Suldaanka

Maamulkii Garoowe oo naf-la-caari ah

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Kuwani  waa masaakin dumar ragna  colaad kama dayaan hadal na madayaan.  Wa ummadan ka yaabay indhoadaga. Wali baaq iyo bayaan bay ku jiran. War ama xabbad rida  oo badda hindiya banu idinku dari. Ama  cagadhigta garowedina ilaashada.

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2 minutes ago, Xaaji Xunjuf said:

Kuwani  waa masaakin dumar ragna  colaad kama dayaan hadal na madayaan.  Wa ummadan ka yaabay indhoadaga. Wali baaq iyo bayaan bay ku jiran. War ama xabbad rida  oo badda hindiya banu idinku dari. Ama  cagadhigta garowedina ilaashada.

Waxaan maqli jiray, Waxaad ceebta u taqaan dad ayay camal kooda tahay..

Considering maamulka Garoowe has its roots from SSDF, the so named "Sii-soco, So-soco, Dumar u Faan", this TV strategy is just an extension of that.

Meesha waa in la tusa dumarka inay wali noolyihiin oo hadla'yaan. :D 

 

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War beesha budhcadbadeedka   wa  dad hadal kasamaysan. Reer ka jilicsan oo hadana ka faan badan ilaahay ba ma abuurin.  Balwataase hay is dhaqaajiyaa. Faroole  cabdi cawar tuute muuse.  Cabdilahi tigray.  They don't known what awaits them.  Yaa u sheega gsrowe ayaa inyar loo jira.

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It is either two.

1. Waa saad sheegteene oo ah  in Puntland afka keliya  ka noolyihiin

2.Diyaar garoow caadi ahayn, dadkicin iyo Weerar aan caadi ahayn in soo wadaan oo SL loo yaabo, iyagoo dadkii si kicinaya!

Kan danbe baan u badin, waa eegnaa! hadii kale Soomaalidu waxay ku maahmaahdaa "Wayeel aadan wax tareeynin injir lagama qabto", macnaha qof aadan wax tareeyn waxba dhibkiisa ha ka hadlin.

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1 hour ago, maakhiri1 said:

It is either two.

1. Waa saad sheegteene oo ah  in Puntland afka keliya  ka noolyihiin

2.Diyaar garoow caadi ahayn, dadkicin iyo Weerar aan caadi ahayn in soo wadaan oo SL loo yaabo, iyagoo dadkii si kicinaya!

Kan danbe baan u badin, waa eegnaa! hadii kale Soomaalidu waxay ku maahmaahdaa "Wayeel aadan wax tareeynin injir lagama qabto", macnaha qof aadan wax tareeyn waxba dhibkiisa ha ka hadlin.

Maakhiri, 

If history is any guide, the first option is the most likely scenario.  

We all remember VP Camay's remarks in the leaked audio that they were planning Dagaalkii-Qarniga. All their effort was thwarted so easily by Somaliland army without even breaking sweat. And we are talking about a subset of the Somaliland army which are stationed in the new outpost of Tukaraq. The bulk of the army is not even in the front lines. 

Garoowe is looking for a face saving win back of Tukaraq but that is not going to happen. 

Somaliland is consolidating its gains and is opting for cease fire, because a cease fire will be so damaging to Garoowe, politically. Somaliland is got the upper hand both diplomatically, militarily and eventually when dust settles, politically. It is dejavu of 2007. 

These women and kids on the street will take their 5 minutes of fame but will be a distant memory soon.

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Samafal   

I can see Suldaan and his Mr Booto friend a.k.a Xaaji Xunduf are getting restless. Puntland has already won the diplomatic war when the international community and IGAD told SNM to vacate Tukaraq but they refused. Now Puntland is winning the hearts and minds of Reer SSC so much so today masses are holding Puntland flag high in Laascaanood in broad daylight something unthinkable few months ago. For the first time in ten years Laaska is on the balance and it is just a matter of when and not if to fall.

And those getting impatient, remember December 2002 when Riyaale the SNM leader visited Lasanod for the first time and broke unwritten agreement of respective Puntland/Somaliland not to visit the town as it was shared town? Abdullahi Yusuf the then puntland presidend sent his army within hours and Riyale was chased out. After few hours of skirmishes Puntland took over the town and Riyale went running to Hargaisa.

It took SNM to regroup three years, and the first real resistance happened in Oog 120 km away Northof Lasanod. By then Abdullahi Yusuf became TFG president and withdrew 4000 soldiers from frontlines to Mogadishu. SNM took advantage of these and attacked Puntland positions. Puntland short on men and weapons withdrew tactically to Adhicadeye and resisted the SNM. It took another 3 years in 2007 for them to capture Lasanod and even then with the help of Xaabsade's militia.

History is repeating itself today.  As they started the Riyale war, they have now started Tukaraq war. And I am afraid this war will be bloody and could even go on for years. Puntland policy was always that SSC will be solved through negotiation and not the barrel of the gun. Now it is all change. SNM mistook the Puntland policy for weakness and have been on the offence since they took over Lasanod. Now it seems, Puntland lost patience and determined as never before to teach SNM a lesson. We will see where it all ends and who will have the upper hand. Allah waxaanka baryaynaa xal aan dagaal ahayn Inuu noo keeno.

 

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1 hour ago, Samafal said:

I can see Suldaan and his Mr Booto friend a.k.a Xaaji Xunduf are getting restless. Puntland has already won the diplomatic war when the international community and IGAD told SNM to vacate Tukaraq but they refused. Now Puntland is winning the hearts and minds of Reer SSC so much so today masses are holding Puntland flag high in Laascaanood in broad daylight something unthinkable few months ago. For the first time in ten years Laaska is on the balance and it is just a matter of when and not if to fall.

And those getting impatient, remember December 2002 when Riyaale the SNM leader visited Lasanod for the first time and broke unwritten agreement of respective Puntland/Somaliland not to visit the town as it was shared town? Abdullahi Yusuf the then puntland presidend sent his army within hours and Riyale was chased out. After few hours of skirmishes Puntland took over the town and Riyale went running to Hargaisa.

It took SNM to regroup three years, and the first real resistance happened in Oog 120 km away Northof Lasanod. By then Abdullahi Yusuf became TFG president and withdrew 4000 soldiers from frontlines to Mogadishu. SNM took advantage of these and attacked Puntland positions. Puntland short on men and weapons withdrew tactically to Adhicadeye and resisted the SNM. It took another 3 years in 2007 for them to capture Lasanod and even then with the help of Xaabsade's militia.

History is repeating itself today.  As they started the Riyale war, they have now started Tukaraq war. And I am afraid this war will be bloody and could even go on for years. Puntland policy was always that SSC will be solved through negotiation and not the barrel of the gun. Now it is all change. SNM mistook the Puntland policy for weakness and have been on the offence since they took over Lasanod. Now it seems, Puntland lost patience and determined as never before to teach SNM a lesson. We will see where it all ends and who will have the upper hand. Allah waxaanka baryaynaa xal aan dagaal ahayn Inuu noo keeno.

 

The pirates have been making threats they have attacked twice and The Somaliland army whiped the floor with your soldiers. During The holy months  SNM have never been defeated in any battle ever whether against general afweyne. Or your kind. Cabdi cawar Is clueless elections are coming reer bosaso want the seat it's their turn for the hagbad. Cimri uma hadhin cabdi cawar. even galaydh spoke today and said the the pirate fitno needs to be removed from eastern sool. We are almost at the border half of garowe will be annexed soon and the Somaliland  flag will be raised.And the pirates only card Will be beesha calaamka help keith help  Ethiopia help but no one will come and rescue you

 

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Samafal   
2 hours ago, Xaaji Xunjuf said:

The pirates have been making threats they have attacked twice and The Somaliland army whiped the floor with your soldiers. During The holy months  SNM have never been defeated in any battle ever whether against general afweyne. Or your kind. Cabdi cawar Is clueless elections are coming reer bosaso want the seat it's their turn for the hagbad. Cimri uma hadhin cabdi cawar. even galaydh spoke today and said the the pirate fitno needs to be removed from eastern sool. We are almost at the border half of garowe will be annexed soon and the Somaliland  flag will be raised.And the pirates only card Will be beesha calaamka help keith help  Ethiopia help but no one will come and rescue you

 

Xaaji Xunduf who has been complaining to the international communities in the last few weeks? You phantom foreign minster cried other day that the international communities to interfere the war. He also said few days ago that SNM is facing a  war that they have not seen its magnitude before. All in all, it seems SNM want to stop this war because it has backfired on Muse Ooyaaye. For the first time in years SNM is digging trenches in and around Lasanod for fear of losing it. Things are getting tough for the phantom enclave.

Muse Ooyaaye has made wrong calculations. He wanted to turn this war one which is between the TFG and SNM so that the international communities interfere and bring Farmajo to sit with Muse and restart negotiations. The international communities including IGAD have largely ignored the separstists ploy. That why the Baashe other day blasted on IGAD for ignoring them. Sxb marka I know you are saving a face with empty bravado but this guy Muse Ooyaaye is a failure.

About Abdiwali, I tell you what he is least hardliner of all the presidential candidates and if he does not come back, it will most likeky be Morgan, which will be a whole new ball game.

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Like Georgia had to accept the lost of Crimea peninsula, Garowe has to accept this. Otherwise, they will accept it after they get beaten up again and again.

Therefore, wise-heads in Garowe must take the ceasefire offer seriously and spare their sons from wrath of the Somaliland war-machine. :D 

The least bloodshed before Somaliland reaches its borders, the better. 

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Ifiye   

Eid Mubarak everyone.  Correction.  Ukraine is the country that lost Crimea to Russia not tiny Georgia.

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The fail of the separatists in regards to the IC is that  they are to convince IC  about  borders of country, at least within international legal framework, they are part of.  There's their major obstacle and the IC has no intention of endorsing secessionist claims. 

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Here is VP Camay oo sheegaya siyaasadda Maamulka Garoowe ka leeyahay dumarka iyo caruur. Laakin sidu Camay sheegay, waji gabax kala kulmeen beesha Caalamka.

Maamulka Garoowe is getting frustrated by the day as they are running out of options. 

 

 

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Somaliland National TV takes a dig at Garoowe's attempt to censor it from its citizens. Why would maamulka Garoowe go to such extra length? Truth hurts and folks from that region are tuning to get a doze of truth that their maamul is not providing. 

 

 

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