Arafaat

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Posts posted by Arafaat

  4. Posted

    On 5/3/2024 at 6:54 PM, Illyria said:

    Correct, as a city State. It is currently generating approximately 300m in revenue from an estimated 2 - 3bn in grants, aid, and other monies pouring into the city for the FGS. The question is as and when said funds have dried up, as they will, will it survive? If so, how? Think about  Kabul.

    As a City Xamar could generate sufficient revenues to sustain its municipal basic service deliveries, however those revenues and aid you mentioned are generated not by or for the Municipality, but by the federal government and to main the administration and security apparatus. Without external aid, it won’t be able to sustain the Federal government and let alone the security apparatus which even go beyond the budgets of the Federal government (ATMIS). 
     

    Quote

    So, you consider the FGS more of a burden than a blessing for the city? This ties back to the original question. I thought it was a balance of both. See if you could elaborate.

    Yes, I think the FGS is a burden to Xamar and its economic potential. The politics, security, and bureaucracy required to maintain federal government in the City, is literally paralyzing mobility,  civic engagement/ownership and developing any sort of economic potential Xamar has.

    If the seat of government (Ministries, Parliament and Presidency) were to relocate to another town or even develop a new town from scratch, would prove to be positive for Xamar as it would liberate the city from the chokehold it is currently in, and spark it’s economics.

    You could have the same kind of situation as Tanzania where Dar es Salaam is the economic powerhouse with much of the administration still there, but where they outsourced the politics to Dodoma as the seat of the Government. And many other countries that similarly have capitals seperate from the seat of government. I think this would even improve the political dimension and dialectics, if (Somali) politicians were to be put in closer proximity in a different more basic environment without too much distractions, facilitating more connection, communication and coordination.

    Think of having all political actors metaphorically together in a sort of more traditional Deegaan like environment under the ‘Gob’ tree, a sort of Taleex  atmosphere, surely that sort of environment would help the dialogue and resolving of contentious issue. Somali’s say,’Garta geed ba lala tagaa’, and surely what Somalis need is a politics based on mediation, dialogue and compromise. Put people together for a few weeks in a rural environment, with the most basic of services and comfort, and surely it would provide the tranquility, modesty, connection and empathy needed to facilitate postures and mindset to resolve issues. 

    Naturally, there are other factors at play that need to be taken in to account in order to make sound political, socio-economic decisions on these kind of structural and institutional design issue. the biggest 2 factors at play being; Reconciliation and Peace(Arsenal). 

    This is just my reflection on things. 

  5. Posted

    2 minutes ago, Illyria said:

    You got the wrong end of the stick missing the point of the question by a long mile. It is not about its being the de facto nation's capital, or not, but its economic viability. With so being the case, let us try it again, and this time think about its sources of revenue to self-sustain itself.

    Not sure where your going with your hypothesis here, do you mean Xamar as a city to generate revenues for municipal service delivery, or Xamar as in the FGS to cover its own budgets or Xamar as being an own FMS on equal footing with other States? 

    But the coastal city has definitely the potentially to become a major tourist, trade and logistics hub surpassing even Mombasa and Dar es Salaam, and generate quite the revenue streams. But perhaps the economic potentially of this great city is being held back by the burden and cost of being the political capital?’

     

  7. Posted

    3 hours ago, galbeedi said:

    We all hope that is the cae. Why would anyone throw away the only successful Somali project in the last 30 years?

    Because it’s a business, with investors hoping for a return and if those investors receive an offer of 40% or more return on their investment, surely most would sell irrelevant of who the buyer is. 

  14. Posted

    3 minutes ago, Che -Guevara said:

    No, not as long as the goods are moving! IOG is only dedicated to the survival of his regime.

    I meant won’t the fighting between the two tribes in Sitta have impact on the relations between them and stability of Djibouti. So, If IOG or his clan folks are involved and win against the Afar tribe in Sitta, won’t that enrage the Afars in Djibouti? 

  15. Posted

    Heshiiskii Somaliland ku dhisneed (social contract) dhawac badan ayaa so gaaray 10kii sano ugu dambeeyay. Dad baa isleh xalkeedu wa doorasho, iyo Muuse oo ka taga meesha ama qaar isleh Muuse oo dib loo doorto. laakin isma lihi xal ayee keenisaa doorashadaan hada lagu dhawaqay wee kasii darisaa uun xalada hada lagu jiro uun ayee sii qaraarinisaa.

    Waxa kasoo qadataa Bas xoogaha so socday oo wakhti badan u baahna ina la sameeyo (repair iyo maintenance), oo waxba laga qaban. Ama dareewal cusub u dhiib sii wado ama kii hore hasii wado, si kasta Baskaas wuu kala fariisaniyaa maadama u wakhtigaan u baahan yahay geeraj la geeyo sida loo sameeyo. 

    Daraweelka lee badam micno ma sameyniso hada, ila hadii macaa la keeno dareewalka aduunka ugu fiican ee Hamilton, Senna ama Schumacher, midna ma wadi karo gaari la dhaafay wakhtigii u baahnaa ina la sameeyo oo laga shaqeeyo. Ka waran xaalkaas hadii Baskii oo socda la dhaho tartan ha la qabto cida dareewalka noqonisa. Kii waday Buska iyo kii rabay inu la wareego ku jeestaan oo isku qabsadaan shukaanta, maxaa u maleynisaa ayaa ka dhalan kara Meeshaan? 

     

  20. Posted

    Ethiopia strategically plays neighboring countries against one another to renegotiate favorable port deals, tariffs and access, and Kenya turns the table by renegotiating on energy. Mature countries who are driven by their own interest, nothing wrong with this. 

    Headless Somali’s could learn one or two things if they paid any attention and took a moment to learn and think beyond their tainted clan perspectives, 

  21. Posted

    Even Saudi’s participated in the campaign to support Israel against the attack. That’s quite a number of countries and hell of a firepower needed against one countries pre-announced attack.  
     

     

    Report: Gulf states, including Saudi Arabia, provided intelligence on Iran attack

    US persuaded several countries to help in preparing for Iranian assault on Israel, enabling a comprehensive defensive shield to be put in place, Wall Street Journal says

    Just a moment...

    WWW.TIMESOFISRAEL.COM

     

  22. Posted

    Tens of thousands of Israeli’s have left the country, after the attack how many are rushing to leaving the country out of fear. Hamas and Iran have reached their goal, which is to instill fear in to the opponent and not about how many missiles hit targets.

     

    Just a moment...

    WWW.TIMESOFISRAEL.COM
    5U3A2725_qsabui.jpg

    Israel's emigration rate jumps as it learns to count

    EN.GLOBES.CO.IL
    The Central Bureau of Statistics has decided that Israelis who pay short annual visits are not residents, lopping 150,000 off the population...

     

     

  25. Posted

    17 hours ago, Xaaji Xunjuf said:

    These iranian attacks are pointless  the Iron dome of Israel destroyed al of the drones and Missles of Iran.

    US, UK and Jordan intercept many of the Iranian drones headed to Israel

    Israeli official says American forces stopped over 100 aircraft outside the country; Jordanian jets shot down dozens of drones in kingdom’s airspace; France also assists defense

    Just a moment...

    WWW.TIMESOFISRAEL.COM