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The Somaliland election could be rigged.

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There are clear indications that this election could be rigged through different means. Here are the main reasons that this election could compromised in a way that hasn't been done before.


1- Law voter turn out of the actual registered voters.


This could mean many things. In many regions the difference between those who registered and those who collected their cards are huge.  Almost 30% of those registered did not collect their cards. 


Then, among those who collected their cards few months ago, another 15 % did note show up to vote. In fact in Awdal 20% of those who had cards did not vote. In some regions  40% of those registered few months ago did not show up.


2- Where are these cards? 


Did Somaliland election commission locate these cards of the absentee registered voters? 

Why these voter cards are showing up every where?. Even Puntland had  some sequestered voter ID cards.  Puntland authority could intercept ballot boxes intended for the polling stations or those filled with ballots, yet they got actual voter ID cards. 


Isn't the voter ID cards belong to the individual , and unless you take away from the person who owns, how could they got?. Puntlnd alone had almost up to 60 cards.


Are these cards traveling by themselves? These questions must be answered by the commission.


3- Why buy voting cards from the poor people and for what purpose.?


The Somaliland police had intercepted hundred of cards bought from the streets for as law as $10 dollars and as high as $100. All indications are that the ruling Kulmiye is behind these schemes. What is the use of these cards?. did they discard them or use them for nefarious reasons?



4-- The so called bio-metric system might be beaten by insiders.


After people marked their ballots and put inside the box, there should never be disputed. Actual recounts could easily indicate who voted and for whom, yet there are reasons for people to be suspicious. 


In many places the biggest threat is parallel ballot boxes that could replace the actual boxes. In Gabiley, Hargeisa and western Sanaag where Waddani party representatives were missing , Kulmiye paid escorts were the only ones who were left alone to transport. As Maakhiri ,here in SOL indicated ,these systems might not be as good as advertised.


5-Waddani rallies were bigger than Kulmiye in many places.


If you look the party rallies , especially in the east , the Waddani rallies were bigger and stronger. It seemed the whole country was Waddani, yet we see close calls in Togdheer and many other places.


6- Mohamed Aw Said factor.


This businessmen has monopoly in Somaliland fiber-optic internet access in Somaliland and he want to remain the sole provider of LTE network with modern features. Many other companies tried to inter the market by trying to pull fiber-optic  cables through Oman but was rejected. In fact the minister who signed that deal was fired immediately. Through another telecom company he is making a killing. He is charging hundreds of dollars for internet access.


Folks, this man could buy anyone for the right price. He was In Awdal with big cash and he did distribute to elders and others. If I were the opposition, I would check the movements of huge money being transferred from Djibouti to Hargeisa or individual accounts in Dahabshiil and Dubai.  I will watch closely the commission and it's chairman. One thing this election thoufght is that everyone could be bought for the right price.


7- Gabiley must be disqualified.


I am not making this up, but in Gabiley there are no more functioning government their. In the Last municipal election they literally brought the ballot boxes and divided among the clans in secluded building .


It had four mayors for the last seven years. Even one of them made " Tahriib" or could not be found.  Every box and ballot from that region must be investigated. Make sure ballot boxes are not replaced with Kulmiye boxes. This people are really crooks. 


Finally, the tradition of Kulmiye will not disappear. This people got rich of the public purse and will not satisfy unless they got the whole " Xeedho". If there was " Booli-Qaran" houses in Mogadishu in the late eighties , the Hargeisa one is much bigger and daring. Unlike those in Mogadishu, they are not even hiding.  They have sold every public house, school yard, park, and even the national theater built by the Chinese. Folks, they will not let go these honey combs. 



If they lose power all that ill gotten gains might be scrutinized. for these people , it is do or die. They will do anything to hold to power., besides, throughout their tenure they had never done a fair election.


If a  change does not come to Somaliland, expect bad things from these bad actors.

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