galbeedi

UAE is waging a proxy war in Somalia with help of others.

Recommended Posts

galbeedi   

 

In late December, mainly democratic and elected governments of the leading Muslim nations  met in Kuala Lumpur , Malaysia. The idea begun when the prime minister of Pakistan Imran Khan, Mahathir Mohamed of Malaysia and Recep  T. Erdogan of Turkey met at the sidelines of the UN general assembly in New York. THe idea was to address the huge problems the Muslim nations and people are facing today. How to lift the population from poverty and increase cooperation. 

 

Pakistan, Malaysia, Turkey , Indonesia and QAtar signed on and Iran was also invited. With 250 million INdonesians, combined with 200 million Pakistanis, 80 million Turks and 70 million Iranians, you got 600 million people within Asia and Europe. THey could easily create a huge trading block and political grouping that could resolve many of the chronic issues facing the Muslim world. Over 90% of people dying in conflicts today are MUslims. So far no major efforts had been implemented to lift that fast majority of the people from poverty.  Infrastructure building , whether it is housing,  roads, electric grid and global trade had lifted hundreds of millions of Chinese out of poverty and made them an economic power. 

 

This initiative was supposed to create a new common front to tackle both economic and political issues facing these nations and find solutions. The Saudis and UAE felt threatened by these initiatives and begun to abort the summit. The Saudis fear that the new initiative might sideline the bogus outfit called Organization of Islamic Conference (OIC) based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Just like the toothless Arab league based in Cairo, this one doesn't have any mechanism to promote peace, trade or conflict resolutions. The Arab league today is just gathering of despots and feudal monarchs, and must be disbanded. Since MUslim unity, democracy and representative government is a great threat to this feudal monarchs, they openly waged war.

 

Just a week before the summit they told  Imar Khan and asked him to withdraw. He went to Riyadh and pleaded with Saudis to let the conference happen and gave them assurances that this summitt is not a new grouping or threat to their rule. THe feudal despots gave him an ultimatum . They told him they will expel 4 million Pakistani workers from their country and replace them with Bangladeshi workers, and they and the UAE will withdraw the billions they deposited in Pakistani central banks to prop up their currency. Imran KHan called Mahathir, apologise and told him the threat of the gulf which might endanger his economy.

 

Unfortunately, Erdogan while excusing the difficulty Pakistan faced, also bragged about how poor and needy Somalia stood up to the gulf threat and decided to stay  neutral of the rich gulf boys manufactured conflict in 2018. He said, " they were desperate and needed all kinds of help but stood their ground". Well, that speech might have made Somalia as proud and free people among the Arab media and the MUslim world, but it pushed the the gulf butchers to take action against the misbehaving Somalia. THey thought that if 200 million strong and nuclear Pakistan was forced to back down, certainly these poor nomads might change their mind. 

 

 As Farmaajo visited Saudi Arabia in his early days after his elections, he said, the Saudis had given hom $50 million, but he also mentioned that the king said it up to him and they were willing to offer billions if he supposedly played ball.  According to influential Turkish columnist, there was a meeting between a UAE delegation and Somali government last week to downgrade ties with Turkey and start a new beginning  with Somalia. Somalis, as expected refused to downgrade the relationship with Turkey.  It is very strange that the Somali government keeps courting the  Emirates secretly while publicly showing their deep attachment to Turkey.  I have no idea whether it is the prime minister who want to keep these secret channels with UAE open or the president. I suspect Khayre might  be the guy leading this.

 

 

Personally , I do not buy about  Al-shabaab's admission of the bombs two full days after the fact. The issue isn't about whether Al-shabaab did it or not. Al-shabaab is well connected to criminal cartels and hitmen in Mogadishu. The latest intelligence report indicate the truck didn't even travel the normal highway leading to the checkpoint, but used a secondary road to interject himself to checkpoint to target  Turkish engineers  and its security convoy that approached the checkpoint. Even before Turkey started building the military base, and their efforts were concentrated on humanitarian help, these killers targeted them. Why would Al-shabaab target those building hospitals and schools?. I do not give any weight to the so called  law IQ Sheiks like Sheikh Cali Dheere who usually ordered to read statements. Even the BBC somali service is propagating about Al-shabaab sending condolences. 

 

THese operations are probably waged by secondary intelligence units deployed by UAE to wage a proxy war against Turkey in Somalia. THey are helping Kurds to dismember Syria and target Turkey at the same time. THey oppose Turkey keeping Syria united by settling Syrian refugees in their towns. The proxy war will continue unless two outcomes are reached. One is to install military Junta style leaders like Sisi of  Egypt, Haftar of Libya and keep Assad in  Syria. The second option is for the chaos to continue. In fact, the chaos theory is the main policy of the Pentagon which was used against Pakistan and Afghanistan. By  imposing a warlord and dictator in Libya, they can steal the resources without accountability. 

 

The UAE can not achieve the first goal of installing a dictator in Somalia. Even the the second theory of the chaos can not be achieved without the assistance of foreign powers and neighboring countries. The British government is helping the UAE on the diplomatic front unless Somalia captulates and joins the camp of despots. President Farmaajo made a great progress toward minimizing the influence of the UN for the last few years, but now it seems they are hell bent on weakening him just a year before the election. The UK government is blocking all  Somalia efforts to lift the arms embargo at the UN security council on behalf of Kenya and UAE. How can a nation defend itself if it doesn't have any real weapons. The national security adviser of the president Cabdisaciid Muuse argued the other day that, " Somalia doesn't need arms embargo lifts after it becomes peaceful, it needs arms now". Actually , you might only need one single veto wielding country to object. Since the question at the security council is, do we have to renew the embargo or not?, all you need is China, Russia or USA to say no, we don't have to.

 

The chaos theory will not work without weapons been flooded to Somalia by neighboring countries. THe foreign policy of every Somali government should be two main parallel issues. Lifting the embargo and the withdrawal of foreign forces. THere is no Al-shabaab standing army to invade and occupy Mogadishu today. Thousands of Amisom troops are sitting inside bases  without any offensive duties. Our main bases have been occupied by Amisom and others. Arms embargo could be breached easily if real efforts are taken. The UN security council is just a toothless organization that orders around only those who are weak or willing participants. In libya, the arms embargo had been breached openly by everyone. In December 2 2019, they issued statement calling, "on all countries on Monday to implement an arms embargo on Libya and to stay out of the conflict after U.N. sanctions monitors accused Jordan, the United Arab Emirates and Turkey of repeated violations."

 

We need our Balidoogle air base and bring in weapons. You can not stop Al-shabaab , criminal cartels and foreign intelligence saboteurs without limiting the monemvets of foreign armies; the movements of money and the movements of Ethiopian troops in the border regions. Al-shabaab can not wage war if their arms are cut off. THeir main sources of weapons is Amisom and Ethiopia. They might buy a gun from hungry soldier but they could not get heavy weapons or huge stockpiles to fight for months.  THe Libyan Government of National Accord (GNA) doesn't have a full functioning airport without military threat yet, it is fighting and resisting a warlords awash with money and weapons. THe Somali government of today doesn't have any direct military threat to her existence. Yet, A Halane compound resident told me last week that without Amisom the Somali government could not exist, and every sensitive are including Villa-Somalia is protected by them. . I asked him why not use your own Somali soldiers? , Late president Abdilahi Yusuf used his own Somali boys for protection?. He said Al-shabaab would infiltrate and kill the leadership. 

The movements of money will  keep feeding  Al-shabaab unless business oligarchs in Mogadishu are stopped completely. The rich relecomes can not even cut telephone lines in Al-shabaab ruled town let alone Mogadishu. The government should get satellite phones and walkie talkies with low frequencies while conducting operations. Cut the internet and telephone for weeks unless we achieve huge successes against the sleeper cells. 

This town is feeling comfortable while people are dying in large numbers. Last count shows 50 or so embassies in a war torn country. What do they achieve living in Nairobi and visiting trailer  homes inside the airport. Everyone is traveling for money and false projects including the prime minister. Last time he spend 50 days in central Somalia to create Galmudug state that no one is interested. THey could not subdue a Sufi group looking more cash than an administration. He is still there while people are buried in Mogadishu by hundred. I want everyone in this town to be uncomfortable. I want the foreigners and false projects pushers to leave the town. Introduce curfews from dawn to dusk. 

Unless the Proxy war is understood and confronted expect the chaos to continue.

 

 

 

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Oodweyne,

Great to see you back in the SOL Republic. Hopefully in good health and happy.

Me thinks Galbeedi is conflicted. He missed the main thing in politics is not what your best wishes are, but what is possible to do/accomplish towards your best wishes. One week is fighting regions, another week Al Shabab, another week Ethiopia or Kenya then another week some region....

Example: There was a project that Farmaajo should have accomplished 6 months ago by the latest. Provide the Turkish with 20,000 for army training in Somalia and 2000 for training in both Turkey and Somalia for special operations or rapid deployable force. Except the first batch in both cases nothing was done. Do you know why? Abiy and Afwerki told Farmaajo that Turkish trained sodiers will not be loyal to him in his fight with regions or Mogadishu. So Abiy and Afwerki told him they will train for him with of course UAE (the boss for both of them). The project is now dead and Abiy is telling him to use Ethiopian forces which will be loyal(foreigners) and cheaper.

I am sure galbeedi agrees with the above, yet would not give up on Farmaajo and co.

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

UAE is one country where the saying:

People living in glass houses should not be first to throw stones

perfectly applies and they know it.

When the Houthi sent couple of drones to UAE just for demonstration, that did the job.


Being at the lap of Abiy and Afwerki yet wanting to confront UAE is pointless and nobody will buy that. Abiy/Afwerki are themselves at the lap of UAE/Saudi.

In this case Djibouti and North Somalis all parts have acted with self respect.

They never jumped and danced with UAE or against UAE with Qatar. Heck..they never even jumped with America or China.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.