylbaro

Nomads
  • Content Count

    44,142
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    1

Everything posted by Jacaylbaro

  1. I know mar hadaad ka hadho you wish inuu soo dego si aad u raacdo ,,, tareenka dambe soo raac sxb ,,,,
  2. loooooooooooooool@surxun ,,, i wonder if she is still alive or what she is doing right now ,, tolow surkii xumaa ma u hagaagay ,,,
  3. I can see you're happy just by seeing your good friend, Faysal ,,,,,
  4. keep your heart beating sxb ,,, they are on their way i guess ,,,
  5. Somalia No country best exemplifies the frequent proxy wars and geopolitical dynamics of Africa as much as Somalia. Switching from the Soviets to the U.S. on several occasion the government collapsed completely in 1991 and afterwards devolving into warlordism with several secessionist states forming in the area. In 2006 a powerful force emerged lead by the Islamic Courts Union with significant ties to the global jihadist network including al-Qaeda. Allegedly the ICU was backed by Eritrea with Ethiopia supporting its opponents, a part of the cold war between Ethiopia and Eritrea since their war over the border region of Badme. Ultimately Ethiopia, backed by the United States, launched an offensive into Somalia pushing back the ICU. Since then, however, the situation has deteriorated. Al-Shebab, the militant wing of the Islamic Courts Union, became more radicalized and most leaders of the ICU had been swept aside following the Ethiopian intervention. Shebab has begun regaining lost territory in Somalia with its forces beginning to encircle Mogadishu and having already gained control of major ports in the Southern part of Somalia like Kismayo. They also have won support from the local populations to some extent by drastically reducing the crime rate in areas they've claimed. At the same time the Ethiopian government has announced plans to pull out of the country at the end of the year which could be followed by withdrawal of the African Union force. With the Western-backed transitional government in dire straits a withdrawal of foreign forces would allow the quick victory of al-Shebab over remaining resistance in Southern Somalia. At this point focus would shift to north and the autonomous state in Puntland along with the pirates in the region. If Islamic force can manage to secure victory against Puntland then their next target will be the secessionist state of Somaliland. In such a scenario the West is likely to recognize Somaliland as an independent state and rush to its aid. This conflict could then become another proxy battle between Eritrea and Ethiopia. At the same time with Ethiopia less engaged in the country they could seek to resolve their conflict with Eritrea by force. Such an operation would likely receive Western support as Eritrea has also made threats to neighbor Djibouti including a brief border conflict. Any scenario where Ethiopia and Eritrea go to war will likely also include a conflict in Djibouti which is likely to bring in France and the United States. In such a scenario Eritrea could leak to foreign powers like Iran or Russia for support, thus casting the conflict as a greater proxy war between outside powers. READ MORE
  6. A&T xataa aammin lagama hayo ,,
  7. Qubuuruhu waa xabashi raac ,,,,
  8. kuwaas waa la sitaa ,,, let's see where they end up then ,,,
  9. looooooooooooooooooooooooooooooool ,,, I was always suspecious ,,,
  10. ........... Xunjuf jecelaa in la amaano ,, lool
  11. We have our own ways to deal with the pirates ,,, not coz we have carriers but there is always another way. Xoog maaha ee waa xeelad ,,,,,,,
  12. Good for you Somali1 ,,, we need such history to be written but you need to meet lots of people like Ali Samatar who is still alive and can give you the whole picture of the war. He was the one leading in general.
  13. Good for you Somali1 ,,, we need such history to be written but you need to meet lots of people like Ali Samatar who is still alive and can give you the whole picture of the war. He was the one leading in general.
  14. Good for you Somali1 ,,, we need such history to be written but you need to meet lots of people like Ali Samatar who is still alive and can give you the whole picture of the war. He was the one leading in general.
  15. Even during the ICU time, it was alshabaab that was leadeing the military part. It is them repeating the same mistake again.
  16. I just love when Xunjuf and Duke are debating ,,, don't know why
  17. I hear the same news in 2006 and they didn't even come to Galkayo ,,,, from there they will be chased but the question is: BY WHO THIS TIME ??
  18. I know you cannot resist such news ... just keep on eye and say after me YES WE HAVE A NAVY.