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macalimuu

Baidhabo: preview of the Second Civil war

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The fierce clashes in Baidoa today are foretaste of the inevitable, already prophesied, second Somali civil war. it just started and all hell will be let loose by all the competing evil forces of Somalia.

 

The opportunistic warlords of kismayo, Merka and Mogadishu (Samata Bixinta group) are in full gear offence and actively pursuing their ambition of dominating and defeating the SRRC faction. Muse Sudi has vowed to capture Jowhar and we are all waiting for the eventful demise of Warlord Mohammed Dhere. His rushed return to Jowhar is an attestation of how petrified the " dummy of Jowhar "is of the Mogadishu camp.

 

It could be said that, by and large, Indha Cadde exposed the vulnerability of Jowhar and Baidabo. The spineless warlord patrons of the fallen and soon to be conquered cities are passively soiling in their pants and crying foul.

 

Their only defiance and defense so far is howling conspiracy theories around the numerous clan oriented media outlets in the country. I did listen few interviews on these latest developments at hornAfrik,Shabelle, Markacadeey and Daljir Radios.( listen to Aden Madoobe's lamentation )

 

Coincidentally, while all these latest rivalry are taking place, president Warlord Yeey and his subdued sidekick, Prime Minister Ghedi, are touring Libya and soliciting Ghadafi for some handouts. Typical of the corrupt selected few! Isn't that what our "elected officials" excel in? Trekking around the world, in search of few pennies to enrich their clique and themselves and continue the misery of their poor somali populace?

 

The SRRC faction seems immobilized and powerless. Who will come to their assistance? Aideed Junior's obsolete militia in Villa Somalia? Sorry to say but we all know that Morgan is now defunct and toothless. Ahead of time, Barre Hiirale and his Juba Alliance have neutralized the Butcher of Hargeisa permanently.

Assistance and backing from Cadde Muse of Puntland is out of the question for he is being challenged in the north by SNM forces? it seems SRRC faction's only hope is in the hands and the mercy of Meles Zenawi's intervention. If it comes to this, the long awaited Ethiopian invasion, then, it will be the end of Somalia as we know it. The country will be fragmented into warring fiefdoms for decades to come and gone will be dreams of ever lasting peace in Somalia.

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Coloow   

Assalamu calaykum,

 

Brothers and sisters in islam

Fellow somalis

 

Let us pray for our people and our nation.

 

The Doofaareey process appears to go the same way the Carta and Adisababa processes went.

 

More bloodshed, more tribalism, the births of new warlords and the polarisation of our community along tribal lines.

 

Any sane "somali" with the will to think and reason freely would neither accept the use of islam by a tribal warlord who never declared jihad on fellow gaalos who rape and rob fellow muslims

 

Nor

 

a president/pm/parliament/ministers whose only merit is the number of people they killed and their tribally based discourse of revenge/power/hatred.

 

We need a new voice, a voice of reasoning, a new movement based on the undiluted solution offered by our faith (islam).

 

At the moment, islam is used as a means by warlords to enhance their tribal objectives . Thugs and murderers combine praying with rape in parts of somalia.

 

No reasonable somali would accept A president elected by warlords, his prime minister who should be curing camels and a shariif turned qaadwade as catalysts of another civil war.

 

From my geeljire perspective, it is Kud ka guur oo qanjo u guur.

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Originally posted by macalimuu:

Muse Sudi has vowed to capture Jowhar and we are all waiting for the eventful demise of Warlord Mohammed Dhere.

Muse Sudi is the true dummy. People from Hobyo have come to his neighborhood (Muqdisho) and have wrestled effective control of the city from him. Now, those same people are aligning theirselves with him so he can attack his fellow kinsman, Mohamed Dhere, for control of Jowhar (as he's tried in the past, and failed). The guy has no political objective, other than be Abdiqassim's bedfellow and loyal servant (much like Indhacade). Funny though: how do you know Jowhar will fall to Muse Sudi?

 

Originally posted by macalimuu:

it seems SRRC faction's only hope is in the hands and the mercy of Meles Zenawi's intervention. If it comes to this, the long awaited Ethiopian invasion, then, it will be the end of Somalia as we know it. The country will be fragmented into warring fiefdoms for decades to come and gone will be dreams of ever lasting peace in Somalia.

"IF" Ethiopia comes the country will be divided into fiefdoms? What has it been divided to into the past 15 years? Was it a single fiefdom? A nation?

 

Your political miscalculations are a mirror-image of Indhacade's. Just because a man won the first battle doesn't mean he'll win the war. According to you, Baydhabo has fallen. Jowhar is next. And probably Galkacyo is after Jowhar, huh. Keep wishing.

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Paragon   

It could be said that, by and large, Indha Cadde exposed the vulnerability of Jowhar and Baidabo.

I am affraid not! This expedient invasion is indeed blunderous; a move towards Indhacade's self-annihilation. The sheikh's ill-adviced decision to capture Baidhabo carries with it the moral justification for Ethiopian intervention.

 

Considering the geographical proximity of Baidhabo to the Ethiopian border, and the consequent enmities that would be emanating from the affected peoples, the sheikh gambled with life and limb; and our only chance of keeping Ethiopians out all together. The saddest of all is the consequences of the conflict upon the locals, who've had their fair share of death and destruction.

 

May Allah defuse these tensions, aamiin.

 

PS: Why should one capture a place that is impossible to hang on to?

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Originally posted by macalimuu:

 

It could be said that, by and large, Indha Cadde exposed the vulnerability of Jowhar and Baidabo. The spineless warlord patrons of the fallen and soon to be conquered cities are passively soiling in their pants and crying foul.................

 

 

........If it comes to this, the long awaited Ethiopian invasion, then, it will be the end of Somalia as we know it. The country will be fragmented into warring fiefdoms for decades to come and
gone will be dreams of ever lasting peace in Somalia.

The lack of the power of positive thinking is unambiguously observable!

 

Time, though, has fortunately not been nice to these gloomy predictions.

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