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Timur

Al-Shabaab threatens Dhusomareeb and Gaalkacyo

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Timur   

Word on the street is the masked teen crew have just threatened Dhusomareeb and Gaalkacyo.

 

They've been amassing troops in Beletweyn for days despite a heightened Ethiopian presence in nearby Kabalayr. They've also built a bridge in Bulo Burde, probably for ease of travel. In an attempt to secure their southern front they have also amassed troops in Gedo and built a road there, possibly to bottle-neck troops into an offensive against the Dooloow camp.

 

This would seem like a better strategy than taking Mogadishu outright. Every AU soldier they kill and every block they take is more attention on them, but no one will hear of these countryside conquests. I think that's the logical explanation for their emphasis on venturing towards Dhusomareeb and further north. Furthermore, Puntland's emphasis on the northern front and the allocation of large sums of money to the Bosaso-based PIS and the militias of Faroole, Cabdisamad and Ilkojiir have basically left Mudug demilitarized and vulnerable to attack.

 

In the next few days we'll likely see two clashes between Ethiopia and Al-Shabaab in Gedo and Hiiraan regions. What are your thoughts on this, is it just a show of arms or another attempt to expand?

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