General Duke Posted June 3, 2011 Yemen: attack on president keeps observers guessingConfusion reigns in Yemen over president Saleh's injuries. Whatever the truth, the country is facing a decisive moment Brian Whitaker I started this morning planning to write a general blog about Yemen, but events took a dramatic turn this afternoon – and are still developing. Let's start with the official version. The presidential palace in Yemen was hit by shells on Friday. Government sources said at first that President Saleh was unhurt and would be giving a news conference within an hour. The news conference didn't happen and the new line seems to be that the president has been slightly injured and is now in hospital. At present, there is no way of knowing if this is true. Being taken to hospital could explain why Saleh hasn't given the promised news conference. So would being killed. We can't be absolutely sure that Saleh is still alive until he is seen on television talking about what happened. If he were dead, Yemeni officials wouldn't necessarily say so until the resulting power vacuum had been filled. Similarly, if his injuries were serious, officials might still be expected to describe them as slight. The only thing we can be sure of is that he is not uninjured – otherwise he would have been on television by now, describing his escape. Saying that he is in hospital provides the regime with a sort of holding position which in due course will allow for him to either recover or get worse. So, what does this mean for the Yemeni uprising? In what might be the best scenario for Yemen's future, Saleh would be seriously injured but not dead. In fact, sufficiently injured for the doctors to decide that he needs urgent treatment abroad. Flying him out of the country for medical reasons would provide a near-perfect exit from the crisis. The vice-president could take over and Yemen could begin to calm down. It's unlikely that anyone would want Saleh back if or when he recovered. Probably the worst scenario would be a lightly-wounded president who returns to the fray within a day or two, with renewed ferocity, to wreak his revenge. The least predictable scenario would be if Saleh has actually been killed. In theory, his vice-president should step into the breach while new elections are arranged, but there would also be a possibility of a power struggle behind the scenes if his death were concealed for long. Whichever of these turns out to be correct, Yemen badly needs a solution soon. It's not just the violence – which hopefully will subside once Saleh goes – but the impending economic collapse. Whatever happens on the political front, the repercussions of that will be felt for years to come. Shops and restaurants are closing, queues for petrol are lengthening, electricity supplies are erratic and people are hoarding basic supplies (including even water) according to a report in the New York Times. Nobody is quite sure how much money the country and its government still have left. Tax collection has come more or less to a halt. Saleh, who needs to continue paying his supporters, is said to have been demanding multi-million dollar loans from Yemeni businessmen. Diplomats have also been enquiring about rumours that he has raided the coffers of the Central Bank. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Che -Guevara Posted June 3, 2011 This man was quoted saying he will leave Yemen the way he found it, poor dirty and in state of civil war. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
General Duke Posted June 3, 2011 ^^^He is now fighting his clan chief. The Salah's Vs the Ahmars Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Xaaji Xunjuf Posted June 3, 2011 poor salax he is now a tribal leader Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
General Duke Posted June 3, 2011 An excerpt from Ali Abdullah Saleh's audio speech aired on Yemeni state television moments ago: We also need to understand that this gang of the al-Ahmar sons will be defeated. They really put the situation on a bad moment today. I am asking, calling upon all citizens of Yemen to support the country. Ali A Salah Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
oba hiloowlow Posted June 3, 2011 damn Kuwaan dowladda taabacsan somalia halheys ay ka dhigteen somali jadiid ay noqohee kulaha 24 7 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
General Duke Posted June 3, 2011 ^^^If they continue in this rate they will be worse than Somalia. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jacaylbaro Posted June 4, 2011 Let da muthafaka die .................. Yemenis need to remove this dictator and it is good now he swallowed the first bullet. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
genius pauper. Posted June 4, 2011 SUBXANALLAH, it aint moral to abuse someone's mother. what jb did is actually abusing salah's mother, who is innocent. even the wrong person, you cant abuse him, or his/her mother. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jacaylbaro Posted June 4, 2011 Wondering if Yemen's President Saleh was chasing Khat when he got hit, because no one can walk away from a rocket attack . . . Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
London2010 Posted June 4, 2011 General Duke;726063 wrote: ^^^If they continue in this rate they will be worse than Somalia. You can't get worse than Somalia. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
oba hiloowlow Posted June 4, 2011 Duke, Yeah.. London 2010, carab waa cawaan runtii ninkaan ayaa meesha isku haayo arag balaayadii dhici doonta.. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Che -Guevara Posted June 4, 2011 ^What racist thing to say. I hope nothing happens for the sake one hundred thousand Somali trapped and for the sake Yemenis themselves. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
oba hiloowlow Posted June 4, 2011 che lool dadko dhan saas mahan off course badankooda waa dad wareersan oo naxeynin dhaqan aad uu xun ay leeyahiin.. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites