We have another drama in Mogadishu thanks to the lame duck president and a prime minister who is inspired by the opposition to eliminate and weaken the president in order to diminish his future standing if he wins the next election. We have to differentiate the mistakes Farmaajo had made and the constitutional frame work that everyone should flow. Folks, a lot is going on in Somalia. Blind ambition coupled with foreign interference or backing , tribal greed and dysfunctional system has finally led to the total collapse of the already fractured relationship. Before we discuss the major motives of premier Rooble to weaken and challenge directly the president for the third or fourth time, let us look what the provisional constitution allows the president and the prime minister. The Mogadishu media and the opposition is pedaling half truths about the powers of the president. First of all, the powers of the president are not, I repeat, are not transferable to anyone whether it is the premier, the son of the president or anyone else as long as the president is acting in his position. THese powers could only be transferred to an elected person, not someone appointed. President Farmaajo has transferred the security and the implementation of the election to the premier, I repeat the election only. We are all well aware the term of the president has expired, but he could only lose his constitutional authority after another elected president takes the power. Furthermore, the excessive branch outside the cabinet is directly appointed and fired by the president. THe premier could recommend their suspension or firing by discussing and getting the blessing of the president, but he can't fire them by decree. Now, here are the major mistakes Rooble made in this case. 1--premier Rooble shouldn't be challenging and sending ultimatums to the intelligence director through the media. This reminds me of Trump who fired FBI director James Comey on television. It is reckless and unprofessional. 2- Rooble had put the credibility of Al-shabaab from those of NISA. The Intelligence, through its intelligence gathering had confirmed the death of officer Ikram Tahliil by Al-shabaab. Then Al-shabaab had denied of her murder, thus Rooble believes the statement of Al-shabaab above the government intelligence agency. In fact, he said, " he doesn't trust the NISA statement about her ". Since when Al-shabaab, who uses extortion, murder, duplicity to achieve its goals are more credible than those who are fighting them? 3-He elevated a criminal homecide matter to a constitutional crises that had shaken government at this late stage. On the other hand, president Farmaajo had fallen to the trap of the opposition one more time. It was clear that Rooble was looking for fight against Farmaajo for the last few months. When Farmaajo ordered the government not to enter any foreign agreements during the transition period, Rooble contradicted him publicly. Then he went to Nairobi and tried to sign a commercial agreement with Kenya and only changed his mind after an uproar from the public. He even tried to convene a meeting among government and regions in SAudi Arabia without the knowledge ofthe president. And now he fires security chiefs without consulting the president. Farmaajo probably lost his head this time and said , enough. For those and many other reasons , Farmaajo should have known that Rooble is seeking to confront him on behalf of the opposition or for his own ambitions. Director Fahad Yasin might be a well-connected intelligence director, but he is not sophisticated enough to manage government bureaucracy or resolve political problems. He is known to use either brute force or bribes to achieve his goals. When Rooble demanded answers, he could have given him the usual runaround while flowing government protocol by being subordinate to the prime minister. He shouldn't be running to Farmaajo and create unnecessary problems for both. He could have said, " I am on it, will give you answers in 24 hours. Some say, no matter what Fahad Yasin does, Rooble was hell bent on sacking him. Now, since every move is politically motivated in Mogadishu, what is the main reasons that made the opposition to ride this unfortunate case of Marhum Ikrah Tahliil. I have no doubt in my mind this case is an opposition horse to ride to the election. These are probably the main reasons. 1-There was a similar case few months ago about Somali army recruits sent to Eritrea. Some mothers were used to march in the streets and demand the where about of their sons. Even the UN people joined and added fuel to the fire by claiming that the Somali soldiers were fighting in Axum Tigray. Somehow, those parents have disappeared now, and no one had told us why. 2-We have all seen that premier Rooble was traveling around the region and among the countries who have vested interest in Somali, mainly Turkey, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UK, Kenya and Djibouti. Premier Rooble told us that his main goal is to conduct a fair election now and prepare himself for the 2025 election. Yet his moves are totally the opposite. Somalis are not known to be people who look to the future and sacrifice for the common good even if it doesn't cost them that much. My sources told me that his foreign travels are all intended for the upcoming election. For example, Rooble had an extensive discussion with Uhuru Kenyatta about the Somali election. pRemier Rooble isn't stranger in Kenya. He has a wife and family that reside Kenya and he have been living in Nairobi for the last 15 years. My source also told me that Mr. Kenyatta had private meeting with Ahmed Madoobe and C/laahi Deni recently. Since Mr. Kenyastta is well versed in Somali tribal politics due to his dealings with Kismayo and Gedo, he suggested that since the current president is from the D block, it will be the interest of everyone to have a HAG president. The two stooges from Puntland and Jubbaland had accepted this proposal and will be acting accordingly. Yesterday , I did talk to someone who is close to the Puntland government and he told me that they have 75 seats (Punt & Jubba) and they will be given to their choice for president in the second round. He said, the main reason we delayed the election was to secure the seats, and Farmaajo, just like Hassan Sheikh will get 80 or 90 , but he will be defeated for the second round. When I asked him if they will be positioning for the premiership, he said, " we might even give the premier to the JUbbaland boys". For these Puntlanders, their main goal is to get rid of Farmaajo, and it seems they could achieve it.They are pragmatic and are willing to compromise to to reach their goals. 3- Rooble was selected by Farmaajo due to his weakness . Just like Farmaajo he isn't eloquent in his speeches and doesn't have charisma to command the crowd. But, unlike Farmaajo , he has good advisers and he listens them very well. Who knows, if he keeps scoring points against this weak president, this cat could become a lion in the future. Also, Rooble sees a vacuum both from the opposition and the current president. Waxa uu arkayaa kursi cidla yaala. Don't be surprised if Rooble throws his hat to the ring and run for president. At the end, Farmaajo could lose because of his choices. The men he chose to be his prime ministers had both conspired to eliminate him. Looking back, both Cumar Sharmaarke and Hassan Sheikh were heavy weights who tolerated their competition for the greater good. They were both running for president, yet the business of the government was functioning smoothly.