Duufaan
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Posts posted by Duufaan
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What about Iraq? Iraq is a failed state and same time it is the world fourth oil producer. Iraq will not likely become a fictional state any time soon. It may disintegrate in the future as well. You can not have a state without army that has been the simple abbviois thing for centuries. This example of Iraq isn’t optional for poor Somalis. Somalia must continue the state building process with or without Alshabaab and the national army plays the central role.
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5 hours ago, galbeedi said:I agree. The people of Hiiraan had already sacrifised a lot, yet there is no intelligence about the movements of the Khawaariij. The two truck bombing that took place in early this year in Beledweyne had happened last week almost with the same route and plot with devestation results.
Furthermore, I haven't seen any American led defeat of Khawaariij insurgency other than ISIS which was mostly the sacrifises of the Iraqi people. You need command and control from the army , continued logistical support and also control of the war narrative. This Al-shbaab people had emersed among the elders and others.
5 hours ago, sheekeeye59 said:Only Allah knows how this war against al sheeydaan will end. We already have locals as well as foreign groups with different interests trying to prematurely end the gains made against al sheeydaan in Hiiraan region. It seems authorities in Hiiraan, Hirshabelle and the federal government have no plans in place to make sure this war succeeds. I am hoping the locals can continue the war until the federal government comes up with a better and sustainable plan to achievevictoryagainst al sheeydaan.
The blame game started already. Hassan is trouble already. For this day, Hassan does not have a plan and a victim himself. I am afraid Buulabarde locals can not continue themselves. Even the locals from all Hiiraan are not involved. The fake moments that created by moqdisho media is losing stem. This whole thing could be a game to steal SNA weapons and ammunitions and weaken the SNA in order to establish roadblocks in government controled moqdisho. As I predicted the clan melesia went home already and Hassan didn’t bring back the Ereteria solders. Now the time is running for Hassan and he needs a lot of help.
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On 10/5/2022 at 9:26 PM, baala xoofto said:Russian defences collapsing faster than Ukrainians can fill in given their current strategy.
I remember the CNN reporting on TPLF offensive and they claimed that TPLF reached outside of Adis Ababa. Now it is same story. Russia has an army of 2 million men, 146 million people and budget surpluses.
You are going to be disappointed. Everything points out a Russian win in the end. -
On 9/21/2022 at 10:51 PM, galbeedi said:This is a good move. Al-shbaab or any insurgency can't survive without the support or intinidation of the locals.
Cabsigelin iyo Taageero Beeleed qarsoon waa labada sobobood ee Al-shbaab uga jirto koonfurta.
If locals are empowered to resist with help of SNA a good result could be achieved.
In Iraq, the Americans had created what they called the " Sons Of Iraq" to defeat Al Qeada by arming local clans from Anbar and other Sunni dominated provances which was very successful.
The only issue that HSM government should be very careful is register or make flow up to the small arms given to clans who might use to settle scores or use in nafarious ways for the future.
It could be a good move if all tribes support and participate but you need a long time plan. Hassan made it a HAG plan not even invite other tribes in Galgaduud and Hiiraan. So far HAG business, even Madoobe who was ready for a long time was not invited to join. Second what is the plan when clan fighters go home? Third, the tax collection is still going on in Mogadishu port. He could follow Somaliland's footsteps and make the clan melesia paid army or Liyuu polis as the Somali state. This way the threat of alshabaab will be history. But he is not going to do that. This HAG solidarity is also a realization that HAG tribes do not get the numbers in the south and southwest Somalia and feel threatened by diminishing domination in the south. Hassan is rearming one of the tribes for territorial control basically using a legitimate fight. I hope I am wrong but that is what happening. Rebuilding the national army should be a priority and continue where Farmaajo left.
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On 9/19/2022 at 6:50 AM, Samafal said:Che of 3 months ago would not be spreading AS propaganda but would be tirelessly bombarding us with the immaculate pictures of Gorgor, Waran and danab being paraded on Aden Ade airport. How times changed!!!!
You are still a naïve person but in two years you will be admitting that in fact, it was the good times because Hassan is doing exactly the same thing he did last time. Cali dheeree pointed out one important issue, the roadblocks. He said these tribes are fighting the roadblocks we removed. It is all about roadblocks business forever.
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On 9/12/2022 at 4:15 PM, sheekeeye59 said:This type of propaganda is not helpful. The only place they have a base is Ceelbuur in that region and they are also in the cost area. This whole thing is looting what weaponry and ammunition the Farmaajo government left. This also is a road blocks business fight between the two groups. The idea that two small tribes in Bulloberde and Cadaado were liberated land is fake. Alshabaab tax collectors may leave some areas. That is it.
Moqdisho business people including Hassan Shiekh and Alshabaab leaders have a deal. The trucks with goods that leave moqdisho go nonstop to Kenya and Ethiopia but the Kismaanyo port is sectioned. Tax is paid in Mogadishu port then they have free movement anywhere that is reality.
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30 minutes ago, sheekeeye59 said:The end of Al sheeydaan is near Insha Allah.
It is rather more contrast, sound more Ikraam show. Did you heard anything from the crying mother?
I am guessing the girl is still missing. Hassan can not defeat Alshabaab and will not. Even moqdisho ambassadors understand let alone the Somalia people.
Just give few days the clan mellisia before they go home and Alshabaab is back. It seems some of HAG tribes resisting for complete control of Alshabaab justice. No real plans. He did not even bring back the 5000 men trained in Ereteria.
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15 minutes ago, Xaaji Xunjuf said:Seems there is a duapoly in Kenya luos are just to laangaab to ever become president
jommo Kenyatta kikuyu
daniel arap moi kallenijn
mwai kibaki kikuyu
uhuro Kenyatta kikuyu
William ruto kallenijn
Wa Somalia oo kale u will never see reer may may running for president at least the luo tried but failed five times
America got it is the first Black president 2008. Remember the power is in the hands of Allah
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1 hour ago, sheekeeye59 said:We wait for the dhaanto conference from Baqdad Bob cagjar.
The Afar fought the recent war of Ethiopia and saved Abiya. Now they are the heroes of Ethiopia by helping defeat the Tigray. We predicted the Somalis and Oromo will be losers of the war with TPLF by refusing to side any side actively. And that is what happened. Afar is the winners of that war and they are getting rewards for being the winner side.
The conflict used to be Ciisa vs Canfar fight for centuries and Issa had the upper hand and the support of the Ethiopian government. Things had changed. Ciisa can not or is not willing to bring men for the fight. Geele is not helping politically or militarily. The OG lost 600 men since the conflict started in the Siti region. It is very clear Cagjar does not have enough men to send to these villages. The Oromo will be the next group to try land grabbing.
This is the fault of Hassan's political shift and siding with Egypt and Geele who supports Hassan's policy shift. The road to Diridhaba is now controlled by the Victorious Afar. In other words, the people of the Siti region are the victims of the Nile river fight. Unfortunately, neither Hassan nor Geele cares about these people's misery. They miscalculated and this is the result and more things to come.
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Musavani was a refugee in Sweden. I met him a meeting one time before he was sent back to became Uganda president. He is a man from the church. His example of children from the god and Somalis killing each other comes from his Christian believe. Musavani is very much Hayla Salase Mariam of today East Africa.
He is simply talking advantage of the poor Somalis. In other words he wants the Somalis to ask others money for Amison. He also uses the recorded conversations for domestic politics. He is communicating his people, do you see these poor Somalis, asking money.
Hasan is chasing the money that do not exist. They assumed Farmaajo was sitting with a lot of cash.
Now he is running around begging everyone. -
2 hours ago, baala xoofto said:Care to explain why you have to include Somaliland? When Somaliland is not even in the picture, doesn't want to be in the picture?
On the topic, Abiye Ahmed is desperate. The economic situation in Ethiopia is very dire. Foreign currency is in short supply as Ethiopia's exports come to grinding stop. Just the other day, USAID bailed out by sending Ethiopia $200m worth of Fuel via Djibouti. Because Ethiopia couldn't find the money to purchase the fuel on its own.
Ethiopia is not like the Ethiopia under TPLF. Today's Ethiopia is teetering towards civil war, its economy is almost non-existent. Addis Abeba also doesn't have the political and diplomatic cover from the Western countries that it used to.
So, anyone who is betting on Ethiopia, will get a slap on the face by the reality on the ground.
With regards to HSM, he has a lot of things going for him. First, the International Community no longer has any appetite for the never ending quarrel, specially coming from PL. This is mostly from the experience of the last few years as opposition to Farmaajo's regime.
The second thing going for him is that, he has good relations with key regional states including Kenya, Djibouti and UAE, as well as UK and EU. The US seems to be taking a back seat this time and is not on the front raw as it was at the start of Farmaajo's regime.
I don't think HSM has given up on JL or PL. He just doesn't see them as top priority at this moment. Probably, PL is on focus during the PL election year in 2014.
The only difference between PL , JB and SL is SL claims independent. The flags are different too. Even Jabuuti and Somali galbeed flags have a white star and blue section. I wonder why are you here if you don’t want to be in the picture. Sound crazy Habar masayrsan.
back to topicHassan had great opportunity for his second term but he already messed up and it will get harder for him to maneuver. Abiya had survived and stays the remaining of his term. He has enough resources to deal with weak 6 Somalia governments.
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HSM started the whole thing because he continues with Rooble Baahane Sahan’s policy. First he appointed Mahad Salad who first day went the home Fahad Yasin and clearly sent messages not only old leaders of NISA but countries they were close to like Turkey and Qatar.
And now he not only let free but hired one of Alshabaab top leaders in order to create problems for SW using tribal cards. Remember Abiya was in moqdisho speaking Somali and clearly say his ready to work with Hassan government. Even Farmaajo tried hard to make the two men friends.
Abiya is really weak and the next target of Sahan’s regime change in the horn. He hoped quit Somali front. But Hassan is one of tools Sahan planned to use to remove Abiya.
Now Hassan has domestic plans too. He gave up Jubaland, Puntland and Somaliland but want to control the rest in Moqdisho including SW. + the money. That is the problem. The 5 years Farmaajo was in office a lot things changed and Hassan can not return the clock. Hassan must accept, the era of Shariif Saakin is over and as he accepted Jubaland, he must accept SW regions. SW is not extension of Banadir and HAG is just on of big tribes in these regions in south.Now he just needs to go back what he promised and convince others that he wants stable Somalia. No one care that much about him stealing money but other moves are problematic.
Right now Hassan scares people more than Abiya and he must change the course. He needs to get back what he promised. He should fire both Mahad Salad and Roobow and call meeting with regional leaders. United IC is also watching him too.
Aftel all Abiya is willing to deal Hassan either ways. The poll is Hassan’s side for now. End of day his friendly embassies is with Abiya and cannot afford doing their biding.
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2 hours ago, galbeedi said:Khadaafi,
It is hard to pin point the real thing, but there are two plausible scenarios here.
One is Those who deploy Muslim Khawaareej around the world, got an oppening to stretch the Ethiopian army and eventually force Abiy to make a deal he can't refuse with the TPLF and this al-shbaab incursion could very well achieve it. Abuukar Armaan said that.
The second scenario is the false flag thing.
I saw Jamaal, the SKY TV journalist who produced the latest Al-shbaab video was in Jigjiga last week before Al-shbaab invaded Ethiopia. In this sceanrion both Abiy and Mustafe could score points and try to rebuild American credentials and earn the badly needed dough that Meles used to get.
Personally, I do believe the first scenario to be the logical one.
The EGYPT travel, Mukhtaar Roobow, and the Shbaab invasion could be all related.
With Sahan proposal of peace deal with Alqarxis, I think the first scenario was the plan. Abiya is the next target for removal and an important target more than Farmaajo but Hassan messed up the plan already. The fast defeat of Alqarxis in DDS changed the whole game. Abiya and Cagjar are winners already and this changed the whole outcome. Now they are willing for Abiya to finish his term at least at peace with TPLF on the table. Ethiopia is not a country to be divided but empowered. IMF is also coming to Ethiopia soon. Cagjar was talking about buffer zone, it is gone happen. You will probably see SW, DDS, and Cagjar working together. Maybe Liyuu Police all the way Shabeelada hoose. In the end, Hassan and Somalia will be losers and his IC new friends will give up on him soon.
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Did not Buurmadow say? Alqarxis is a DR Somalia government. This whole thing sucks and the suffering of the people of Somalia will continue. Mahad Salad first and Roobow now and the other side you have Karatey and Alidheere all in Moqdisho. Very dangerous time indeed.
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This is way Somalia need to learn from neighbors. There should be money located on each regions and tax should be collected. All the south regions have difficulty to start from the ground. Specially Hirshabeele and Galmudug. SW and Jubaland has Alshabaab problem. They need to go DDS and learn from them how to set local authorities. Every village they do have 4 to 5 people and than district authorities. Very simple, up to 100 Liyuu police for every district and they provide limited education and health care services. Corruption is very law. Not a lot of money is in hands of the authorities. Money was distributed from the beginning. That is why Farmaajo and Boyle will be missed. Hassan people do not wait to distribute the money and they will get trouble with IMF.
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1 hour ago, Qurac&qansax said:nin yahoow cuqdada iska daa. Somalia have to move out from this Zero Sum mentality, if i dont get what i want i will destroy it.
could say the same thing, for UK, which i think you live there, the entire history of Britain, the leader comes from Protestant Anglo Sexan and White, how many other people live there, where is the Catholic and Celtic, let alone all those immigrant and Blacks. Do you think if Sunak looses, there will be demonstration on the road dhahaya LOOMA DHAMA. No, there would not be, they will be discussing his political failure, his part of the LOCKDOWN Gate, his destruction of Boris Government and So on, no one will be discussing his race.
The US, is the same, all of their 45 presidents, they were all Protestant, Anglo Sexan, White, except Kennedy and Obama, where is the rest. is these people destroying and working with the enemy. As you and your community always does. Do you know why Obama and Kennedy won. Obama unlike, his processors (Black Coccus Presidential Candidates), such Jackson and Alshabero come from the Church services, they were angary, Duriyada, dont want to choose some one sinking the boat, some one who is angary. Obama came with hope, with inclusion, with mixed race, then all their fear went away. They knew they were safe. The boar is not going to sink. It is the same of Kennedy, read his biography, your community will learn a lot from these two gentlemen.
You can even say, the same in our own religion, Abubakar, Omar, Othman, Ali (the four Khulafaa) were all Quraysh, Also, those empire after that, the Mucaawiyeen, Cabaasiyeen and Othmaaniyeen. How many other people live there, where is the rest, where is the Ansaar, who welcomed them to their houses and wife's and so on.
You can say the same even our own federal System, all of Somali Presidents come from H and D block, and deep down, come from, Mareexxxx and MJ and ABGA11L, HABRD1g, Where is the rest.
What you don't see, community are not in the blot paper, but two individual and the people are voting for those two people, depending the situation we are in at that time and despite corruptions, they choose the best person from that cohort. Also majority dictates where things are going or should go, since they have the biggest stake, that is Human nature, i am not necessarily agree with that.
Any puntlandher ah or in that matter from the rest of Somalia, if they subscripted the issue of Sholongo, sadexda CCC baa isku dhiibaya, that person lost me, it shows they are not mature enough to discuss a complicated issue and i don't waste my time with that person. That is my test, and you failed that test.
On the record, i my be against Faroole, Gaas, and Deni political failure but not they from CCC and that is mature discussion we can have it.
inferior complex sindarome is a big issue with your comunity. Look HSM, every where he goes Madaxda kale u sujuudaya, that is in his DNA, he can not change. He grew up thinking he is inferior and now acts as i child who found a jar of a lolly does not know how to re-act, the inner of him took over.
You have a lot to learn. Right now you sound little sick person. You are using some language you do not understand. Stop generalizing your attacks. Don’t hurt yourself instead trying to be smart.
Respect you president. You are misreading him. He is rather trying to be nice to get what he wants which unpresisedent but he is tough man and inferior is wrong word to describe what he is doing. I accused him corrupted and surrounding anarchist.
Samafal has been learning.
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I don’t know how you define progress. You probably live one of western world. At this point you have to understand buildings made of bricks are not development. Infrastructures like ports are counted development although Somalia have enough ports already.
I never had problem people of any region in Somalia. you may see progress at localities but I see Somalia every where suffering. I know some places in putland it doesn’t rain for three years and people there must be suffering.A progress that Putland can claim is maintaining peace and order in place and welcomed many other Somalia from south to safety. Other hand it is time for putland to say goodbye to Sool and Sanaag regions as putland moves to political parties because it doesn’t control these regions and welcome them to join federal states.
We will be peaceful brotherly neighbors and working together building better Somalia for all.
The Vice President could go to Galdogob people and Boosaaso people will get the parliament leader. The president can be rotated as you do know. This will solve all your problems. -
54 minutes ago, Samafal said:Lol! Adigu Faroole building ma haysatid marka iska kharaar. Reer Puntland Xamar waa joogaan waana tagayaan meelkasta oo Somali joogtana khayr iyo wanaag baan u rajaynaynaa Allah cuqdad walaal iyo xaasidnimo nama galiyo sidaada oo kale.
Good luck with you r Putland and the progress you made. Somali people can not afford to maintain the status quo. I am not here to buy old jokes.
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49 minutes ago, Samafal said:Sxb xaqiiq maadan cabirin ee cuqdadaada baa cabirtay! Dad walaalahaaga ah waxay qabsadeen inaad uducayso ma ahee inaad si xumaan ah uga faalooto waliba waxaan jirin aad saadaaliso qof xanuunsan baa laga helaa!! Laakiin xasadki ninkiisa uun buu dhibaa cidkale wax loogama qaadi karo waa xilmad rabaani ah!
This is what you told people who share region with you when they have concern: Fool xumo badnaydaa maxaa cuqdad Lagaa qabaa, meesha kuleyka badan isaga taga oo koonfurtii aad joogi jirteen kunoqda
. I acknowledged the Garacad port success but this the political section of forum and you can not bring pictures of Faroole buildings and call developments and want us to feel you better.
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52 minutes ago, Samafal said:Lol. Habaar meel lafariiso ileen wax kale oo aad samayn kartid majirtee
. Tankale If Garcad takeover Bosaso both are Puntland lands. You are looking for friction between communities that is not happening.
Boowe, xaqiiqda ayaan cabiray. If you read the same old story for your kids, they will get bored in the end. Hoping so much after Farmaajo. Is Hassan better than Farmaajo for your Puntland? Tell us Putland politicians? Right Farool, Deni and Gas. How many other people live in that region, where are their politicians? The political friction between communities is already there my friend. It is time you to be a grown-up man who can recognize that. For me, I have nothing to do with Puntland and historically never had. I am just sharing my opinion about the topic.
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The Garacad port built by local businesses people is the only achievement here. Faroole buildings and old pirates buildings in garoowe are not acheivhment. Empty houses without anything to eat inside is not development. By the way Somali everywhere are buildings houses. Fastest growing city today in Somalia peninsula are Gaarisa and Jigjiga ironically.
In Puntland the SSDF reached a roadblock and they are happy to maintaining the status quo for now but the time will not allowed them to maintain the cast system. Boosaaso is already in edge and when garacad port open it will lose customers to Garacad. Politicaly puntland is unstable inside and will be replaced by Jubaland politically and economically.
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Garaad Jaamac Garaad Cali says it all
in Politics
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Yesterday the SNM folks was the British protected tribes. They occupied 25% of north Somalia. Khaatumo alone 40% by then. Today they occupied about 35% and Khaatumo 30% and the rest Warsangali, Gudabiirsey and Ciise. They have about 150 km border with Ethiopia from Buuhoodle district to Wajaale. Khaatumo has 300Km border with Ethiopia alone. They don’t have border either with Jabuuti or South Somalia. They have 250 Km coast less than what Warsangali has. But they still claim the whole north Somalia. Do not worry about it a united Khaatumo will put them in place. We just going to isolate them 6 months and no body will be able to help them. They will come to their sense.