This fear of commanders who come from the major Somali clans of senior Shabaab commanders from minority clans, has arguably had more to do with the present configuration of foreign fighters supporting Godane that ideology. The priority for Shabaab commanders who come from the minority clans and their foreign fighters is to ensure that commanders such as Robow from the major clans do not set the agenda. This is largely driven by a fear of clan influence and clan priorities. Currently within Shabaab leading commanders are from ....., .......,......., and other minority clans within the ****** and the ******; in traditional Somali fashion this leads to a fear of large clan domination. Poor Godane he is having the same inferiority complex as the secessionist leaders in Hargaysa

Somalia: The Potato and the Technical: Decisive elements in combat 10 Oct 10, 2010 - 9:48:51 AM by Frans Barnard** Special to Garowe Online The recent (27/09/10) helicopter attack in Merka in which a meeting of senior Al Shabaab leaders was targeted has brought fresh focus to the ongoing debate about a possible merger between Shabaab and Hisbul Islamiya. This discussion is neither new nor surprising. Given the recent expenditure of materiel in the Ramadan push by Shabaab and Hisbul against the TFG/AMISOM in Mogadishu, a merger makes sense - at a superficial level. As always in anything to do with Somalia, the superficial needs to be treated like a lion – no matter how much you may think you understand the behaviour and actions, just when you do, it turns and savages the best thought through analysis. While Shabaab is having it’s own internal debate, primarily between the two “camps” headed respectively by Emir Axmed Abdi Godane (Isaak) and Sheekh Mukhtaar Robow (Rahanwein), Shabaab is also in ongoing negotiations with Hisbul. Paralleling this process is the internal struggle within the TFG between the President Sharif and the now ex Prime Minister Sharmake. All of this comes at a time when after months of stalemate, all actors - internal, regional and international - are doing their best to regroup. In considering this time of rethinking, reorganization and regrouping, it is perhaps useful to attempt an examination of just one element in an effort to understand the complexity of these processes and the inherent danger in simplistic thinking. In reading the excellent book “Collapse” by Jared Diamond, this writer was particularly struck by Diamond's comments on how the introduction of the potato to New Zealand Maoris led to an unprecedented period of conflict, which turned previous patterns of inter-tribal conflict upside down. The simple potato achieved this by virtue of being a vegetable that had a longer shelf life than the native sweet potato. This meant the tribe who first secured potatoes was quite simply able to stay in the field longer and consequently conquer more territory. In considering this, I have been fascinated by the ongoing reporting of negotiations between Al Shabaab and Hisbul Islamiya and am indebted to some very well situated Somalis who have shared their thoughts and observations. A review of most English language media articles and the analysis done on this subject, usually focus on the ideological divides and the more prosaic issues of name and hierarchy. Within Shabaab the belief that ideologically very little differentiates between the TFG and HI creates a real block. Given the well-documented mentoring relationship that was enjoyed between Sheekh Xasan Daahir Aweys (**********) and Sheekh Shariif Sheekh Axmed (Abgal) this is not surprising. The divide also focuses on internal stressors that have escalated in the light of the Ramadan Offensive. For many within Shabab, it is felt that forces from Bay and Bakool loyal to Mukhtar Robow have paid a significantly higher price in the number of casualties incurred. This is then further aggravated by financial pressures; financiers in Bay and Bakool believe they have contributed the lion’s share of operational funding. This issue is amplified by reports indicating that Godane has appointed a cousin of his to be responsible for Shabaab fund raising. There is also the belief that the Government of Kenya's financial crackdowns and the recent peace agreements in Ethiopia with ******i supported groups, like Itihad, might divert finances to support clan interests such lobbying for the possible appointment of an ******i Prime Minister to replace Sharmake, an action which would further undermine Shabaab's financial liquidity. Each of these stressors is further situated within a complex of clan dynamics. With Al Shabaab being strongly represented both geographically and numerically in South Somalia, Godane who hails from Somaliland has been repeatedly accused of “loading” the leadership of Shabaab with his kinsmen. Given his lack of physical clan support in South Central Somalia it is not surprising that leadership friction exists. That this has exacerbated difficulties between Godane and Robow has been made manifestly evident since the “interrupted” leadership summit in Merka with accusations being leveled by both actors against each other. Interestingly Godane even granted Time an interview – which some observers believe was a strategic decision to reinforce his leadership position. This fear of commanders who come from the major Somali clans of senior Shabaab commanders from minority clans, has arguably had more to do with the present configuration of foreign fighters supporting Godane that ideology. The priority for Shabaab commanders who come from the minority clans and their foreign fighters is to ensure that commanders such as Robow from the major clans do not set the agenda. This is largely driven by a fear of clan influence and clan priorities. Currently within Shabaab leading commanders are from Isaak, Galjacel,Bade-Adde, and other minority clans within the ****** and the ******; in traditional Somali fashion this leads to a fear of large clan domination. Beyond the inner Shabaab positioning, the concept of a merged Shabaab and Hisbul Islamiya also leads to a concern beyond ideology. Godane is considered to be very concerned about a dilution of his authority if he has to share power with Sheekh Xasan Daahir Aweys (**********). On the Hisbul side of the equation we come to the equivalent of the potato in New Zealand – the single factor issue that can change the face of a conflict. Confirmed reports indicate that Hisbul do not own their Technicals, these fighting vehicles made famous in the movie Blackhawk Down, are owned by Somali businessmen. It is these wealthy and influential businessmen who are the critical block in the merger discussions. Before any merger can occur, they will want to have a clear understanding of how they will retain ownership of their assets, or be appropriately compensated for them. So a potato made the difference in Maori tribal conflict between1818 and 1833, and the ownership of Technicals could do the same in Somalia 2010.

^^^They got scared and had to let the Minister go. Now tell us is your Navy ready?

So the occupation and subjugation of the people of the south is a laughing matter? Its the lords power that those who occupied them today are no longer powerful. IndaCade, Goobanle, Seeraar, Xasan Dahir and Abdiqasin are no longer masters if those areas..

Wasiirka dekadaha Puntland oo dib u heley xorayadiisa 11 Oct 11, 2010 - 8:17:29 AM Kadib markii maanta 11.10.2010 koox burcad baded ah u surtagashey iney afdubaan Wasiirka dekadaha iyo gadiidka Badda Puntland Siciid Maxamad Raage iyo xubno ku weheliyey safarkiisa ayaa wararka soo gaaraya warsidaha Garoweonline xaqiijinayan in la sii daayey iminkana ku sugan yahay isaga oo nabad qaba degmada Jiriiban. Wasiirka oo maanta booqasho ku gaarey deganka Garcad halkasoo ku dhumaleystan kooxo burcad badeed ah ayaa waxaa weerar kadis ah ee koxdaas ku qaadey wuxuu sababey dhimasho iyo dhaawac. Safarka Wasiirka ayaa la xiriirey sidii dadka degaankaas degan uga soo wacyi galin lahaa dhibaatada burcad badeedka ah Dowlada Puntland oo ciidamo xoogan u dirtey degaankaas kuwaasoo ka ambabaxey magaalo madaxda Puntland ee Garowe ayaa intii ay gaarin goobta waxaa kooxdii burcad badeedka aheyd ee afduubka gaysatey ku wareejiyeen Wasiirka iyo xubnihii la socdey odayaasha degaanka. Maamulka Puntland ayaa dagaal xoogan kula jira kooxaha burcad badeedka ah kuwaasoo ka qowleysta xeebaha Somalia.

^^^We agree though Eyl is not the problem anymore its been shutt down. Now its Garacad is the main base that needs to be taken care.

Ayoub adeer these men were dealt with by the law of the land, and nothing you or Godane can do about it.

Big news...

^^^Ayoub the Al Shabaab men have been dealt with, the important thing now is hunting what remains of the bombing cell that failed yesterday.

^^^lol@ Ayoub, it matters not what, or who they are they will be dealt with just like in this fashion. Puntland knows how to hunt terror groups.

Indeed, this is a provocation and needs to be dealt with head on.

This if it is confirmed is proof that Puntland is at war with Pirates and the false accusations of some is blown with the wind. These silly militias need to be dealt with and they will.

Wasiir kuxigeenka arrimaha Gudaha Puntland Oo Ka Hadley Iska Horimaadkii Ka Dhacay Garacad October 11, 20103 comments| leave your own!Wasiir kuxigeenka arrimaha gudaha iyo Dawladdaha hoose ee Dawladda Puntland ayaa ka hadlay iska horimaadkii maanta dhexmaray Ciidamo ka tirsan Puntland oo u horkacaayay Wasiirka dekaddaha iyo gaadiidka Badda iyo kooxo Burcadbadeed Soomaali kaas oo ka dhacay agagaarka degmada Garacad ee gobolka Mudug. Dhegayso Wasiirkuxigeenka arimaha gudaha oo ka waramaaya shaqaaqadii ka dhacdey Garacad Podcast: Play in new window | Download Mudane Cali Yuusuf Xoosh oo Shir jiraa’id ku qabtay magaalada Garoowe ee caasimada Puntland ayaa sheegay in iska horimaadka uu ku dhintey mid kamid ah ilaalada isla markaana ay ku dhaawacmeen labo kale Wasiirka dekaddaha Puntland kadib markii kooxo Burcadbadeed ay u galeen jidka u dhaxeysa degmada Jariiban iyo Garacad. Wuxuu sheegay in Wasiirka dekaddaha uu degmada Jariiban u tegay sidii Odeyaasha dhaqanka iyo dadka degaanka uu kala kaashan lahaa la dagaalanka Burcadbadeeda oo ay Dawladda Puntland hore u sheegtay in dagaal adag la galayso. Mr.Cali Xoosh ayaa sheegay in ciidanka Puntland markii ay dib uga soo noqdeen Garacad oo ay kusoo jeedeen Jariiban rasaas ay fureen uu ku dhintey hal qof oo Odey ah isla markaana ay ku dhaawacmeen labo kale oo shacab ah. Wasiir kuxigeenka arrimaha gudaha ayaa sheegay in ay aad uga xunyihin falkaas isla markaana tibaaxay in talaabo adag laga qaadi doono kooxaha Burcadbadeeda. Maxamed Siciid Yuusuf Wakiilka Horseed Media Garoowe,Puntland

^^^Go back and read the topic adeer, specially about Xasan Dahir Aways and his connections to IndaCade, that many used to doubt.

How did he burn you so ? I am sorry, I am a bit bored.

^^^No adeer this is the winning goal.

Up you go...

^^^You to adeer, have a great day and send Riyaale my regards.

^^^About Riyaale? or Abdiqasin?

Originally posted by AfricaOwn: You been trying hard to save the pathetic old man rep, but no one is buying. I am sorry did I say something of Dahir Riyaale Kahin, the man who wanted to be an MP in Ethiopian parliment and failed?

Originally posted by The Zack: ^Historic facts? Written on where? Rumors in your side of the hood ain't facts. Abdiqasim is one of the few Somalis that are well respected in the Somali peninsula. Zack I am not even trying to convince you here, again go ask the person or persons whom told you that Abdiqasin is a hero an all and ask them what is his relationship to, IndaCade, Goobanle, Seeraar, Nuuriye, Sharup, Xasan Dahir Aways and the JVA alliance. Ask them to tell you what Abdiqasin did with the money from Arta, how strong this group was before Abdiqasin term and after. I can only start you on he journey to truth its up to you what you to do the hard work lad.

^^^I touched a nerve, but thats not hard with you old boy. Now next time you secessionist want to go to Cayn make sure you call on more Ethiopian troops than last. Also was Riyaale not an NSS spy, and a man who ran to become an MP in Ethiopia? Talk weak men acting like Titans.

^^^They were caught red handed running away from the scene and handed over to Puntland authorities by baraxlay security forces.

Allaha unaxariisto, Abshir Bacadle, to his family and his kin everywere may Allah give you strength in this difficult time. Amin

^^^Maybe they were Godane's personal guard and from Hargaysa?