Che -Guevara

PM Abiy announces he will go to the frontlines to lead the army

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1 hour ago, Arafaat said:

Che, are you denying that the real capacity of Ethiopia’s armed forces in terms of skills and knowledge(information, secrets, et ), leadership (officers) and resources(equipment and hardware) is/was with the TPLF camp? 

The TPLF dominated the Ethiopian armed forces for three decades with 80%-90% of officers and then plundered most of the equipment and hardware which was based in Mek’ele, and then subsequently killed off and bought off most experienced non-Tigray officers,  and all Tigray officers 80 or 90% of Ethiopian army switched sides to the TPLF.

Above all they sold this war to their own people and IC as an existential war. I am sure that even the Tigray folks will hold the leadership in to account, at least that would best course for Ethiopia, that the Tigray people themselves show they were deceived in to this war and get rid of the TPLF once and for all.  

I was referring to Amhara [Fano/ Amhara special forces] not being able to fight as they lacked experienced officers. They had to call on former officers from Derg. They seem to lack their natural instinct to fight, unlike Afars. But they do have numbers and government support.

As for the Ethiopian forces, the TPLF had an army within the army. They truly did plunder it. The rest of the army was largely conscripts and a small non-Tigray officer corp that was highly controlled.

The limits of their capacity were laid bare in Mogadishu where Zenawi lost many men. That said, Ethiopians have the organization and respect for command unlike us.

The war is moving into Southern Tigray

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Ethiopian Forces captured Sekota and marching north

In about five weeks after the Ethiopian Forces launched an offensive, TPLF forces are pushed back more than 700 kilometres. Sekota is adjacent to the Tigray region 

The Ethiopian government on Wednesday announced that Ethiopian Forces have captured the town of Sekota, which is the seat of Waghumra zone administration of the Amhara region. 

Most of the areas in the zone ( it is adjacent to the Tigray region of Ethiopia) are cleared from TPLF forces whose leader, Debretsion Gebremichael, on Sunday, announced that he has ordered their withdrawal from the Afar and Amhara regions of Ethiopia. 

According to Ethiopian government communication affairs ministry, militia forces in Waghumra played a crucial role in the battle to clear the area from the designated terrorist forces. Local communities also helped facilitate the effort to clear the area from TPLF forces. 

Unconfirmed sources on social media indicate that the Ethiopian forces advanced further to the north and took control of the Abergele area which is said to be only fifty kilometres away from Tigray. 

Kobo Front 

In the Kobo front, Ethiopian forces (the Defence force, regional special forces including from Afar, Fano and militia)  wreak havoc on the TPLF forces in the locality of Waja and Timuga.

They are closer to Alamata town, which is about 30 kilometres from Kobo.  

Ethiopian forces are also advancing from Tekulesh direction in the area and marching to Korem where there is a junction leading to Sekota. 

A little further north from Korem is Maychew – part of the Tigray region where Ethiopian forces battled fascist Italy in the 1940’s. 

The speculation is that Ethiopian forces will take control of Mekelle, capital of Tigray region of Ethiopia, in a matter of days. 

Earlier this week, important towns alike Woldia, Kobo and Lalibela were freed after TPLF suffered crashing defeats in Mersa and Gashena areas. 

Is there a future for TPLF in Tigray? 

As reported in the past, the Ethiopian parliament declared TPLF a terrorist organization. It means that it has no legitimacy to run the Tigray region of Ethiopia. 

Because of the war the TPLF had triggered when it attacked the northern command of the Ethiopian Defence Force, in November 2020, hundreds of thousands of people had been killed and properties (both public and private) estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of Ethiopian birr was destroyed. 

Apart from attacking the Ethiopian Defense Force, the TPLF carried out multiple of massacre against innocent civilians in the Afar and Amhara regions, and raped hundreds of women including an 85 years of nun in the Shewarobit area. 

Xigasho

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galbeedi   

Che,

there are reports in the western media comparing the TDF to Eritrean army. I have even seen a BBC twitter saying 630,000 TDF against 17-20,000 Eritrean army. THey could attack Eritrea to depose Afwerk. Their sponsor,  the USA,  had mentioned ERitrea as the elephant in the room in the horn of Africa. THere are already ERitrean anti Afwork forces based in Sudan.

I am not ruling out a TPLF offensive against Eritrea. THese guys are so reckless, they attacked everyone including their original allies--the Affar. They went as far as Gondar in the west and Mille, Affar in the east. Why extend yourself when you could hit the highway from Tigray streight to Addia?.

The TPLF leadership ( Debresion, Gethachew Rada and Gabrewahid) might not survive as the Tigray government. They have the nerve to ask the UNSC for no fly zone. Is this Yugoslavia?

In the Somali sphere, the end of the TPLF must also finish off some of the decaying administration in the region. The demise of the Derg in 1991, trasformed Somalia as we knew it , I do believe that the coming years will finish of some including the Djibouti despot. 

 

 

 

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