Dr-Osman Prognosis Of Somali Politics

[Dr_Osman]

This is my assessment of the current situation of Somalia.

 

1. Shabab is collapsing and will dismantle

2. Somaliland will return into isolation

3. Puntland will continue to spearhead its political agenda domestically and internationally

4. The TFG will start to transition into an official government

 

Winner appears to be Puntland. All the ingredients of success are clearly visible. The region has it's hands in the TFG making sure it's compliant with puntland in terms of constitution, idealogy, power-sharing, resources, etc. The only thing out of puntland's hand is shabab and somaliland and we are seeing some major losses on those front. Shabab is in retreat mode and heading for the caves, somaliland is back to square one.

 

I am happy for the Puntland region and urge the state to keep a vigilant eye on the TFG to make sure it doesn't come in and throw some random turub to disturb the process of puntlandizing the somali people and nation. I also urge the state to continue building it's bi-lateral ties overseas and bring in more political spot-light for garowe. We should continue with building all the necessary arms of a government and nation just in-case the mogadishu boys come up with a trick then we can quickly go to option B and get the international stakeholders to bring mogadishu-hargeisa or whoever in line with Puntland visions and if that fails we have option C to secede and have covered all the political bases ready for the recognition of Puntland.

[Dr_Osman]

Never under-estimate these boys

 

1.Federalism(is our best option). We can get kismayo back and our properties/businesses/farms in the south. Plus have greater control of all somalia through the gobollo "card". Plus we don't have to act tribal and can act we are thinking of the nations best interests and say 'somaliland doesnt want to rejoin somalia" and mogadishu want central govt therefore this is option is the best middle ground. WOW do international stakeholders love the logic in our reasoning yet we still have our own political agenda 12/18 states D-BLOCK.

 

2. If our preferred political solution doesn't work. We can use our ties domestically and internationally to bring the anti federal elements into line with Puntland. We can use the reasoning "as puntland we are thinking of the best interest of the nation" card and say mogadishu wants central, hargeisa wants secession, federal is the middle line". Can someone please get these "ravin lunatics into line who just care about their clan interests like hargeisa or lunatics in mogadishu who want to return to failed policies". WOW do international stakeholders love big picture thinkers!!! Then w can tell the international stakeholders "Puntland is mature and considered both options from mogadishu and hargeisa and came up with a reasonable middle ground" We can say "hargeisa just cares about hargeisa and non-existant colonial issues" their not mature. Mogadishu centralist can't take us back to what failed before "having everything in one city" Thats why our solution is the most logical and best solution because it addresses everything in Somalia today like tribal enmity, not going back to failed central systems, not adding city states into the greater horn regions, etc, etc. But deep down we have our own agenda 12 out of 18 states is d-block, we just dont tell the international world.

 

3. If all options fails(worse case scenario) we have set up all the necessary political institutions, governmnts, security forces, economy and general ingredients of seceding. We have a strong international ties and can use it to get our seccession and will use our local game-changers in hamar like ina gaas to sign off on it.

 

I love being a Puntlander

[Dr_Osman]

Thats how puntlander thinks and thats why we are so successful in somali politics. Thats why everyone else are mere failures

[Xaaji Xunjuf]

Dr osman Pl will always be part of Somalia you have no option to secede from Somalia you will always be ruled from Mogadishu its just matter of time till things get in order in Xamar and you know what that means no more division in southern Somalia and Clan federalism will be thrown in the bin and things will only get better.

[Dr_Osman]

Xaji read my prognosis in-depth to understand before you speak. Ku noq-noqo wax baad ka baran karta and hopefully learn how to play politics puntland style

[uchi]

Hi Osman~ how are you my friend, have you taken your pills this afternoon?

[Hustler]

Oh man here we go with the faan.com again. Osman please spare us. puntland has nothing to be proud of . They come under the TFG and do some shaddy pirate business behind close doors, that is about all. You are not even a country or a real democracy. Take it easy bro lol

[Relentless]

uchi;822434 wrote:

Hi Osman~ how are you my friend, have you taken your pills this afternoon?

walahi that made me laugh....hahahahahahahahaha