Che -Guevara

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Posts posted by Che -Guevara

  1. On 9/25/2023 at 11:00 AM, Arafaat said:

    I don’t think it’s the way to become a functioning state, expulsion of all sorts of groups from your territory is a one way ticket to becoming a Balkanised state involved in constant ethnic turmoil and conflict. Look at Kosovo and Serbia still engaged in conflict, even 20 years after separation. Also we are Africans next to tribes we have clans, surely the risk of inter-Oromo clan tensions for dominance might ignite once the devil of division, expulsion and entitlement has been let loose. 

    It is getting hard to imagine any solution that won't cause serious bloodshed. Abiy and his minions are now talking about annexing Eritrea. Mind you, they are losing hundreds of men in Amhara on a constant basis. They are betting on an almost endless supply of young men.

  2. How did it go so wrong in 9 months? I remember Galbeedi saying Sool will be a frozen conflict.

    There are several apparent things now:

    GX lacks sophisticated leaders. This is unfortunate considering this community has produced so many in the past. 

    Jeegaanta will take the path that will help keep their ill-gotten riches as stated by Galbeedi.

    Geelle and HSM bet on the wrong horse and are recalibrating their moves. Puntland has became a persistent annoyance that won't roll over.

    Sool surprised everyone, even military leadership to be honest. The attack on Maraaga and Goocajade was supposed to last weeks and produce many casualties on either side. Despite all the faano after SL's defeat, the commanders expected a long battle.

    Reer Awdal were astonished at the illusion of military might and lack of political competency in Somaliland. They now have decided to determine their own future within Somalia.

    Muse is amassing militias in Oog, but mistrust is growing considering the persistent conflict in Ceelweyn and the new conflict in Cali Saahid.

    The Garaads have also kept their word. They have no desire to march into another's clan territory. They are settling for something akin to Galkacayo where the agreement between Aidid and Abdullahi held for decades, not ideal but it ensured peace apart some skirmishes every now and then.

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  3. 2 hours ago, Arafaat said:

    As usual one is barking up the wrong tree.

    I don’t think Somaliland is necessary wrong for seeing Museveni as a potential mediator able to facilitate diplomatic talks, as he is the most senior of African leaders and nestor of Statesman. And seeking solutions closer to the region, is much better instead of far away countries like Norway, Sweden or Switzerland. 

    However, before approaching Museveni and other leaders and countries from the region, Somaliland if it’s really serieus about talks with Somalia to resolve things, should be first sending envoys(Ergo) to Mogadishu, Garowe, Baidoa, Kismayo, Beletweyn, Adado and to wherever Somalia’s political leaders concave, and try to listen, understand, build relations and convince their views and arguments to those that are able to influence Somalia’s position. 

    And only then if and when all efforts and means have been exhausted to directly resolve things, think of approaching those closest in the region.And we are far away from this point, as non of their officials have set foot in Mogadishu or really made effort to listen to those they want to convince. So not only is one barking up the wrong tree, but also putting the car before the horse. Lastly, it’s not the first time the Ugandan President points Somali’s to their delusions and tells it like it’s. 





    No one is interested in reconciling Somalis. That is bad for business when it comes to a lot of countries.

    This was only to rile up one group of Somalis and excite others.

  4. 1 minute ago, Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar said:

    Marqaanka mey ka soo baxday oo Musefeni taariikhdiisa ma taqaano. He always stood for Soomaalida iyo midnimadooda. Cali Mahdi iyo Caydiid heshiisiyo Xamar u tagay in 1992. Xataa ciidamadiisa daacad ka ahayd geenta Soomaaliya la geynaayo in the beginning in 2007, markee dhargeen mashruuc isku badalay.

    I have seen an article she wrote regarding Las Anod. She is going through the denial process.