Next Ethiopian War: Eritrea/Amhara vs Tigray/Abiy

[Illyria]

On 4/15/2024 at 12:50 PM, Che -Guevara said:

 

Is this number close to being accurate? If so, that is rather sizeable., and one wonders as to the reasons they were unable to pull a win when their cities were being bombarded.

Things are going from bad to worse, and with reports of militias fighting inside Adis, it is  getting out of hand.

[Illyria]

So, Abiy is now using TPLF to defeat FANO the same way he used FANO against TPLF a few years ago. Have we not seen how this sequel ends? Have they not learnt any lessons from yester years?

[Che -Guevara]

7 hours ago, Illyria said:

Is this number close to being accurate? If so, that is rather sizeable., and one wonders as to the reasons they were unable to pull a win when their cities were being bombarded.

Things are going from bad to worse, and with reports of militias fighting inside Adis, it is  getting out of hand.

The core fighting force is smaller, but like Amharas there are informal militias that are slightly better trained.

[Che -Guevara]

5 hours ago, Illyria said:

So, Abiy is now using TPLF to defeat FANO the same way he used FANO against TPLF a few years ago. Have we not seen how this sequel ends? Have they not learnt any lessons from yester years?

No!

Firstly, it indicates he is not winning the war against the Fano. Secondly, TPLF is not as strong as it once was politically or militarily. And mostly importantly, the Amhara State Government will be forced to choose between letting TPLF take over areas Amharas claim and controlled or fight back at the risk of wider conflict.

Here's a bit from Amhara Government.

 

[Che -Guevara]

Also of  note,

There's an intense fighting between Somalis and Afars in Sitti. Surprisingly, it is the Somalis that initiated the fight. Afars lost ground, but in some areas, Somalis were pushed back.

[Che -Guevara]

 

[Che -Guevara]

 

[Che -Guevara]

 

[Che -Guevara]

 

[Che -Guevara]

 

[Che -Guevara]