Arafaat

Will the Red Sea deal be the ignition for a regional wide war in the Horn of Africa?

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Arafaat   

As we are witnessing the latest development of the Ethiopian-Somaliland Red Sea deal the risks of, exacerbating existing regional tensions and the potential ignition of a regional wide conflict in the Horn of Africa, have significantly increased. 

Ever since the Somali-Ethiopian war of 1977, conflicts in the region have been largely contained within the boundaries of countries in the Horn of Africa. But now for the first time in half a century we are seeking significant risk and possibility of a regional wide conflict in the region that could engulf all the countries in the Horn in a devastating war beyond National borders. 

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Illyria   

Eritrea, Somalia iyo Egypt waxay wada galeen heshiis lagu dhisaayo ciidamo isku dhaf ah oo ilaaliya nabada bada cas ( Red Sea), ciidamadaas oo yeelan doono hal hogaan ( command center). Waxaan halkaan ugu mahadcelinayaa President of Eritrea Isaias Afwerki, Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah al-Sisi iyo gaar ahaan President of Somalia Hassan Sheikh Mohmoud. Nabad iyo Amaan ( Peace and Security) Wa bilaahi towfiiq Sheiknor Abucar Qassim

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https://twitter.com/SheiknorQassim/status/1746854300515451229?s=20

 

 

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2 hours ago, Arafaat said:

As we are witnessing the latest development of the Ethiopian-Somaliland Red Sea deal the risks of, exacerbating existing regional tensions and the potential ignition of a regional wide conflict in the Horn of Africa, have significantly increased. 

Ever since the Somali-Ethiopian war of 1977, conflicts in the region have been largely contained within the boundaries of countries in the Horn of Africa. But now for the first time in half a century we are seeking significant risk and possibility of a regional wide conflict in the region that could engulf all the countries in the Horn in a devastating war beyond National borders. 

mala waxa fiican in mar kaliya la kala adkaado marka wala kala hadhi

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Duufaan   
AMP.CNN.COM

The border between Egypt and Gaza must be closed to stop the flow of ‘military equipment and other deadly weapons’, the Israeli Prime Minister...

This may have something to do as well. Putting pressure on Egypt to accept a deal in gaza. + accepting Gazans in Sina peninsula. 
The devil in the house.This whole thing is bigger than Ethiopia navy in Somalia sea. Abiya  knows something we don’t know for now. He may finally accepted the Ethiopian role of facilitating.

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Duufaan,

Abiy knows nothing. If he did, he wouldn't be crippling Ethiopia from within. He barely controls from the two largest regions. A war with Somalis might finish him off.

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Duufaan   
20 minutes ago, Che -Guevara said:

South Sudan and Egypt signed a military cooperation, a possible Egyptian base near the Ethiopia border.

Egypt is bankrupt and Alsisi is not reliable.  Both countries rely on IMF loans. Ethiopia is receiving new loans from the IMF to buy its debt. That means Abiya and his relationship with West improving.

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