galbeedi

Farmaajo and Trump are looking for an extension, but Joe Biden will move from his basement to the white house , and Hassan Khayre has a future.

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galbeedi   

With the sinking of American economy due to Covid- 19 , the chances of Trump re-election is going to the tank. In some American polls including those from Fox news, Joe Biden is leading in double digits. Uncontested strong red states like Texas are in play in this November. Trump and his enablers the , the Republican party could face the worst defeat in the last 40 years. 

 

That is why Trump want to delay the election which never happened in the American history whether they faced civil war, depression or other calamities. Folks, Joe bide is leaving from his basement to the white house without lifting a finger this November. It seems Americans had made their mind to get rid of the con artist president. The unforeseen problems are America could have to presidents by December or even January. With virus devastating many states, mail in ballots are the favorite for many states than going polls in person. Ballot counting could takes weeks or more, and people expect Trump to drag the outcome and go to courts to challenge the results. 

 

 Queen Elizabeth II once referred to 1992 as an “annus horribilis” for the royal family, yet this year of 2020 will be remembering like no other before it. It has destroyed trillions of dollars from the world economy and things will not be the same even after vaccine is developed by the end of this year. Dr. Anthony Fauci, the man who keeps contradicting Trump on weekly bases thinks a vaccine will be ready by end of the year, probably late November or early December , just  before Biden assumes office. After vaccine is announced by the end of the year , we might see some midnight crazy tweets from Trump claiming the virus was a hoax perpetuated by the democrats to unseat him. By some estimates, Trump and his family might end up in prison to make up the damages they caused to the republic.

 

Another curious issue is the Covid-19 disaster unfolding right wing-controlled countries around the world. Brazil is second only to USA in terms of death and infections rates, so does India. In America , some republican governors even believed the virus to be targeting the poor and minorities and rushed to reopen quickly , and now facing the worst of it. It seems the virus is becoming the great equalizer to level the playing field and check the powers of the right-wing nuts who happen to be out of control. In Italy, the devastation was centered in Lombardy, Veneto and the bases of the anti immigrant Northern league, while the Iranian president said a quarter of the population could be carrying the virus. Those who created the global free Market and nurtured the liberal democracy system throughout the world are happy the way things are unfolding globally. Everything they worked so hard had been dismantled within few years by the like of Trump, Bolsanaro of Brazil and Hindu nutcase Modi. For these powerful people, the virus in an opportunity to expose the incompetence of the right-wing leaders.

 

Even in our own good old Canada, those who tried to flow the red American states are losing the battle. Here Alberta  we had 20 0r 30  cases by early May and we were winning. Yet, the right wing premier of Alberta decided to flow Texas and Florida and rushed to open the economy. Now we are having 130 or more a day. The flattened curve is rising again. Conservatives used to be people of sound ideology on economy, family and business, but they are reduced to be xenophobic, corrupt and unstable leadership seeking revenge.Former conservative prime minister Mulroney sanctioning South African government during apartheid while his close friends Reagan and Thatcher supported the regime. He welcomed Mandella in 1990 and gave him the order of Canada. While Canadian right government respect the rule of law and have good relationship with the immigrant communities, some might tempted to flow TRump.

 

Farmaajo is a dead man walking.

 

Early in 2017, some us had complained that the current government is not moving for the  needed speed to affect real change. We were amused when they appointed over 60 members of cabinet in a nation that can't even function outside of Mogadishu, yet many said that is a necessary evil to please clans and special interest groups. Well, having a quarter of the parliament in the cabinet might have prolonged the tenure of the prime minister, but did not help the straitening of the institutions. 

 

It was eight years ago yesterday in August 01 2012, the provisional constitution was approved by the parliament. After eight years and two presidents nothing has been done on this file. Consultation and drafting of constitution don't need an army or Amison troops to protect them. Most of the national agenda and issue that need to be fixed are dragged for political and financial reasons. Like foreign mercenaries both Somali government members,  Amisom troops and NGO's work overtime to extended their projects as long as possible.  Some of you might have seen the Russian mercenaries who reached within 7 kilometres of downtown Tripoli ,but decided to camp in their zones, bring tons of food; booby trap their surrounding with mines and wait. Then Turkey came to help the locals. For them, a frozen conflict is the best advantage since they get a thousand dollar a day salary from outlaws of the gulf.  As an American citizen and former CIA protege, a victory by  Hafter  will not be the interest of the Russians, so, the project continues.

 

Farmaajo could not do or finish things he didn't do four years ago today. He is appointing a judiciary council just before the end of his term. Every fool who becomes president tries to tailor made the rule of law as his jacket in order to avoid the rules being applied justly. Every entity where Somalis had established a false government these problems exist. In Somaliland, after thirty years, there are no judiciary system or even a supreme court to adjudicate cases. The supreme court is a one-man Shaw appointed and fired by the president. The highest court supposed to be where a diverse opinion was debated by wise men.

 

We don't know the next moves of Farmaajo, but those who observe his moves said he keeps surrounding himself with insignificant people and sometimes with fools (Doqmo ayuu isku wareejiyey). What is the use of talking about popular elections without even securing the national capital? At least draft a new constitution and pass through the parliament for the next Somali leadership. It is important to replace the Meles Zenawi draft constitution passes by C/raxman Faroole and Shariif Hassan. Farmaajo could talk high of some of the minor geopolitical victories thanks to Ethiopia being a partner than antagonists like in the past, but if you look carefully, he didn't achieve anything meaningful. Of Courses Khayre had selected the current leadership of Galmudug which proved to be really good, yet if the achievement of every president is the creation of one regional administration, we are long way from succeeding . The only consolation Farmaajo has is unlike Trump, he could extend the election and buy some time to fight another day.

 

He might not realize , but Farmaajo is a dead man walking. Giving Banaadir a name only administration and 13 members of the useless chamber will not help the cause of his government or the future. If a leader cannot show real improvement in the first 18 months and shake things down, he cannot achieve anything in the last 8 months. Folks, the era of Farmaajo will be over, but the alternative could be even worse at the moment. 

 

The frozen conflict of Somalia is entering the fourth decade after 30 years. This nation needs extraordinarily leader who looks beyond silly debates, NGO contracts and the protection of others. 

 

KHayre has a future.

 

Unlike his predecessors, prime minister Khayre had free hand of not only managing the cabinet, but he also appointed and selected key government leaders like the governor of the bank and the intelligence leaders. According to international media, former prime minister Khayre sleeps only four or five hours at night. He personally supervises every government projects. Some say his great achievements were the rebuilding of the army, paying salaries of the security people and civil servants. On the other hand, his dictatorial attitude toward cabinet colleagues has slowed down government decision making. The biggest weaknesses of the Khayre cabinet is that most of the ministers are busy procuring contacts with the Nairobi based NGO's.  According to insiders, Most of the Ministries are dormant or stagnant. The only few ministries functioning are : the finance, transport and air aviation, foreign and petroleum resource. The rest doesn't have much to do. They mostly focus NGO contracts and when they leave office,  they lock the office and take their keys with them. There are hundreds of employees hired through foreign governments which pays their salaries.  For example, the Norwegian government pays the salaries of the people who work at the prime minister's office and other government Ministries. They reside $105 dollar night hotels beside the airport (over $3000 a month)and are taken  to these offices with security guards opening the office in the morning and closing after they have done the day. They do not have keys to their offices since they are private contractors. The Norwegians will not give the accommodation money directly to the employees, but the contract to the hotels are managed by people connected to the cabinet members. 

 

THese people earn close to $7500 American dollars ( $10,000 Canadian) which they never earned in their life while residing in the western countries. Soon a new prime minister and cabinet will show up and will be busy creating his own new contacts with the NGO's. These are the Mogadishu business everyone is busy with while national issues are put at the back burner.  Almost every Ministry employs this kind of people paid by foreign government. Yet, the regular Somali civil servant in Mogadishu earns $400 dollars if he is connected. Even people like C/raxman Bayle said while ago that Somalia is a project ( Somalia waa mashruuc).

 

Despite all that,  Khayre could be hundred times better than Farmaajo if he becomes president. If khayre ditches his NGO style of managing things and acts tough as he did in his early years (2017-2018) , he could achieve more than Farmaajo.  Unlike Farmaajo, Khayre seemed confident and well-spoken throughout his term as prime minister. Yet, in his last 12 months , he seemed to be dragging his feet or planning something else. We don't know what happen between Farmaajo and Khayre. Why would a prime minister oppose the extension of his government and contradict the president?. Who knows, maybe Farmaajo had agreed to serve one term and give way to Khayre for the next term, and then changed his mind. 

 

One thing is for sure,  If Khayre was the man who organized the election of Farmaajo behind the scene in 2017, he could definitely undo his work and defeat Farmaajo easily for himself or for his former boss Hassan Sheikh. 

 

Finally, Khayre has made history for the first time in current Somali political climate since 1991. He is the first prime minister who lasted more than three and half years since the Carta government of 2000. Second, when he was deposed by the parliament in illegal manner without the needed debate , he saw the writing in the wall and accepted defeat with grace and honour( Ilbaxnimo ayuu muujiyey). He could have put the country in protracted and losing battle through parliament while wasting money. You remember former prime ministers, Saacid, Sharmaarke and others who dishonorably fought a losing fight to keep their  job. . The Saacid guy even brought his family to the chamber and even recited useless lament to convince others.

 

By bowing out Khayre had made history and because of these actions, he might have another shot to seek the highest office in the future. 

 

 

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Oodweyne   

Galbeedi,

So, cutting to the chase in here, and bringing this whole and longishly eyes-tiring write-up story of yours into a "short version" of it, we can definitely say, Mr. Kheire, is your new "political horse" in which you are willing the bet the "farm" on it. Or willing to bet your family's collection of enfeebled cows, back at Awdal region, on it. 

Do I have the gist of it in here, mate? 

Well, that could be the only thing to take away from it. After all, God knows you tried everything else, especially the notion of actually betting everything you hold dear on the likes of Mr. Abiy Ahmed, or even on Mr. Cheeseman; particular with the hope that says or hold, that, these guys, between them, can bring back Somaliland into the fold of the old and the dead union with Somalia.

So, now, Mr. Kheire is your last "hopeful knight" or a "political prince" with a "shining armor" and on a horse to boot, in which you think will restore the dead union back from its grave. Like so much of a "miraculous act" befitting that of the "biblical story" of the "Lazarus rising from the dead", kind of restoration.

Eh, mate?

Well, I shan't be so churlish enough in here as to actually go out of my way to rain on your parade. But, still, if I were you, I would pay attention to the idea that says, before you jump into another political bet, particularly into one that holds some other political actors can make and decide the destiny of Somaliland, or bend her to a political union with Somalia, I would actually take stock of how all my previous political bets against Somaliland or of her accepting the dead union, did actually turned out to be?

That would have been where one should start, before going to the bookies or the nearest betting shop and then placing a desperate bet on another political chancer from Somalia, with the hope that he can amount to much for the dead union or against Somaliland than all the other previous chancers in which one had bet on did it in their days.

But that is just me who likes to proceed from a supposition and hypothesis of a political analysis to the result of that supposition and the factual outcome it produces, and then finally forms my opinion on the basis of those "obtained facts".

However, you, on the other hand, form your opinion with no scintilla of a fact to back them up, and you then, as usual, create all manner of "fictional facts" from those erroneous held opinions. And for good measure, no matter how others, try as they might, endeavor to show you how wrong you are, it never makes a blind bit of difference to you at all.

Let's see how Mr. Kheire fare in that "zero-sum-game" of a political skulduggery that passes as the political reality of Somalia. But, still, something tells me that he will not make it to the last round of the "cattle auction", which is how MPs of the pseudo-parliament of Somalia chooses their leader. Let alone him winning the ultimate cup of the presidency and replacing his old friend, Mr. Cheeseman, who happens to be his deadly enemy nowadays.

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Oodweyne   

Further Comment:

As for the other parts of your write-up in regards to Mr. Trump - or the Dotard in the White House, as the North Koreans propaganda department used to call him - I agree with you entirely. Just so that you won't say, that, dear old Oodweyne, is always negative on my long treaties of an argument in which I do pen it around in here.

However, having said that, I still would caution Democrats not to think that the electoral victory is in the bag. For, I remember very well how shellshocked everyone was back in 2016, when Mr. Trump pulled a fast rabbit of a victory sort out from the hat. Particularly from the rust-belt states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin, who collectively gave him less 80,000 voters. And, therefore, with it, made him the presidential victor through the electoral college. Even when he was down and out for the count on the popular vote front in close to three million tally of voters (when all told) in deficit to Mrs. Hillary Clinton.

As for election postponement, or even term extension, I think even the best efforts of Mr. Trump will not suffice to do any of that. After all, despite the best effort of Mr. Trump to turn the US as a "glorified banana Republic" in these many years, he was in power, still, the US is a land governs by rule and law, with still intact constitutional order along with having enough people who are committed to keeping America the way it was prior to Mr. Trump's rise to power. So I don't think at all he will get away with whatever crooked agenda he has in mind to monkey around with US's election.

Much less said about him winning an extension of his term of office beyond January of next year if he were to lose this upcoming November US presidential election, which is unheard of in the modern US history.

So, touch wood (as they say in here of dear old Blighty), but, it's best not to count the chicken yet, till at least, voters have spoken, and we know whether it's Mr. Joe - Malarkey - Biden, who is going to be living in 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue and in the White House? Or whether it will be dear old Dotard the Trump, who will still regale himself with it and therefore besmirch - in a continuous sense - the office of the Presidency of the US in four more years to come.

And, if Mr. Biden wins it - just to bring this conversation back to the Somali Peninsula - I would say he would be methodically critical of US's foreign policy in Somalia and Mr. Yamomoto's handling of that portfolio in particular, since, especially, he hasn't done nothing tangentially larger to advance any of the "benchmark" in which the US's policy for Somalia was meant to be consisting of it.

In particular, he hasn't advanced things like the security of the country with all that money in which Uncle Sam (US) had poured into Somalia since Mr. Yamamoto took over the US's State Department's portfolio in the wider Horn of Africa (HoA). Especially he hasn't had much success to shout about it when it comes to advancing things like the constitutional and governance stability of Somalia, or even the internally important aspect of any nation's social-contract, such as the social and the political reconciliation within the country. 

And, I feel, the first casualty of the review of that policy will be Mr. Yamomoto's head, who will be either send back to the State Department, or completely send to diplomatic retirement. Given that he had messed it up so thoroughly Somalia twice in a row. Whereby the first time around was when he agreed to give the "consent" to the late Mr. Meles Zenawi to "invade" Somalia back in 2006, which was when Mr. Yamomoto was US's ambassador to Ethiopia. And, we all know how really tragic that chapter was since the auster of the Islamic Court Union (ICU) from Mogadishu at the hands of Ethiopia can directly be said to be responsible for the emergence of Al-Shabaab in Somalia.

And the other time in which Mr. Yamamoto had "flubbed his diplomatic lines" is now as US's envoy or Ambassador to Somalia, given that he had agreed (at least before last week) at everything in which Villa Somalia has decided to do in the last three and half years they were in office. And we all know by now the dysfunctional end results of that so far. Don't we, mate?

If however, Trump, remains in office, I kind of think that the US will lose any larger interest in Somalia (just like they did with Afghanistan). And, of course, with Trump's well-documented isolationism being likely to be given a full head (as it were) by then since he will be convinced of the efficacy of that policy and posture of "isolationism", particularly were he to be re-elected this November, will likely mean that he will appoint some new ambassador with the "specific instruction" to cut down the US's involvement in Somalia in general and the current fight in which the US does it now against the likes of Al-Shabaab in particular.

In so far as Somaliland is a concern here, I believe, that we win in both eventualities, and in particular, whether it's the re-elected Trump's presidency. Or whether it's a Biden's Administration. And as to why I say that, or even believe that I leave it to you as a "working assignment" of a diplomatic analysis sort to figure it out. Let's see whether you can ascertain as to why I think that?

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Khadafi   

During a vist to a Mogadishu for a pharmaceutical bushiness initative  a relative of mine who is an mp and a minister asked to if I wanted to meet the the head of the parliament.  As I did not want to be target by being seen by high profile relatives I first said no but  later agreed. We ment through several check point and had a informal meeting with Mursal. While engaging in smalltalk It emerged that he was one of those pioneer teachers sent to the distant lands of Somalia in order to teach and he said the best time of his life was when he sent to a tiny village in southern Somalia.

 

Anyways, after Iftar a few mps including the mp that head of the  elections and a few other allied mps had an informal meeting. The female chief that was assigned to organise the elections one man one vote is a highly intelligent and  vibrant woman. Somalia would certainly be better a place if we actually had such a lady as the president. As Cishaha was approaching I noticed that what was being said in the meeting was not based upon the reality in the grounds.  The mp was talking about talking ballotboxes Baladwaybe, Guriceel, Baidoa and Kismaayo. All other mp were nodding in agreement.  Qalbiga waxaan iska dhahay war dakaani ma fiyowtihiin ( these people sane).

These people talking about balllotboxes are hiding in Mogadishu because of Al-shabaab and they are talking about ballotboxes, Yaab!.

While at home I asked my relative, war qof yahow,  You cant even go outside without armed escorts  and you want ballotboxes in certain places in Somalia that al-shabaab has a strong presence in?. The relative smiled and said to me: " war waxaas dhab in ey ahayd maaad u maleyneysid".  Thats how politics in Somalia works.    Its politics based upon nomenklatura  Outright lies not based upon facts are presented as facts and part of the nomenklatura culture is that you remain silent and hope God finds a solution.

Everyone wants one man one vote. Bur is it reallt viable on the ground?  And what about  the Banaadiri-Barwaani miniority group that reside on the port towns of Somalia.  How will they the parliament if now laws are implemented protecting these somali groups whose demography has been severely damaged by the civil war.   During the pre Siyaad bare only 2 parliament members were elected from Mogadishu. The late Avokaate Raajis  and the honorable   Ismaacil Jimcaale. While Ismaacils people can be elected from Hir-shabeele what about Avokaate Raajis and the honorable Xaaji Dheere and Sakhawadin  the SYL members that were all banaadiri?.

 

Why should be Farmaajo get an extension.  The little political stability and the most positive sign that Somalia was  finally healing its wounds from its damaging war was  H-block president handing over the power to a president from the D-block without  violence and with political legitimacy.  Why change that?  Asxaabow, ha lis badalo.  NO EXTENSION.!

 

 

 

 

 

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3 hours ago, Khadafi said:

Anyways, after Iftar a few mps including the mp that head of the  elections and a few other allied mps had an informal meeting. The female chief that was assigned to organise the elections one man one vote is a highly intelligent and  vibrant woman. Somalia would certainly be better a place if we actually had such a lady as the president. As Cishaha was approaching I noticed that what was being said in the meeting was not based upon the reality in the grounds.  The mp was talking about talking ballotboxes Baladwaybe, Guriceel, Baidoa and Kismaayo. All other mp were nodding in agreement.  Qalbiga waxaan iska dhahay war dakaani ma fiyowtihiin ( these people sane).

These people talking about balllotboxes are hiding in Mogadishu because of Al-shabaab and they are talking about ballotboxes, Yaab!.

Everyone wants one man one vote. Bur is it reallt viable on the ground?  And what about  the Banaadiri-Barwaani miniority group that reside on the port towns of Somalia.  How will they the parliament if now laws are implemented protecting these somali groups whose demography has been severely damaged by the civil war.   During the pre Siyaad bare only 2 parliament members were elected from Mogadishu. The late Avokaate Raajis  and the honorable   Ismaacil Jimcaale. While Ismaacils people can be elected from Hir-shabeele what about Avokaate Raajis and the honorable Xaaji Dheere and Sakhawadin  the SYL members that were all banaadiri?.

 

 

 

 

 

I don't see anything wrong if universal vote takes place on these magaalooyinka aad sheegtay. They are as secure as Muqdisho, if not safer than Muqdisho.

And about Banaadiriga, I think the seats will remain the same, quasi-based 4.5 but but voted by the general population. So if Banaadiriga have, for example, 10 seats now, then they will contest those ten seats. And they might get extra seats from metalaada Banaadir as well.

Rabi ha u raxmado Abuukaato Raajis Maxamed Raajis iyo inta kale geeriyootay. Reerkiisa ayaa aad u naqaanay.

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5 hours ago, Khadafi said:

During a vist to a Mogadishu for a pharmaceutical bushiness initative  a relative of mine who is an mp and a minister asked to if I wanted to meet the the head of the parliament.  As I did not want to be target by being seen by high profile relatives I first said no but  later agreed. We ment through several check point and had a informal meeting with Mursal. While engaging in smalltalk It emerged that he was one of those pioneer teachers sent to the distant lands of Somalia in order to teach and he said the best time of his life was when he sent to a tiny village in southern Somalia.

 

Anyways, after Iftar a few mps including the mp that head of the  elections and a few other allied mps had an informal meeting. The female chief that was assigned to organise the elections one man one vote is a highly intelligent and  vibrant woman. Somalia would certainly be better a place if we actually had such a lady as the president. As Cishaha was approaching I noticed that what was being said in the meeting was not based upon the reality in the grounds.  The mp was talking about talking ballotboxes Baladwaybe, Guriceel, Baidoa and Kismaayo. All other mp were nodding in agreement.  Qalbiga waxaan iska dhahay war dakaani ma fiyowtihiin ( these people sane).

These people talking about balllotboxes are hiding in Mogadishu because of Al-shabaab and they are talking about ballotboxes, Yaab!.

While at home I asked my relative, war qof yahow,  You cant even go outside without armed escorts  and you want ballotboxes in certain places in Somalia that al-shabaab has a strong presence in?. The relative smiled and said to me: " war waxaas dhab in ey ahayd maaad u maleyneysid".  Thats how politics in Somalia works.    Its politics based upon nomenklatura  Outright lies not based upon facts are presented as facts and part of the nomenklatura culture is that you remain silent and hope God finds a solution.

Everyone wants one man one vote. Bur is it reallt viable on the ground?  And what about  the Banaadiri-Barwaani miniority group that reside on the port towns of Somalia.  How will they the parliament if now laws are implemented protecting these somali groups whose demography has been severely damaged by the civil war.   During the pre Siyaad bare only 2 parliament members were elected from Mogadishu. The late Avokaate Raajis  and the honorable   Ismaacil Jimcaale. While Ismaacils people can be elected from Hir-shabeele what about Avokaate Raajis and the honorable Xaaji Dheere and Sakhawadin  the SYL members that were all banaadiri?.

 

Why should be Farmaajo get an extension.  The little political stability and the most positive sign that Somalia was  finally healing its wounds from its damaging war was  H-block president handing over the power to a president from the D-block without  violence and with political legitimacy.  Why change that?  Asxaabow, ha lis badalo.  NO EXTENSION.!

 

 

 

 

 

Where there is a will,  there is a way. Check  Iraq n Afghanistan,  far more dangerous and within few years there were one man one vote. 

Aslo, check Somalia, not the areas with Shabab,

Pl, Galmudug, Hiirshabale, Mogadishu,  there are.many safe areas.

Saxb, armaa adigu wareersaneeyd, oo aadan arkey waxa u muuuqda dadkan aad isahayd waa wareersanyihiin? 🙂

In doorasho dhacdo one man one vote, iyo shabaab waxaa ka wayn  is aaminaada somali dhexdeeda iyo nadaam ogaladaan. 

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Oodweyne   
2 hours ago, maakhiri1 said:

Where there is a will,  there is a way. Check  Iraq n Afghanistan,  far more dangerous and within few years there were one man one vote. 

Aslo, check Somalia, not the areas with Shabab,

Maakhir1,

But, you do know, I take it that Iraq (even with its enormous oil wealth) is really no stable state. In fact, the central government is a name only in certain parts of Iraq. And that was the result of the lack of a "social contract". As well as from the result of a deliberate lopsided election where Shiite majority rammed home their preferred "election model", back in 2004.

And to this day Iraq is basically a teeming religious sect, political factions, and regional fiefdoms who are competing against each other. And to boot, they have nothing in common at the national level other than to agree to keep sucking the oil wealth from the ground up. Whereby each fiefdom and the faction who rules their own areas does whatever it wants of its own violation, regardless of what the alleged central government may deem appropriate or may think of it as politically unacceptable.

Furthermore, as a Shiite, or as a Sunni, or as a Kurd, you will be treated as a "second-class citizen" in any region within Iraq other than your own respective region.

So, I am not sure the Iraq is a "model of stability" in which Somalia in its current mess should be looking for as a path to follow, especially for the business of national election. 

Similarly, the same story applies and can be said about it in regard to Afghanistan, where the central government's writ does not rule beyond Kabul, election or no election. And to boot, the bulk of the country is in the hand - indirectly or indirectly - of the Taliban.

This is why the US is cutting and running out from there with an "absurd fig-leaf" of a deal with the Taliban. Of course, the alleged deal between the Taliban and the US is actually intended to last long enough for the Western's forces to "vacate" the place, before the real tussle in the ground between the Taliban and the government of Mr. Ashraf Ghani gets to commence in earnest.

So, again, I am not sure that Like Iraq, Afghanistan, is any kind of stable state or they have any kind of an "election model", in which Somalia should even pay attention to. Let alone copy it for itself, going forward.

No, that really won't' do, or at least it won't cut it. And by that I mean, Somalia needs to establish a "real social and political contract" with itself, and either defeat the likes of Al-Shabaab after they have agreed to build their state. Or failing that, they need to "bring-in" the likes of Al-Shabaab into the political space so they could contest for power.

Provided, of course, they, in turn, forswore any use of violence subsequently. Other than that this notion of holding an election in this insecurity-infused terrain, will do nothing but to exasperate the political, the social, and the regional "cleavages" that are already there, within the country.

In other words, you can't, and will never be able to do it, the notion of putting the cart before the horse. It's never possible. However, I am sure of it that as Khadafi had indeed already told us about it, that, some "clever-by-half-political-chancers", who are scooped up in Mogadishu as politicians and as MPs, may actually try that. And, will, of course, take their country into a much further down the road in the wrong direction.

Let's see what they decide.

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