I don't think the confederate thing will happen, but something radical must done to the Mogadishu based HAG government. Why they don't call it " Maamulka Muqdisho iyo Gobolada HAG? This HSM guy is running a regional government not national government.
Ahmed Fiqi is in Cairo, Sanblooshe is in Addis and Hassan Socdaal was in Asmara. Where are the other Somalis. This isn't a national government. Neither Puntland nor anyone else have a say of how they managing the state. The HAG clan is running the military, foreign policy, intelligence, presidency and the few remaining posts are managed by their in law secessionists.
Dramatic moves are needed by Puntland and others to stop this fake national government. Hamza and company spend $12 million dollars within 30 days to catch Ahmed Madoobe and bribe his militia. The Badhaadhe mayor is in Turkiye after he pocketed few hundred thousand dollars with false promise of defeating Madoobe. Couple of enterprising Culusow clan crooks also stole a half million dollars for airlines from Kenya. Since these planes were flying in conflict zone they charged high premium insurance.
How could you deploy soldiers in an island that doesn't have access? How are you going to supply them if attacked? Just like in Mogadishu, they thought they could buy everyone. Yet the prime minister is still there.
PUntland must take dramatic actions if these man ignores the nation and goes from one frying pan to the other. Do we have to wait when stuffs' boxes with fake ballots and declares himself president. Ahmed Madoobe derailed his plan to rule south central Somalia and forget the rest of the country. Do you ever hear him mention Awdal or the Red Sea?
Furthermore, Puntland might know something we don't. In his last sermon inside Ethiopian parliament the Revered Pastor Abiy said, " We have problems, but Ethiopia is united , we are not like others who are selling their own country". I don't know who he meant, but it is probably HSM.
The other day I asked a wise guy , what is the next move after these failures? He said " forget about HSM or his plans, the only open option is a new government?, when I said there is no time left he said, " Hamza can't go to Puntland or Jubbaland to manage the next election, he doesn't have any credibility left or capacity to bridge the gaps. " .
So, in order to start some kind of reconciliation and prepare for the next Teendho selection in Halane, he need a new premier.
What ever HSM touches goes down badly.
And one more thing, despite the elections and the so called change, the most conflict prone and unstable region in the country , where clan conflict rages is Galmudug and the sessionist enclave. For the last three years and even today most of the Somali deaths and casualties are within the region of the Goonigosatada. From Ceerigaabo, Buuhoodle, Dacaweley and beyond. The Habro are suicidal these days.