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Yeey is ammassing arms to attack Mogadishu thanks to Yemen, Ethiopia

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Direct State support for the opposition and the TransitionalFederal Government

 

Yemen

 

20. The Monitoring Group has determined during the current mandate period that arms flows from Yemen to Somalia came not only from criminal groups (to BAM for purchase by the opposition) but also from the Government of Yemen directly to

TFG. Using military aircraft (Antonov 26) to transport arms shipments from Aden,Yemen, to Bossaso, Puntland, in direct State support for TFG and President Abdullahi Yusuf Ahmed, the Yemeni Air Force delivered arms on eight occasions between 2 and 10 July 2005. Details of specific flights are included in annex III.

The Yemeni authorities also provided the following response to Monitoring Group inquiries concerning their support for TFG.

 

“The unstable conditions in Somalia are a direct threat to the security and stability of the Republic of Yemen, as they lead both to insecurity and to largescale migration of Somalis to Yemen, which has considerable adverse consequences.

 

“Over the last decade the Yemeni Government has therefore followed a clear policy aimed at restoring stability in Somalia, ending the civil war there and supporting the central Government.

 

“Since the election of the present Government, Yemen has been pursuing this approach with a view to supporting the legitimate Government of the country. In so doing, Yemen has received full backing from the international community, including the European Union, the African Union and the United States of America.

 

“Accordingly, the Yemeni Government, in response to a direct personal request from the new Somali President, provided the requested aid with a view to strengthening the capacities of the legitimate Government. The aid, which was transported to Bossaso airport on a number of flights, comprised:

 

“–15,000 uniforms for the Somali police;

–Food supplies for 5,000 people;

–5,000 personal weapons.

“The framework within which this aid was provided can be stated as follows:

 

“1. The aid was supplied to and at the request of the legitimate elected Government, which has received international endorsement;

 

“2. Its aim was to enhance the capabilities of the police force and to strengthen security so that the President can move to Mogadishu, the capital, to perform his official duties. This cannot happen unless the armed bands are disarmed in favour of the legitimate Government;

 

“3. The task of disarming those bands and consolidating the grip of the legitimate authority is a sine qua non for combating terrorist hotbeds in Somalia. It isvconsistent with the policies embraced by States all over the world in the fight against terrorism and will ensure that no new Taliban emerges in Somalia.

 

“Reinforcing security and stability in Somalia and strengthening the legitimate Government represent a desideratum both for Yemen and for the international community. Yemen has accordingly taken on this task,notwithstanding the economic burden it entails, with a view to bringing an end to the deteriorated conditions in Somalia. It trusts that the international community will appreciate and duly compensate it for those efforts.â€

 

21. During a conversation with the Monitoring Group arms experts, a well-placed source with intimate knowledge of the affairs of TFG confirmed that PresidentYusuf and the Chief of Staff, General Naji, had negotiated a deal with the Government of Yemen for the delivery of large numbers of arms and a variety of ammunition, including the following: AK-47 and G3 assault rifles; RPG-7 and RPG-2 rocket launchers; 75mm and B-10 anti-tank weapons; 37mm, 14.5mm and 12.7mm anti-aircraft guns; mines and hand grenades; shoulder-fired Strella missiles; and 3 or 4 helicopters with missiles for the express purpose of fighting the Mogadishu dissidents. Also included in the deal were other items of military equipment, such as fatigues. Other Monitoring Group sources confirmed the relevant flights and the arms deliveries.

 

22. Some of the goods listed above were received and unloaded on 5 August by TFG forces located in Waajid, Bakool region, about halfway between Hudur and Baidoa. The weapons — small arms and ammunition — blankets and fatigues were delivered in three N3 lorries and came from Puntland via Ethiopia to Waajid. The Minister of Agriculture, Hassan Mohamed Nuur (Shatiguduud) and the Minister of Justice, Sheik Mohamed Noor (Madobe), among others, shared the arms shipment.

 

About 400 TFG militia members were expected to arrive in Waajid from Mustahil,Ethiopia, receive the supplies and, at an unspecified date, attack opposition forces in Baidoa.

 

Ethiopia

 

23. The Monitoring Group learned that arms shipments were sent from the Government of Ethiopia directly to TFG militia forces in Western Somalia. Upon enquiry by the Monitoring Group, however, the Government of Ethiopia denied providing arms shipments to TFG and sent a formal reply to that effect (see annex VI). The following are examples of information obtained by the Monitoring Group concerning military support in the form of arms and military training supplied to the TFG forces by the Ethiopian Government.

 

24. In preparation for the second battle for control of Baidoa, the TFG forces of Sheik Madobe (Minister of Justice), Shatiguduud (Minister of Agriculture) and others were supplied with a steady flow of arms from Ethiopia. The following chronology of events is indicative of Ethiopian arms support to TFG.

 

25. On 29 April 2005, a meeting took place in Ethiopia between Ethiopian military officials and TFG officials, including the Minister of Justice, the Minister of Planning, Mohamed Dheere, local administration leader in charge of Jowhar,Abdikarim Farah Laqanyo, local administration leader in charge of Beledweyne and the Chief of Staff, General Naji, and others.

 

26. Following that meeting and on 3 May 2005, N3 lorries entered Ethiopia from the Bakool region of Somalia to pick up shipments of arms. On 5 May 2005, the same lorries, transporting arms and foodstuffs, returned to Somalia via the border town of Yeed, Bakool region. On 7 May 2005 the lorries containing the arms arrived at Hudur, the capital city of the Bakool region, and temporarily stored the arms at the Hudur police station.

 

27. On Sunday, 8 May, Sheik Hassan Madobe and Shatiguduud took possession of the arms shipments. The arms consisted of AK-47 assault rifles, RPGs, a variety of ammunition and explosives. The intended recipients were the militias of Madobe,Shatiguduud and other TFG forces in Somalia.

 

28. On Monday, 9 May, the arms were distributed in Hudur among the TFG militias. On Monday evening the militias moved to positions near Waajid, about 90 kilometres north of Baidoa.

 

29. On Tuesday, 10 May, the same militias moved to positions about 45 kilometres north of Baidoa, near Goofgaduud. Also, between 7 and 10 May, the TFG Minister of Planning, Abdirizak Osman Hassan, received a shipment of arms supplied by Ethiopia at Luuq, located north of Baidoa in the Gedo region.

 

30. On 30 May 2005, TFG militia forces of Shatiguduud and Madobe attacked militia forces of the opposition at Baidoa, under the command of Mohamed Ibrahim Habsade. Habsade’s forces defeated the TFG forces and caused them to retreat from the immediate area of Baidoa.

 

31. Following the battle, the Monitoring Group obtained photographs of Ethiopian-supplied ammunition boxes made of wood and physical samples of thick plastic Ethiopian-supplied ammunition pouches; the boxes and the pouches were captured by Habsade’s forces. The following information is printed on the surface of one of the pouches: “200 cartridges 7.62x54, Lot. No.: 13/2000â€. Similar information is also printed on the other pouches. The ammunition boxes contained 14.5mm armour-piercing ammunition for heavy machine guns; in the Somali context, this is the type of heavy machine gun that is typically mounted on technicals.

 

32. Ethiopia also supplied arms to Mohamed Dheere, the warlord in charge of Jowhar (Middle Shabelle) and a TFG ally. Mohamed Dheere had welcomed the publicly expressed intention of TFG to locate the new Government at Jowhar. The Monitoring Group was informed that Mohamed Dheere was supplied with arms from Ethiopia to assist TFG in its possible relocation to Jowhar. For example,during the first two weeks of May 2005, five lorries containing an arms shipment from Ethiopia and destined for Mohamed Dheere travelled to Jowhar via Hudur and Tayeeglow; two technicals escorted the arms shipment.

 

33. The Monitoring Group learned that Hudur was set up by TFG as a militia staging area, supply centre and depot for arms supplied by Ethiopia. For example, in June Mohamed Dheere also received a shipment of arms from Ethiopia, via Hudur.

 

On 17 June 2005, two N3 trailers left Jowhar and travelled to Hudur, arriving on 18 June. One of the N3s continued on to Ethiopia to pick up a shipment of arms.

Ammunition from Sheik Madobe’s Ethiopian-supplied arms stocks was loaded onto the remaining N3, which departed Hudur on the night of 20 June 2005, escorted by two technicals belonging to Sheik Madobe. The convoy travelled to Eel Garas (Bakool region, east of Hudur), where technicals belonging to Mohamed Dheere took over security escort services for the N3. The convoy arrived in Jowhar on 21 June 2005.

34. It is important to note that the Monitoring Group has been repeatedly informed by numerous sources that as a matter of general practice, Ethiopia has typically and historically provided small arms — assault rifles, RPGs, etc. — and ammunition to warlords and allies in Somalia. It has also been reported to the Monitoring Group that the warlords have on occasion also sold or bartered the Ethiopian-supplied weapons at BAM in exchange for more powerful armaments, such as anti-aircraft guns. The flow of weapons from Ethiopia to warlords and then to BAM helps to

explain another source of small arms and ammunition available at BAM. This activity has been noted in previous reports of the Monitoring Group.

 

35. The Monitoring Group has also learned that the Ethiopian military conducted military training for TFG militias from the Puntland, Bakool and Hiraan regions.

The training occurred in at least two locations, the Ethiopia-Somalia border town of Fer Fer Hiraan region, north of Beledweyne) and Waajid (Bakool region).

 

 

--------------

 

54. With the exception of the small TFG enclave of influence that has, at the time of writing, been established in Mohamed Dheere’s area of Jowhar, Middle Shabelle, both sides have developed military-style strategies and plans to extend their respective areas of influence, each desiring to push the line in the sand to a position more in their favour. Accordingly, the Monitoring Group has learned that TFG President Yusuf and General Ahmed Naji, Chief of Staff, have devised a military plan to attack the opposition. They have targeted various geographic locations for military operations, planning to wrest them from the opposition. These locations include Baidoa, Marka and Mogadishu. To carry out their plan, they intend to unite various militias under their control and equip and train them in Fer Fer (Ethiopia) and Waajid (Bakool region). They expect to have a total force of about 20,000.

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Lets bring a bit of balance shall we...Annex 1 of UN Report. Here is a quote that sums up the situation:

 

"The establishment of a viable Government in Somalia continues to be the

greatest threat to and fear of those people (members of the different TFG

institutions, warlords, businessmen, traders, religious fundamentalists and others)that have through years of operating in a lawless territory carved out their own kingdoms, replete with personal political power and ambitions, military-style

muscle in the form of their own militias and, probably most importantly, the

*ongoing* accumulation of PERSONAL WEALTH. A Somali Government would

considerably alter this landscape of PERSONAL KINGDOMS. This threat to vested

interests remains the impetus behind the increasing threat of serious violent

confrontation between TFG and the opposition, which is in reality an alliance of

convenience to PRESERVE vested interests."

 

 

Arms purchases and sales at the Bakaraaha Arms Market[bAM]

 

Individual conducting transactions

 

Type and quantity of arms and date of transaction

Role (supplier/purchaser/seller)

 

Mohamed Qanyare Afrah,

businessman and Minister for

National Security in TFG

 

-Ammunition for Zu-23

-mortar shells

-10 PKM0

-2 DShK, and a variety of

ammunition for belted machine

guns and anti-aircraft guns

such as the Zu-23-2 and

Zu-23-4

 

-Ammunition for mortar and

-100 shells for the B-10

-20 AK-47, ammunition for the

Zu-23, ammunition for mortars

and small arms and feeder belts

for machine guns

 

-50 AK-47, 10 PKM and a

variety of ammunition

 

-40 AK-47 and ammunition for

Zu-23 and mortars

 

-50 AK-47, 4 PKM, ammunition

for small arms, mortar and Zu-

23, magazines for AK-47 and

empty belt feeders for PKM

 

-A variety of ammunition

including 120mm shells

 

-Purchased the arms through his

representatives Abdi Jilaoow

and Ali Yusuf

 

-Purchased the arms

-Purchased the arms

-Purchased the arms

 

through his representatives

Abdi Jilaoow and Ali Yusuf

 

-Purchased the arms

 

-Purchased together with Atto

and Muse Suudi for Habsade

 

-36 S/2005/625

 

-A variety of ammunition

 

-A variety of ammunition

 

-3 PKM

 

-70 AK-47, 10 RPG-2, 4

mortars, 2 DShK and a variety

of ammunition

 

-A variety of ammunition

 

-Ammunition for mortars,

Zu-23, DShK, B-10 and ZP-39

 

-30 AK-47, 7 PKM and 100

RPG-7 grenades

 

 

-1 B-10 and a variety of

ammunition

 

-Ammunition for small and big

arms

 

-Ammunition for small and big

arms

 

-Purchased the arms through his

representatives Abdi Jilaoow

and Ali Yusuf

 

Continued...Annex 1 of UN Report.

 

 

Muse Suudi Yalahow

Minister for Commerce in TFG

 

1 DShK and a variety of

ammunition, mostly for the

Zu-23

 

 

100 120mm shells

 

Ammunition

 

45 AK-47, a variety of

ammunition, ammunition

pouches and belts and feeder

belts for machine guns

 

 

Ammunition, battle clothing and

load-bearing equipment

 

50 AK-47, 10 PKM and a

variety of ammunition

 

A variety of ammunition but

mainly 120mm mortar shells

 

50 AK-47, magazines for AK-

47, ammunition boxes, empty

belt feeders for the PKM, belts

for militiamen and a variety of

ammunition

 

 

A variety of ammunition

 

2 80mm mortars and a variety of

ammunition

 

1 ZP-39

 

A variety of ammunition

including for Zu-23, DShK, ZP-

39, mortars, B-10 and RPG-7

 

 

Osman Hassan Ali “Attoâ€,

Minister for Public Works and

Housing in TFG

 

Ammunition and load-bearing

equipment

 

50 AK-47, 10 PKM and a variety

of ammunition

 

4 120mm mortars and 120 shells

for the 120mm mortar

 

40 AK-47, 10 RPG-2 and

ammunition

 

6 120mm mortars and a variety

of ammunition

 

Aadan Saronsoor, ally of

Habsade

 

2 DShK

 

Sharia Courts

 

Purchased the arms through

Salaad Ilka Weyne

 

44 S/2005/625

60 AK-47, 2 PKM, 10 RPG-7

and a variety of ammunition

 

20 AK-47, 6 PKM, 1 DShK and

some ammunition

 

2 DShK

 

 

Purchased the arms through the

representative of Indohaadde,

Mohamed Hassan

 

Purchased the arms through the

representative of Indohaadde,

Mohamed Hassan

 

Sharia courts 24 PKM and 10 120mm mortars

 

10 RPG-2, 5 RPG-7, 5 PKM

 

14 PKM, 6 RPG-7, 4 80mm

mortars and ammunition for

anti-aircraft gun

 

24 AK-47, 8 PKM, 2 DShK and

ammunition for small arms

 

70 AK-47, 8 PKM and

ammunition for small arms,

RPG-7, DShK and Zu-23

 

14 AK-47, 4 PKM, 8 RPG-2 and

ammunition for small arms,

DShK and RPG-7

 

16 AK-47 and some ammunition

 

1 DShK

 

20 AK-47, 1 DShK and

ammunition

 

12 RPG-2, 1 DShK and a variety

of ammunition

 

Purchased the arms

from Yemen (arms-trading

network) via traders at BAM

Sharia court, south Mogadishu,

purchased the arms

 

Sharia court at Ifka Halane

purchased the arms

 

Sharia court at Ifka Halane and

Shirkole (Circola) (Mogadishu

area) purchased the arms

 

Sharia court at Ifka Halane and

Shirkole (Circola) (Mogadishu

area) purchased the arms

 

Sharia court at Ifka Halane

purchased the arms.

 

Sharia court at Shirkole

(Circola) purchased the arms

 

Sharia court at Warshadda

(Mogadishu area) purchased the

arms.

 

Sharia court at Ifka Halane

purchased the arms

 

Sharia court at Ifka Halane

purchased the arms

 

45 S/2005/625

 

24 AK-47, 4 PKM and a variety

of ammunition

 

Sheik Yusuf Mohamed Said

Indohaadde, warlord/

businessman and governor in

southern Somalia, associated

with Al Itihaad Al-Islaami

2 Zu-23 and a variety of

ammunition

 

1 DShK and ammunition

 

2 mortars and ammunition

 

1 Dhuunshilke, 12 RPG-2 and

ammunition for Zu-23, B-10

and small arms

 

80 pistols and a variety of

ammunition for Zu-23, DShK,

PKM, RPG-7, RPG-2 and

small arms, and load-bearing

equipment

 

60 AK-47, 12 RPG-7, 4

120mm mortars, 1 DShK, 2 B-

10 and a variety of ammunition

 

 

Purchased the arms through his

representative Mohamed

Hassan

 

Purchased the arms through his

representative Mohamed

Hassan

 

43 S/2005/625

55 AK-47, 10 PKM, 16 RPG-7

and a variety of ammunition

 

28 AK-47, 3 120mm mortars,

2 Dhuunshilke, 2 B-10, 11

RPG-2 and a variety of

ammunition

 

Large quantity of ammunition

 

1 Zu-23

 

2 Dhuunshilke, 2 PKM, 1

RPG-2 and ammunition

 

A variety of ammunition

 

4 PKM, 6 RPG-2 and a variety

of ammunition

 

1 Zu-23

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17. The foregoing notwithstanding, arms transactions remained numerous, as

indicated in the statistical increase over transactions documented in the previous

mandate period. The arms were crucially important for opposition plans to protect

itself against TFG forces. The opposition used arms purchased at BAM to fight TFG

in the battle for control of the strategically important town of Baidoa (Bay region).

Both the leadership of the opposition in Mogadishu and Habsade, the member of the

opposition in charge of Baidoa, purchased arms from BAM in apparent anticipation

of the fight for Baidoa. It is significant to note that on 22 May 2005, approximately

one week before the second battle of Baidoa, a very large arms shipment arrived

from Yemen, via the arms-trading networks, at BAM. The shipment consisted of 500

AK-47 assault rifles, 100 PKM machine guns, 120 RPG-2 rocket launchers, 3 Zu-23

anti-aircraft guns, 15 DShK anti-aircraft guns, 12 Dhuunshilke one-barrel antiaircraft

guns, 20 120mm mortars, 6 B-10s and a variety of ammunition. The buyers

included the following: Sheik Yusuf Indohaadde, who on 23 May 2005 bought

28 AK-47s, 3 120mm mortars, 2 Dhuunshilkes, 2 B-10s, 11 RPG-2s and a variety of

ammunition; Muse Suudi, who on 25 May 2005 bought 50 AK-47s, magazines for

AK-47s, ammunition boxes, empty belt feeders for PKMs, belts for militiamen and

a variety of ammunition; Qanyare, who on 25 May 2005 bought 50 AK-47s,

4 PKMs, ammunition for small arms, mortars and Zu-23s, magazines for AK-47s

and empty belt feeders for PKMs; Atto, who on 25 May 2005 bought 4 120mm

mortars and 120 shells for them; and, Habsade who on 26 May 2005 bought 50 AK-

47s and a variety of ammunition, through Indohaadde’s representative at BAM (see

annex I).

 

18. Similarly, learning of TFG plans for a possible move to Jowhar, the opposition

also purchased arms from BAM and moved some militias to positions around

Jowhar. The militias involved in encircling Jowhar included that of Muse Suudi,

who moved his militia to a position about five kilometres south-west of the city.

Sheik Yusuf Indohaadde moved militia members from Baledogle airfield to

positions north-east of Jowhar. Bashir Rage and Abukar Omar Adaan sent 13 of

their most militarily capable technicals to positions located 20 kilometres south-east

of Jowhar. The Monitoring Group noted that during this time, the opposition had

12

S/2005/625

purchased a number of anti-aircraft weapons and ammunition from BAM. The

buyers included the following: Sheik Yusuf Indohaadde, who on 22 April 2005

bought 1 DShK anti-aircraft gun and ammunition for a Zu-23 anti-aircraft gun and

on 25 April 2005 bought DShK Zu-23 ammunition; Mohamed Qanyare, who bought

2 DShKs on 16 April 2005; and Bashir Rage, who bought 1 Zu-23 and ammunition

on 23 April 2005 and 2 DShKs on 15 May 2005

 

Another State[Eritrea] in the region

 

36. The Monitoring Group has been informed that another State in the region

provided support to the opposition and the Oromo National Liberation Front

(ONLF) in the form of arms. That State provided arms to opposition allies including

Sheik Yusuf Indohaadde (Governor of Lower Shabelle), Sheik Hassan Dahir Aweys

(an Al Itihad leader) and others for the purpose of countering support provided to

TFG by Ethiopia.

 

37. Credible sources alleged that from approximately the beginning of February to

the end of the second week of May 2005, that State supplied arms on approximately

eight different occasions to Hassan Dahir Aweys and elements of ONLF that at the

time were located in the Dhusamareeb area of the Galgaduud region. The arms were

16

S/2005/625

transported on aircraft that flew from the State in question to an airfield located in

the Dhusamareeb area.

 

38. Hassan Dahir Aweys had travelled to that central Somalia location to establish

sharia courts and to provide military training to his militia (Al Itihad) or set up

military training programmes. While there he also met with representatives of the

****** Liberation Front (OLF) and ONLF. Some were militia leaders who arrived

in Dhusamareeb by aircraft from the State in question in April 2005. Also, during

the last week of April and the end of the second week of May 2005, approximately

three flights transporting 270 trained and equipped ONLF militia arrived in

Dhusamareeb from that State. Most of the shipments of arms provided during the

first part of the period mentioned above were given to Hassan Dahir Aweys, with

the smaller portion going to ONLF.

 

39. The Monitoring Group also received credible information that the same State

provided another member of the opposition, Sheik Yusuf Indohaadde, with arms by

transporting them to two locations in Middle Shabelle — by aircraft to Baledogle

Airport, near Mogadishu, and by ship to the port of Marka. Both shipments arrived

between 25 March and 10 April 2005. Included among the types of arms in the

shipments were anti-aircraft guns and mines.

 

40. The Monitoring Group noted above that Sheik Indohaadde and other

opposition leaders from Mogadishu had provided arms to Habsade, opposition

leader in charge of Baidoa, for potential use against TFG forces in the fight for

control of that city on 30 May 2005. Subsequent to the battle, the Monitoring Group

obtained two metal ammunition containers and photographs of other ammunition

containers that were alleged by Monitoring Group sources to have been provided by

the State in question.

41. The Monitoring Group has further learned that an opposition leader and TFG

dissident from Mogadishu travelled to that State during the middle of the mandate

period to make arrangements with authorities there to obtain arms shipments. The

State allegedly promised to give arms only to the opposition and in quantities that

equalled what TFG President Yusuf received from other countries.

 

42. The Monitoring Group did not mention the State of the region by name

because at the time of the writing of the present report it had not completed its

investigation. However, the Monitoring Group remained convinced that the

information was of sufficient quality and credibility to merit its inclusion in the

report, but without naming the State. The Monitoring Group also believed that

including the information describing the activities of the State in Somalia is

important for a balanced understanding of the overall picture presented in the

present report. As a final note, the Monitoring Group has been made aware of

historical information previously given to the Security Council by the Panel of

Experts relating to a very similar pattern of activity conducted by the same State in

its involvement in the affairs of Somalia.

17

S/2005/625

III. Analysis of trends and patterns o

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