Gabbal

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Posts posted by Gabbal

  8. Posted

    No, they are multi-tribal who have shown abject respect for the legitimacy of the Somali government. The era of factions is over. Armed forces from henceforth will work to secure an environment where the Somali government has total legitimacy and respect.

  10. Posted

    Jacpher-

     

    I have always found it odd this attempt to form a permanent administration for a land in transition. Most of Lower Jubba is Al Shabaab-held, so is all of Middle Jubba, and the entire southern third of Gedo. Why the rush when priority should dictate A, B, before C?

     

    Between Garbahaaray and the Indian Ocean, only Afmadoow and Dhooblay are Al Shabaab-free and only because of Kenyan garrison inside the town and Shabaab infestation just outside of town.

     

    The entire territory is in transition. These points are quite relevant and I think they will reflect a large part of the outcome.

  11. Posted

    Oodweyne-

     

    I don't know why Xiin is trying to "otherize" these items.

     

    Actually when I first heard about it I thought Gedo Governor Mohamed Abdi Kalil and his Garbahaaray Coalition wrote them. To my knowledge, he was the first and only entity to publicly state and reiterate these views before the PM unfolded them.

     

    Here is Kalil on VOA saying the land must be totally freed before such conference and it must be government-led:

     

    Mar Kaliil wax laga weydiiyay suurtagal nimada maamul loo dhan yahay oo loo sameeyo gobolada Jubbooyinka ayaa waxuu ku jawaabay “anaga mowqifka yaga ku wajahan maamul u sameynta gobolada Jubbooyinka wax qarsoon ma ahan oo horaan marar badan u sheegnay, waxa aan rabnana waxaa weeye in marka hore gobolada weli ku jira gacanta Al-shabaab laga xoreeyo, kaddibna markii dhulka la’isu furo la iclaamiyo shirweyne ay kasoo qeyb galayaan dhamaan odayaasha, aqoonyahanada, iyo siyaasiyiinta kasoo jeeda gobolada Jubbooyinka, ayada oo waliba ay dowladda Soomaaliya shirka noocaas ah oo lagu dhisaayo maamul goboleedka Jubbaland ay garwadeen ka noqon doonto.”

     

    Here he says the current conference must be preceded by a reconciliation conference::

     

    Shirkani ayaa socon doona maalmaha fooda nagu soo hayo, iyadoona la filayo in gabagabada shirka lagu soo dhiso maamul goboleed ay yeelan doonaan sedexda gobol ee Jubada Hoose, J/dhexe iyo Gedo, waxaana uu shirkan kusoo beegmaya xilli shir wadatashi ah oo isna maanta lagu soo gabagabeeyay magaalada Garbahaareey ee xarunta gobolka Gedo, go'aanadii kasoo baxay ay ka mid ahaayeen in dhismaha maamulka jubbaland ka hor loo baahanyahay in xoogga la saaro sidii Al-shabaab looga saari lahaa gobolladaasi, iyo in dhismaha maamulka laga hormariyo shir dib u heshiisiin ah oo ay isugu yimaadaan beelaha dega gobollada Jubooyinka.

     

    Here Kaliil labels Ras Kamboni a "jabhad" when defending his decision to send troops to Kismaayo calling its existence "untenable" while saying the government, as the recognized national polity, should have control over the affairs of the land not foreign armies:

     

    Sidoo kale, mar la weydiiyay su’aal ahayd fikirka ay ka qabaan maamul u sameynta Jubbooyinka ayuu sheegay in maamulkaas aan loo dhameyn, mana jirto jabhad maamul u sameyn karta Jubbooyinka, waayo dalka lagama aqoonsano buu yiri jabhado.

     

    “Dalka dowlad ayuu leeyahay waana inay dowladdu hoggaamiso maamul u sameynta gobollada dalka, ciidamada Kismaayo tagayna waxay ku tageen qorshe dowladeed,” ayuu guddoomiyaha gobolka Gedo ku daray hadalkiisa.

     

    In fact all of these conditions were at one point or another stated by Kalil and his coalition and they have held it from the beginning. It seems the Federal Government has found it suitable (I would too if I was in the government, it gives a lot of respect to its legitimacy than the status quo) and decided to champion it.

     

    The President is unfairly being characterized for tribal reasons designed to instill a hollow sense of unity through an attempt of "otherization".

  12. Posted

    The PM will be staying in Kismaayo longer than assumed. These are the list of items he unfolded which his government wants to pursue:

     

    1. Turn the current Jubbaland-building conference into a regional reconciliation conference for the people of the three regions

    2. This conference will be presided over by the Federal Government which will grant legitimacy nationally and internationally

    3. At which point all non-government and non-AMISOM names or factions will be laid disbanded and fully integrated (Ras Kamboni, Ahlu Sunnah, etc)

    4.During which the Federal Govt will name a 6-month temporary administration for the regions while Al Shabaab is being removed from all areas of the territory

    5. During these 6 months the government administration will have full control over revenue collecting sevices

    6. After 6 months implementation of federalism will ensue and the people of the regions will be given all aid to realize this dream

     

    We will see what the final outcome becomes.

  16. Posted

    With all of the punditry and privilege of discussion that the diaspora holds, I think we sometimes lose perspective about the reality of Somalia. It is a totally destroyed society at the bottom of all levels of human development. Even what we sometimes herald as progress is wholly as a result of humanitarian aid and not anything resulting from self-sufficiency of society. In the backdrop of all of this we still have reports of our people dying from lack of basic drinking water and basic food. Our need for governance and stability and the desire for governance and order should reflect this reality.

     

    http://shabelle.net/caruur-haraad-darteed-ugu-geeriyootay-inta-u-dhexeysa-xudur-iyo-ceelbarde/

  17. Posted

    In their attempts to correct our good friend Oodweyn, both Baashi and more so Xiin have issued statements that require strong fact checking. I have done it before and do not find it appropriate to engage in it this time. With that said both are right when they say there is political understanding with regards the end goals; that being from Dollow on the Ethiopian border to Kismaayo on the Indian Ocean being joned together in a Federal. The process today is markedly different from the day it was started and even the day the "gogol" was spread out the month before. They are also correct to point out the elders especially along with business and civil society have shown a marked engagement in this correct process and the participation reflects this reality. Xiin is incorrect to say Gedo will have 120 invites. Gedo will have 165 invites because of the number of its districts which will bring it inline with the desired 27 represents per districts goal with the exception of Kismaayo's 50 delegates from its multitude of clans.As I am told in the coming days the rest of the delegates will be transported to Kismaayo including the main traditional leader of the Gedo clain, the Ugas Mohamed Ugas Hashi Ugas Hersi. I foresee the government will find the good grace to announce a policy shift once such legitimacy is shown by all the stakeholders who have held out.

  19. Posted

    In a business sense it doesn't even make sense. While Somaliland does claim to be independent much of the business and travel link is still interdependent with other parts of Somalia. The Mogadishu government can simply put pressure on airlines to protect the integrity of their institutions by making accessible more flghts to Somalia that do not go through Somaliland. The market will be influenced by that political intrusion and cause less of an incentive for planes desiring to have a greater market share of Somalia's larger travel industry to have more routes through Somaliland.

  20. Posted

    Cabdishakuur is a well known personality and he is not the spokesman of the Prime Minister. He is a deputy minister and a man many in the Somali media consider their man in the cabinet.

     

    The Somaliland media took a small misunderstanding out of context to add to attempts to dramatize relationship between the Somali government and the Somaliland region. He is safely back in Mogadishu where his trip was destined.

     

    http://radiomuqdisho.net/wasiir-ku-xigeenka-wasaaradda-warfaafinta-oo-dalka-dib-ugu-soo-laabtay/

  25. Posted

    Kamboni did not know and were not happy with the development. He has with him about 500 men, 10 battle wagons, 2 large transport, and booyad.

     

    Originally those who were fighting in the Kismaayo area commanded by him and Col Warfaa were prevented from entering the town and ordered to Ceel-waaq (Sector Three) to prevent clan clashes between them and Kamboni, then being empowered by Kenya. Clan clash did happen unfortunately between citizens and Kamboni. Cabaas his men are coming as part of the agreements reached in Garbahaaray Conference between them and IGAD.

     

    He will be followed by other divisions originally denied entrance into Kismaayo by the Kenyans.

     

    If Shabaab chose not to engage them sounds like smart military strategy. It was only shortly ago Al Shabaab and Ras Kamboni rode together to remove him from Kismaayo. If the Shabaab use a positive military objective in allowing Gedo military build-up in the town considering the friction that exists between them and the Kamboni... then can anyon blame Shabaab for getting out of their way?